Scout Notes
28 April 2023 788 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We end our analysis of the Gameweek 33 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Thursday night matches – Everton v Newcastle United, Southampton v Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




WILSON ROTATION DENTS ISAK APPEAL

In a match of contrasting moods, Everton look in deep trouble as they try to prevent their first relegation since 1951. A spirited start turned into a 4-1 defeat against this jubilant Newcastle side now on the verge of returning to the Champions League.

One popular route for purchasing Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) continues to be the downgrade of Harry Kane (£11.5m) to Alexander Isak (£6.8m). Not only did the Spurs forward bag 11 points in his match – taking him to eight returns from seven matches – but the Swedish superstar is sharing game time with Callum Wilson (£6.9m).

It’s a luxurious position for Newcastle to be in, having two in-form forwards to pick from, not that it helps FPL managers at all. Wilson’s brace probably won’t stop Isak from starting at home to Southampton this weekend but Double Gameweek 36 could easily see Eddie Howe repeat the rotation of both tonight and Double Gameweek 29.

Adding to the frustration, Isak’s cameo produced a breathtaking solo run that seemed to assist Jacob Murphy’s (£4.1m) tap-in. However, it was ruled that his diverted pass was intended for Wilson and therefore he ended on one point.

FPL review: Bruno on pens, XX

JOY FOR RASHFORD AND FERNANDES

Seeing Bruno Fernandes (£9.5m) start for Man United felt superhuman, considering Monday’s photo of him in a protective boot. Subsequently ditched or benched by many owners, the Portuguese playmaker set up Marcus Rashford’s (£7.1m) goal and later hit the crossbar.

Recently back from his own injury, Rashford excelled as the forward at Spurs and infuriated the near-two million managers that recently sold him by assisting Jadon Sancho (£7.1m) before his own strike.

Double Gameweek 34 looks tricky on paper versus Aston Villa and Brighton and Hove Albion but our Season Ticker rates Man United as having the second-best fixture run over these final weeks and a lot of late transfers will look to get at least one of this elite attacking pair.

Where have Newcastle's clean sheets gone? 5

STILL NO NEWCASTLE CLEAN SHEET

Ultimately, Man United threw away their 2-0 lead in the second half, denying a clean sheet for Luke Shaw (£5.1m) and David De Gea (£5.0m). As for Spurs, the main defensive positive was that this time they weren’t 5-0 down after 21 minutes, with new interim boss Ryan Mason returning them to a wing-back system that was rewarded by Pedro Porro’s (£4.8m) goal.

Meanwhile, once again, Newcastle somehow found a way to lose a secure-looking clean sheet. They’re still the season’s best defence for total number of goals conceded but they have just one successful shut-out from their last 12 matches.

A warning came late in the first half when Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s (£7.9m) goal was deemed offside but owners of Kieran Trippier (£6.2m), Nick Pope (£5.4m), Sven Botman (£4.5m) and Fabian Schar (£5.1m) will be furious that, when coasting 3-0, they allowed Dwight McNeil’s (£5.1m) corner kick to somehow go straight past the goalkeeper.

Trippier’s FPL ownership is almost unanimous but his freakish streak of returning in 17 of this season’s first 20 matches has been followed by ten blanks from the latest 12. He was denied an assist when a corner led to Schar’s attempt being cleared off the line, before his Swiss teammate saw a beautiful long-range curler ruled out in the 90th minute. A bad night for the owners of both Schar and Isak.

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke

BITS AND PIECES

Adding to the Isak problem is that anyone looking towards an alternative differential like Anthony Martial (£6.3m) will notice his minutes are also being managed. Named as a substitute tonight, he witnessed Rashford be excellent up front and it’s hard to have confidence that the Frenchman will start twice in either of Man United’s upcoming double gameweeks.

Let’s also mention the night’s third encounter, pitting south coast sides Southampton and Bournemouth against each other in a crucial basement battle. Cheap forward Dominic Solanke (£5.6m) had an earlier assist taken away for offside reasons but succeeded when setting up the game’s only goal.

It’s the Cherries’ fifth win from eight league matches and their third successive away success. They’ve reached 36 points and will be confident of securing survival at home to Leeds United on Sunday.

Making things even worse for Southampton is that captain James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m) was taken off at half-time because of illness.


GAMEWEEK 33 LINE-UPS

Everton XI: Pickford; Godfrey, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Iwobi, Doucoure, Gana (Garner 83′), Onana (Maupay 73′), McNeil; Calvert-Lewin (Simms 83′)

Newcastle United XI: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Targett (Burn 68′); Longstaff (Isak 74′), Guimaraes, Willock (Anderson 87′); Almiron (Murphy 68′), Wilson (Gordon 87′), Joelinton

Southampton XI: McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Bednarek, Caleta-Car, Perraud (Maitland-Niles 36′); Elyounoussi (S Armstrong 61′), Ward-Prowse (Lyanco 46′), Lavia, Alcaraz; Walcott (Adams 61′), A Armstrong (Sulemana 76′)

Bournemouth XI: Neto; Kelly, Mepham, Senesi (Zabarnyi 68′), Vina; Lerma, Rothwell; Christie, Billing (Ouattara 90′), Tavernier (Smith 78′); Solanke (Moore 90′)

Tottenham Hotspur XI: Forster; Romero, Dier, Lenglet; Porro (Danjuma 77′), Hojbjerg, Skipp, Perisic (Davies 77′); Richarlison (Kulusevski 61′), Kane, Son (Tanganga 87′)

Manchester United XI: De Gea; Wan-Bissaka (Malacia 71′), Lindelof, Shaw, Dalot; Casemiro, Eriksen (Fred 61′); Antony (Weghorst 71′), Fernandes, Sancho (Martial 61′); Rashford



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

788 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Leading 15 points, all rivals have Shaw and Estupinian.

    1. Toti to Shaw
    2. Toti to Stones
    3. Toti to Estupinian
    ?

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      2

      1. Jebiga
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks man

        1. Geriatric Unathletic
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Sword or shield?? I would probably go for Estupinian as "cover" unless you have Steele already. Keep the differentials you already have.

    2. Prinzhorn
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Stones

  2. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Ederson | Kepa
    Chilwell Shaw Estupinan | Trippier Botman
    Fernandes Rashford March Mitoma Martinelli
    Haaland | Kane Watkins

    Kane+Martinelli+Chilwell -> Greenwood+Salah+7.1m def (-4)

    A) Robertson
    B) Van Dijk

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B, fancy Tsim to start one in the next 3

      1. frenchfries
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Ronnies
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Have you looked at Watkins > Jota as your 3rd transfer, and benching Chilwell?

      1. frenchfries
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Wow, that looks tasty! Have the exact funds. Thanks, will consider that

  3. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    who would you bench :

    1. Botman
    or
    2. Pinnock

    (playing Raya and Trippier)

    ?

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Very close..2 maybe, think Forest still have some fight in them Soton have just given up I feel.

  4. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Best option here-

    A Start Watkins
    B Start Burn
    C Start Henry
    D Watkins to Jota -4
    E Watkins to Isak -4

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      D or B

  5. dshv
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Tell me tour 3 Fh city plyers, probably can’t fit kdb haaland stones. 1m less

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      On a FH you probably should be able to fit those 3? Mahrez could be worth a punt if not

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        this and easily. i have low tv and could do it 🙂

      2. dshv
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        And salah and arnold and its hard..

  6. Do I Not Like Orange
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) Kane/Saka > Isak/Salah
    B) Kane/Chilwell > Jota/Trent

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

  7. Dollyems15
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A. Steele and stones
    Or
    B. Ederson and estipunian

    Which combo

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Dollyems15
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks, that's what I'm on just now just not sure on how many minutes Stones will get

  8. :
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I'm thinking that Mahrez is the Free Hitters joker in the pack this coming GW. I mean, he's definitely a dodgy one to consider on a permanent transfer but after his 20 minute run out against Arsenal on Wednesday, I feel in my water that he'll get a couple of starts against Fulham & West Ham before resting up against Leeds. He's a Feast or Famine type of player but he's very possibly got two bites of the cherry to try and emulate what he did just a week earlier.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      i m going haaland kdb and stones on fh. if kdb is out i might punt on mahrez.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Will probably get one start. Don't see why he would rest against Leeds though as he's not in Pep's preferred UCL 11 at this point. Silva will play RW at Madrid

  9. balint84
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    captain Rashford or keep calm with Haaland?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      haaland i think. i captained watkins this gw and learned my lesson 🙂

      1. balint84
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        same with Salah

  10. tibollom
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    What to do here guys, thinking of:

    a. saka > KDB
    b. saka/watkins > Salah + isak/wilson for -4pts
    c. saka/watkins > kdb + isak/wilson for -4pts
    d. saka/white > kdb + salah + 4.5 def for -4pts

    Team for 34 is:

    Raya Kepa
    Tripp Shaw Veltman(not sure hell play both though)
    Rash Mito Mac Saka Marti
    Haaland(c) Jota Watkins

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      d

      1. tibollom
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        my bad, cant have both kdb and salah lol.. so saka + white to Salah OR KDB + 4.5 def??

        1. frenchfries
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Would go Salah.

          Isak/wilson is risky considering rotation

          1. tibollom
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            thanks, alternatively I could do marti + saka to salah + Joelington for -4

  11. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone considering using TC this week? Or are there better GWs to come?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      THIS is the week I think

      1. frenchfries
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Haaland FTW?

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          yep

    2. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      yea i would if i still had it

    3. Jack Burton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah this week

  12. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Pure robbery with Isak's assist last night. Kane's assist was awarded. FPL towers are very corrupted

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Always been

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Corrupted lol

    3. Prinzhorn
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Disgusting imo

    4. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Kane got it for the first A

  13. balint84
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) play kane
    B) play Schar
    C) Kane to Jota for free

  14. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Best option of these?

    A - Sancho
    B - Antony
    C - Martial

    1. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      oh goodness.. none

    2. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Best is Sancho i would say.

      That beeing said, all rotation risk and i would not go for any of them

    3. balint84
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez, Grealish, Gündogan?

  15. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Took a -20 over 3 weeks for this lot

    Leaves 11 dgws

    DDG
    Trent Stones Estupinian
    Mitoma Salah Grealish Rashford March
    Haaland (triple) Jota

    Raya Trippier Watkins Moreno

    Correct Order???

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      v well planned!!! gtg and gl

  16. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Kane Saka to Salah Isak -4 went well…trying my luck again this week, which one?

    1) TAA
    2) Jota
    3) Mitoma
    4) TAA Mitoma -4, and bench one of: Trippier, Isak, Estupinan
    5) Stones Jota -4, and bench one of: Trippier, Isak, Estupinan
    6) Mitoma Jota -4, and bench Isak

  17. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Repost.
    Looking for some input please?

    Steele²
    Shaw² Trip Gabriel
    Salah² Mitoma² March² Rash²
    Haaland² Jota² Watkins
    Kepa Ode Chilwell Kilman

    Worth considering Gabriel, Chilwell, Ode to TAA², Dias², Andreas for -8?

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      no way, just Chillwell and Gabriel to Taa and Stones

      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Not enough funds unfortunately

        1. Jebiga
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Maybe consider Konate or VVD

          1. My heart goes Salalalalah
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            VVD and Stones works. Haven't considered Stones at all. Safe for 2 starts you think? Appreciated

  18. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Would you bench Mitoma or March player for Isak?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      this gw? isak has one game so you want to play mitoma and march surely? sorry if i dont read your question right.

      1. Jebiga
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Yes but its Southampton at home. I think they relegated already

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          i see your point but I would still play the brighton mids. gl 🙂

    2. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yes got to bench isak because of Brighton double. Isak might not even start! (I’m hoping he does because I have him)

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        He should be pretty nailed after rest last night

  19. sentz05
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Would you make any changes here on FH?

    Steele
    TAA Akankji Lindelof
    KDB Salah Rashford March Mitoma
    Haaland Jota

    0.1 itb

    1. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      you think kdb will play both?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        maybe not but worth a gamble imo. all city mid at risk to be honest

      2. sentz05
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I think so

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      whos your back up player? steete bit risky imo. i have same front 7 and

      ddg
      taa stones estu

      1. sentz05
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Steele surely nailed. Only got enough for Bueno as back up

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          go for it then 🙂

  20. it lies in the proles
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I still have my BB and TC.

    De Gea
    TAA, Dalot, Coufal
    KDB, Salah, March, Mitoma, Rash
    Haaland (C), Solanke

    Kepa, Watkins, Mings, Toti

    Shall I just TC this week or as there will not be better gw to BB, shall I do -12 to change the bench to players who double and BB?

    1. KanteTouchThis
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I would BB but maybe don't take a -12, doubt it covers.

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      That is an awful bench to BB this week. TC for sure

  21. tim_oriordan
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which combo gets more points?

    A) Trippier, Salah*, Jota*
    B) Trent*, Mahrez*, Jota*

    1. KanteTouchThis
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

      Mahrez might only have a couple of sub appearances

  22. KanteTouchThis
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Best Gnonto replacement for a -4 (BB GW34)? 0.1 ITB

    Has to be Ferguson yeah? Probable gets gametime in both matches.

  23. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Strugging this week as I've been priced out of my initial plan, now 0.1 short... current options are:

    1. Kane Odegaard Ake >> Greenwood KDB TAA (-4)
    2. Kane Odegaard Shaw >> Greenwood Salah TAA (-4)
    3. Kane Odegaard Ake Watkins >> Greenwood Salah TAA Isak (-8)

    Which one, or any other ideas??

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Out of those, 2.

      Definitely not 3!

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      As much as I'm not convinced by a -8, it could work. Otherwise probably 2 and so Watkins to Isak later on

      1. FCSB
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Completely agree, I hate more than -4 but it gives me a route to Salah without losing Shaw or Trippier…

        And I’d be bringing Isak in anyway in future, would just need Watkins to blank

  24. balint84
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    play Solanke or Schär?

  25. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Rashford points last night helped me hit 28k OR!

    Was gutted Trippier lost his cleany, but not sure that would've got me any higher...

    Highest ever finish was 32k, so I am hoping to hold the top 30k this season.

    TC Haaland this week means even more now

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Shoot for the moon - the top 10k is in reach!

  26. Ian Davis
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) Gabriel > Stones/Dias (-4)

    B) Andreas > March (-4)

    C) Watkins > Jota (-4)

    Swaying towards March because of the 3 doubles..

  27. Babit1967
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Tempted to just save ft and play Andreas, thoughts here?

    A) Kane to Jota ft
    B) Save ft, keep Kane and play Andreas

    De gea
    Stones Van Dijk Trippier Estupinan
    Salah Grealish Andreas Rashford Mitoma
    Haaland

    Steele Kane Watkins Mings & 0.1 itb

  28. Hazardous1221
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    If you could get 2 Liverpool assets for free, would you take a -8 for the third one or just leave it?

  29. Jack Burton
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Are Salah and Jota really essential I have the funds, but don't really want to lose Kane and Salah

  30. tibollom
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone else not have salah or kdb yet? Which would you chose for the double?

    a. saka to KDB
    b. saka + Watkins to KDB/SALAH ISAK/WILSON
    c. saka + white to KDB/SALAH + 4.5 defender

    Raya
    Trippier VEltman Shaw
    Rash Mito MAC Saka Marti
    Haaland Watkins Jota

    1. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      forgot to say b + C are for -4, only have 1 FT