Captain Sensible
17 March 2023 608 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers enjoy a brief respite from the helter-skelter of endless “doubles” by welcoming the reduced seven-game schedule of Blank Gameweek 28.

Harry Kane (£11.7m) and a triumvirate of Arsenal attackers assume the roles of chief protagonists, with alternative options from Aston Villa, Brentford and Chelsea providing the supporting cast.

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Friday’s 18:30 GMT deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Harry Kane tops the captain poll of Gameweek 28, backed by over 40% of our users at the time of writing.

Bukayo Saka (£8.5m) sits in second place, with 17.3% of the electorate.

No other player has garnered more than 8% of votes at this stage, with Ollie Watkins (£7.4m) occupying third place backed by a mite under one in 14 of our users, followed by Ivan Toney (£7.8m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£6.6m) further back.

THE CANDIDATES

BUKAYO SAKA/MARTIN ODEGAARD/GABRIEL MARTINELLI

Arsenal’s title challenge continues unabated, with Mikel Arteta’s young Gunners’ holding a five-point lead over nearest rivals Manchester City.

This finely tuned and youthful attack has the underlying numbers to sustain a title challenge, ranking second-best this season for non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 51.79), which is only marginally behind Pep Guardiola’s side (52.23).

Bukayo Saka assumes the role of talisman in this attacking unit and boasts strong underlying numbers which highlight his importance for the north London outfit.

The England starlet has demonstrated remarkable consistency this term, ranking third-best in the division for attacking returns (20), with double-digit tallies for both goals (10) and assists (10) highlighting his all-round appeal.

Saka’s 16 attempts, 11 shots in the box and five on target all place in the top four for Arteta’s charges over the last six matches but is underwhelming compared to the division’s best over that same period.

Analysing the expected data confirms a recent dip in Saka’s production, only sneaking inside his team’s top four for NPxG and NPxGI (non-penalty expected goal involvement) with 1.32 and 2.21 respectively.

Meanwhile, Martin Odegaard (£6.9m) scored in Arsenal’s 3-0 demolition of Fulham last Sunday. The Norwegian’s second strike in three Premier League outings highlights a return to form.

The playmaker has been operating a ‘shoot on sight’ policy in recent weeks that yields strong underlying goal threat numbers.

Over the last six matches, the Nordic maestro sits second-best in the division for goal attempts (22) – an impressive tally which supplements his third-best number of chances created (18), supplying two big chances for his Arsenal brethren.

Gabriel Martinelli has overcome brief concerns about his status as a first-choice starter and instead turned into their star attacker. The Brazilian’s five goals over six matches rank joint-best in the league, with an upturn in production due to a partnership forming with Leandro Trossard (£6.6m).

Martinelli’s 13 shots in the box, six big chances and six on target all placed top among Arsenal assets over these half-dozen games. In fact, he excels throughout the whole league, ranking second-best for NPxG (3.26) and inside the top four for NPxGI (3.93).

Arsenal host Patrick Vieira’s Crystal Palace in Gameweek 28 – a side winless in their last 11 Premier League matches. Despite demonstrating reasonable mid-table underlying defensive stats, the Eagles have registered only one clean sheet in the last six and place in the top twelve for conceding shots in the box (49), big chances (12) and expected goals (xGC, 8.16).

HARRY KANE



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

608 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Capt kane or son?

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Son if you’ve got him

  2. focaccia
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Get rid of Dunk or Estu for Chilwell?

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Dunk

    2. focaccia
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Or Pinnock to Chilly and play 10

    3. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Dunk or even better a BRE def if you have one.

      1. focaccia
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Have Pinnock - although this would mean fielding 10 this week

    4. Camakazi9486
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Big D

  3. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Got 2ft’s and a couple options

    A) Henry to chilwell/James (play 10)
    B) March to one week punt up to 6.5, thinking buendia (play 11) then bring a Brighton mid back next week

    1. Camakazi9486
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A

  4. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Totally unable to make that (c) call. I'm no longer considering Arsenal after they've played 120 minutes and CP not conceding much. Kinda afraid of Kane as well. For sure he will be the main pick but Spurs are really not performing away from home and Southampton also rather involved in low scoring games. That would leave me with Toney and Chilwell, which is not making it anyhow easier...

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Agree on kane, I don't trust spurs really. What about Watkins?

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, missed him! Just won't Cherries do their trick again?

    2. Mighty Wings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I think it's the perfect week for a punt. Also don't trust Spurs or Arsenal this week will go for Watkins or Toney

    3. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Kane will get a return but he will get booked and no baps, happens every time I captain him

    4. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Keep an eye on the polls. Reckon Toney will be the big mover today.

      Also Friday deadline so people forget their teams. Sods law that the most popular captain pick from last week hauls when you've remembered to change yours.

    5. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I might captain Gabriel v Palace, going to be a punt either way

    6. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Agree those are the top 2 for me as well. Going with Chilwell

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I would but I just don't trust/understand Potter enough to captain one of his players.

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Team selection is stabilising now, and I'd be shocked if Chilwell didn't start at WB this week

    7. Geriatric Unathletic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I have em all and as chasing have plumped for Chilwell (C). Chelsea V good at home and an assist or goal from Chilly with max bonus would be just great. Most of my mini league have same players and most will stick with Kane. Also i like to watch my (c) play (17:30 Sat) on telly.......Fingers crossed.

  5. Elc1992
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    So.. im gonna take a -4 to get 11 players on the pitch.

    Currently thinking
    Raya
    Trippier Botman Saliba Mee and X
    Odegaard Saka Madison
    Kane Toney

    Trying to decide between Cash and Dawson. Can't afford Chillwell. Any thoughts?

  6. rnrd
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    One week punt before WC:

    A- Havertz (C)
    B- Chilwell (C)

    ?

    1. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Mighty Wings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Neither, will end in tears

    3. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      B

  7. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Final wc decisions:

    Pick one of:

    A. Cash
    B. Botman
    C. Aurier

    1. Madi
    2. Son
    3. Saka

    1. donbagino
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      B1

    2. Mighty Wings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Depends on the rest of your team... Do you have Newcastel defence other than Botman?

      If so, I would go A1

      1. ididnt
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yes I have trippier. Could also downgrade Gabriel to White to free up funds.

  8. Flynniesta
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Morning, I’ve only got 7 active players this week, 1FT & have all my chips.
    Don’t know whether to WC now, have 11 starters & BB with 15 players next week.
    Or do a -4 (or -8) & field 9+ players which allows me to wildcard over the international break & BB at a later date.
    I’m sure it’s been debated a lot but interested in everyone’s thoughts. Cheers.

    1. Milk, 1 Šuker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I'd do the latter -4 or -8 but BB in 29 or 34. I'm in a similar position but with 8 players. I managed to outscore a lot of people with 9 players a few weeks ago in a single (blank) gameweek, so it can be done.

    2. Blunder fc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      use a chip, you're running out of weeks to use them. Probably wildcard then bench boost, use free hit in 32 and TC Haaland in 34

      1. Milk, 1 Šuker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Would you have Haaland or Kane on the WC?

        1. Flynniesta
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Cheers guys.
          Fwiw, I’d probably ditch Haaland for a week but keep Kane

  9. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Have 9 starters and 2 FT

    A - Haaland > Watkins and roll 1 FT into DGW29 (play 10 in GW28)
    B - Haaland & Mee > Watkins & Chilwell
    C - Other suggestion?

    Kepa
    Zinc - Mee - Trippier - Botman
    Saka - Marti
    Kane - Toney

    Raya - Haaland - Mitoma - March - Estu - Rashford

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A or B

  10. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    OMG Viera fired! New manager bounce inc for Palace. Arsenal will lose.
    Sell all my Arsenal assets on a WC?

    1. Bavarian
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Zaha (TC)

    2. tokara
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Zaha IN

      1. JIMMY TUGGINS
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Got him last week.

  11. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    On WC, best Arsenal defender?

    A- White ( Tomiyasu is now injured)
    B- Gabriel
    C- Zinchenko

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Gabriel

    2. Mighty Wings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      B or C, toss a coin

    3. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      May as well just go for White

  12. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    (c) Chilwell over Toney/Watkins?

    1. Mighty Wings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Watkins, Toney, Chillwell, in this order for me

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Reverse of this for me. I don't think I really trust Villa enough to captain Watkins & Bournemouth have looked a lot better than I expected recently, wouldn't be surprised at an upset there.

        Toney has a good matchup v Leicester (although not the best record against them) with Faes suspended, Evans a doubt. And I feel like they never really fixed their problems defending set pieces. But he can be a bit hit & miss, so there's always a slight doubt about capping him, for me.

        Chilwell's on quite the hot streak & is going to put in a ton of crosses. His delivery has been superb recently. I can see a CS + A + bonus as maybe more likely than 2+ goals for Toney

        1. Mighty Wings
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Good points. But captaining a defender very rarely works out, even if all the signs are pointing to a haul...

  13. donbagino
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Wc active:

    Kepa
    Chilwell Botman Trippier Gabriel
    Maddison Saka Martinelli
    Kane Toney Watkins

    Subs: Steele Mitoma Rashford Shaw

    a) Martinelli -->Odegaard (a next week Odegaard-->March/MacAllister
    b) Martinelli --> Billing
    c) Martinelli -->Almiron
    d) other?

  14. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Whatcha reckon? Planning to BB29. If doing A/B then I can’t afford GW29: Martinelli -> Bruno and GW30: Toney -> Haaland.

    A) Estupinan -> Chilwell (11 starters)
    B) Mee -> Chilwell (10 starters)
    C) Save FT

    Kepa
    Trippier, James, Zinchenko, Mee
    Saka, Martinelli
    Kane, Watkins, Toney

    Raya, Estupinan, March, Mitoma, Rashford
    Bank 7.7m, 1FT, BB/FH left

    1. Mighty Wings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      C, you will want 2 FT next week

    2. TopCorner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      C 100%

  15. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Kepa
    Trippier Schar Zinchenko Henry
    Martinelli Saka *March
    Kane Toney Watkins
    Raya Estupiñan Mitoma Rashford

    1 FT

    A Play with 10 and take 2 FT for GW 29
    B Henry to Chilwell and play with 10
    C Estupiñan to Chilwell
    D March to Maddison

  16. focaccia
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Pick one:

    A) Dunk > Chilwell (field 11)
    B) Pinnock > Chilwell (field 10 but keep Brighton assets for double)

  17. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is White a big downgrade on Gabriel/Zinchenko?

    1. Fellaini's Fro
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Not anymore that tomiyasu is out

  18. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    8 players playing atm

    Kepa
    White Trippier Mee
    Saka Martinelli Rash*
    Kane Toney Haaland*
    Subs Ward TAA* Mitoma* Alexis*

    Do I
    A Haaland to Watkins
    B Haaland to Havertz
    C TAA to Chilwell
    D TAA to Schar

    E For -4 A/B + C/D

    1. TopCorner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      C

  19. TopCorner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Captain
    A) Trippier or
    B) Gabriel?

    Kane’s gonna blank and I’ve just got a feeling…….!!!

  20. Miniboss
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Second attempt:

    2ft, 3.1itb

    Haaland to Watkins, field 10 & save other FT?

    Kepa
    Trippier Botman Zinchenko Henry
    Saka Odegaard
    Kane(c) Toney

    Raya Haaland Rashford Mitoma Estupinan March

    1. TopCorner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

  21. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Best defender with both this GW and 29 in mind? 5.5 itb

    1. TopCorner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Trip or Schar

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Have Trip and Chillwell

        1. TopCorner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Schar for me, NFO this gw and a double in 29.
          Other option would be Castagne who plays Brentford this week and a nice double in 29 but not worth it long term imo.

  22. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Toney or Havertz on wc?

    1. TopCorner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Depends on who else you have up front

      1. ididnt
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Kane, Watkins

    2. Fellaini's Fro
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      9 yellows

    3. TopCorner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah would have to say Havertz for safety and he’s got a nice run. But surely you’re thinking about bringing back Haaland at some point, and I’d be wanting to keep Kane and Watkins, so if funds aren’t a problem maybe Toney short term for this week and a double GW29 to then swap to Haaland GW30?

  23. gkoc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Thinking of selling Zinchenko for Chilwell rather than Henry. He played 120 minutes last night, and that move does give you one extra fixture over the next two gameweeks. Of course, Zinchenko can easily outscore Henry in 29 with a single game, but in a week where benches are non existent, it's better to go for a player you know is gonna start and play.

    1. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I don't see Henry getting more than 3 points over the two fixtures.

    2. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Cont..

      Zinch has two full days rest before the next game. He'll start IMHO.

  24. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which GK would you play?

    a. Kepa

    b. Pope

    Cheers

    1. Miniboss
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      thanks lads A it is.

  25. Jacktastic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Viera sacked. Does this alter captaincy choice?

    1. Miniboss
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      yeah

      1. Jacktastic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Martinelli it is then!

        1. TKC07
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Martinelli played 120 mins in EL.. Might get subbed off early or subbed on late..

  26. Jordan.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    w/c28 bb 29
    kepa
    chilwell/trippier/burn/castagne
    odegaard/maddison/mitoma
    kane c / isak / havertz

    steele/shaw/rashford/mcallister

    9m itb

    10 in 28
    odegaard to dgwk in 29 gives 14 dgwk

  27. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Feel like Schar likely out. If he was trying to get out of international duty surely he'd play the Forest match first and then pull out. Why announce it now.

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Because Switzerland announced their squad already? Could be he just plays through for Newcastle but not really sure tbh

  28. focaccia
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts on best moves this week? Have 2FTs…

    A) Dunk & Haaland > Chilwell & Watkins (field 11)
    B) Pinnock & Haaland > Chilwell & Watkins

    Kepa
    Pinnock - Trippier - Zinchenko
    Odegaard - Saka - Maddison
    Toney - Kane

    Raya - Haaland - Rashford - Estu - MacAllister - Dunk

  29. _Make
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Whisper it quietly but ᵗʰᵉ ᵇᵉˢᵗ ᶜᵃᵖᵗᵃⁱⁿ ˢʰᵒᵘᵗ ⁱⁿ ᵗᵉʳᵐˢ ᵒᶠ ᵖˡᵃʸᵉʳ, ᵗᵉᵃᵐ ᵃⁿᵈ ᵒᵖᵖᵒˢⁱᵗⁱᵒⁿ ᶠᵒʳᵐ ⁱˢ ᵃ ᶜᵉʳᵗᵃⁱⁿ ᴹʳ ᴵᵛᵃⁿ "ᵗʰᵉ ᵀᵒⁿᵉʸ" ᵀᵒⁿᵉʸ

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Ooh how did you do that?

      1. _Make
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        google "superscript generator 🙂 "

        1. _Make
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          without the smiley: move the quotations marks, conquer the world

    2. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      ChatGPT?

    3. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Whisper it quietly but ᵗʰᵉ ᵇᵉˢᵗ ᶜᵃᵖᵗᵃⁱⁿ ˢʰᵒᵘᵗ ⁱⁿ ᵗᵉʳᵐˢ ᵒᶠ ᵖˡᵃʸᵉʳ, ᵗᵉᵃᵐ ᵃⁿᵈ ᵒᵖᵖᵒˢⁱᵗⁱᵒⁿ ᶠᵒʳᵐ ⁱˢ ᵃ ᶜᵉʳᵗᵃⁱⁿ ̶ᴹ̶ʳ̶ ̶ᴵ̶ᵛ̶ᵃ̶ⁿ̶ ̶"̶ᵗ̶ʰ̶ᵉ̶ ̶ᵀ̶ᵒ̶ⁿ̶ᵉ̶ʸ̶"̶ ̶ᵀ̶ᵒ̶ⁿ̶ᵉ̶ʸ̶ Mr Harry Kane

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Nice try 😉
        I would also like to know how you do the strike-through text

        1. TKC07
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          How would a person who intended to strike-through the text ended up with under-lines know that..? lol

  30. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    2FT 0.3ITB
    Raya Ward
    Tripps Zinc Mee Eustupian Dalot
    Marti Ode Rash Mads Mcalister
    Haaland Kane Toney

    Dalot & Haaland to Chilwell & Watkins? Yay or Nay
    Any other suggestions very welcome? Planning on BB GW29

    Im behind in my ML by 168 points so decided to go without Kane from GW30 onwards to try and make up ground so will swap Kane for Haaland in GW30.

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yay