Spot the Differential
20 January 2023 569 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 21 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leeds United, Brighton and Hove Albion and Southampton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

WILFRIED GNONTO

FPL Gameweek 21 differentials: Gnonto, March + Ward-Prowse 1
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: BRE | nfo + mun* | MUN | eve | SOU

*Double Gameweek 22 will only go ahead if neither Leeds or Man Utd require FA Cup fourth-round replays

Wilfried Gnonto (£5.0m) is Leeds United’s most in-form player.

The 19-year-old was on fire against Cardiff in the FA Cup on Wednesday, scoring an impressive brace, having netted his first goal for the Yorkshire club in Gameweek 19. He was also electric in the recent 2-1 defeat at Aston Villa, with only a faint touch denying him an assist.

Capable of playing as a winger, second striker or centre-forward, Gnonto has registered nine shots and created four chances in four league matches since the Premier League restarted. Those stats are made even more impressive when we consider that two of those were against Man City and Newcastle. He is also an excellent dribbler and draws lots of fouls, frequently winning free-kicks for his team in the final third.

With Gnonto impressing, Rodrigo (£6.4m) scoring regularly, Patrick Bamford (£7.2m) back fit and Georginio Rutter (£5.5m) joining for a club-record fee, there is plenty of firepower in Leeds’ ranks.

There are some decent fixtures on the horizon too, which includes a potential Double Gameweek 22 against Nottingham Forest and Man Utd.

Gnonto is already one of Leeds’ most important players and at just £5.0m, could be an excellent third forward in FPL.

SOLLY MARCH

  • FPL ownership: 4.0%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: lei | BOU | cry | FUL | new

Free-scoring Solly March (£5.1m) is still only owned by 4.0% of FPL managers, despite racking up more points (44) than any other player in any position since the season resumed.

Three double-digit returns have arrived in that time, courtesy of four goals, two assists and nine bonus points.

Under Graham Potter, March spent most of his time playing wing-back but was regularly shifted around. However, Roberto De Zerbi has chosen to push him further forward on the right of his 4-2-3-1 formation, a position he is thriving in. The Italian’s man-management also seems to be getting the best out of March, which he recently discussed:

“I love playing for Roberto – he’s great. He puts his arm around you and tells you you’re a good player. Maybe that’s what I needed.” – Solly March

From Gameweek 17 onwards, March has taken 10 shots and created nine chances. As a result, no Brighton player can trump his 2.32 xGI tally, including Kaoru Mitoma (£5.0m) and Evan Ferguson (£4.5m).

Brighton head into Gameweek 21 on a high after beating Liverpool 3-0 last weekend. Next up for the Seagulls is a trip to Leicester – who have lost all four games since the restart – with appealing fixtures against Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Fulham to follow. It’s worth noting that Gameweek 25 could potentially be a blank, although that is dependent on the results of the EFL Cup semi-finals, which you can read more about here.

As for March, he is one of the cheapest midfielders in FPL but can easily be a week-in, week-out starter, allowing you to push more funds into other areas of your team.

JAMES WARD-PROWSE

Budget FPL defender Mitchell can capitalise on Palace long-term fixture appeal 1
  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.2m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: AVL | bre | WOL | che | lee

With four goals in as many matches since the Premier League restarted, interest in James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m) is picking up.

The 28-year-old started the season slowly, with just two attacking returns inside the first 15 Gameweeks. However, he has since played a part in all five of their goals under new manager Nathan Jones, which has coincided with him being deployed further forward, specifically as a number 10 of late.

“We played him a little bit higher so he can be more aggressive as his distances are through the roof week in, week out, so we know we can get a lot out of him. Everything he does is excellent.” – Nathan Jones on James Ward-Prowse

From Gameweek 17 onwards, he is averaging 7.3 points per match, having registered 10 shots and three big chances, whilst also creating nine chances for his teammates. Such is his importance, Ward-Prowse has played every minute of league football for Southampton this season. He is also on set pieces, including penalties.

Now, the Saints meet Aston Villa in Gameweek 21. The Villans are improving under Unai Emery but have allowed 14 big chances in the last four Gameweeks, more than any other top-flight side bar Leeds.

Ward-Prowse has delivered a string of impressive displays under his new manager and is an intriguing mid-price differential.



569 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Start Doherty or Shaw?

    1. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Shaw

    2. jackx13
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Doherty

    3. Oooo Matron
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Shaw 100% - Spurs are a mess & Fulham will score

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        And Arsenal won’t? Doherty for me.

    4. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Shaw

    5. Make FPL Casual Again
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Doherty more chance of a goal, both will concede

  2. Oooo Matron
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Any obvious moves? 1 ft & 2.9 itb.

    Kepa
    Trippier Cancelo Shaw
    Rashford Martinelli Saka KDB
    Haaland Toney Mitrovic

    Subs: Ward, White, Castagne, Pereira

    1. Zidane's Floor
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Cancelo, but you should probably save for 2FTs and confirmed doubles/blanks next week

  3. Zidane's Floor
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Willy Gnonto is absolutely massiiiiive

    1. Scalper
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      😉

  4. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    I have started Ward 5 times this season and he has got clean sheets in 4 of those games and averaged 7ppg. Starting him again tomorrow.

    1. Oooo Matron
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      I wouldn't bank on it!

    2. Zidane's Floor
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Thanks for this alpha

    3. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      I am too. Hope you win, I've played him far too often this season and dodged nearly all his points.

  5. Zidane's Floor
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Heads up to the mods, Hwang Hee-Chan is in the predicted team twice

  6. Eightball
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Bench one out of these four:

    A) Martinelli
    B) Almiron
    C) Mitrovic
    D) Darwin

    1. Oooo Matron
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Tough - toss a coin. I'd go for Martinelli

      1. Eightball
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        Ye, Can't make up my mind. Wish we had more info about if Darwin starts vs makes a cameo. I want to start them all haha

    2. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Almiron

    3. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      D

    4. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      That's easy. Bench Darwin.

  7. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    B

  8. Zidane's Floor
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Are we expected to get early LFC team news?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Likely yes

  9. MBK 42
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    What would you do with Havertz?
    A) Keep
    B) Toney
    C) someone else

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      C) Gnonto

    2. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Almiron

      1. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        RF

        Anyone I’d better than Kai

  10. rozzo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Who to bench here?

    KDB Martinelli Odegaard Rashford Almiron
    Haaland Kane Mitrovic

    Leaning towards Rashford, away to Arsenal surely the most difficult match?

    Cheers

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Mitro or Almiron

    2. Zidane's Floor
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      I'm benching Mitro with a v similar forward line fwiw

      1. Eightball
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        I'm currently dealing with a similar benching headache. Currently have Martineli on the bench but I don't like it.

    3. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Don't bench Mitrovic against that Spurs defence. He is Fulham's most potent attacking threat and will score for sure.

    4. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Almiron v

    5. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      I would bench Martinelli because of form and fixture. Rashford has a good record against Arsenal, is in great form, and loves to score in big games.

  11. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Any obvious move or save? 1FT, 2.6 ITB
    Cheers!

    Ward
    Shaw,Trippier,White
    Kdb,Rashford,Martinelli,Almiron
    Toney,Haaland,Kane
    Sub:DDG,Andreas,Perraud,Bueno

    1. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Save

  12. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Two defenders up to 11.4M combo for this team, but:
    - No City, ManU, Arsenal, Leeds players
    - preferably playing GW25

    Ederson
    XXX Trippier XXX
    Bruno Mahrez Odegaard Rodrigo
    Haaland Kane Gnonto

    (Meslier Rashford White Shaw)

    A) Robertson + Botman
    B) Robertson + Bueno
    C) Trent + Bueno
    D) Other

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      D) Roberson + AlexMoreno is an option

  13. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Toney or KDB Captain ?

    Almiron > Ode ready for the double

    Ederson
    Trippier, Botman, White
    KDB, Rashford, Martinelli, Almiron,
    Hauland, Kane, Toney

    Ward, Shaw, Andreas, Bueno

    2m

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Toney

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        Ta

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Toney x2

  14. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Kepa
    Trippier, White, xxxx, (Shaw, Bueno)

    So, do I buy Esputian or Schar?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Both teams likely to blank in GW25
      Newcastle more solid at the back
      Think Schär is due a haul, so him

  15. Barphilona
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Thoughts on this? Anyone worth captaining here besides Haaland/Kane?

    Ward
    Shaw, Trippier, Botman
    KDB, Salah, Odegaard, Rashy, Mitoma
    Haaland, Kane

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      I'm also having to play Ward and Shaw and not too happy about it but hopefully it won't be too painful. Trippier probably a captain option at this point.

      1. Barphilona
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        Ward is just my sacrifice player, I’ll take his 2 points and occasional CS and move on with the rest of the players I’ve managed to get haha

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Maybe! here are my candidates:
      Trippier, Mitoma
      maybe KDB

      1. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        Trippier is actually a good shout but I can never get myself to captain a defender.

      2. Barphilona
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        Very tempted by Mitoma myself tbf

  16. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Can’t help but feel the Scouts should have Gnonto him a bit earlier.

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Needs work.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        Fifth use and counting!

  17. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Kepa (ward)
    Triper botman walker saliba (shaw)
    Rash almiron mahrez (zaha martineli)
    Haland toney kane

    Which ? (Targeting odegard mitoma bruno rodrigo for 2 mids. Spots)

    A) roll ft, re-asses in next gw
    B) zaha to Mitoma, gw22 almiron to bruno/rodrigo, gw23 odegard in (dont know for whom)
    C) zaha to odegard, gw22 almiron to rodrigo (will miss out mitoma & bruno)

    1. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      A with that team

  18. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    GTG, saving FT I think? Play Shaw or Saliba?

    Ederson
    Trippier Botman Saliba
    Almiron Rashford Martinelli KDB
    Kane Mitrovic Haaland

    Ward Andreas Shaw Bueno

    3m

  19. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Ronaldo leaving has pretty much unleashed Bruno Fernandes. 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 4 games. He is going to kick on from here. A must-have going forward IMO.

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Starting next week

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Yup glad I'm not doubled down on Mun defence so can bring him in for his double

    3. Demba Demba
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      I have him and captained him last gw for his haul but, I feel he’s playing pretty poorly in general, personally looking to ship him when I can

  20. DARE TO BISCAN
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Roll, right?

    Kepa
    Trippier, Gabriel, Schär
    Martinelli, Almiron, KDB, Mahrez
    Mitro, Haaland, Kane
    (Ward, Rashford, Shaw, Bueno) 0 ITB, 1 FT

    a) roll FT
    b) Almiron > March/Mitoma

    1. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Roll

  21. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Play DDG or Ward? Have Shaw tho

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      De Gea. Leicester defence is horrific.

  22. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Is Martinelli to Odegaard worth a hit or too sideways?

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Probably worth it in the long term but I definitely wouldn't do it this week.

      1. Wolfman180
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        What if you were about to be priced out if Odegaard rises tonight? Would you be tempted to just get the move done?

        1. Traction Engine Foot
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 15 days ago

          Still don't think it's worth it. Do you have no other ways of getting him?

          1. Wolfman180
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 15 days ago

            Potentially. I own KDB and Salah who are on borrowed time but I planned to use that to go to Saka.

    2. Sloane426
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Never

    3. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Not worth the hit because you would kick yourself if he scored

    4. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Def not worth a hit

    5. King Kun Ta
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      And for free? Or Mitro -> Toney? Me asking…..

  23. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Save here? 1ft and 0.9 itb.

    Ward
    Shaw Trippier Botman
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Kulu
    Haaland Kane Mitro

    Iversen Andreas Bueno Patterson

  24. Digital-Real
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    thoughts please.
    which one would you bench out of this lot?
    a) martinelli
    b) rashford
    c) KDB
    d) Bruno
    e) Mitro
    f) Kulu

    1. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      F might be injured?

  25. Sloane426
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    (A) James > Def
    (B) Save FT and start White/Shaw/Trippier

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Think I'd probably get another Newcastle defender. Depends what you can do with 2ft next week.

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      I’d really try and save this week. Too much unknown.

  26. yesok685
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Ready for 21??
    GK Leno, benched Ward
    DEF- Tripper, Gabriel, Burn, Benched Mings, Wan Bissaka
    MID- Saka, Rashford, Mahrez, Ødegaard, Prowsey on the bench
    up top- toney, haaland (c), kane

  27. estheblessed
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    G2G?

    Pope
    Trippier, Akanj, White
    Martinelli, KDB, Rashford, Almiron
    Kane, Haaland(c), Toney

    Ward, Shaw, Andreas, Beuno

  28. Sacked in the Morning
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Seems 50/50 on here - start Kepa or Ward?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      K

    2. Joelinton Travel Tavern
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      I'm starting kepa

  29. Tartan Brazilians
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    A - DDG or B - Ward?

    1 - Cancelo or 2 - Doherty?

    Currently on A1

    1. Paddy Gooner
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      A and 1 for me

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      A1

  30. Paddy Gooner
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 15 days ago

    Mitro >

    A Mbuemo
    B adams
    C Johnson
    D Gnonto

    or E save the FT (have Kane and Haaland but would still play Mitro)

    ?????

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Save, spuds are shite.

      1. Paddy Gooner
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        well I definitely agree with that point !

      2. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 15 days ago

        What this guy said. Mitrovic sellers are going to regret selling him this week.

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 15 days ago

      Keep Mitroooo