Captain Sensible
29 September 2022 198 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are mainly looking to Liverpool, Manchester City and Leicester City players for the Gameweek 9 captaincy, and as per usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 BST deadline.


READ MORE: FPL Gameweek 9 team news – live updates from Thursday’s pressers


THE CAPTAIN POLL

Erling Haaland (£12.0m) is the clear winner of the captain poll, with just under 46% of total votes from users at the time of writing.

No other player has garnered more than 19% of votes at this stage, with Mohamed Salah (£12.9m) currently in second place, backed by 18.3% of our users.

James Maddison (£7.9m) occupies third place with circa 9% of votes, followed by Harry Kane (£11.4m) and Ivan Toney (£7.3m), with 4.24% and 4.06% respectively. 

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

MOHAMED SALAH/TRENT ALEXANDER-ARNOLD

Mohamed Salah re-enters the captaincy conversation after an enforced hiatus which saw Liverpool suffer consecutive blank Gameweeks after Queen Elizabeth II’s death. 

Salah rediscovered his goal-scoring touch on international duty, bagging a brace in Egypt’s 3-0 victory over Niger before his early return to Liverpool – adding further minutes of crucial rest to the bank. 

The immediate fixture against Brighton represents a “make or break” moment in Salah’s season with difficult fixtures to follow, against Arsenal and Manchester City respectively, likely to test the resolve of even the most ardent Salah supporters. 

Salah’s underlying goal threat numbers make for underwhelming reading, with 17 shots and 14 shots inside the box over the last six matches significantly behind the division-leading Aleksandar Mitrovic – who has registered 28 goal attempts over the period. 

Despite Salah failing to hit the dizzy heights of his gold standard, Liverpool’s Egyptian ranks fifth-best for non-penalty expected goal involvement (NPxGI) over the last six matches, with 4.09. 

Above (click to expand): Mohamed Salah ranks fifth-best for non-penalty expected goal involvement (NPxGI) over the last six matches, with 4.09

The return from injury of the metronomic Thiago Alcantara (£5.2m) should give Liverpool more control in the Reds’ problematic midfield area which has struggled with ball progression and control in his absence. 

Liverpool’s visitors Brighton have impressed defensively this season ranking joint best for clean sheets (three) and goals conceded (five) over the last six matches. 

The Seagulls place third-best for shots on target conceded (18) and have conceded a mere seven big chances over the period – with only Tottenham Hotspur conceding fewer (six). 

Zonally, Brighton have demonstrated a strong defensive spine ranking joint-third best for chances conceded in central positions (12). 

However, these gold standard defensive numbers were accrued under the stewardship of Graham Potter whose departure leaves a huge void – and big shoes for newly appointed manager Roberto De Zerbi to fill. 

Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season with Liverpool, which has been compounded with his possible omission from England’s World Cup squad for Qatar. 

The Liverpool full-back is a darling of both models and metrics because of his proven career-level production but two attacking returns and a solitary clean sheet struggle to justify his lofty price tag. 

While the underlying numbers offer some solace with Alexander-Arnold ranking joint-best among defenders for chances created (13) and big chances created (two) over the last six matches – the Liverpool full-back is accustomed to creative parity with Kevin De Bruyne (£12.3m). 

Above (click to expand): Trent Alexander-Arnold ranks joint-best among defenders for chances created (13) and big chances created (2) over the last six matches

Liverpool’s Gameweek 9 opponents Brighton have failed to score just once in their opening six matches, at home to Newcastle United, and have produced strong underlying offensive numbers this term. 

Furthermore, the Seagulls place in the top four over the last six matches for big chances (17) and expected goals (xG), with 10.91. 

ERLING HAALAND/KEVIN DE BRUYNE


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A huge thank you for your continued support!



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

198 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Thursday's Press Conference Times
    Skonto Rigga
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Afternoon, all! The pre-match press conferences return today, although most of them will be on Friday:

    1pm - O'Neil
    1.30pm - Lampard
    2.45pm - Conte
    4pm - Frank

    1. FPL Daniel
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Lampard one will be interesting one

      1. Firmino
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Why

    2. Arteta
      4 years, 1 month ago

      This post will satisfy FPL Virgin's needs.

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        As satisfying as watching Dr. Pimple Popper tackle a dilated pore that's been backed up for several years.

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Groß simile. But certainly something's been backed up & is now gloriously released...

    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Now FPL is BACK!

  2. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Been away for a while and haven’t been able to research. How’s this WC team?

    Raya Ward
    Cancelo James Trippier Saliba Williams
    Diaz Sancho Martinelli Zaha Andreas
    Kane Haaland Mitro

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I have 13 put of those 15 on my non WC team. Looks good

    2. FPL Daniel
      4 years, 1 month ago

      What’s your plan for GW 12?

    3. Skonto Rigga
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bit of a different midfield, I like it. What's the plan for GW12? Ride with 10 men and keep two Arsenal/City for the good fixtures beyond it? Or sell at least one of them by that point? If the latter, I'd question whether Saliba is worth having in a WC now, given the fixtures.

      Any thought on Maddison over Diaz for the next three?

      1. FPL ZB
        • Has Moderation Rights
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thinking of flipping in Maddison for Sancho but would have to Ward/Iversen

        Need to plan for gw12.. honest answer is I haven’t considered it yet!

    4. cigan
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Like this team a lot but would go Maddison over Sancho if possible (maybe even at Saliba's expense as I imagine that's a rotation/bench spot anyway)

      1. FPL ZB
        • Has Moderation Rights
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, think I will!

    5. Arteta
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Template = fine

    6. Boberella
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Pretty good.
      Arguably the more “template” WC would be:
      Raya Diaz Sancho Kane to
      Guaita KDB/Salah Maddison Toney.

  3. Gazwaz80
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Cheers Neil…

  4. N00B
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best Kulusevski replacement?

    A) Bowen one week punt. Then in GW10, Bowen > Zaha
    B) Saka one week punt. Then in GW10, Saka > Zaha
    C) Sinisterra one week punt. Then in GW10, Sinisterra > Zaha
    D) Buy Zaha now (but he will play vs James)

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Zaha

      1. FPL Daniel
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Bowen for me as one week punt

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'd go straight for Zaha, saves you an FT down the line, isn't an impossibility he picks up points against Chelsea

    3. Il Capitano
      4 years, 1 month ago

      D

    4. Arteta
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Zaha and James could both get attacking returns in this match. I don't see either team keeping a clean sheet.

    5. Boberella
      4 years, 1 month ago

      May as well go straight to zaha. Bowen vs wolves prob same attacking potential as zaha vs Chelsea

  5. Taegugk Warrior
    4 years, 1 month ago

    who will get more points the for next 3 weeks
    A. Kdb
    B. Salah
    C. Maddison

    1. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      KDB plays in best team i bet he will be involed

    2. Boberella
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A C B is say

      1. Boberella
        4 years, 1 month ago

        *i’d say

  6. tim
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Im doing Jesus and Martinelli to Mitro and Zaha next week.

    Have 1FT to burn this week, any ideas?

    Pope Ward
    Patterson Saliba Neco Walker Tripper
    KDB Salah Andreas Gross Martinelli
    Toney Haaland Jesus

    1. Boberella
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gross to Aaronson punt

      1. Boberella
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Actually, get Patterson out due to injury. Not sure what you can afford though

    2. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      How much itb? Would look at Groß / Patterson replacements

    3. tim
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Zero in the bank, I like the Gross to Aaronson punt.

      I will move Patterson when I have some money from the Jesus and Martinelli moves.

      1. Boberella
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Or get Mitro for Jesus this week and upgrade Patterson for someone better. Then so the marti to zaha move next week

        1. tim
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Gut says Jesus will go wild!

          1. Boberella
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Mine doesn’t

  7. Klopp it
    4 years, 1 month ago

    6.4 for a midfielder who do u buy? Currently thankin Harrison

    1. cigan
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'd do that or Andreas/Bailey + cash if it allows a good upgrade elsewhere

    2. maglia rosa
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gordon maybe

  8. TheBiffas
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Wildcarded gw3 which has left my team in a bit of a mess. Anything worth a hit here?

    Raya

    TAA - Saliba - Trippier

    KDB - Gundo - Diaz - Martinelli

    Haaland - Mitro - Jesus

    (Ward - Neco - Andreas - Dunk)

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think you're going to have to eat some hits over the next few weeks to whip your team into shape with 2× Pool, 3x City, 3x Ars. I would be looking to move Gundogan on now, maybe sacrificing Trent if you need funds to upgrade

      1. TheBiffas
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I'm thinking of getting Zaha in for Gundo but it doesn't make sense to use a hit this week I don't think. I may keep triple arsenal, too many other fires to put out

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Fair enough. Maybe with your squad it might actually be better to just accept fielding 9-10 in GW12 cos you still have a strong setup for GW13 onwards but not really enough FTs to hokey cokey them all around

  9. WALOR
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    No matches to be canceled because of rail strikes?

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If there were they would have been postponed by now as the strikes have been known about for a while

      1. Boberella
        4 years, 1 month ago

        This

        1. WALOR
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers, good to know.
          c) Son it is, then.

  10. Il Capitano
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1FT 0.3m ITB

    Pope
    Cancelo James Trippier
    Foden Maddison Saka Martinelli
    Haaland Kane Mitro

    Ward - Andreas Neco Patterson*

    Roll and get Zaha in next week?

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yep looks good

  11. Erez Avni
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play one:

    A. Coufal (wolves) (H)
    B. Andreas (newcastle) (H)
    C. Bailey (Leeds) (A)

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. Boberella
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I have the same 3 and I’m playing Coufal, due to wolves only scoring 3 goals all season, so high CS potential

      1. Erez Avni
        4 years, 1 month ago

        cheers!
        exactly my thinking

    3. TheBiffas
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    4. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    5. cigan
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

    6. Football is home
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A, West Ham was unlucky to concede a goal on every match. Their defense is among the best although they still don't have a clean sheet.

      1. Erez Avni
        4 years, 1 month ago

        cheers

  12. C_G
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On FT, pick one.

    A) Jesus ---> Toney

    OR

    B)

    Martinelli ----> Maddison

    1. Boberella
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Gunners in Haaland
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A+B

    3. Sho-kun
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  13. Erez Avni
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Already bought maddison, would you take a hit here to move jesus to tony or am I good to go?

    pope
    james cancelo trippier coufal
    maddison kdb martineli
    haaland mitro jesus

    ward bailey andreas neco

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nope GTG

      1. Erez Avni
        4 years, 1 month ago

        cheers

    2. Boberella
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Prob wouldn’t take a hit with that team this week

      1. Erez Avni
        4 years, 1 month ago

        cheers

  14. Ajax Hamsterdam
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Jesus and gross to solanke and maddison for a cheeky -4? Cheers

    1. boc610
      4 years, 1 month ago

      no

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

  15. Ronnies
    4 years, 1 month ago

    When I Wildcarded in GW8, I left money ITB to do KDB to Salah in GW9. But, it now looks like Isak is injured and will miss a few weeks.

    A) Would you still do Salah to KDB and play Zouma who, is home to Wolves.

    Or

    B) Do Isak to Solanke and keep KDB.

    Cheers.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. TheBiffas
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Personally I would keep KDB, but Zouma has the best CS fixture this week imo, so I don't see any reason to change your plans on account of that. Not keen on Solanke

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Solanke has a very nice run of fixtures for his price even if he only returns a couple of assist he's well worth it imo saying that I want.him.as well so maybe trying.to convince myself haha

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I get it - cheap, nailed, fixtures, on pens. But I'm still struggling to imagine Bournemouth opening up & actually creating some chances. At least your expectations are realistic & tbf its tough to pick a mid at the same price who could get 2 returns in the next 4. But me, I like to dream a bit bigger. I demand hat-trick potential!

          1. The Mentaculus
            4 years, 1 month ago

            I also think Daka has the much higher ceiling for the same price, though he's obviously much riskier

  16. Kane Train
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best 4.3 defender?

    1. Sho-kun
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Guehi

    2. Arteta
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Justin, Guehi, Mings.

  17. Sho-kun
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Bailey (Leeds)
    B) Pereira (New)

    1. No Kane No Gain
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A. Just.

  18. Kragbaek
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any insights on Leicester keeper choice?

    Stuck between:
    A) Ward + Mings + 0 ITB
    B) Iversen + Coufal + 0 ITB

    1. Christina.
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why even go there?

      1. Kragbaek
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Different question

    2. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not really, sorry. Would prob stick with Ward if forced to choose one now especially if you have to / want to play him at some point

    3. Football is home
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Pick both of them. I know they suck but at least you can use funds elsewhere.

    4. JELLYFISH
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Having a playing 4m keeper in the game is a rare thing, even if he is pants. Ward + Guehi is what I'd do....

  19. Christina.
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So last week everyone WC'd Salah out. This week's Wildcarders are bringing him in.
    Good.

    1. mad_beer ✅
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Good in what way?

      1. JELLYFISH
        4 years, 1 month ago

        lol - bait taken

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I had to get rid of him because of the blanks. I kept Diaz though and have Kane as a route back to Mo if need be.

      If he is not the main cap choice then I think you can survive without him for now however, I would rather own him for Brighton. The Arsenal and City fixtures will be tough that is why I am happy to have only Diaz for now.

      From GW12, triple LFC 🙂

  20. Silecro
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Richarlison an option with Kulu out? Also if its hammy, it might sideline him for more than a week

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yep I guess he is. Who else could play there? Moura, Gil (meh), maybe Perisic. Think Rich should be pretty nailed

      1. Silecro
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Although I just realised he is FWD, which is not good for team structure

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I had no idea of his price, just had to check. 8.5m is also slightly off-putting

  21. Stimps
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How's she looking? 1FT and 0itb.... Start Andreas or Bailey?

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier James
    KDB Maddison Martinelli Bailey
    Kane Hauland (c) Mitro

    Ward Andreas Neco Emerson

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bailey

  22. Manumana
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play 1
    A. Fofana
    B. Zaha

    Cheers

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  23. JELLYFISH
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I wish Maddison would just hurry up and rise....he's been hovering on 100% on fplstatistics all week it seems.

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yup and Salah should drop.

      1. JELLYFISH
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Looked like he would last night....been like this all week!

        1. Bobby Digital
          4 years, 1 month ago

          He's actually rising now, so we won't see a drop this week.

  24. SKENG
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Choose one please:

    A) Solanke -4 points (can't afford Toney as Isak replacement)
    B) Andreas

    I am doing the Isak - Solanke transfer next GW anyway. Just trying to decide if I should take the hit this week instead, since I used WC and will likely be short on transfers until GW12 with lots of City and Arsenal players.

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  25. Malinwa
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Save FT and get Zaha next week?

    1FT - 0,7 itb

    Sanchez
    Trippier Cancelo James
    Gross Martinelli Bilva Diaz
    Kane Jesus Haaland

    Ward - Emerson - Neco - Archer

  26. FOO FIGHTER
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Justin or Andersen from GW12 throught to unlimited free transfers. Will have Guiata or Johnstone, whichever one starts GW12.

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sorry, Guaita

    2. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Andersen

  27. Bobby Digital
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Andersen

  28. FOO FIGHTER
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which triple LFC are you planning on having from GW12 for their tasty fixture run right through to GW38?

  29. Aaa
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A - Hit (Robbo -> James)
    B - WC
    C - Leave and get Andreas of bench likely

    Pope
    TAA/Robbo/Perisic/Trippier
    Foden/Maddison/Martinelli
    Haaland(c)/Kane/Toney
    (Ward/Andreas/Dasilva/Neco)

  30. Flynny
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What is better on Wildcard?

    A....pickford guehi

    B....guaita dalot

    Defender is on bench. Thanks

    1. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Guaita Tarkowski?

    2. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. Flynny
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Prefer dalot to tarks

        Keeper seems a lottery

        1. The Mentaculus
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Ok I'll go against my own keeper & say A then, now that Pickford is available