Watchlist
30 December 2022 314 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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The Scout Picks may be the jewel in the crown of this site but arguably more important is The Watchlist, given that few of us regularly indulge in one-week punts.

In this series, we look at the stand-out Fantasy Premier League (FPL) options over a four-to-six-week lookahead.

The Watchlist is visible on the sidebar of this page and has been updated ahead of the Gameweek 18 deadline, with the new standings and the major changes detailed below.

With this article strand focusing on medium-term thinking, unsurprisingly not a great deal has changed from the pre-Boxing Day refresh as we try wherever possible to avoid making any knee-jerk decisions.

ABOUT THE WATCHLIST

FPL friendlies round-up: Odegaard and Doherty looking sharp as White returns 1

Players are selected and ranked according to factors such as form, club injuries, forthcoming fixtures, Rate My Team’s points projections and whether or not the player in question is likely to be a bargain in FPL.

Arrows before the name indicate whether a player has climbed or fallen in our reckoning since the previous update or if they are a new entry into the tables.

We typically toe the line with FPL’s definition of ‘form’ (average points accrued in matches played over the last 30 days) but allowances are sometimes made for players missing because of/coming back from injury.

The key for the factors you’ll see in the below tables is as follows:

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL GOALKEEPERS

The only change to our goalkeeping pecking order sees Kepa Arrizabalaga (£4.5m) rise to number one spot and trade places with Danny Ward (£4.1m).

We’d held back on a top-of-the-podium spot for Kepa before Boxing Day, with his fitness status not quite 100% certain and there being a lingering question over whether Edouard Mendy (£4.8m) could get the nod instead.

Kepa duly lined up between the posts against Bournemouth, collecting a save point and two bonus points en route to a nine-point haul.

He’s now averaging more points per match (5.4) than any other first-choice goalkeeper this season.

Kepa has that perfect blend of playing for a team just about strong enough to get a handful of clean sheets but not watertight enough to prevent him from accumulating those all-important saves – an ideal mix for a £4.5m FPL goalkeeper.

Our Rate My Team tool has him as the best-value goalkeeper over the next four Gameweeks; the Double Gameweek helps no end.

One other thing to mention here is that we’ve dropped Gavin Bazunu (£4.5m) from seventh in our Watchlist and not (yet) replaced him. Southampton’s fixtures are very good over the next six Gameweeks and we’re not giving up hope of a few clean sheets arriving on the way, hence leaving Romain Perraud (£4.4m) in the below list.

But while Perraud, FPL’s leading shot-taker among defenders, has other strings to his bow, Bazunu might not even be between the sticks to enjoy the upcoming fixtures due to a real dip in form.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL DEFENDERS

We’re resisting the urge to tinker too much here after just one Gameweek, simply replacing one injured Chelsea player, Reece James (£5.8m), with an available team-mate in the form of Marc Cucurella (£5.2m).

Let’s be honest, there’s no real stand-out replacement from the Blues who can a) offer us the same attacking threat that James did or b) guarantee us week-in, week-out starts.

No defender has made more league starts under Graham Potter than Cucurella (seven), at least, with Ben Chilwell’s (£5.8m) current injury depriving the Spaniard of a positional rival in the short term.

Images from the training ground suggest that Chilwell is back on the grass but after over two months out, we might not see the England international in competitive action until well into January.

Cucurella is perhaps more of a three-week purchase for those in a luxury position to make such a move.

The Double Gameweek itself doesn’t scream clean sheets (v Man City and Fulham) but there are at least two bites at the cherry.

And the two fixtures around it, against Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace, involve meetings with the sides with the two lowest expected goals (xG) tallies in their last six matches.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL MIDFIELDERS

 

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314 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts?
    James > Robertson

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  2. Pascal's Triangle
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    NEWCASTLE | Eddie Howe on Callum Wilson:

    1. polis
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Good insight here

      1. Pascal's Triangle
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

    2. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Is that a direct quote?

  3. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Morning All,

    Who to bench?

    A- Andreas
    B- Martial
    C- Martienlli

    1. polis
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  4. Pascal's Triangle
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    NEWCASTLE | Eddie Howe on Callum Wilson:
    "Callum has improved. He trained with us yesterday so he's in a better place."

    Jonjo Shelvey and Emil Krafth are out, while Howe reported "a couple of other niggles within the squad".

    1. Etihader
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I am sure Callum will play.

      1. GoonerSteve
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Sounds positive. I've got Andreas first sub so will likely hold.

        Wondering if KDB to Salah makes sense, instead.

    2. polis
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Sounds like he'lll get some minutes. Will Wood get benched straight away? Not so sure.

      1. GoonerSteve
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Good point

      2. Etihader
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Wood is a 100% bench option. If it was Isak, you could argue whether he would be immediately benched. But this is no problem with Wood.

    3. Junks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      This does not help.

  5. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Wilson & Ward to Mitro & Kepa -4

    Yay or Nay?

    1. polis
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Who's your other keeper?

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Iversen unfortunately

        1. polis
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Iversen out instead?

          1. Junks
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Ideally yes but im .1 off

            1. polis
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Ah.

              Just don't love a hit for a playing keeper. Looks like Wilson will get some game time this week too.

              1. Junks
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Yeah just seen that re Wilson... think I'll stick and roll the transfer this week

  6. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg? 1.2 ITB and 0 FTs.
    Only really considering Iversen -> Kepa (-4)

    Ward
    Cancelo - Trippier - Cresswell
    KDB - Salah - Rashford - Andreas
    Haaland (C) - Havertz - Martial

    (Iversen, Bailey, Bueno, Patterson)

    1. Malkmus
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good

  7. Dags
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who do I get for James?
    Arri
    White | Shaw | Trip
    Marti | Salah | Kdb | Almiron
    Darwin | Haaland | Martial

    Ward | James | Summer | Bueno 0.1 ITB
    I do not want Botman, Cucu, Dunk, Cress. Want to get Dalot at some point too. Do not want city def.
    I am thinking about -
    A- Martinez [Double up Utd for next 2 and then get Botman or someone else]
    B- Perisic [For next 3 and then get Dunk or someone else]
    C- Ream/Diop [for next 2 and then get Botman or someone else]
    Any other ideas?

    1. polis
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Hold this week and reassess next

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Agree

      2. Dags
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Want to maximize points from defenders. Front 7 won't change besides Martial. Which defender gets the most points in the next 2?

        1. polis
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Fair enough. It's a lottery but would probably double Utd for next two then.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A of those. Spurs & Fulham defences are awful, wouldn't go there

  8. Malkmus
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Morning all. Which is best combo

    A - white and nketiah (would be my only arsenal)
    B - 4.5m def (burn / botman / ream etc) and martial (have rashford)

    Ta

    1. Sandy Ravage
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. Malkmus
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. What I was thinking

  9. HollywoodXI
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Play White or Shaw?

    1. Dags
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Shaw

  10. FantasyClub
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Is there a rotation risk for Robbo with Tsimikas?

    1. polis
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yep, but not a sizeable one.

      1. FantasyClub
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        He’s a better pick than Shaw or someone else at his price point or lower right?

        1. FantasyClub
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          At Robbos price point I mean

          1. polis
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            I'd have Robbo over Shaw if I could afford

            1. FantasyClub
              • 5 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              I think Matip is also a good option. Has an attacking threat

  11. jamesuk
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Been itching to swap KDB for Mo for a few weeks now. Is this the week I should pull the trigger?

    1. Fitzy.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Lol! You had unlimited transfers for 2 months, one of those weeks would have been the week...

      1. jamesuk
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I was going to pull the trigger on KDB until I saw his performance in the Carabao cup. So that's why I didn't swap him out then.

    2. Malkmus
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Get both