FPL
31 January 2023 404 comments
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In a surprising development, Manchester City defender Joao Cancelo (£7.1m) has joined Bayern Munich on loan for the rest of the season, with an option to buy for £61m.

The Portuguese had fallen out of the first team under Pep Guardiola, starting just two of Man City’s six Premier League games since the World Cup.

However, Cancelo is still owned by just under 30% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers currently inside the top 100k.

So, here are the best and most-talked-about Cancelo replacements, not including the highly-owned Kieran Trippier (£6.1m) and Luke Shaw (£5.3m).


For Transfer Deadline Day live updates, click here


GABRIEL

The Arsenal centre-half is averaging 4.5 points per match this season, courtesy of two goals, nine clean sheets and nine bonus points.

That’s slightly behind William Saliba’s (£5.3m) rate of 4.8 points per match, yet it’s worth noting Gabriel Magalhaes (£5.2m) has racked up 13 more goal attempts than the Frenchman in 2022/23, with two additional ‘big chances’ presented to him. In addition, he also has superior stats for aerial duels won, tackles, interceptions, clearances and blocks.

Full-backs Ben White (£4.7m) and Oleksandr Zinchenko (£5.0m) provide other strong options in Arsenal’s backline. They are both first choice at present, although Takehiro Tomiyasu’s (£4.2m) return to fitness has seen him appear off the bench for a combined 93 minutes in the last four Gameweeks, while Kieran Tierney (£4.6m) could potentially get the odd game at left-back.

As a result, the centre-halves feel a little more secure in their roles as week-in, week-out starters, who will play 90 minutes barring injury or suspension.

The Gunners have a favourable upcoming schedule, with four of their next six fixtures against teams currently sitting in the bottom half of the table. Furthermore, their Gameweek 25 fixture against Leicester City isn’t affected by the League Cup final postponements.

ARSENAL’S DEFENCE 2022/23
Total (rank v other Premier League clubs)
Played19
Goals conceded16
Clean sheets9
Minutes per expected goals conceded (xGC)107.2 (2nd=)

MAN CITY OPTIONS

With Cancelo departing, there are candidates to replace him at Man City, but be warned, nobody feels 100% nailed at this stage.

Rico Lewis (£3.9m) is already a fan favourite at the Etihad with Pep Guardiola regularly talking up his performances. He costs just £3.9m, allowing for significant upgrades elsewhere, but his price reflects his vulnerability. While regular starts perhaps look a little more likely following Cancelo’s departure, he is still competing with Kyle Walker (£4.8m) at right-back.

Nathan Ake (£5.0m), meanwhile, now has one less positional rival to worry about on the left, but Aymeric Laporte (£5.7m) can perform the role, while Sergio Gomez (£4.5m) is another squad option, although it’d be a surprise if he suddenly becomes a week-in, week-out starter.

We also have John Stones (£5.4m) – who is currently flagged with a hamstring injury – Manuel Akanji (£5.0m) and Ruben Dias (£5.9m) competing for starts in the middle, with all of the above’s minutes since the restart captured below.

PlayerGW17 (lee)GW18 (EVE)GW19 (che)GW20 (mun/TOT)GW21 (WOL)
Stones9090900/9090
Akanji90904590/9090
Ake90909090/9045
Dias0000/10
Walker004590/70
Laporte0000/090
Lewis6786450/8245

As for Man City, a Double Gameweek 23 follows this weekend’s trip to Tottenham Hotspur, with appealing clashes against Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth immediately after.

MAN CITY’S DEFENCE 2022/23
Total (rank v other Premier League clubs)
Played20
Goals conceded20
Clean sheets8
Minutes per expected goals conceded (xGC)122.1 (1st)

FABIAN SCHAR / SVEN BOTMAN

The case to double up on Newcastle United’s backline by adding Fabian Schar (£5.2m) or Sven Botman (£4.5m) alongside Trippier is growing stronger by the day.

That’s because the Magpies have the meanest defence in the division, having conceded fewer goals (11) and kept more clean sheets (12) than any other side in 2022/23 so far.

However, it’s debatable whether or not now is the best time to invest further.

That’s because Newcastle will blank in Gameweek 25 if they reach the League Cup final, which looks very likely, given that they are 1-0 up against Southampton going into Tuesday’s semi-final second leg at St James’ Park. After that, it’s a trip to champions Man City, but from Gameweek 27 onwards that double-up becomes a lot more appealing, especially if they keep up their current defensive form.

As for Schar/Botman, the former carries plenty of goal threat – no FPL defender has registered more shots or big chances this season – but Botman is a much kinder price, which will likely prove decisive in most set-ups.

NEWCASTLE’S DEFENCE 2022/23
Total (rank v other Premier League clubs)
Played20
Goals conceded11
Clean sheets12
Minutes per expected goals conceded (xGC)107.2 (2nd=)

PERVIS ESTUPINAN / LEWIS DUNK

Brighton pair Pervis Estupinan (4.5m) and Lewis Dunk (£4.7m) are firmly on the FPL radar, with the Seagulls looking strong under Roberto De Zerbi.

It’s only translated into two clean sheets in 13 matches under the Italian, yet their non-penalty xGC tally of 12.99 in that time is only bettered by three sides – Newcastle, Arsenal and Man City – suggesting there is more to come from their defensive assets.

Estupinan places 14th among all defenders for minutes per chance created from Gameweek 9 onwards (De Zerbi’s first match in charge), while Dunk has played every minute of every game.

A bit like Newcastle, the worry with Brighton is that now isn’t the best time to invest. Yes, they have Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Fulham in the next three rounds, but it’s very likely they will blank in Gameweek 25 and potentially 28 too.

BRIGHTON’S DEFENCE 2022/23
Total (rank v other Premier League clubs
Played19
Goals conceded27
Clean sheets5
Minutes per expected goals conceded (xGC)75.4 (7th)

OTHERS TO CONSIDER

FPL team news: Live updates of Gameweek 28 injury updates

It may be premature to move now, but the return of Reece James (£5.7m) from injury is at least worth touching on, given his undoubted potential when playing regular minutes.

The wing-back has returned to first-team training and could feature in some capacity against Fulham on Friday.

James, of course, racked up five goals and nine assists last season, and the fixtures are very decent for Chelsea too, with their Gameweek 25/28 matches unaffected by postponements.

Elsewhere, Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m) and Andrew Robertson (£6.8m) both feel like expensive purchases given Liverpool’s lack of clean sheets, although a Double Gameweek might help boost both players’ prospects, which has been mooted.

Could you add a second Man Utd defender like Lisandro Martinez (£4.5m) into the mix? Potentially, but a likely blank in Gameweek 25 needs to be factored in.

Other options include Ben Mee (£4.8m) – Brentford have a pretty good run of home fixtures so he could potentially be used as part of a defensive rotation – or cheaper still, James Tarkowski (£4.2m) and Hugo Bueno (£3.9m) if funds are needed in other areas.



404 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Brendan.Cooper
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Wan-Bissaka for a quiet differential?

    1. FCHaalandaise
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Sure

      I have Shaw Bruno Rash otherwise I might consider that

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Depends. I am prioritizing Shaw and Rashford.

      Bruno or Martinez for the third spot. The latter is a differential.

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Bruno for GW22 - then transfer out - possible Man City player for DGW

    3. Piksau
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Was thinking of it.
      But have gone for Estupian and will prob do Zaha > Bruno after their match 2nd leg match.

    4. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Not bad, but would rather have Shaw

    5. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I would rather have him with Shaw (assuming fit) rather than instead of. Also assuming Dalot is ruled out DGW

  2. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Score predictions?

    A. Man Utd v Palace
    B. Man Utd v Leeds

    1. Piksau
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A 3-1
      B 4-0

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        🙂

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      2-0
      3-1

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A. 2 v1

      B. 3 v 1

  3. Piksau
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Rashford TC this week?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Likely yes

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Think I am q

    3. Babit1967
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      It’s him or Haaland the following week, take your pick.

  4. djman102
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Glad I got rid of Cancelo a few weeks ago

    for Doherty

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      🙂

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Let’s have a smug off. I got rid game week 20 and am pretty smug. How about you?

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Good & bad - still a chance to swap out Doherty

  5. gonzalocampos
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Who to play:
    Almirón or Botman?

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Almiron

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Botman.

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Botman

      Almiron since World Cup gone off the boil

  6. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    It's such a shame that United are doing under Ten Hag what they haven't done for nearly a decade!

    As for Liverpool, next year is our year etc etc 😎

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I thought last year was their year, reached their ceiling with a decent shout at the quadruple.

  7. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Considering they've had zero transfer budget this window, Sabitzer, Weghorst and Butland isn't bad.

    Hopefully it'll be enough to secure a top 4 spot, so the new owner(s) can bring in Kane and De Jong next summer 😉

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Leave Harry alone

    2. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Glazers never let United down in transfer windows tbf.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Not when they take money out of the club to pay for them no.

  8. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    State of that Southampton kit!

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Looks like a cheap vase from TK Maxx.

  9. EL_FENOMENO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    a) Saka
    b) Ode

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      both

  10. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Newcastle have four goalkeepers. I think Karl Darlow cleans Nick Pope’s boots, Loris Karius washes his car and Martin Dubravka was brought back from loan to keep his gloves warm before matches.

  11. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Longstaff G

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Damn, he really doesn't wanna be dropped just to fit Gordon in the XI :mrgreeen:

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Too many e's

        1. Count of Monte Hristo
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Drink plenty water.

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            Waaaay

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Trippier A

  12. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Trippier assist!

  13. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Another Trippier assist.

  14. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Newcastle are flying!

  15. Sandy Ravage
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    TOON

  16. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Nearly another

  17. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is Trippier a better player than TAA?

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      The tea lady is this year

  18. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Why is Jorginho taking so long to announce? Chelsea leading Arsenal up the garden path?

    Pretty good backup for Partey and Xhaka, has been Chelsea’s most consistent midfielder this season and the last few years.

    Crazy how low Chels has fallen. Absolute circus down the bridge.

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      TIming.

      1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Ahh breaking news. Your thoughts?

        1. Arteta
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          I'm happier than I was in the morning. I've made peace with the fact that we will go for the top class young central midfielder in the summer and that's it.

          It's a stopgap signing, but he's experienced player, who improves our depth and is willing to give his all for this club. Jorginho fits the system and is adequate replacement for Xhaka and Partey. He's better than Lokonga and Elneny and elite penalty-taker. We know his qualities and weaknesses, but his experience in the run-in could be invaluable.

          He's good enough to start all of the remaining Europa League games. His injury history is actually insane (https://www.transfermarkt.com/jorginho/verletzungen/spieler/102017) and he only missed 17 games in his whole career. It's not what we hoped for since the day one, but he wanted to come and work with Arteta.
          Let's get behind him!

          1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
            • 4 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            Good to hear, I’m. For it too.

            No need to spend £100m on Caicedo. I’d rather spend that on Rice instead in the summer. Jorginho can do a good job at Arsenal. Squad game

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Seem to be now everyone's feeder club

      Selling any players for peanuts & only buying players if the selling clubs another 30 million on top of what they are really worth

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Most likely of going Chelsea need to secure record signing & Arsenal fail with Brighton bid

  19. mdm
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Cancelo price locked or will drop tonight?

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Locked as it's not possible to buy him anyone.

      1. mdm
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks, Rainer

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Per http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/Home/

      "When a player is injured (0% chance of playing), suspended or on loan his price can still change in value. However, once his status has changed again his price will be "locked"."

      He is on loan at Bayern Munich.

      Therefore per this, he should still be eligible for one further price drop, then will be locked.

      However on the website at the moment his target value is stuck on 0. I don't know why this is per rules on the page. (He did already fall 0.1m early this GW, could it be related?) So for now... assume it is possible, but not more than 0.1m.

      I bought at 7.0m & he's 7.1m currently, so literally no rush to sell this GW (I'll be starting Trippier/Shaw/White)

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Actually take this back. The locking spies to him having a flag (e.g. for loan), then becoming unflagged.

        So he's price locked now.

        1. mdm
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Thanks, Hazz

  20. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Best transfer to make with this squad? 1 ft and 1.6 in the bank

    Almiron to Antony maybe? Will most likely become Ødegaard for GW23

    Ederson, Ward
    Trippier, Gabriel, Shaw, Bueno, Patterson
    KDB, Martinelli, Rashford, Almiron, Andreas
    Kane, Haaland, Mitrovic

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      KDB to Bruno Hokey Cokey?

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Agree then switch back again the following week to cover both DGW's

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      KDB to Bruno?

  21. Slitherene
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    When are Liverpool likely to have a DGW?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Ha. Why?

      1. Slitherene
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Coz I have 2 players, and I think I'll take the bait if the DGW comes a little early

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Enjoy.

    2. BUZZBOMB ♡
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      The trap of all traps

  22. BeaversWithAttitude
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Idriss! x

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Idkiss him

      1. BeaversWithAttitude
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Same here, mate! Lol.

  23. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    How much do we think for Porro? Tempted to punt on him as my Cancelo replacement after this GW, surely has to be nailed over Emerson Royal

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Depends if he’s a Conte signing or not

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Nailed even though he hasn't played for Spurs, and is a wing-back who Conte loves to rotate regardless. Sure...

      It's not a bad punt. Just don't trust Spurs a lot. I'm bias and will be tempted by James 😆

  24. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Longs G again

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Miggy A

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        OMG

  25. fantasist
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Longstaff essential

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Especially if you want a fit bird.

  26. BeaversWithAttitude
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Jeepers!

  27. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Longshaft in dreamland!

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I see what you did there

  28. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    What a beautiful goal.

  29. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Chelsea offer 100 M for Longstaff

  30. Sandy Ravage
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    TOON TOON

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Get off the road.