Captain Sensible
2 January 2023 410 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers approach the final hurdle of a testing festive schedule with the first Double Gameweek of the season offering a genuine opportunity to challenge the captaincy status quo. 

Candidates from Chelsea and Fulham provide a range of Double Gameweek options, while single-fixture heavyweights Erling Haaland (£12.2m) and Mohamed Salah (£12.9m) offer alternative options in the Double Gameweek 19 captaincy conundrum.

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Monday’s 16:00 GMT deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Aleksandar Mitrovic (£7.1m) is the leader of the captain poll in Gameweek 19, with just under 35% of total votes from our users at the time of writing.

The dominance of this weekly ballot by Erling Haaland has become customary but the Norwegian is forced to play second fiddle, backed by around 18% of those polled.

Mohamed Salah occupies third place with a mite over 10% of the vote, followed by Marcus Rashford (£6.9m) and Mason Mount (£7.6m) further back. 

DOUBLE GAMEWEEK CANDIDATES

ALEKSANDAR MITROVIC/ANDREAS PEREIRA

Aleksandar Mitrovic (£7.1m) was the most transferred-in player ahead of Gameweek 18 but the Serbian saw his stoppage-time spot-kick saved against Southampton, disappointing 800,000+ new owners. 

Mitrovic’s 34 shots, 31 shots inside the box, and 14 headed goal attempts are all division-leading totals over the last six matches – highlighting the Serbian’s credentials for captaincy this week. 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Aleksandar Mitrovic leads the division for shots (34), shots inside the box (31) and headed attempts (14) over the last matches

Furthermore, Mitrovic ranks second-best over that same period for expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI), with 5.00 and 5.40 respectively, bested by only Erling Haaland. 

An important caveat for Mitrovic is that he is walking the suspension tightrope, and should the Serbian be cautioned against Leicester City he would be suspended for Fulham’s second fixture of Gameweek 19, against Chelsea. 

Andreas Pereira (£4.6m) continues to dazzle as the cut-price gem took his attacking return tally to eight for the season following a Gameweek 18 Fantasy assist, after his edge-of-the-box strike cannoned in off James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m). 

The Brazilian has produced exemplary creative underlying numbers which keep in step with the division’s leading midfield providers, despite his knock-down price tag.

Pereira’s 18 chances created and 18 successful crosses place him in the top four midfielder’s over the last six matches, with the Manchester United loanee supplying three total assists over that same period. 

Furthermore, the Brazilian holds a monopoly on dead-ball duties for the Cottagers, placing in the division’s top four for corners taken (27) and successful free-kicks (four) over the last six. 

In the immediate fixture, Fulham travel to face Leicester City, with the Foxes in poor form after suffering back-to-back defeats since the Premier League restart, ramping up the pressure on manager Brendan Rodgers. 

Leicester City place in the bottom five for shots inside the box conceded (67) and non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 9.15), flagging their three clean sheets over the last six matches as fortunate over-performance. 

Fulham host Chelsea in the second fixture of Gameweek 19 with Potter’s side badly out of form, winning just one of their last seven league matches. 

The Blues have registered just one clean sheet in their last six matches despite underlying defensive numbers which, on the surface, appear respectable.

Chelsea place in the division’s top nine for shots on target against (27) and big chances conceded (nine) over the period.

However, the Blues rank second-worst for chances conceded in central areas (26), and rank seventh-worst for non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 8.3). 

KAI HAVERTZ/RAHEEM STERLING/MASON MOUNT



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

410 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Haaland is the only captain you need this season. Good luck if you are foolish enough to punt on someone else.

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      But it’s boring as hell.
      I’m going Mitro just to make the season a little more interesting.

      1. Narama
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Same

  2. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Lol.
    Mitro is the number one captain choice even though he will get a yellow card and 1 point in the first game and miss the second game of the double! 😯

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Imagine though if he scores a brace v Ward then has a home game v Chelsea to come...

  3. mdm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Not sure what to so with 2 FTs:

    A. Cancelo to Cucu
    B. Gabriel to Cucu
    C. Cancelo to Shaw
    D. Gabriel to Shaw
    E. burn FT

  4. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Current squad:

    Kepa
    Cancelo Tripp Shaw
    Salah Martinelli Trossard Andreas
    Haaland(vc) Martial Mitro(c)

    Ward Almiron Bueno Patts

    4.5m itb and 0 FT.
    Mitro captain is too tempting!
    GTG or any advice appreciated?

    GL all!

    Cheers

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      GTG

  5. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Gtg?
    0 FTs and 1.1 ITB

    Ward
    Cancelo - Trippier - Shaw
    KDB - Salah - Rashford - Andreas
    Haaland - Havertz - Martial

    (Iversen, Bailey, Patterson, Bueno)

  6. Lord of Ings
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Start one of :-
    A)Bueno
    B) Cancelo

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      B

  7. afs2239
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Darwin to Mitro for free?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Yes if that’s the only route

  8. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    What to do with Darwin?
    A) to Mitro
    B) to Havert
    C) Keep

    1. Malinwa
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Same issue here.
      A for me at this moment.

    2. DLLM
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      To mitro for free. No to havertz

    3. Neevesy
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      I'm keeping, mainly because it would be a hit. Nunez +4 still could get more points than Mitro IMO.

  9. Fred the Red
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Drop one:

    A) Rashford
    B) Odegaard
    C) KDB

    1. Malinwa
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      B for me

  10. Malinwa
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    A) Darwin + Castagne > Mitro + Cucu
    B) Darwin + Castagne > Mitro + Shaw
    C) Other?

  11. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Captain:

    A) Haaland (che)
    B) Mitrovic (lei, CHE)
    C) Sterling (MCI, ful)
    D) Rashford (BOU)

    1. Malinwa
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      A

    2. Neevesy
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      C, have some fun.

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      B

    4. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      If I had Sterling i would give him an armband

    5. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Has to be C purely as he's a huge differential

  12. Manani
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Kepa
    Cancelo Trippier White
    KDB Odegaard Martinelli Andreas
    Mitrovic Haaland Darwin
    (Ward Almiron Bueno James)

    anything worth a hit? (James>Cucu?)

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Save

    2. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      James to Shaw, bench white

  13. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Forward line of Haaland, Havertz, Martial

    Not owning Mitro will be scary!

    1. Neevesy
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      I'm not so sure, I don't think he's gonna go off. He might get 2 goals at most, but he might blank. If he blanks, green arrow for you.

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Yellow and penalty miss against Leicester would be godlike!

  14. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Done Martial to Mitro with FT. Anything for a hit?

    Darwin to Kane next week?

    Kepa
    Cancelo/Trippier/Cucu
    KDB/Rash/Martineli/Andreas
    Haaland/Darwin/Mitro

    Ward/Almiron/White/Bueno

    1. Conte's Son
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Nope looks solid

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Thanks!

  15. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    What's your second chance OR?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      137k

  16. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    looking at the fixtures it looks like a Leeds United defender may be the prudent choice.

    Is Pascal Struijk the best option?

    1. Conte's Son
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Leeds defence not worth investing in imo

  17. Conte's Son
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Has anyone have advise on my benching dilemma
    Wilson or almiron?

    Or wilson > mitro almiron bench?

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Wilson > Mitro

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Sounds right

  18. Old Bull
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Earlier reply fail

    BB yes or no? Not sure how to fit Andreas in or Is this DGW a trap?

    Ederson
    Shaw Tripps White
    KDB Rashford Almiron Martinelli
    Kane Haaland Mitro

    Ward Andreas Schar Bueno

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      No Play Andreas bnech Almiron

  19. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Who to C ?
    A- Mitro
    B- Haaland
    C- Rashford

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      A

  20. ClassiX
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    If FPL is true to form, then Mitro will blank, and Darwin (who I'm selling for Mitro) will get his brace and assist this week.

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      I suspect Martial also needs to score a hattrick to properly reinforce the FPL god’s power to mock us

      1. ClassiX
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Not sure that even the FPL gods could make that happen.

  21. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Darwin or Martial to Mitrovic?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Martial

    2. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Done Martial but tough one

    3. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Darwin

    4. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      I’ve made the choice of Martial out of those too. Underlying figures and minutes are better and although Martial recorded decent stats against Wolves, he didn’t look great. It’s a bummer for decision making he’s got Bournemouth and a possible double coming up though

  22. lukeoneill94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Do I sell
    a) Darwin > Mitro OR
    b) Take a minus 4 and sell James > Shaw and Martial > Mitro

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Hit looks not bad

  23. hochimin
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Bench Martinelli or Saka?

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Lol neither

    2. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Coin toss. Saka maybe

  24. NotsoSpursy
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Re bench boost strategy. I always struggle, leave too late, have injured players etc.

    For me this seems a good time no?

    Ward (ful home)
    Almiron (ars away)
    Patterson (BHA home)
    Bueno (villa home)

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      There’s potential there but I can see all of them having no returns. At least they should all play though and chance of points

    2. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Thank you

  25. lukeoneill94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Do I sell
    a) Darwin > Mitro OR
    b) Take a minus 4 and sell James > Shaw and Martial > Mitro

    1. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Depends on the rest of your team mate. James is a problem. I’d be inclined to get rid of him only and not take the hit

      1. lukeoneill94
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        My team is
        Pope
        Trippier, White, Cancelo
        Salah, Martinelli, Rashford, Andreas, Almiron
        Darwin, Haaland

        Martial, James (inj), Patterson

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      B

  26. dansmith1985
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Got 2 FTs but think my team is G2G. Any changes needed here?

    DDG
    Trippier White Shaw
    KDB Martinelli Andreas Rashford
    Darwin Haaland Kane

    Ward Almiron Botman Bueno

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      I would get Mitro

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Can you upgrade White to Gabriel / Saliba?

  27. Branch Warren
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Anyone taking a punt on Andreas captain?

    Or should I stick with smart option Mount

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      I'd rather captain Andreas than Mount, and I'm a Chelsea fan.

    2. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Mount due a resting. Wouldn’t do him

      1. Branch Warren
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Thanks mate

    3. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Ahead of Mitro? Or do you not have him?

      1. Branch Warren
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        The yellow card situation concerns me for captaincy

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 19 days ago

          Yes that’s fair enough. Yellow and another missed penalty and there’s going to be some very sad people here

  28. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    I’m benching Trippier for Patterson.

    Everton more likely to get a CS v Brighton

    1. Fitzy.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      No you're not

      1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Yes I am. Arsenal fan.

        Newcastle never ever get anything at the emirates

  29. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    G2G or play Foden?

    Kepa
    Shaw Trippier White
    Salah Rashford Martinelli Andreas
    Darwin Haaland Mitrovic

    Ederson Foden Patterson Bueno

  30. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Mitro captain is going to end in tears. I’ve got him in but would never captain him.

    Yellow card incoming.

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Of course - got signs of Emmanuel Dennis from last season. Got to play the odds though and he’s a class striker with chances in both games

      1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Not if he gets a yellow in the first game

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 19 days ago

          No but odds are he’s only been getting a yellow about every four matches. Take your point though