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10 November 2022 312 comments
Pras (FPL) Pras (FPL)
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Our team of Pro Pundits, Hall of Famers and guest writers will be providing regular articles and team reveals throughout the new season, with only Premium Members able to access every single one.

Here, Burning Questions co-host Pras talks through five one-week Fantasy flings using data and images from our Premium Members Area and reveals his own team plans for Gameweek 16.


Onto Gameweek 16, which has all the feels of the typical Gameweek 38. Teams “on the beach” are replaced by cautious players avoiding injury a week before the World Cup, while one-week flings and punts are back on the menu – with the exception that team value still matters, to an extent. 

One thing to note is that most of the ‘better’ teams have good fixtures. In fact from the traditional top six, it’s only Chelsea that have a difficult fixture against an in-form Newcastle United. Apart from that, Manchester City, Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur, Arsenal and Manchester United all have great fixtures. Therefore, it is not just important to see who you really want but to first see who you are selling. Wilfried Zaha (£7.5m) and Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) have already shown last week the perils of giving up too soon, so my first bit of advice is to really find the weakest spot(s) in your team and go for a punt in that position/budget.

There are lots of options given the tasty fixtures but I am going to present a few names I am personally contemplating.

Darwin Nunez (£8.9m)

  • Ownership: 8.1%
  • Fixture: Southampton (h)

With a lot of money floating around from the recent City/Liverpool downgrades, and many managers looking for exit options for Messrs Mitrovic, Toney and Alvarez, Darwin looks to be a popular move. It isn’t without merit.

As seen below, on a ‘per appearance’ basis, Darwin has more big chances and more big chances created than Salah, and overall he comes close to the Egyptian on an expected goal involvement (xGI) per 90 minutes basis.

In fact, Nunez has the best minutes-per-shot rate of any FPL player who has made at least one start. 

In terms of opponents, Liverpool play a Ralph Hasenhüttl-less Southampton who conceded four goals to Newcastle in Gameweek 15. Moreover, with injuries piling up, the Saints do not have a fit right back – and they even tried budget left-back Juan Larios (£4.0m) in that position over the weekend, only for him to limp off.

Andy Robertson (£6.7m)

  • Ownership: 4.0%
  • Fixture: Southampton (h)

It has been evident in the new Liverpool 4-4-2 formation that it is typically the left-back who is bombing forward more, with Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.2m) being more withdrawn and creating chances from long-range crosses rather than the Robertson-style forays up the touchline or runs into the box. This is evident in the touch and chances created maps below for the recent games where both Robertson and Alexander-Arnold have started together:

That’s all for now, folks. Good luck this Gameweek and enjoy the FPL break and the World Cup.

Oh, by the way, I forgot to mention: it’s coming home!



312 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Bavarian
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Predictions Liverpool vs Southampton
    Could it be a 9-0 game?

    1. mdm
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      More like 5-2

    2. Mirror Man
        3 years, 5 months ago

        2-1

      • Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Saints 2-1

        1. Letsgo!
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          I like it that everyonr think liverpool gonna thrash saints haha. Liverpool always do badly against these kind of team

      • g40steve
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Saints to win after watching Pool last night very uncomfortable watch

        1. Kellz86
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Not one regular starter in that cup side to be fair.

          Nunez, Bobby and Elliot only came on after 66min

      • WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        New manager bounce and Pool look awful, 9-0 to the Saints

      • banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Southampton win 1-0

      • Krafty Werks
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        3-1 Pool...Salah brace & Darwin, another late consolation for Southampton.

      • Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Saints playing to impress new manager .

        1-1 and JWP starts to become a viable FPL asset again

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Hey fam! Thoughts on this FH team?

      Ramsdale
      Cancelo Gabriel Estupinan
      Salah Foden Zaha Trossard Martinelli
      Haaland(C) Nunez

      XX Greenwood Bueno XX

      1. mdm
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Very nice!

      2. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        On a free hit, just get 6 attackers from City and Arsenal. Plus Kane 7th.

        1. Saviour22
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Howz is my FH team

          Ward
          Gabriel white akanji Guehi
          Salah kdb martinelli eze
          Haaland Kane

          1. banskt
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            All is good. This week has great fixtures all around, so most teams will score well.

            Except I think Liverpool will struggle.

          2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
            • 16 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Hijiking someone's post in this way. Have you no shame, lad

      3. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        You do realise by playing a free hit you are probably throwing your entire season away ? 😆

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          I suspect some of these are actually unused WC1

    4. it lies in the proles
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wilson to Darwin for -4?

      1. mdm
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Not for a hit

      2. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        No

    5. mdm
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Best 2 options only for this week:

      A. Wilson (CHE)
      B. Richa (LEE)
      C. Solanke (EVE)
      D. Martial (ful)
      E. Daka (whm)

      Thanks.

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        AD

    6. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Not sure why but i really think saints gonna win liv

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        So I shouldn't do KDB to Salah? 😛

        1. Letsgo!
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Lol u can stilll do. But i cant wait to see him blank haha

      2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I think the same too, although not too sure with the managerial change too. They're still poor defensively of course but cause enough problems for most of the bigger teams, can see them getting a lot of chances

      3. Krafty Werks
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I'll take the bet!! Nah, can't see it myself, 3-1 Pool.

    7. gomez123
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Overall rank 48k & have had Haaland since the start.Took him & Foden out last week for Alvarez & KDB….do I just transfer him back in this week to save rank or is KDB/Alvarez & Cancelo enough Man City this GW? (I might even captain Salah!)

      1. leop911
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Was it financially convenient to trade Haaland out for one week, especially considering you got him at the start?

      2. Kellz86
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Hard to see Alvarez start again after going the distance midweek against CHE

      3. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Haaland will probably not play 90 mins. Alvarez will probably get 30 mins. No cleansheet for City.

        Rest you decide.

      4. bench boost for every gamew…
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        IT depends. If you think Kdb and Alva outscores Haaland and a mid around with 4} nts and you genuinely captaining Salah anyway, then a minus 4 is a small price to pay to not risk getting ruined by a Haaland hatty.
        But i would probably also have the mindset that Haaland going to outscore Salah and cap him instead if i'd go through with that transfer.

    8. leop911
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wilson to Jesus,

      Yes or no?

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Wilson confirm out?

      2. Krafty Werks
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        If defo out then yes, if not then no.

    9. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      iF Rashford is on the plane & no Maddison, Southgate needs his head looking at?

      We need inform players, no crock’s or coming back from injury, just go with the in form & fit ones!

    10. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Now it seems Foden will play at the weekend, I have nowhere to punt!

      Any ideas? 1FT 0.1ITB

      Ward
      Cancelo TAA Trippier Saliba
      Salah Foden Zaha Rashford
      Haaland Firmino

      Raya Andreas Neco Archer

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Salah, Trent and Firmino are the weak links in my opinion. But you can fix only one using 1FT.

      2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Why does it seem like he will play. I know FPL players like to build their own narrative but Pep was annoyed with him for avoiding tackles in training wasn't he. What make you think all is forgiven? Especially last week before the WC

    11. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      No Maddy, no Toney in England final squad?

      1. JELLYFISH
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Maddi in according to talksport

    12. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      When will be the eng squad be announced?

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        2PM but already been a few leaks. Wilson, Maddison and Walker in, no Tomori, Guehi or Toney

        1. The Final Boss
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks..toney ahead of Wilson for me..

        2. WVA
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          That's the right choice if walker is fit

    13. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Saw scout cast this week as last week for Joe. What happened?

      1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I bet you were really happy when you realised Flapjack was replacing him . Did you try and delete YouTube

    14. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Guaita
      Tripper Dunk White
      Salah Saka Rashford Almiron
      Haaland Kane Solanke
      (Ward Justin Guéhi Andreas)
      1FT 3.5 itb
      A- Solanke > Darwin
      B- Justin > Cancelo
      C- Rash or Saka > Foden or Kulu
      D - other Thought ??

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Definitely not C
        A seems popular but I like Solanke
        Cancelo is pretty essential in my book

        1. OptimusBlack
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Thxx So Much

    15. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Maddy Wilson in the Eng team

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        That's good but Southgate won't use them, Maddi may get on once I suppose

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          He'll get 5-10 mins when England are losing a game and can't create anything and Southgate will put all the pressure on him to fix it in a few minutes

          1. WVA
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            And that's only after he's brough Maguire Dier Phillips and any other defender he can on oh and after Sterling/Rashford if he hasn't started then

        2. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Maddy should start over Mount all day long.

    16. WVA
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I'm pretty stuck here as can't afford Darwin.

      A. Kilman to Gabriel (may want him long term)
      B. Mitrovic to Jesus (may want Mitro back on WC)
      C. Wilson to Jesus

      Pope
      Cancelo Trippier Guehi
      Salah Foden Saka Martinelli
      Haaland Wilson Mitrovic
      Ward Andreas Neco Kilman

      1. Prinzhorn
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Exactly the same problem except instead of Kilman I'm considering Dier/Andersen to Gabriel (to keep)

        Same strikes issues. Tending towards losing Mitro

        1. WVA
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Yeah I really want an Arsenal defender

      2. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Depends on injury news. Find which one of Foden, Wilson and Mitrovic is not starting and swap to Kulusevski / Jesus.

        If all of them start, then Kilman to Perisic. Or, Salah to KDB.

        1. WVA
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks mate, won't go near Perisic again and can't do Salah to KDB (not that I would), sounds like Mitrovic definitely out

    17. abcdef3
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Which one would you bench?

      A) Doherty
      B) Dunk
      C) Bailey

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        A

      2. Hy liverpool
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Doc

      3. Krafty Werks
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Benching A

    18. AD2110
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Martial likely to start this weekend?

      Thinking Mitro —> Martial

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        He's probably more likely than Mitrovic to be out injured

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Reports around that Mitrovic has had a small break in his foot and will miss Serbia's game against Brazil

          1. WVA
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Wow, thanks for that mate

    19. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      1FT. 2m ITB.. best move here?

      Wilson to Nunez punt?

      Pope
      Saliba Trippier Cancelo
      Saka Martinelli Foden Trossard
      Kane Wilson Haaland

      Iversen Andreas Dunk Guehi

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yep same as everyone else, fancy Newcastle at home although will Wilson start

    20. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Thinking of a punt this week for a hit but not sure who. Firmino out makes most sense but unsure of who to get if so. Could go sidewards to Nunez but not sure it'll be an easy game, could go with Alvarez if a leak says he starts but I doubt I'm bothering with that malarkey on Saturday morning. Richarlison might be a worthwhile punt but Spurs' form is putting me off, maybe Martial if fit. Maddison and Kulu also tempting but would have to get rid of Martinelli for them which seems silly, although I could do Eze to Barnes perhaps.

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Agree nothing very appealing, I'd probably do the Firmino to Nunez move especially if you want a red card

      2. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I'm also sort of considering Richarlison if I have to replace Wilson. Or I might go really leftfield (and somewhat biased) for a punt on Gnonto

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          But I would probably give Darwin a shot in your position against RB-less Saints

          1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Cheers, I'll have a think on it. Had a mare the last 7 weeks so I'm just not really caring much for being sensible these days

            1. The Mentaculus
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 5 months ago

              Gnonto it is then!

      3. Krafty Werks
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        "Jesus hauls"...praise the lord!!

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Already tripled on Arsenal

    21. MIGHTY JOE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Best replacement for Mitro up to 8,5?

      I got Wilson. Cheers!

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        There's only Jesus

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Alvarez, Wilson, Mitrovic, Jesus, Martial, Watkins, Toney, Richarlison are all viable options below 8.5m.

          I like Alvarez, Martial and Richarlison.

          But why sell Mitrovic? He is as good as the rest.

      2. Bobby Digital
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I'm probably going Watkins only to have something to cheer for in the last game of the GW.

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Not the last game... My bad.

        2. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          You should go Martial or Ronaldo instead.

      3. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I am going Jesus most probably

    22. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Folks on twitter be like - " We understand that Kdb is in the Belgium squad for the wc" jeez that's a surprise now

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Omg how did they know that? We should follow them for team leaks

      2. Prinzhorn
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        How did they pick him above Bryan Heynen remains a mystery to me though

    23. EL tridente
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Best defender max 6m? (Not Trippier)

      1. Hy liverpool
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Perisic or Konate

      2. Nuka Girl
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Gabriel

      3. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Gabriel

      4. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        John Stones.

        At defense, I prefer home teams. But, better to use your transfer in mid / fwd.

    24. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Not sure I can handle another crash, so will likely do it before any leaks.
      Have to downgrade someone by 0,8 to afford Mitro to Nunes. Its for free since have 2ft.
      A) Foden to Trossard to not risk 4th benching! Trossard could do as good anyway
      B) Wilson to Solanke since there could be doubt again
      C) Pope to Iversen and play Ward

      1. The Final Boss
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Tempted to do c

    25. thepancakeman123
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Which is the better -4? I have Kane and KDB as my premiums.

      A) Saka + Alvarez > Eze + Haaland
      B) Mitrovic + Alvarez > Jesus + Darwin

    26. Prinzhorn
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      What would give me the highest margins:

      Dier/Andersen to ARS Def (Gabriel/White/Saliba)
      or
      Mitrovic to Jesus (start Wilson if fit, if not fit lose him instead)
      or
      Pope to Ramsdale (popular move today but I dont really like it)

    27. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Hey guys how do you like Ryan Sessegnon as one week punt? Seems like he has goals in him

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Decent, will he start though?

        1. La Roja
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Played 90 min yesterday

      2. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        See previous article (cup reports) - sounds like he struggled with an injury after 5 subs had been made. Expect Perisic will be at LWB this weekend

        1. FPL Daniel
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Ok, back to the drawing board then and no Darwin for me. Thanks lads

          1. Christina.
            • 16 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Martial

      3. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        At the end of the cup game, he looked like hamstring injury. But Conte had used all his substitution, so we wouldn't know if it was an actual injury or not.

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Oh, Mentaculus said it already.

    28. Bavarian
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      So confirmed Mitro out?

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        local media say he won't play against Brazil

      2. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Who said?

        1. FPL Daniel
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          no confirmed, we are still waiting. Check Ben Dinnery

    29. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Shaw the only natural LB 😯

    30. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wow, love to see this meltdown over Nunez!

      Ideal example of group think. He has one of the lowest shot-to-goal-conversion ratio. Plus, Liverpool is very inconsistent. Don't understand the risk when you can almost gurantee a minimum 6 point return from Mitrovic.

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Mitro is likely out, Wilson is doubt so that leaves only Darwin and Jesus. No other potential strikers out there

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Toney, Alvarez, Richarlison, Martial are potential strikers for this weekend.

          Mitrovic out is news to me. Thanks for the info.

          1. bench boost for every gamew…
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Apart from the price difference these are awful picks this week. Nunez is the sensible pick if you have money.
            His conversion rate is completely meaningless as an argument. Just watch the game.

      2. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        * guaranteed 0pts from Mitro

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Imagine if he scores a hattrick against United after all this drama.

          I agree, he could be out for the weekend. I should wait for more news. Can't believe it yet.

      3. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Looks likely Mitrovic out- reports suggest will miss first game of WC also.
        https://twitter.com/BenDinnery/status/1590656275012001793

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks mate. Don't believe the "two broken bones". But, he may be out indeed. Time we got updates from Craven Cottage.

    31. The Senate
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Not too sure why Coady is in the England squad ahead of Burn but no gripes otherwise for me