Scout Notes
15 February 2023 188 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We round up the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from Wednesday night’s huge top-of-the-table clash between Arsenal and Manchester City

The numbers and graphics below are taken from LiveFPL and our own Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data for every single Premier League fixture.


An entertaining top-of-the-table clash at the Emirates saw Kevin De Bruyne (£12.4m), Jack Grealish (£6.8m) and Erling Haaland (£12.2m) seal a 3-1 win that means Manchester City have leapfrogged Arsenal into first place.

Originally meant for Gameweek 12, this was the first league meeting in over a year between student Mikel Arteta and teacher Pep Guardiola. Yet the late joy for Haaland triple captainers ensured that Man City have won 11 consecutive Premier League matches against the Gunners – a mentality which could greatly affect the title race.

DE BRUYNE IS BACK

Without a goal since Gameweek 14, a lot of managers had either recently sold the Belgian for Bruno Fernandes (£9.9m) or have been planning an imminent switch to Mohamed Salah (£12.6m).

He gave the visitors a 1-0 lead after pouncing on an awful Takehiro Tomiyasu (£4.2m) back pass to lob the ball over Aaron Ramsdale (£4.9m). In the second half, after avoiding a yellow card for pushing the mischievous Arteta, his 82nd-minute minute cut-back was expertly finished by Haaland to seal the victory.

What could hold De Bruyne back in FPL – like all Man City players – is the return of the Champions League. Guardiola has recently shown that he’s not afraid to rotate his star midfielder, so having trips to newly-promoted Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth surround their RB Leipzig first leg is not ideal.

SAKA IS STILL ON PENALTIES

One of Gameweek 23’s most-bought players was Bukayo Saka. With a security of minutes alongside his penalty duties, many even sold Double Gameweek team-mate Gabriel Martinelli (£6.6m) to accommodate him.

Owners must have been relieved, then, when Eddie Nketiah (£6.8m) was fouled in the box shortly before half-time. January signing Jorginho (£5.8m) is a renowned penalty taker and was in the starting XI to replace the injured Thomas Partey (£4.7m) but Saka still took the kick, coolly ignoring Ederson’s (£5.4m) mind games to equalise.

Arsenal are top of our Season Ticker for every range of upcoming gameweeks from two to nine, so nailing down the right assets is imperative. Saka remaining on penalties will be a huge boost.

ARSENAL ERRORS

Arteta had picked an identical starting XI for each of their previous six league outings but made two changes this time. Replacing Partey was enforced but popular pick Ben White (£4.7m) was benched for Tomiyasu, to the dismay of many FPL managers.

He might be straight back in though, as the Japanese international’s severely under-hit pass caused the first goal and a huge Oleksandr Zinchenko (£5.1m) error was rescued by Ramsdale preventing a Haaland punishment. Then, another sloppy moment saw Haaland slip the ball to Ilkay Gundogan (£7.3m), preceding Grealish’s low right-footed finish.

The title is still in Arsenal’s hands, as they have a spare game over the new leaders, but the manner in which they’ve dropped eight points in their last three matches is disappointing.

PEP ROULETTE

Nine of the participants entered with at least 25% ownership inside the top 100k, so let’s round up the others. Riyad Mahrez (£7.8m) had no goal attempts and was replaced in the 61st minute by Manuel Akanji (£5.0m), who himself had started 14 of the 15 league games before this double. Naturally, Guardiola chose to bench him on both occasions.

The emergence of Rico Lewis (£3.9m) ultimately forced the departure of Joao Cancelo (£7.1m), yet the 18-year-old failed to play a single minute in either match. It feels like the Champions League return, combined with Pep’s rotations and the likely Blank Gameweek 28, is a recipe for disaster.

Goalkeeper Ederson was booked after 36 minutes for time wasting and could’ve seen red when he fouled Nketiah for the penalty just minutes later. Arsenal’s forward avoided total Double Gameweek failure by grabbing an assist but missed two big chances, both headers. He was also cautioned by the referee.

Lucky Gabriel (£5.2m) saw his own booking reversed after VAR ruled that Haaland was offside and therefore his foul would not bring a penalty, whilst Nathan Ake (£5.1m) – the only Man City change from Sunday afternoon – had a Rodri (£5.6m) header hit him on its way to the crossbar.

Martin Odegaard (£7.0m) mustered two goal attempts but neither was on target. This was more than Martinelli, who started again over Leandro Trossard (£6.7m) but had an expected goal involvement (xGI) of just 0.10.

Arsenal XI: Ramsdale; Tomiyasu (White ’82), Saliba, Gabriel, Zinchenko; Odegaard, Jorginho, Xhaka (Vieira ’82); Saka, Nketiah, Martinelli (Trossard ’76)

Manchester City XI: Ederson; Walker, Dias, Ake, Bernardo; Rodri, De Bruyne (Phillips ’88), Gundogan; Mahrez (Akanji ’61), Haaland, Grealish (Foden ’77)



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

188 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Do you reckon James starts vs Southampton?
    He looked great tonight

  2. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    a botman to tarkowski and bench white
    b play white and save transfer?

    1. FPLMACKEM
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      A

    2. DLLM
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      A. botman has blank coming soon.

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        B

    3. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Cheers all

  3. Scratch
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    "De Bruyne is back"

    Don't think the author was watching the same match I was, KDB put in an awful performance, a Tomiyasu gift doesn't mask it.

    1. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      A goal and an assist pretty good for a team that had just over 30% of possession!

      Problem was that City didn’t control the game, which affected KDB’s ability to be the metronome.

  4. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Kepa
    Ake, Shaw, Trippier
    KDB, Martinelli, Rashford, Bruno,
    Haaland (c), Nketiah, Toney

    Ward, White, Andreas, Patterson

    1.7 ITB 2FT

    Really need to move Martinelli to Saka (Its killed my rank) and with the price changes tonight feel like I need to move early.

    Which move?

    A Martinelli and Ake to Saka and Tarkowski
    B Bruno, Martinelli and Ake to Saka, Mahrez and Tarkowski -4

    1. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      A

  5. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    With new/man united blanking GW25 and only 1FT( 0.1ITB) I should prioritise that. But also wanna get rid of Martinelli and Ederson but don't know if I can prioritise that. Suggestions?

    A) Botman -> Tark
    B) Martinelli -> Someone cheap (play Mitro)
    C) Save

    Ederson
    Shaw Trippier Saliba
    Mahrez Saka Martinelli Bruno Rashford
    Haaland Kane

    Ward Mitrovic Botman Bueno

    1. Indpush
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Save

  6. Mainoo Magic
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    G2G here or use 1ft, £1.8m itb

    Ederson

    White trippier Shaw

    Rashford odegaard saka bruno

    Haaland Toney kane (c)

    Bench: ward, andreas,bueno, patterson

    1. Flynny
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      G2g

    2. Indpush
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Save

  7. chelseabrad
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Pope
    Shaw Gabriel Badiashile
    Bruno Rashford Odegaard Mahrez
    Haaland Wilson Nketiah

    (Ward Kilman Andreas 3.9)

    4.4itb, thinking to do Bruno > Salah, maybe also take Wilson out this week for a hit?

  8. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Bench one:
    A) Bruno vs LEI(H)
    B) Mitoma vs FUL(H)
    C) Odegaard vs AVL(A)

    1. The White Pele
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      B but none if you can

      1. Shark Team
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Toney Kane Saka Haaland my others

        1. Shark Team
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 19 days ago

          And Rashford

    2. DLLM
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      im benching odegaard

      1. Shark Team
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Do you like Bruno? I mean I can only see him scoring a pen and nothing else
        Odegaard is underperforming lately

        1. DLLM
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 19 days ago

          bruno has been unlucky..could easily have a couple of assist or goals. But after this gameweek im gonna sell him for salah

    3. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      C. He is poo now

  9. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    What do I do with this mess? 1ft, 0itb

    Kepa
    Ake White Trips Shaw
    Rashford Salah Odegaard
    Mitro Haaland Kane

    Ward Martinelli Andreas B.Williams

  10. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Best option going forward between

    A Tarkowski
    B Badiashile

    1. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Both good. I think I’ll go Tark this week

  11. Scratch
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Bearing in mind I think Lewis will start for City against Forest, which one would you bench?

    A. Trippier
    B. Lewis
    C. White
    D. Shaw

    1. DLLM
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      white

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      If only CS odds

      Lewis, White, Shaw, Tripps should be the order of preference to play

    3. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      B

  12. Eleven Hag
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    According to the bookies

    - White has two times higher chance than Trippier for CS
    - Shaw is sightly lesser than white
    - Bueno has nearly 2.5 times than Trips
    - Lewis has 3+ times more chance than Tripps

    So which three would you started based on these CS odds, attacking potential as well as chances of starting?

    1. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      White, Shaw, Trippier

  13. Tellloth
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Aside from Salah, who is the best Pool attacking asset to have for DGW 25?

    With Jota coming back do you think he'll be rotated with Gakpo? Making Darwin the best choice?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      None of them. I might go for Trent.

      1. Tellloth
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Sorry, I should have been more specific, I meant mid/fwds specifically. I already have Robbo (though would have gone Trent if I could afford him).

    2. Indpush
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Yes Darwin

  14. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Aston Villa are going to beat Arsenal.

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      And it's a early Saturday kickoff, can see another scrappy game from arsenal like the one vs Everton

      1. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Yup. And Villa have Arsenal’s ex-manager who will want to beat them.

  15. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Which 3rd striker?

    A) Nketiah
    B) Felix

    Thanks in advance!

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      B

    2. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      A

  16. Francescoli
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Shaw to Tark and roll the second transfer?

    Two free transfers and 0.4itb

    Kepa
    White Ake Trippier
    KDB Saka Odegaard Fernandes Rashford
    Haaland Mitrovic

    Ward Shaw Gnonto Bueno

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Bueno to Tarkowski?

      1. Francescoli
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        I think Bueno worth hanging onto? I need to purge Man Utd players due to the blank

  17. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    A Mitrovic to Felix ( and possibly captain) or
    B Botman to Tarkowski ( and bench to play 25) or
    C Carry transfer

    Kepa
    Trippier White Shaw
    KDB Saka Mahrez Rashford
    Haaland Mitrovic Nketiah

    Ward Andreas Botman Patterson

  18. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Pickford or Kepa for the foreseeable ?

    1. NZREDS
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Kepa

  19. GW23 Rough with the Smooth
    RedLightning
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Rough with the Smooth, Gameweek 23.

    How did your Gameweek go?

    You can share your tales of joy and woe here.

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Rough - Left Shaw on the bench, transferred out Toney and Salah, Mahrez getting subbed just after he could have scored a penalty
      Smooth - Captained Saka, bringing in Mahrez

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Smooth: Martinelli > Saka

      Rough: Shaw > Gabriel

    3. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Rough: would've had 90 all out if only I had stuck with my bus team, when will I learn...

    4. SoulShakinTex
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Rough: Sold Almiron and Toney, who both scored.
      Smooth: Brought in Mahrez and Nketiah. A smooth +1 for a -4 there.

    5. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Smooth- Bruno to Mahrez
      Rough - benched Shaw over Botman

    6. Kannbury
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      86 (-4) 79k > 71k

      Smooth: A rare green arrow.

      Rough: TC Haaland would have been better used on Rashford last week. Arsenal no longer top 🙁

    7. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Rough: 6 blanks.
      Rough & smooth: I started Ream over Shaw and missed out on "only" 3 points.
      Smooth: Captain Saka. Bruno ➡ Kevin for free.

    8. shirtless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Smooth... 82 points and up 20k odd to 253k.

      Got a bit lucky this week. Deliberated on Bruno to KdB, with a hit to fund it involving Cancelo to Lewis. This would have involved benching Shaw. Or Salah to KdB, and play Shaw. Or Bruno to Mahrez. I really had KdB in my head though after his benching/rest. So I did Salah to KdB, and played Shaw.

      Was gutted at Salah making fun out of me Monday night but it made sense as it was a potential three fixtures vs two and Salah hadn't scored for five games. Luckily it came good! And Lewis didn't play a minute so effectively Shaw would have subbed in but for a -4. So I'm 8 points up there and so far 4 points up on KdB over Salah too. Fine margins!

      Played Leno instead of useless Ward. Rashford, Haaland(c), Nketiah, five off Martinelli, three off Saliba and Bruno.

      Rough... Only a pair of two pointers in Mitro and Trippier.

    9. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Roughs: Benching Toney.
      Smooths: Brought in Mahrez and Saka for Bruno and Martinelli for free. Net gain of 21 points. KDB, Shaw and Rashford all chipping in with strong returns. 103 pts all out, 6th consecutive green arrow, approaching the dizzy OR heights of 1m (up from 4.1m in GW17). Slowly slowly catchy monkey.

  20. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Since when did Fantasy player stats bit have a new design? Can we change it back? And what’s the point of the games started column

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Last 14 hrs. No. It's information that can't be gleaned from minutes played.

  21. Riverside Red
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Great result for Middlesbrough FC this evening against Sheffield United.
    Well done lads, we'll soon be a team to reckon with in the Premiership.

  22. Francescoli
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Is transferring Trippier out crazy?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

    2. juicewagz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      yes. unbeaten in 17

  23. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Chances of mahrez bench against forest?

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Its Pep's choice, not ours

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Very

  24. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Can brighton vs Newcastle be arranged for GW 25 ?

    1. Zimo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Apparently not

  25. juicewagz
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Nketiah + Bruno > Saka + Felix for free?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      No. Evaluate after next GW I would.

  26. juicewagz
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Play 3:

    a) Shaw
    b) Lewis
    c) Kilman
    d) Gabriel
    e) Trippier

  27. agueroooooney
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Would you do the following for free?

    Martinelli + Almiron -> Saka + Andreas

    A) Yes
    B) No

    Andreas on bench till GW25, gives me 11 players for it.

    Kepa (Ward)
    Trippier - White - Lewis (Schar - Bueno)
    KDB - Rashford - Martinelli - Odegaard (Almiron)
    Haaland - Kane - Mitrovic

    2 FT 1.3 itb

  28. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    Is it worth doing sideways switch from Patterson to Tarkowski as cover in case Mahrez or KDB benched or carry free transfer?

    1. FFSbet.com
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Want to do same transfer but maybe Patterson will get one game in DGW.
      Tarkowski is yellow card magnet too so not sure its worth it.

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 19 days ago

        Yes that’s true. James/Badiashile might be better option

    1. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      Well done

  29. FFSbet.com
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 19 days ago

    City won last 11 PL games vs Arsenal 27-4 on goals,thats insane only 4 goals in 11 games for Arsenal...not even one draw.

    Maybe Arteta still work for Pep