Spot the Differential
26 August 2022 1222 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 4 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leeds United, Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

BRENDEN AARONSON

Auto Draft 33
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: bha | EVE | bre | NFO | mun

Brenden Aaronson (£5.5m) has made a great start at Leeds United following his summer move, scoring his first goal for the club in Gameweek 3.

Against Chelsea, the former RB Salzburg man added energy and creativity from his central attacking midfield position and was always looking to press and run in behind Thomas Tuchel’s defence. “He’s tireless. He’s relentless” were Jesse Marsch’s words when asked about Aaronson’s performance after the match.

Marsch later vowed that his team would “always attack”, which is a promising sign ahead of fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Everton (h), Brentford (a) and Nottingham Forest (h), given that Leeds are unbeaten so far this season.

Across the opening three rounds, amongst teammates, only Jack Harrison (£6.0m) has received more passes in the final third, while he has also racked up five goal attempts, three created chances and nine crosses. It’s also worth noting that he has also seen a goal taken away from him and given as an own-goal against Wolves.

Aaronson’s career numbers suggest he won’t ever be a prolific goalscorer, but there are often caveats with players at this price point, and it does feel like the US international is one of the best budget midfielders on offer right now.

MARCUS RASHFORD

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 3
  • FPL ownership: 5.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: sou | lei | ARS | cry | LEE

We’d originally included Anthony Martial (£6.9m) in this slot, only for Erik ten Hag’s Friday press conference to derail us.

As a result, we’ve turned to 5.4 per cent owned team-mate Marcus Rashford (£6.3m), who we’ve made an exception for despite sitting just over our usual differential threshold.

The 24-year-old has already suffered two price drops this season but netted his first Premier League goal of 2022/23 in an excellent display against Liverpool on Monday night.

Indeed, no player from either side racked up more goal attempts (five), shots in the box (five) or efforts on target (two) than Rashford.

United got off to a terrible start to the 2022/23 campaign and sat rock bottom following defeats to Brighton and Hove Albion and Brentford. However, there were encouraging signs in their win over Liverpool, which means they can approach Saturday’s trip to Southampton in a more positive frame of mind. Notably, the Saints’ have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine Premier League matches, extending back to last season.

There is competition for places at United, and we can’t simply forget that Cristiano Ronaldo (£10.4m) is still an option, but it does feel like Rashford can become an important player for ten Hag, who clearly has a lot of faith in him.

GONCALO GUEDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NEW | bou | SOU | liv | MCI

Goncalo Guedes (£6.0m) made a promising first Wolverhampton Wanderers start in Gameweek 3, as he went close to scoring in the first half.

The 25-year-old made some very good runs in behind Tottenham Hotspur’s defence, registering five shots – more than any other player on the pitch – and three chances created. He did fade a little as the match wore on, but that’s understandable given he is new to the league.

Guedes scored 11 La Liga goals and assisted a further six in 2021/22, his most productive season in Spanish football, and not only featured on the left coming inside onto his favoured foot but also centrally and on the right. His versatility and ability to play as a striker is appealing, then, especially with Raul Jimenez (£6.9m) still building up his fitness.

It must be said that Wolves aren’t in great form after a winless start to the campaign. Last season’s goalscoring woes, when they finished as the division’s lowest scorers outside of the relegated teams, have continued into 2022/23. However, there has been progress in each of the three games so far, with the signing of Guedes and fellow Portuguese Matheus Nunes (£5.0m) perhaps going some way to alleviate those concerns.

Guedes is a product of the Benfica academy, where he rose through the system under the watchful eye of Bruno Lage, who served as a youth at the Portuguese club. Now reunited at Molineux, the £6.0m midfielder could be a smart differential to capitalise on Wolves’ next three fixtures: Newcastle United (h), Bournemouth (a) and Southampton (h).



1,222 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Definitely not sleeping
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Last minute changes?

    No transfers left.

    2mil itb

    Martinez
    TAA Trippier Zink Cancelo
    Rodrigo Sancho Salah(c) Andreas
    Halland Jesus

    Ward Dasilva N.Williams Surridge

    1. Lingard’s Shin Guards
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      gtg

  2. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Ramsdale
    Robbo TAA James Cancelo Perisic
    Neto Salah(c) Martinelli
    Haaland Jesus
    (Ward Pereira Reed Archer)

    2FT & 0.4ITB

    a) Ramsdale > Sanchez
    b) Archer > Stansfield
    c) Robbo & Archer > Veltman & Toney
    d) Ramsdale, Robbo & Archer > Sanchez, Saliba & Toney (-4)

    1. Lingard’s Shin Guards
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      d

    2. TheSteel
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

  3. Lingard’s Shin Guards
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    walker -> Perisic for free or save?

    Sanchez
    TAA Cancelo Walker James Gabriel
    Salah Kulu Martinelli
    Haaland Jesus

    Ward Andreas Archer Colback (1ft 0.7m itb)

    1. sozopol
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I'd do it for free

    2. Ynwalfc
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Do it you have Cancelo

  4. mitre
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Any changes needed?

    Sanchez
    TAA James Perisic
    Salah Gundo Rodrigo Martinelli
    Haaland Jesus Toney

    Ward, Trippier, Neco, Andreas

    1. Ynwalfc
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Trippier over James for me

  5. The Mandalorian
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Gundogan 7.6m 21 pts

    Haaland 11.7m 24 pts

    Gundogan appears to be playing in a support striker role similar to Xhaka.

    1. Camzy
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I have both 😀

      1. Optimus.
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Will he start this gw?

        1. Optimus.
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          As in Gundogan

          1. Camzy
            • 16 Years
            4 years, 27 days ago

            I bloody hope so haha.

            1. Optimus.
              • 15 Years
              4 years, 27 days ago

              I have Zaha, cant afford a switch to Gundo but tempted by Bernado for a differential

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Gundogan actually had more penalty area touches than Haaland so far

  6. sozopol
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Evening scouts! Would love your feedback here:

    A - Start Bailey this week and likely take the -0.1 price drop, but avoid the -4 point hit
    B - Bailey --> Aaronson (I have the money in the bank) for the -4 hit, but avoid the likely price drop

    TIA

    1. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Leeds have better fixtures than Villa, and you are upgrading to a nailed player

      1. sozopol
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        thanks! I hate taking hits but I've been leaning toward B

  7. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Would you rather have

    Reece James or
    Ivan Toney?

    1. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I think Toney would be a more caring an attentive lover

    2. Zaruto
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Both…but to choose one Toney

    3. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      James

  8. Nightf0x
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Rams
    Janson taa james (walker neco)
    Rodrigo salah mount martineli (bailey)
    Mbeumo jesus haland

    Which? (Itb 0.4)

    A) bailey janson -4 to gross paterson
    B) mount to diaz/kulu
    C) janson mount -4 to perisic gross
    D) mbeumo mount -4 to toney gross
    E) haland mount -4 to kane gundo
    F) roll ft

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      F

  9. Eleven Hag
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    A) Maddison ➡ Diaz
    B) Start Maddison
    B) Bench Maddison and start Dasilva

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      If for free go A given Maddison carrying an injury and DaSilva not nailed

    2. Zaruto
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

  10. LFC
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Is it worth doing son and Nunez to Diaz and Kane/Haaland for a -4?

    If yes would you go Kane or haaland?

    1. Zaruto
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Yes …both Haland or Kane are good

    2. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Do you have other spurs or manc asset?

      1. LFC
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        City I have walker

        Spurs only have son who will be transferred out

  11. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Feels like abit too rash this week by doing haaland and bailey to toney and rodrigo to catch the price rise.

    1. SamH123
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Haaland out very questionable

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        But why i do that is because i have kdb in my team. And having haaland kind of cause me having headache to capt who every week. Afterall i still think kdb is better than haaland. Haaland also gonna be rotate more

        1. Drogba Legend
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          Fair point if you already have KDB.

  12. Zaruto
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Flip coin? A or B?

    A) Cancelo & Rodrigo
    B) Zinchencko & Gundo

    Thks

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

    2. Drogba Legend
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A safe, B spicy

    3. Camzy
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I don't rate Zinchenko as an FPL asset that highly. If it was Perisic then B.

  13. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Might do FT Zaha>Rashford. Sold last week for 6.5m now 6.3m lol

  14. sthelenslad92
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Start Groß or Trippier?

    1. Zaruto
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Trip

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Trippier

    2. Drogba Legend
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Gross for me

  15. Drogba Legend
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Would you start DaSilva, Bailey, Neco, or Andreas?

    1. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Bailey

    2. Zaruto
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Hi go with Da Silva

    3. Drogba Legend
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Team is below. Would be bailey > DaSilva punt this week and roll my other FT. Think I'm holding onto Robbo and Foden one more GW

      Ward
      Cancelo - TAA - Robbo - James
      Salah (C) - Martinelli - Foden - Andreas
      Haaland - Jesus

      Iversen - Neco - Bailey - Fodderrrrrrr

      1. fplrook
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        I'd start with Andreas or Neco as they are on set pieces and nailed on starters. Bailey I think might just fall prey to rotation as Gerrard has many options to choose from in his front 3. Da Silva is not a bad shout but as he is not on set pieces, he is probably lower on my ranking amongst those four.

      2. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Dasilva is a dud buy especially as already have Andreas and no 3rd striker

    4. Ynwalfc
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      DaSilva he’s playing Everton, didn’t get points last week but had some good chances

  16. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Why does price point matter for captaincy? Dont know why Salah at 13m means you have to captain him?

    1. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Huh? I dont think thats the point to captain salah this week due to his price. Is becasue liv havent win any games and faces bournemouth. Seeing a 5-0 hattrick from salah

  17. Drogba Legend
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Team is below. Would be bailey > DaSilva punt this week and roll my other FT. Think I'm holding onto Robbo and Foden one more GW

    Ward
    Cancelo - TAA - Robbo - James
    Salah (C) - Martinelli - Foden - Andreas
    Haaland - Jesus

    Iversen - Neco - Bailey - Fodder

    1. Drogba Legend
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      reply fail. Good luck this GW all!

    2. fplrook
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      That's a good team!

  18. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Which City midfielder(s) do you think plays at least 60 mins in both matches (against PAL, NFO)?

    Already own KDB.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Gundogan

    2. fplrook
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Gundogan given he's the captain

      1. nerd_is_the_werd
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        I mean... Fernandinho would disagree, but get your point.
        Will see how I can fit Gundo in....

  19. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    If you had to choose one goalie

    A Ramsdale
    B Sanchez

    1. TheSteel
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

    2. DycheDycheBaby
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

  20. fplrook
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Ramsdale for me

    1. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      You dog you

  21. Fer Fuch's Ake
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Which one is a priority for my FT this GW? (otherwise playing Andreas off the bench)
    1- Ake (injured til next week) -> Gabriel/Saliba (vs FUL)
    2-Bailey (about to drop price) -> DaSilva (vs EVE)

    1. fplrook
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I'd go with option 1.

      Personally I would ignore any FT's for price movements. It would be beneficial to just try and have a team you like, and if you're not happy bring in a player you like - playing for price rises is a game that is not worth heeding in my opinion.

      1. Fer Fuch's Ake
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        I agree my team has been bleeding value and I'm not too worried about it, just trying not to use the WC too early but there are many holes that need to be filled very soon

    2. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Saliba is about to rise and you will get just as hurt with a rise if you are looking to get someone in.
      I would move on Saliba, at least you have an assist that might get a haul and you catch the rise

  22. 15men1cup
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Hi Guys,

    I am on a WC and looking to keep an Man City assist in defence. As Cancelo is not playing in a position to get the FPL returns I was thinking of Downgrading him and using the money to get Ederson.

    The idea is that Ederson is total nailed and I can pick up the clean sheets and I have $$$ to move to the rest of the team.

    What do you think?

    Ederson, Ward,
    TAA, James, Perisic, Zinchenko, (Dunk)
    Salah, KDB, Rodrigo, Martinelli (Andreas)
    Jesus, Toney (Stansfield)

    Thoughts?

    1. Fer Fuch's Ake
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I don't get the move to get in a 5.5 Goalie for clean sheets when there's 5.1 Walker/Ake available with potential attack points long term, even if slight rotation risk. I think Cancelo will come good on his 7.0 with more attacking returns and being nailed on

    2. Ynwalfc
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      No Haaland but KDB instead. Might work might not

  23. Zaruto
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Wizard question that I just discover can happen in my team:

    A) Salah & DaSilva
    Or
    B) Rasford & Kane

    Thks

    1. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A still. Purely cos of the captaincy. But its a good shout

  24. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Iversen + Robbo + Xhaka worth a -4 to Sanchez + Zinchenko + Harrison?

    1. Zaruto
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Yes I think so

    2. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      yeah, looks good

  25. Funky Monks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Perisic, Rodrigo and Foden or
    James, Harrison and Gundo?

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B easily

  26. TheJoker
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    A).Cancelo and Dunk
    B).James and Perisic

    1. Zaruto
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

    2. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

  27. Groß Point Blank
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Bench Neto or Dasilva?

    1. TheSteel
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Dasilva

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Ds

  28. Louis99
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Why is KDB not an option on the captain poll?!!

    1. Zaruto
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Because most players not chosen him

    2. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      For the same reason that I am not

  29. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Is Zinchenko really worth the 0.6m over Saliba?

    1. Ynwalfc
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I would keep Zinchenko more attacking threat

  30. Ynwalfc
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Sanchez
    TAA,Zinchenko,Trippier
    Salah(C),Martinelli,Rodrigo,Kulusevski
    Jesus,Haaland,Toney

    Subs-Ward,Walker,Andreas,N.Williams

    GTG?

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Looks good to me.

      1. Ynwalfc
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        1. Ynwalfc
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          Thanks