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7 February 2023 671 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Not only did Manchester City fail to take advantage of Arsenal’s defeat at Everton by also slipping up at Tottenham Hotspur, but it was also announced on Monday that they’ve been charged by the Premier League for more than 100 breaches of its financial rules.

Accused of not cooperating when it comes to providing accurate information on the club’s financial position, a severe punishment could be on its way, although not anytime soon.

It means that they – in the words of Kevin Keegan – are still fighting for this title. Five points adrift of the Gunners having played an extra match, Pep Guardiola’s side still gets to face them twice.

If they can quickly get their act together, Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers will be keen on owning more of their players. Let’s investigate which are likeliest to avoid the infamous ‘Pep Roulette’.

HOW MANY DO WE NEED?

The champions’ last eight league games have included defeats at Spurs and Manchester United, whilst losing at home to Brentford and only drawing with Everton. In the Gameweek 20 clash with Spurs, a 2-0 deficit was eventually turned into a 4-2 win.

Above: Each team’s last eight matches

Team form is average and, individually, it’s bad. When ranked by form, Riyad Mahrez (£7.7m) is the only Man City man inside the top 30 midfielders, whilst none are in the top 50 for defenders.

There is simply much better value in the assets of Arsenal, Man Utd and Brighton and Hove Albion right now. Until recently, a triple-up on Man City assets looked essential but now – having to guess which out-of-form names will play, for a Double Gameweek that still looks tricky – perhaps it doesn’t.

UPCOMING SCHEDULE

It’s complicated further by a busy fixture run that should include a Blank Gameweek 28 and several Champions League outings that will likely take Pep’s priority.

There’s a week-long gap before hosting Aston Villa, followed by a match every three or four days. It’s not like Villa are an easy opponent either – Unai Emery has rejuvenated them into five wins from eight, with two successive away clean sheets.

A top-of-the-table meeting with Arsenal, followed by a hectic schedule that will surely see rotation surround the trip to RB Leipzig, does not bode well for any purchased Man City assets.

MAIN FPL TARGETS

Which FPL players and teams top the xG tables? 4

ERLING HAALAND (£12.2m)

Starting with the most obvious pick, all active managers have Haaland and usually choose him as the default captain. It’d just be too damaging not to, such is his 85.4 per cent overall ownership and 99.98 per cent within the top 100k.

By the Norwegian’s extraordinarily high standards – 21 goals in his first 15 league games – he could almost be deemed ‘out of form’ after blanking in three of the last five. Yet one of the others brought a hat trick!



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

671 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Ake Mahrez Haaland

    Done

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Agreed. They’re so done at the moment. City can’t keep a clean sheet. Midfielders are constantly rotated and Haaland has the Arsenal boys as competition for captain this week.

    2. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No KDB you reckon? Still deciding whether I ditch Bruno for him or not.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Neigh

  2. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What’s your club and how much would you pay me to kidnap their scouts for your team?

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Strange question this is. You all ok horsey?

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Complete mess up. I’m good my friend. How are you?

        1. La Roja
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Surviving. I’m a bit heartbroken though

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Tell me. What’s up?

        2. Thicksolidtight
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Ah. So that's why the long face

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Brightons scouts. Doh!

    3. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Found out this weekend that De Zerbi is my neighbour. Could I charge more?!

  3. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Arsenal fixtures up to 28 are so much better for attacking returns.

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I know babes.

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        xoxo

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Only issue with the triple up is that one of the three would be Nketiah and by 28 he's surely benched?

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Plenty of games up until that point. Deal with it at is arrives.

        Says the smug Mitoma owner for the last 3 weeks.

      2. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Enough fixtures before that imo. And I had Toney who blanks gw 25 when Nketiah has double. We do get free transfer every week.

        1. Biggsy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          The forward line is the only place I have no worry - Kane, Haaland and Mitro all playing in 25

  4. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Does the DGW25 make Nketiah more appealing? Or still a risk of sharing minutes with a returning Jesus just when you need him most

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Rupert the Parrot?

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        More of a thieving raven.

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I don't think Jesus is back so soon. And Jesus is probably eased in anyway, so I expect/hope Nketiah to start both.

  5. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What are peoples thoughts on Best Everton, wolves and palace players for DGW25? Thanks

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Tarko, Kilman and FILE NOT FOUND

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers ! Sorry not palace !!

  6. Baps Hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Toney > Nketiah
    Martinelli > Saka
    White > R Lewis

    -8 taken, transfers done, hopefully winning bet. Ødegard I have. 0.2 itb left. A pity that I couldn't afford anyone better than Rico Lewis. Wish me luck!

    1. FCHaalandaise
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Luck

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thx 🙂

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Brave. Good luck though

  7. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Haaland TC anyone?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      100%. Just need to find a good week for it.

      1. Thicksolidtight
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        How's your throat?

  8. FCHaalandaise
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Shaw and Ferguson

    To

    Tarkowski and Nketiah?

    1. FCHaalandaise
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Anyone?

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Loos a good bet to me.

  9. Werner Bremen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Now that we know about DGW25, is it worth using my transfer on Martinelli > Odegard, or save it for fielding 11 players in 25?

    1. FCHaalandaise
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Ode a must imo

  10. RogueBlood
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Dropping Martinelli this week do I go for

    A) Saka
    B) Odegaard

    1. FCHaalandaise
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A but I have both

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      This is my transfer this work and not sure who to bring in first.

      I think Odegaard stats are some what better.

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        There are two fixtures this gw. Both for -4 if possible. Saka has looked better, Øde didn't have his best game (mildly put) last time, so Saka is priority now imo.

  11. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A) Nketiah Vs Brentford & City
    B) Mitoma Vs Palace

    1. Werner Bremen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  12. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Wonder who wins the DGW TC:
    Rashford DGW22: Palace (H), Leeds (H) - 12 points so far
    Haaland DGW23: Villa (H), Arsenal (A)
    Saka DGW25: Leicester (A), Everton (H)
    Salah DGW25: Palace (A), Wolves (H)

    1. PogChamp
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Hopefully Bruno 🙂

    2. FCHaalandaise
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      E. Haaland later on in the season

    3. mdm
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Rashford or Bruno

    4. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Well I don't think it's going to be Salah......

      1. sulldaddy
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Wouldnt even put Salah jn thr running TBH

        1. sulldaddy
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          *in the.....jeez

  13. Erez Avni
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    what woud you do here?
    is it worth to wc?

    1 FT 2.1 ITB

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw White
    KDB Bruno Rashford Martinelli
    Mitro Halland Toni

    Ward Botman Andreas Bueno

  14. _Freddo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Nice article, last 9 defensively were against Fulham, Brentford, Leeds, Everton, Chelsea, Man United, Spurs, Wolves & Spurs, not sure many expected many CS out of that lot, those clubs all have good attacking weapons (apart from Everton & Wolves)

    Next 6 are Villa, Arsenal, Forest, Bournemouth, Newcastle & Palace, far more favourable, Arsenal v City could easily see both cancel eachother out & the other 3 look decent for CS chances, I’m not sure anyone should rule the defence out based on the last 9 that looked a bit poor for defensive returns.

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Ederson owner. If the opposition gets two shots on target then ManC concede as he is not a shot-stopper. Save percentage is 19th in the league this season.

  15. mdm
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Which one for a hit?

    A. Almiron -> Mahrez
    B. Martinelli -> Saka
    C. both for -8
    D. neither

    Thanks.

    1. FCHaalandaise
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

      Spend away. Helps me out

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    4. sulldaddy
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  16. Big Mike
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Urgent advice needed. Which combination is best for game week 23 and beyond?

    A) Saka and Grealish
    B) Odegaard and Grealish
    C) Saka and Mahrez
    D) Odegaard and Mahrez.

    I already own Martinelli and am selling Salah + Almiron.

    1. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I’m nervy about Grealish & Mahrez. City don’t feel right currently. For me C is the best option

    3. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    4. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Nothing is urgent, Big Mike.

    5. Salah_Fingers
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

  17. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is this -4 worth it?
    Martinelli & Fernandes to Saka & Odegaard?

    1. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Probably would just do Bruno to Saka.

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Go for it!

    3. sulldaddy
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Im not sure Id do those moves

      Wait to see what happens to Bruno tomorrow

  18. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Worth getting Mahrez for the double?

    Better to start removing the blanks for 25 currently 6/7?

    Ederson
    Trippier, Shaw, White, Botman
    Bruno, Rashford, Ode, Saka
    Hauland, Kane,

    Ward, Toney, Andreas, Bueno

    1.9.

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      After having seen Mahrez playing only 58 minutes and CL starting soon, I don't think I would bother to get him in (and out). We don't have transfers for these fixtures.

      1. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Toying with Andreas & Toney > Mahrez & Johnson, 352?

        1. Salah_Fingers
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Quite like that option, especially given you've got Toney benched

          1. g40steve
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Cheers, Mahrez is the magician & 10% ownership

  19. Royal5
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you rather have for next week?

    A. Saka & Toney
    B. Mahrez & Nkethia (-4)

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Both means getting rid of Martinelli

    2. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B two doubles

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Doesn't really matter as long as you have Nketiah, Øde and Saka.

      1. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I don't. I have Saliba.

        1. Royal5
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          So it's either Saka or Nkethia.

          1. g40steve
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Stick with two mids & defender, CS a bonus

            1. Royal5
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              Ty

  20. NoName
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Which one to bench this gw?

    Saka Odegaard Mahrez Rashford Mitoma
    Nketiah Haaland Kane

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      What a mess. Has to be Mitoma then.

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Hardly a mess. Good 8 players. Issue is having 8 of them

        1. NoName
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Thanks. Yeah, I've had much worse messes.

          1. My heart goes Salalalalah
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            :Lol::

        2. Royal5
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Will get the benching wrong every week unless blanks and that will cause pain.

          1. Royal5
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Not every week, but you know what I mean.

            1. My heart goes Salalalalah
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              Stop being the handbrake. Be the accelerator every now and then...

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Mitoma

      1. NoName
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers

    3. Tinkermania
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      ALL OUT attack chip!

      1. NoName
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        😀

      2. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I would want use that too now. I have to decide between Bruno and Mitro 😉 However, having too good team is positive problem.

    4. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      This is one reason I will get Gabriel over Nketiah.

  21. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Did McCoist just swear on the FA Cup replay 😀

  22. Scalper
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Looking to get Badiashile in next couple of GWs. Anyone know why he wasn’t registered for UCL squad?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Cup tied?

      1. Scalper
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Monaco played in Europa league I believe. Does that make him cup tied?

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Was only 3 of the new signings could be registered I think, mud, fernandes, felix, someone had to lose out, could be good for prem games now though

      1. Scalper
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Aubameyang was given the boot and he was signed in the summer though. Could they have not booted someone else like Chalobah or Hall?

        1. Gizzachance
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Maybe, to be honest not sure who they selected, it was something I had seen some where

        2. Gizzachance
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Chelsea have made the decision to add Mykhailo Mudryk, Enzo Fernandez and Joao Felix to their Champions League squad for the knockout stages. The decision means that fellow January signings Benoit Badiashile, Andrey Santos, David Datro Fofana and Noni Madueke have missed out.

          Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has also been removed from the squad to accommodate the three new names.

          1. Scalper
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Cheers

  23. Supersonic_
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Trip Shaw White
    Foden Marti Saka Rash
    Toney Kane Haaland

    Ward Estupinan Andreas Bueno

    Reckon I hold on this or;

    Foden to Mahrez -4
    Marti to Ode -4

    1. Salah_Fingers
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Foden to mahrez seems a little sideways, I'm leaving more towards Odeegard option for mine

      1. Salah_Fingers
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Leaning

  24. Salah_Fingers
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Only have haaland for city but saka, Martinelli and nkhetia for Arsenal

    With 1ft:

    A - Cancelo to ake
    B - Martinelli to Odeegard
    C - both -4

    Had planned on Cancelo and Bruno to Ake and kdb/mahrez -4 but not sure now due to Martinelli possible rotation

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    4. Salah_Fingers
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers

    5. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

  25. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts?
    Almiron to saka/odegaard, have white an nketiah

    -4 Bruno or Kulu to mahrez?
    Kulu 1 return since restart
    Got Bruno this week, 23 and 24 has Leeds an Leicester, then a blank
    Cheers

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Almiron move looks good. Hold Bruno until 24

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers

  26. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Front eight looks like this:

    Martinelli, Bruno, Rashford, Mitoma, Mahrez
    Kane, Haaland, Mitro

    Currently benching Mitro. Could swap him to Nketiah but then who to bench?
    Could do Martinelli to Saka but then only 2 Arsenal (Gabriel the other).
    Both of those are losing a GW25 non-blanker so will be a hit or less than 11 players for that one.

    Stumped....

    1. Scalper
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Benching Mitro @ home to forest is mighty risky. I know mitoma is on a good run but would rather mitro this gw imo. Close though

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Forest looking sharp, and Navas will make them solid. Happy to go with Mitoma as the form player

    2. NoName
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Depending on tomorrow, and given the short turnaround, I'd probably do both and bench Bruno this gw.

      1. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        What Bruno’s on pens?

      2. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Bruno is a monster. Don't think he needs a rest

      3. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Why on Earth bench Bruno? Great fixture, great form and on pens?

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Mitrovic has great fixture also... So him then.

          1. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            I think I am going to make little bet, so that I at least get some real money when my bench player hauls.

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Mine doesn't look easier either:

      Saka, Øde, KdB, Rash, Bruno
      Haaland, Nketiah, Mitro

      I guess I'll have to decide between Bruno and Mitro. At least I don't have to worry about injuries tomorrow.

  27. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    McAtte you are the weakest link

  28. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    I am so happy to see that thia content is for members only. My guess might beat your guess...

  29. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    I’m not overly keen on Bruno > KDB especially when it’s likely i’ll want Salah in 25. Probably worth saving the transfer, KDB may not play all 3 games in 6 days. Does White > Gabriel make sense? Gabriels xmins are much more secure than White.

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would do White to Gabriel only for free, but it's a sound transfer if not going all in with attacking players like I did.

      1. DAZZ
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah it will be for free. I’ll be happy going into the doubles with Gabriel Odegaard and Saka. Feel they are the optimal 3. Bruno > Salah in 25 then makes sense. Bruno is also guaranteed 180 minutes against Leeds and Leicester

  30. :
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Just had a look at the price fallers from this morning. Gakpo punters in the mud.