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21 January 2023 659 comments
Greyhead Greyhead
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Fantasy Football Scout community writer Greyhead analyses the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) transfers and strategies of some noted Fantasy managers, from serial top 10k finishers to well-known faces.

The Great and The Good this season are the BlackBox pair of Mark Sutherns and Az, Scouts Joe LepperTom FreemanNeale Rigg, Geoff Dance, Pro Pundits PrasZophar and FPL Harry,  FPL “celebrities” Magnus CarlsenFPL GeneralLTFPL AndyBen Crellin, from the Hall of Fame, Fabio BorgesFPL MatthewFinn Sollie and Tom Stephenson and of course last year’s mini-league winner and overall no.2 Suvansh.


“I fought the law and the law won”

The FPL authorities were busy this week defending the laws and regulations of the game, with the rule book adding to the dismay of many. We had Marcus Rashford (£7.1m) offside/onside/not interfering with play, fury over a non-assist from goalkeeper Ederson (£5.4m) and the double-kick penalty miss of Aleksandar Mitrovic (£7.2m), which was a new low for his owners.

There was much excitement in the run-up to Double Gameweek 20, with the AGM of FPL content providers deciding this was the time to Triple Captain Erling Haaland (£12.2m). Rashford hype was at an all-time high, although we should’ve been talking about Bruno.

Also, amidst all the chaos, our Chess Grandmaster Magnus Carlsen made the ultimate sacrifice by playing his Wildcard.

OVERALL PERFORMANCE

Fabio Borges had fellow countryman Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m) to thank for giving him this week’s highest score of 91. In fairness, he’s had the Manchester United maestro since the restart, way before the other cool kids clamoured for his services.

He was one of many to use his Triple Captain chip, with seven of ‘The Great and The Good’ pressing the button on Haaland. The jury is out as to whether it was well-played. Fabio also had a degree of good fortune with Ben White (£4.7m) auto-subbing in for an absent Marc Cucurella (£5.2m).

Tom Stephenson wasn’t too far behind on 85. His eight-point hit was well-judged and brought a rise of around 140,000, although the biggest green arrow belonged to Az with a Dejan Kulusevski-fuelled (£7.9m) 300,000 boost up the rankings.

Despite all this, Ben Crellin remains at number one, sitting just outside of the top 2k overall. Let’s hope all these double and blank calculations don’t distract him.

WILDCARD FOR MAGNUS

He’s only gone and played his Wildcard, a couple of weeks after seemingly forgetting about FPL when he made no changes during the period of unlimited free transfers. He’s come back with a bang, overhauling the squad just a week after his ill-fated Mitrovic triple captaincy.

Magnus has gambled big time, trying to maximise this week’s double by having triple Manchester City and Tottenham coverage. He opted for the cheap Rico Lewis (£3.9m), the enigmatic Riyad Mahrez (£7.9m) alongside the inevitable Haaland, with the amazing Algerian putting the biggest smile on his face.

As for Spurs, he went for both Son Heung-min (£11.6m) and Harry Kane (£11.7m), even captaining the latter, with Matt Doherty (£4.6m) making up the Cockney threesome – another phrase not to Google unless you’re on your own.

He has not left himself much room to manoeuvre over the upcoming schedule but perhaps most shocking is that he dropped his old favourite Mohamed Salah (£12.8m)

As always, I’m sure it will end up well for him, despite my doubts, as he appears to be playing on a completely different FPL chessboard from the rest of us.

These were Carlsen’s full Wildcard moves:

IN: De Gea, Lewis, Doherty, Shaw, Bueno, Rashford, Mahrez, Son, Kane, Toney

OUT: Pope, Cancelo, van Dijk, Cresswell, Williams, Salah, Mount, Willock, Martial, Mitrovic

TRANSFERS

Hits, hits and more hits! There were minus fours and even minus eights being thrown around willy, and indeed nilly, with only the unflappable Fabio and Zophar steadfastly refusing to go mad in the transfer market.

Kane was the most popular target, with Darwin Nunez’s (£8.8m) injury proving as good a reason as any for a fire sale on Liverpool’s miss master.

Perhaps the best move was opting for Bruno, which LTFPL Andy, Ben Crellin and Tom Stephenson were all rewarded for.

Az’s eight-point hit involving Martin Odegaard (£6.8m) was pretty decent and I am sure he will be smiling on his Mexican sun lounger. Follow him on Instagram for the full gory details.

  • Az – Kane, Botman, Odegaard (Darwin, Trossard, Cancelo)
  • LTFPL Andy – Fernandes, Ake, Shaw, Ederson (Mount, Cancelo, James, Arrizabalaga)
  • Ben Crellin – Kane, Fernandes, Ake (Darwin, Salah, Chalobah)
  • Fabio Borges – De Bruyne, Shaw (Salah, James)
  • Finn Sollie – Kane, De Bruyne, Doherty (Darwin, Salah, Cancelo)
  • FPL Harry – Mahrez, Kane, Stones (Cancelo, Mitrovic, Mount)
  • Joe Lepper – Kane, Doherty (Darwin, Cancelo)
  • Geoff Dance – Kane, Doherty (Darwin, Cancelo)
  • FPL General – Kane, De Bruyne, Botman (Mitrovic, Salah, Cancelo)
  • Magnus Carlsen – Wildcard
  • Mark Sutherns – Ake, Rashford (White, Trossard)
  • FPL Matthew – Kane, Doherty, Shaw (Darwin, Cancelo, Shaw)
  • Neale Rigg – Kane, Almiron (Darwin, Kulusevski)
  • Pras – De Bruyne, Kane, Mings (Salah, Darwin, Cancelo)
  • Suvansh – Perisic, Shaw (Cucurella, Patterson)
  • Tom Freeman – Martial, De Bruyne, Shaw (Darwin, Foden, Cancelo)
  • Tom Stephenson – Fernandes, Ake, De Bruyne (Mount, Cancelo, Salah)
  • Zophar – Kane (Darwin)

TEMPLATE

The template fell victim to the first Double Gameweek wave, with Kane and Doherty replacing Joao Cancelo (£7.2m) and Darwin. Meanwhile, Rashford has moved into essential status alongside Haaland but it’s time to feel sorry for Kieran Trippier (£6.0m), who just can’t convince Fabio to buy him.

The template for ‘The Great and The Good’ is as follows, with the number in brackets showing how many teams in which they appear:

Kepa (13), Ward (12)

Trippier (17), Shaw (17), White (10), Patterson, Doherty (6)

Rashford (18), Martinelli (13), De Bruyne (13), Andreas (11), Saka (7)

Haaland (18), Mitrovic (14), Kane (13)

WILDCARD TIMING

Magnus caught many of us off guard with his decision to overhaul his squad. This may have been forced by neglecting it during the World Cup break, or maybe it’s some master plan that a mere mortal like myself couldn’t comprehend.

Whatever the reason, it prompted me to look at whether the timing of your Wildcard can impact your season. So I observed the data from this season’s first Wildcard.

The Great and The Good: FPL transfers, rank, template + more 7

It proves that, just like in comedy, timing is everything in FPL. You can see that the early movers had some success but it was those Gameweek 8 Wildcarders that blossomed the most, with an average rise of 69 per cent.

What’s fascinating is that the results decline by using it just one week later and the less said about Neale’s late movements, the better.

Either way, it is worthwhile to spend time formulating your chip strategy for the second half of the season.

CONCLUSION

My advice this week is to roll.

No, seriously that’s it. Just roll the free transfer.

I am expecting a very small update when it comes to ‘The Great and The Good’ transfer moves, as the collective wisdom is to wait until we have a clearer picture of Blank Gameweeks 25, 28 and 32, plus a potential announcement of more doubles in the meantime.

So, for now, sit back, relax and wait until FPL God decides which way to throw the dice.

Anyway, that’s all from me and remember: don’t have FPL nightmares.

For those affected by any of the topics raised in the above article, you can find me on Twitter.



659 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Bench order and choice correct?

    Ward
    Trippier Schar Gabriel
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland Mitro Kane

    Iversen Andreas Mee Patterson

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Gtg

    2. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I will start mee over gabriel or schar

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Hmm, may just do that, over Gabriel.

  2. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Mitrovic>Toney or save?

    Think I save to bring Odegaard and Fernandes in next week.

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      You've answered your own question there in my eyes 🙂

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Save

    3. Definitely not sleeping
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Save

    4. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers!

  3. GW21 Fixture and clean sheet odds
    G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    GW21 fixture odds can be found here:
    https://prnt.sc/O8FAAopE6k-6
    (Provided by William Hill.com)

    DGW20 clean sheets:
    CHE: 43% ✅
    MNC: 43% ❌ & 34% ❌
    NEW: 42% ✅
    BRE: 38% ✅
    EVE: 36% ❌
    MNU: 36% ❌ & 16% ❌
    AST: 34% ❌
    WOL: 32% ✅
    ARS:29% ✅
    WHU: 29% ❌
    LEI: 28% ❌
    LIV: 28% ❌
    NFO: 27% ✅
    SOU: 25% ❌
    TOT: 22% ❌ & 10% ❌
    CRY: 21% ❌ & 19% ❌
    LEE: 19% ❌
    BHA: 17% ✅
    BOU: 16% ❌
    FUL: 15% ❌

    Highest clean sheet % odds current success rate: 50% (same from the previous GW)

    GW21 clean sheet odds:
    MNC: 55%
    NEW: 42%
    WHU: 42%
    ARS: 32%
    BHA: 32%
    BOU: 32%
    LIV: 32%
    AST: 29%
    NFO: 29%
    TOT: 29%
    LEE: 27%
    SOU: 27%
    BRE: 24%
    CRY: 24%
    FUL: 22%
    EVE: 21%
    LEI: 21%
    MNU: 19%
    CHE: 17%
    WOL: 8%
    (Provided by CheckTheChance.com)

    Clean sheet totals:
    Newcastle: 11 (+1)
    Arsenal: 9 (+1)
    Man Utd: 8
    Manchester City: 7
    Brentford: 6 (+1)
    Chelsea: 6 (+1)
    Leicester: 6
    Nottingham Forest: 6 (+1)
    Brighton: 5 (+1)
    Fulham: 5
    Tottenham: 5
    Wolves: 5 (+1)
    Aston Villa: 4
    Bournemouth: 4
    Crystal Palace: 4
    Everton: 4
    Liverpool: 4
    Leeds: 3
    West Ham: 3
    Southampton: 1

    *(+1) denotes team kept a clean sheet in the past GW.

    Played the Triple Captain on Haaland and for the 3rd consecutive week my Vice outscores my Captain 😆 I'm sure those that save it will do better than a meagre 8 points!

    Still resulted in 84 points and a decent green arrow so whatever you're up to this week, make sure you have a good 'un and I hope your arrows end up green too 🙂

    G

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      So my decision to start Ward over Kepa is justified and will be vindicated

      Thanks

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Personally, I'd rather go with Kepa, but each to their own...

        1. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Yep that's the sensible thing to do

          Following gut feeling here

          1. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            I did try to warn yah 😆

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      TC Haaland too, feeling okay since I still got 121 points and 518 GW rank.

      Hopefully Rashford TC dgw22 will fail massively

  4. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Good to go? 1 FT, 0.2 itb. Feeling maverick atm

    Ward
    White Trippier Botman
    Bruno Mahrez Rashford Andreas
    Haaland C Kane VC Darwin

    Kepa Almiron Shaw Bueno

    1. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yea save , I have Bruno and Rashford too and not too happy
      as I am still to get an Arsenal mid but will take the Arsenal win whatever.
      I would start Almiron over Andreas , that said I was contemplating Andreas over Bruno even.
      Great score mate , I thought I was flying with a 94

  5. Definitely not sleeping
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    GTG?

    Sanchez
    Tripp Cancelo Shaw
    Rash KDB Mitoma Odegaard
    Halaand Mitro Toney

    Ward Martinelli White NWilliiams

  6. vova
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys! Had a great gameweek last time out courtesy of Mahrez... not sure what to do for this one. Any advice?

    Kepa Ward
    Trippier Shaw White Dalot Bueno
    KDB Mahrez Rashford Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland Kane Mitrovic

    0.4 ITB
    1 FT

    Not exactly happy with my defence... so perhaps Dalot to Estupinan?

    Thanks! 🙂

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Saving FT is more important

      Enjoy the points coming in

  7. BS03
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    hi guys who to bench and captain from my front 8?

    a) martinelli
    b) rashford
    c) almiron
    d) march
    e) mahrez
    f) haaland
    g) toney
    h) kane

    currently leaning towards bench C and capt F

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Almiron

      C Haaland, but Kane or Toney if chasing

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        This

    2. Ange Ball
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  8. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Start Almiron or Ferguson?

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Ferguson

      I'm benching Almiron for Andreas

  9. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Toney captainers unite!

    1. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      HaarLand captainers Un-tie (:

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I may be

  10. Drogba Legend
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kepa
    Tripp - Botman - white
    KDB ((C) - Martinelli - Almiron - Rash
    Kane - Haaland - Toney

    Ward - Shaw - Andreas - bueno

    - most likely saving but..

    Haaland or KDB captain. Gut said KDB. Kepa or ward? Gut also says Mart > Odegaard but going to hold I think. Anything else?

  11. Jase3377
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys
    Hows this for a plan?

    This week - save
    Next week - Salah to Bruno and Andreas to Odegaard
    Week after - Bruno to KDB (or hold Bruno and sell Almiron for Mahrez)

    Team is

    Kepa
    Trippier, Schar, White
    Salah, Rash, Marti, Almiron
    Haaland, Kane, Toney

    Ward, Shaw, Andreas, Bueno

    Thanks

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Solid enough plan

      1. Jase3377
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

  12. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone looking to use TC on Rashford in the upcoming DGW?

    1. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Might do
      Might not

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah. Think Rashford is it.

    4. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Might punt on Bruno

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Hardly a punt tbh

        1. SpaceCadet
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Not a punt, but bit of a differential with most people capping rashford.

    5. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      yes me

  13. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Have a great weekend everyone! Hope there's something you can smile about. Mahrez did that for me last week.

  14. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Think I’m saving ft this gw with 3.2m itb. Anything worth changing or g2g?

    Kepa
    Trippier shaw white
    Mahrez saka rashford almiron
    Haaland Kane havertz

    Ward andreas JAMES PATTERSON

  15. Drogba Legend
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kepa
    Tripp - Botman - white
    KDB ((C) - Martinelli - Almiron - Rash
    Kane - Haaland - Toney

    Ward - Shaw - Andreas - bueno

    - most likely saving but..

    Haaland or KDB captain. Gut said KDB. Kepa or ward? Gut also says Mart > Odegaard but going to hold I think. Anything else

  16. pnitishmk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Should I start Ferguson over any of the front 7?

    Ward
    Trippier (vc), Botman, Shaw
    KDB, Mahrez, Martinelli, Rashford, Almiron
    Haaland (c), Kane
    (Kepa, Ferguson, Buemo, Digne)

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Popular answer, Almiron if any

  17. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kepa (ward)
    Triper botman walker saliba (shaw)
    Rash almiron mahrez (zaha martineli)
    Haland toney kane

    Which ? (Targeting odegard mitoma bruno rodrigo for 2 mids. Spots)

    A) roll ft, re-asses in next gw
    B) zaha to Mitoma/march, gw22 almiron to bruno/rodrigo, gw23 odegard in (dont know for whom)
    C) zaha to odegard, gw22 almiron to rodrigo (will miss out mitoma & bruno)

  18. The Philosopher
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What do we think of these moves with 2FTs?

    Salah + Martial -> Gakpo + Toney + 3.9 itb

    Then Andreas becomes Rashford next week

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Hmm not sure Gakpo is a good move, he may not start plus their fixtures are not as easy as they look

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Do Rashford this week prehaps?

        1. The Philosopher
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Not fancying United against Arsenal

          1. JT11fc
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Ye same, but it would be a long term move, if you got a gut feeling for Gakpo then go for it. Mudryk tempting me haha

  19. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kdb capt anyone?

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Tempted but I think I'll go haaland with vc on KDB

  20. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Quick sense check. Would you play Andreas (TOT) or Perraud (AVL) over any of Shaw, Gabriel, Bruno or Rashford?

    1. Unfathomable Ruination
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Nah, I wouldn't.

    2. Casual Player
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I’m playing Andreas over Shaw at this stage. Wouldn’t start him ahead of any of the others

    3. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks both

  21. Unfathomable Ruination
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Based on the clean sheet odds above, would you start Saliba over Shaw?

    1. Trovsmash
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      yes

  22. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Capt.
    Haland toney kane mahrez triper

    1. Casual Player
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      5 captains! you’re going to haul this week

  23. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play?

    1. Shaw v ARS (A)
    2. Doherty v FUL (A)

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1

    2. Ange Ball
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      2

  24. Cali
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    2FT and need to use one. What would you do here? $2.5 ITB.

    Kepa
    White, Trippier, Shaw
    KDB, Rashford, Martinelli, Almiron
    Kane, Haaland, Toney

    Ward, Andreas, Bueno, Patterson

    A) Patterson to Ake/Dunk/Botman?
    B) Andreas to Odegaard

    I feel like A) would help me more this GW but I’m not sure which defender to go for. B) would get me ahead for GW22 and potentially allow me to have 2FT for GW23.

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A) Botman.

  25. BusbySwede
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do anything or g2g and roll transfer?

    Kepa (Ward)
    Cancelo, Trippier, Gabriel (Shaw, Doherty)
    Martinelli, Odegaard, Rashford, Kulusevski (Almiron)
    Haaland, Kane, Wilson

    Benched right players?
    Sell Cancelo?
    Or maybe Kulusevski/Almiron to Mitoma/March/Rodrigo?

  26. Heavy Cream
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Mitoma or March?

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Mitoma.

    2. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      March for me

  27. Dion D's Solo Shower
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    If going for a differential captain, would you pick:

    A) Toney
    B) Kane
    C) Trippier

    Everyone else in my ML will choose Haaland

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B.

      But I would still captain Haaland. Otherwise, higher chance of losing rank than gaining rank.

    2. Ange Ball
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. Casual Player
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Captain Haaland and look for differentials at the other end of your squad thru FTs over the remainder of the season.

  28. banskt
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Bench one:

    A. Almiron
    B. Rashford
    C. Mitrovic

    Currently on B (most difficult fixture).

    1. Ange Ball
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

  29. tryf88
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Ward over Kepa?

    Ward
    Trippier White Shaw
    Martinelli, rashford, kdbn, Almiron
    kane, mitro, haaland

    Gtg?

  30. Ange Ball
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Mount to who?

    A) Odegaard
    B) Brighton Mid
    C) Bank confirmed doubles

    1. Casual Player
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Was initially going A, but now rolling.