Spot the Differential
30 September 2022 535 comments
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Gameweek 9 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Leicester City and Bournemouth, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JARROD BOWEN

Bowen marks return with seventh FPL double-digit haul of 2021/22
  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £8.1m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: WOL | FUL | sou | liv | BOU

Jarrod Bowen (£8.1m) has endured a tough start to the season for West Ham United and is yet to score a Premier League goal.

However, he has netted two in Europe, and if he is to have any chance of being part of the England World Cup squad, will need his domestic form to pick up soon.

Fortunately, the Hammers’ fixtures are very good, with home games against Wolves, Fulham and Bournemouth coming up, plus an away trip to struggling Southampton.

As for Bowen, he has enjoyed more shots (15) than any of his teammates this term, but his accuracy has let him down, with just one of those efforts hitting the target.

It’s also worth noting that West Ham have massively underperformed their expected goals (xG), scoring just three from 7.57 xG, which has coincided with a tough run of fixtures against defensively sound opponents like Manchester City, Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea and Brighton and Hove Albion.

Lucas Paqueta (£6.0m), meanwhile, has been signed to add more creativity, and alongside Bowen, Said Benrahma (£5.7m), Pablo Fornals (£5.4m), Maxwel Cornet (£5.9m), Michail Antonio (£7.2m) and Gianluca Scamacca (£6.7m), there is potential for it all to click in the coming rounds.

Bowen has started poorly but will have a point to prove as West Ham’s league season resumes against Wolves, with his ownership down to just 3.8% in FPL. Some will see that as an opportunity, given that he racked up 12 goals and 17 assists in 2021/22.

HARVEY BARNES

FPL Gameweek 9: Is Harvey Barnes being overlooked?
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: NFO | bou | CRY | LEE | wol

Harvey Barnes (£6.9m) has struggled for form at Leicester City this season, blanking in four of his opening five league appearances.

However, he could do well given the Foxes’ forthcoming schedule, which includes back-to-back matches against newly-promoted Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth, followed by King Power clashes with Crystal Palace and Leeds United.

In fact, Leicester only play one traditional ‘big six’ side between now and Gameweek 16, at which point we break for the winter World Cup in Qatar.

As for Barnes, from Gameweek 3 onwards (the winger’s first start of the season), he has since produced 10 shots in the box, more than any other FPL midfielder bar Gabriel Martinelli (£6.6m). It’s also worth noting that he has been a reliable source of Fantasy returns in past seasons, with a combined 21 goals and 27 assists in his last three campaigns.

Leicester, meanwhile, are without a point since Gameweek 1 and bottom of the table. However, they have still scored a respectable 10 goals in their seven matches, despite a tough run which has included games against Arsenal, Spurs, Chelsea, Manchester United and Brighton. They have also racked up in excess of 1.45 xG in three of their last four outings.

Barnes, a product of City’s academy, is a real punt given his lack of returns this season, but the fixtures should give him the opportunity to add to his tally soon.

RYAN CHRISTIE

FPL Gameweek 9 differentials: Bowen set for favourable fixtures
  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.3m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: BRE | LEI | ful | SOU | whu

Ryan Christie (£5.3m) has been an ever-present under interim boss Gary O’Neil at Bournemouth, which has coincided with a three-match unbeaten streak.

In that time, the Cherries have recorded five points, ensuring they sit four points clear of the relegation zone ahead of Gameweek 9.

They may have had the fewest shots in the division so far, but under O’Neil, they are improving, with 23 goal attempts across his three outings, compared to 26 in five matches under Scott Parker. That’s because they have adopted a more attacking approach, whether playing a 4-2-3-1 or 3-4-2-1 formation.

In both set-ups, Christie’s performances have caught the eye, with his six shots and 14 take-ons from Gameweek 5 onwards both team-leading totals.

“I think he’s done well. I think he was a big part of the comeback at Nottingham Forest. I think he took up some lovely positions, always works his socks off. He has a lovely quality on his left foot. So, yeah, loads of qualities that we’re definitely going to need this season.” – Gary O’Neil on Ryan Christie

More recently, Christie has played a role in both of Scotland’s Nations League fixtures, scoring and assisting for his country against the Republic of Ireland.

Now, Bournemouth return to action on Saturday, when they host Brentford before playing a second home fixture in succession a week later against bottom-placed Leicester City. Thomas Frank’s side, whilst ninth in the table, have failed to win on the road this season and are without an away clean sheet in 19 matches.

Christie has played a key role in Bournemouth’s recent revival, and while most of the Fantasy chatter during the international break has been about Dominic Solanke (£5.7m), he is perhaps going under the radar as a budget differential.



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  1. Friday's Press Conference Times
    Skonto Rigga
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning, folks! An early start for the pressers today but most are on over lunch (UK time):

    8.30am - De Zerbi
    9am - Howe*
    12.30pm - Vieira
    1pm - Arteta, Gerrard*, Hasenhuttl, Lage
    1.15pm - ten Hag
    1.30pm - Potter, Silva, Marsch, Rodgers, Klopp, Guardiola, Cooper, Moyes

    *reportage usually delayed until an hour after this time

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      thanks

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      As Peter Kay once said .... "AVE IT!!!!"

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers Neale, we're back!

  2. Sjaugen
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Am I a "madlad" for wanting Bamford as my Isak replacement? Toney feels so uninspired

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If Bamford can play without injury until the World Cup then... who am I kidding? Get Toney.

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Absolutely.

    3. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Bamford does not inspire me.

    4. Studs Up
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If ur team is template and he's ur difference maker then yes...provided he starts.

  3. BS03
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    hey guys worth the hit for rodrigo -> zaha or save? (0FT, 2.4itb)

    raya
    cancelo - james - trippier
    maddison - martinelli - harrison - andreas
    haaland - mitro - kane

    sanchez - rodrigo* - perisic - neco

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      It can wait

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Seeing as you have Harrison already, i would do it.

  4. Ninja Škrtel
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    christ enough with the Bowen train already...

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      It must be one of those trains affected by strikes in the UK?

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      He's a great player but going with a guy who has 1 shot on target through 7 games is just insanity.

    3. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I don't get the love at all. WC last week and didn't have him and have no intention of getting him. Went Maddison Saka and Bernardo which went well and Zaha will come in next GW.

  5. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    0.1m short of this WC team, suggestions?

    Ward Iversen
    TAA Cancelo James Trippier -- Neco
    Salah Maddison Zaha Martenelli -- Andreas
    Erling Mitro --- Solanke

    A: Trippier >> Guehi and play Solanke every gw
    B: Cancelo >> Guehi and update Solanke >> Toney
    C: Cancelo >> Guehi and upgrade Solanke >> Bowen for a 352
    D: Solanke >> Greenwood and keep 1.3m itb. Would mean i ship out one of martenelli/cancelo in gw12 for the blank

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Keep 3 strikers is my preferred option.

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      E) Martinelli --> Harrison.

    3. Tcheco
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Would nerf TAA and play 343

      Keep Cancelo & upgrade solanke. Should also be able to have a good defender instead of TAA

    4. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      For the love of God don't go Ward Iversen GK combo.

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Why? Fixtures are spot on.

  6. Pringle
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What would you prioritize this week?

    A. Sanchez (Ward is second GK) --> Pope
    B. Diaz --> Maddison

    1. GS456
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd hold Diaz for Brighton.

      Do Pope

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Play Ward and B.

    3. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Wouldn't do either this week. Fulham will score and Diaz has a lush home fixture. I would prioritize getting Maddison in though, can he come in for someone else?

  7. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    (c) Salah or Haaland this week?

    1. GS456
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    2. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Haaland

  8. King H
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all. 2 FTs. Any advice would be appreciated.

    Ward
    Trippier - Trent - Cancelo
    Salah - Andreas - Martinelli - Foden
    Haaland - Jesus - Isak

    Iversen - Bailly - Emerson R - Neco

    1. GS456
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Isak > Mitro with 1

      1. King H
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        was thinking Isak to mitro then emerson royal to reece james.
        this means i would have to downgrade foden to zaha with a -4?

        dont mind taking a hit tbh.

  9. GS456
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Iverson or Ward on Wildcard? (Will be back up GK)

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Who is your main keeper? I would go Ward if you have the 0.1 so you have a starting keeper if you need it.

      1. GS456
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Gauita - A lot think ward will be dropped is all

        1. bench boost for every gamew…
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Rogers is not thinking that so all is relative.
          Ward is a significantly better goalie than Iversen.
          Rodgers knows that.

          1. GS456
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Thanks mate

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Ward.

    3. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      https://www.leicestermercury.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/ward-iversen-schmeichel-goalkeeper-transfer-7606458

      Suggestions in local paper that Iversen could be given a chance, but the quote about reassessing during IB is still quite ambiguous & doesn't necessarily refer to Ward

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Can also check predicted lineup here:
        https://twitter.com/SmuelMartinFPL

        (I hope it goes up today despite Monday fixture but I haven't really been checking it this year)

  10. Tcheco
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    This GW only:

    A. Zaha

    B. Barnes

    C. Sinisterra

    1. GS456
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Barnes

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    4. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    5. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm tempted by Sinistierra. Gives me funds for Martinelli to Zaha next week.

  11. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    My 7-month old daughter has woken up at 3AM every night this week, excited to see whether Maddison's price rose. It finally happened!

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Is she interested in Zaha rising or Salah dropping?

      1. Baines on Toast...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        She'd love a Salah drop if KDB goes up again because then I can make a straight swap.

  12. aircraft1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning

    Currently on this W/C

    Gualita
    Cancelo Tripper James (Neco) (£3.9m)
    Diaz Sinisterra Sterling Maddison (Zaha)
    Mitro Toney Haaland

    Any thoughts appreciated.

    TA

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      What do you think?

      Pretty template so pretty good, benching Zaha is just showing off. What will you do if Mo goes mad?

      1. aircraft1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah pretty template but i do like Sinisterra as a slight differential. If Mo goes mad i'll just collect the Diaz assist points ;-))

  13. Ninja Škrtel
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Any love for Sinistera?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      The love that dare not speak its name

    2. aircraft1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm putting him in on W/C

  14. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What are you expecting from Guaita in the next 4-6 gameweeks? Do you see clean sheet potential or more save points?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Couple of cleanies at home. Wolves for starters.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      2-3 CS in next 6? WOL, eve, SOU, maybe LEE.

    3. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Finger i jury in warm UP perhaps?

  15. FCSB
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hi everyone…

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier James
    KDB Martinelli Maddison Bailey
    Haaland Mitrovic Isak

    Iversen Andreas Perisic Neco

    1FT, 2.3itb

    1. Isak >> Toney
    2. Isak >> Solanke (provides funds to upgrade Bailey >> Zaha or other next week)

    Thanks

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Same post page 1 every article. I admire your consistency.

      1. FCSB
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Trying to catch everyone waking up with morning wood 😉

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          What's the consensus so far for your poll?

          1. FCSB
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Say 80% in favour of Toney

            1. Sheffield Wednesday
              • 5 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              There you go then

              1. FCSB
                • 9 Years
                3 years, 2 months ago

                What’s your advice sir

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If I am not for myself, who will be for me? If I am not for others, what am I? And if not now, when?

      2 has grown on me with second part, but still...

  16. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Would you start Zouma (h) to Wolves ahead of any of this lot?

    James Cancelo Trippier

    Salah Maddison Zaha Sinisterra

    Haaland Toney Mitrovic

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No. That cat torturer should be expunged from the game.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Nah. He probably has a better CS % than anyone but his ceiling is much more limited than your starters

    3. winchester
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Nah, G2G

  17. LosSurenos
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Currently on the following but tempted to make a few changes, but not sure if it's worth it. Any suggestions?

    Sa (Ward)
    Cancelo James TAA (Dalot N Williams)
    Salah Maddison Martinelli Rodri Andreas
    Haaland Jesus (Greenwood)

    Tempted by this but unsure;
    Luis Diaz, Bernardo, Kane > Salah, Rodri, Jesus

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Think the > sign is facing the wrong way.

  18. King H
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    zaha or barnes?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Two households, both alike in dignity.

      Wilf.

    2. winchester
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      zaha

  19. boc610
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Tzimikas could be a great differential

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Whatcha talkin bout Willis?

      1. boc610
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Hearing Robbo. not fit

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Hmmm. Thanks.

    2. Basic_
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Only for a week I suspect

      1. boc610
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Could be more, I can't see klopp takimg big risks with Robbo particularly with CL on horizon

  20. Fulchester's New Centr…
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Last differential I go in on Tom's advice was Havertz. Ended up getting Tommy T the sack. Just saying.

    1. JRD
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      what do you think?????

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I think Tom's rationale was sound, but it didn't work out. That is life.

        I stand by the "What do you think?" thing. Too little discourse on here.

    2. JRD
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      just sayin

    3. Moderately content penguin
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Only rational conclusion is he's that desperate for Gerrard to keep his job he won't tip Coutinho. Not that Brodge or Moyes are under pressure of course

  21. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Pick one please.

    a) Pope, Guehi, Gordon

    b) Guaita, Neco, Sinisterra

    1. Basic_
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A but not Gordon

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A, A, Thrice A

  22. Basic_
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start Emerson (WOL)?

    Or play Dier (ars) or Fofana (cry)?

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Emerson

      1. Basic_
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Ta

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Emerson.

      WOL can't hit a cow's arse with a banjo

  23. TheDane
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Gibbs-White .... is he still injured? He features on the 'bus team'.

  24. Tshelby
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hi guys,

    What to do here this week? 1FT - 0.9 ITB and still got my WC.

    Pope, Ward
    Walker, Saliba, James, Cancelo
    Salah, Kulu, Martinelli, Andreas, Lavia
    Toney, Haaland, Jesus

    Walker out? or save for this week?

    1. boc610
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Kulu is injured

    2. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Kulu to Maddison

  25. Gunners in Haaland
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Team gtg?

    Iversen
    Cancelo James Trippier
    Salah(c) Maddison Bowen Harrison
    Haaland Toney Mitro

    Henderson Andreas Neco Patterson

  26. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A Pope, Guehi & Gordon
    B Guaita, Malacia, Sinisterra

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A for me

  27. Ninja Škrtel
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    a. Foden, Diaz, Kane
    b. Zaha, Salah, Toney

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      b

    2. Fernandito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  28. How I met your Mata
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A or B

    A Trippier Neco Mitro
    B Coufal Dalot/Kilman Toney

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  29. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Gordon/Gross to Barnes for a -4 worth it? Other transfer is Isak to Toney.

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Just Isak to Toney

  30. EgyptianKing
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Who to play in each of these two?

    1. Pope or Ward?

    2. Neco, Perisic or Andreas?

    Cheers

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Pope
      Andreas

      1. EgyptianKing
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Where I am at atm. Cheers

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      P & P