Watchlist
17 October 2022 702 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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With the Gameweek 12 deadline of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) already upon us, we’re bringing you a mini-update of the Watchlist as we again run through who we think are the best medium-term targets.

We’re only looking at the next five Gameweeks in this piece, as FPL managers will all be handed unlimited transfers over the World Cup break and there is no need to plan beyond Gameweek 16 at present.

Fixtures, form and value are all considered in our below rankings, which look set to be more widely revamped in the lead-up to Gameweek 13 when Arsenal and Manchester City players return to action.

ABOUT THE WATCHLIST

FPL Gameweek 9: Saturday’s goals, assists, bonus and statistics 15

In our Watchlist, which is visible on the sidebar, the usual focus is on the next four to six Gameweeks.

Players are selected and ranked according to factors such as form, club injuries, forthcoming fixtures and whether or not the player in question is likely to be a bargain in FPL.

We typically toe the line with FPL’s definition of ‘form’ (average points accrued in matches played over the last 30 days) but allowances are sometimes made for players coming back from injury. In this update, we’ve taken average scores from Gameweek 9 onwards.

The key for the factors you’ll see in the below tables is as follows:

Arrows before the name indicate whether a player has climbed or fallen in our reckoning since the previous update or if they are a new entry into the tables.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL GOALKEEPERS

The top six goalkeepers in our Watchlist all banked clean sheets in Gameweek 11 and have some decent fixtures still to come, so there’s unsurprisingly little change above.

Alisson (£5.4m) rejoins the party lower down the list: he’s Rate My Team’s highest projected scorer in not just the upcoming Gameweek but also all the way through to the World Cup. There’s still a healthy amount of scepticism over whether Liverpool’s defence really has rediscovered its past form after Sunday’s clean sheet, while – as is the case Ederson (£5.5m) at Manchester City – there is a definite question to be asked over whether the Brazilian forms part of any FPL manager’s ideal Liverpool double-up/triple-up.

Fixtures couldn’t breed form for Bernd Leno (£4.5m), with the two goals conceded to xG-averse Bournemouth the final straw. Despite a trio of decent matches still to come, Leno drops out of our Watchlist with Fulham bottom of the table for expected goals conceded (xGC) in 2022/23.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL DEFENDERS

 

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  1. DARE TO BISCAN
    4 years, 15 days ago

    GW12 captain?

    a) Kane
    b) Toney
    c) Zaha
    d) Groß

    Currently on A. Tempted by B.

    1. La Roja
      4 years, 15 days ago

      A

    2. Keane There Dunne That
      4 years, 15 days ago

      A

    3. Capocannonieri
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Tottenham is on the road.

      Makes me think that Kane and Spurs have a difficult match at MU

      No good options for me though. So I am picking kane to do something rather than picking a wild card like Trossard or Trippier

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        4 years, 15 days ago

        Live a little 😉

  2. La Roja
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Who to captain here chaps?

    A) Mitro
    B) Kane
    C) Trossard

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Close between A & B. Probably A. Though, Villa could go full spoiler mode & play for 0-0. Still flakey AF though

  3. The Reptile
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Firmino or Solanke - Already have Salah & VVD (Mitro other striker + Haaland*)

  4. Keane There Dunne That
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Very confused… how is this WC looking?

    Kepa / Ward
    VVD / Saliba / Guehi / Trippier / Williams
    Salah / Martinelli / Trossard / Mount / Andreas
    Haaland / Mitrovic / Toney

    Money in the bank to do:
    Trossard + Mount -> Saka + Foden -4 after this week.
    Is this a good plan?

    1. Exeterslowly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Good plan to bring those players in. Saliba is nearing a 1 match ban so maybe look elsewhere. Otherwise decent team

  5. GW12 Fixture and clean sheet odds
    G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    4 years, 15 days ago

    GW12 fixture odds can be found here:
    Tuesday: https://prnt.sc/yC_v5EhdwpO8
    Wednesday: https://prnt.sc/-dSFox-cwu6T
    Thursday: https://prnt.sc/MVxOtORWqppA
    (Provided by Ladbrokes.com)

    GW11 clean sheets:
    TOT: 45% ✅
    WOL: 43% ✅
    ARS: 38% ✅
    CHE: 38% ✅
    FUL: 36% ❌
    BHA: 29% ❌
    LEI: 29% ✅
    MNU: 29% ✅
    WHU: 28% ❌
    MNC: 27% ❌
    BRE: 25% ✅
    SOU: 25% ❌
    CRY: 24% ✅
    AST: 19% ❌
    BOU: 19% ❌
    NEW: 19% ✅
    NFO: 19% ❌
    EVE: 15% ❌
    LEE: 14% ❌
    LIV: 14% ✅

    Weekly highest clean sheet % odds current success rate: 54%

    GW12 clean sheet odds:
    BHA: 50%
    NEW: 43%
    CHE: 42%
    LIV: 40%
    CRY: 39%
    SOU: 31%
    BOU: 30%
    AST: 29%
    LEI: 29%
    FUL: 28%
    WOL: 28%
    MNU: 27%
    TOT: 22%
    LEE: 21%
    EVE: 18%
    BRE: 17%
    NFO: 13%
    WHU: 11%
    ARS: -
    MNC: -
    (Provided by FantasyFootballPundit.com)

    Clean sheet totals:
    Manchester City: 5
    Arsenal: 4 (+1)
    Newcastle: 4 (+1)
    Tottenham: 4 (+1)
    Wolves: 4 (+1)
    Bournemouth: 3
    Brentford: 3 (+1)
    Brighton: 3
    Chelsea: 3 (+1)
    Liverpool:3 (+1)
    Man Utd: 3 (+1)
    Aston Villa:2
    Crystal Palace: 2 (+1)
    Everton: 2
    Leeds: 2
    Leicester: 2 (+1)
    West Ham: 2
    Fulham: 1
    Nottingham Forest: 1
    Southampton: 0
    (+1) denotes team kept a clean sheet this week.

    51 points, 8th green arrow in a row with Haaland(C) blanking 🙁

    Gonna take a hit to field 10, thanks to James Maddison lol still weighing up whether to make it a -8

    10 clean sheets in a GW? Wow!!! Can't remember if there's ever been a higher amount in a single GW tbh...

    So who will have your armband this week? I'm still deciding between Trippier, Trossard or Webster (if I go with a -8). Could go with Zaha, but no...

    What about you???

    G

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Cheers

    2. Fuddled FC
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Nice work

      Putting (c) on Salah, Trossard (vc)

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        4 years, 15 days ago

        You're not worried Liverpool have to face the mighty Hammers?

        Guess not 😆

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Cheers G. I thought I read this GW had one of the lowest goal counts in a full week of fixtures (15) as well, not a very fun weekend of watching!

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        4 years, 15 days ago

        What's all this goal count malarkey and where did you get it from?

        Wonder what it was last week when we had 10 clean sheets!!!

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          4 years, 15 days ago

          Ah I've had a look and it's wrong, tied fifth lowest amount of goals in a gameweek, apparently there was a week of only 10 goals back in 01/02!

          https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/premier-league/spieltag/wettbewerb/GB1/saison_id/2001/spieltag/14

          Four 0-0s, four 1-0s, a 1-1 and a 3-1 to prop it up!

          1. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            4 years, 15 days ago

            12 cleans!

            Surely that's the record for most in a GW!!!

            1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
              4 years, 15 days ago

              You'd imagine it'd have to be, that 3-1 that pulled up the goal tally happened to be Arsenal v ManUtd and was the last game of the GW, so only 6 goals in the first 9 games that week! Bonkers

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                4 years, 15 days ago

                Absolute madness lol

                Great find!

                Thanks for this 🙂

    4. Firminooooo
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Think its time to drop my triple Southampton defence. Can’t catch a break.

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        4 years, 15 days ago

        Nah keep, they're due 😉 😆

    5. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Thanks G. Looking at Trippier (C) too

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        4 years, 15 days ago

        Good man!!!

        Maybe I should stop overthinking this and now I've got Trossard stick the armband on him instead?

        Hmmm...

        Food for thought,,,

  6. Fuddled FC
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Bottomed

    Best defender for this week only under £5.6m?

    1. Stranger Mings
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Dunk or Webster

  7. rozzo
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Ive got 9 players this week

    Salah Maddison Martinelli Andreas DaSilva

    1 week punt on anyone for Maddison for a hit worth it even though i plan on selling him for Saka or Foden week after?

    0.2 itb

    1. pekson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 15 days ago

      I think so. Trossard perfect option - nfo now and then easy sell

  8. Athletic Nasherbo
    4 years, 15 days ago

    -12 taken.

    Saka and Foden in 13 + 14.

    Life is risky.

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      4 years, 15 days ago

      YOLO!

  9. Kantelele
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Transfer Son --> Salah for ft good idea ?

    1. CoracAld2831
      4 years, 15 days ago

      I think so.

    2. GK
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Yes

  10. CoracAld2831
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Please pick one:

    A: Maddison, De Bruyne, Zanka -> Trossard, Salah, TAA/Robbo
    B: Maddison, De Bruyne -> Trossard, Salah & play N. Williams

    1. CoracAld2831
      4 years, 15 days ago

      A is for -8
      B is for -4

    2. GK
      4 years, 15 days ago

      B

  11. GK
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Currently have 7 starters + Greenwood.
    Would this be a good move:
    KDB, Maddison & Greenwood > Salah, Billing & Toney? (-4)

    Would give me 10 players this GW.

    1. CoracAld2831
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Consider changing Billing & Toney to Zaha & Solanke.

      Trossard also an option.

  12. Arteta
    4 years, 15 days ago

    First time owning Salah this season - and just in time for his hat-trick. 😀

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Ditto

    2. Stranger Mings
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Yeh in 6 minutes too

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Dream on...

      1. Exeterslowly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 years, 15 days ago

        Can I ask you as a hammers fan, what are the prospects of Emerson ?

        1. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          4 years, 15 days ago

          Very decent player by all accounts but thought Moyes would ease him in gently as he has done in the past with his new signings.

          One thing that caught my eye was that he played Emerson with Cresswell in the team too in the last game v Southampton. I was always under the impression it was one or the other. Shows how much I know lol

          I want to see if he starts him again for GW12 with Cresswell. If so could be the Neco/Patterson replacement...

  13. NotsoSpursy
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Has anyone here come up with a decent strategy of a WC this gw? Or is there no hope for this idea?

    1. CoracAld2831
      4 years, 15 days ago

      I'd say use transfers on this GW to remove your Arsenal & Man City and WC them back on GW13.

  14. DARE TO BISCAN
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Maddison worth keeping for GW13? Not really anyone I want to take a hit for that plays GW12. How did Leicester look, last game?

    1. CoracAld2831
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Wolves away on GW13 and Man City at home on GW14.

      I'd say sell.

      1. DARE TO BISCAN
        4 years, 15 days ago

        I'll be selling in GW14, for Saka. The question was for GW13. Did Mads/Leicester look bad enough to take another hit for Saka GW13? GW13 plan is Neco, Groß > Cancelo, Foden (-4)

  15. Saka Punch
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Kane owners, are you considering getting rid for Salah? I don't wanna do it because of fomo, but Salah defo has the bigger points potential over next couple (yet Kane has been so consistent).

    1. CRO KLOPP
      4 years, 15 days ago

      nope,I will sell Haaland to Mitro/Solanke,and madds to Salah,keep Foden and then next week Kane to Haaland

      1. Saka Punch
        4 years, 15 days ago

        You'd lose .4 in that move is the only issue

        1. CRO KLOPP
          4 years, 15 days ago

          i would lose 0.2 more than on Foden/Cancelo and I wont have 12 mil on my bench,if Salah blanks is the issue haha

        2. CRO KLOPP
          4 years, 15 days ago

          I bought Haaland at 12.6,so I will lose 0.3,but I have to lose on one city player anyway

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Happy with Kane. Had threemium with KDB, upto this week. If Salah/LFC look back to their best, I'll figure it out. Aiming at Foden, Saka, Mart, Zaha in midfield ATM. Toney, Alf, Kane up front.

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      4 years, 15 days ago

      I've only just brought Kane in!

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        4 years, 15 days ago

        Same here, no intention of getting Salah for now and certainly wouldn't remove Kane for him. Let's see how Liverpool do against teams that sit in and have a midfield capable of doing a job on Liverpool's trio / pivot

        1. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          4 years, 15 days ago

          *nods*

  16. Pukkipartyy
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Sorry, but cant figure it out...:D

    Bought Maddisin 7.9 now 8.3 and sell value 8.1 do i lose 0.1 if he drops to 8.2.

    1. Atimis
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Y

    2. Saka Punch
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Yeah I think you'd lose 0.1 if he drops

    3. Black Knights
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Yes because 8.1m is exactly half the distance been 7.9 and 8.3.

    4. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Yes you do...

  17. AD105
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Best replacement for R James?

    Current defence is Cancelo, Tripps, Guehi and Neco

    1. OptimusBlack
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Dunk , Kilman , Dier

    2. NotsoSpursy
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Diet boring but safe

      1. The Wayfarer
        4 years, 15 days ago

        You ain't wrong.

    3. NotsoSpursy
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Ha, a typo that sort of still works 🙂

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        4 years, 15 days ago

        😆

  18. Arteta
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Who would you say is the best pick out of Gomez, Castagne and Guehi for the next 5 gameweeks?

    1. Bobby Digital
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Guehi

  19. NotsoSpursy
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Will TAA start this gw?

    1. Exeterslowly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 15 days ago

      I hope so as I have just transferred him in

    2. NotsoSpursy
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Great thanks

  20. SomeoneKnows
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Which combo would you rather have in a WC13?

    A) Kane + Bowen
    B) Salah + Mitrovich

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 15 days ago

      B

    2. House Frey Wedding Planner
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Kane and Bowen. Both have 3 home fixtures from their next 4.

    3. DARE TO BISCAN
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Would rather have Kane out of all of them. Like Bowen the least. So, probably B

  21. Alexis Nonsense
    4 years, 15 days ago

    a) Jesus --> Mitrovic (gives me Foden + Saka from gw13 onwards)

    b) Jesus --> Firmino (higher upside in gw12 but only Foden from gw13)

    Have Salah already

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 15 days ago

      A

      1. Alexis Nonsense
        4 years, 15 days ago

        ty

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      4 years, 15 days ago

      A

      1. Alexis Nonsense
        4 years, 15 days ago

        ty

  22. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Guehi or Castagne?

    Only needed for gw 12 and as a cover for Doherty, if dropped in any of gw 13-16.

    Thanks!

  23. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Which combo on WC?

    A) Toney and Andreas (343)
    B( Fodder fwd and +|- 8 mill mid (352)

    1. GE
      4 years, 15 days ago

      B

  24. Miguel Sanchez
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Doherty or Dunk?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Think Doherty will play with Emerson back?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        4 years, 15 days ago

        Emerson is rubbish but I don’t really know

  25. Im New Here
    4 years, 15 days ago

    RMFHT

    Pope
    Dunk Gomez Trippier
    Antony Salah(C) Mount Trossard
    Mitrovic Firmino Kane

    Castagne, Guehi, Almiron

    Of course team is just for GW12.

  26. Stranger Mings
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Firmino last 3 games played 48min, 73 & 72 mins sounds good for GW12

  27. GE
    4 years, 15 days ago

    1) FH players with CAPS LOCK (TAA, Trossard, Kane and Wilson instead of Neco and 3 blank non-playing players)
    2) Playing 8 players without hits

    Pope (Ward)
    TAA/Trippier/Castagne (Neco, 4.0)
    Salah/Bowen/Zaha/TROSSARD (4.5)
    KANE/WILSON/Mitro

  28. Bigler
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Gtg with -8 or WC?

    Pope
    Trippier Schär Perisic Neco
    Salah Zaha Trossard Andreas
    Mitrovic Firmino

    Ward Haaland Martinelli Cancelo

  29. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Got a sneaky suspicion that Forest are going to get their first win against Brighton

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      4 years, 15 days ago

      I know what you mean, 1-0 Forest

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      4 years, 15 days ago

      As a fellow Neco owner, I concur 😛

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      4 years, 15 days ago

      I watched the Wolves game, even against a really poor attacking side in Wolves they were awful. If either of Traore or Ait-Nouri had any sense or ability to play simple passes, they would have scored 3 or 4

    4. The Mentaculus
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Probably going to hope people forget this post

  30. ☈☾
    4 years, 15 days ago

    Almiron or Bruno G for this week?

    1. Stranger Mings
      4 years, 15 days ago

      B

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Bruno G

    3. DARE TO BISCAN
      4 years, 15 days ago

      Quite fancy Bruno G long-term