Scout Notes
28 April 2023 788 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We end our analysis of the Gameweek 33 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Thursday night matches – Everton v Newcastle United, Southampton v Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




WILSON ROTATION DENTS ISAK APPEAL

In a match of contrasting moods, Everton look in deep trouble as they try to prevent their first relegation since 1951. A spirited start turned into a 4-1 defeat against this jubilant Newcastle side now on the verge of returning to the Champions League.

One popular route for purchasing Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) continues to be the downgrade of Harry Kane (£11.5m) to Alexander Isak (£6.8m). Not only did the Spurs forward bag 11 points in his match – taking him to eight returns from seven matches – but the Swedish superstar is sharing game time with Callum Wilson (£6.9m).

It’s a luxurious position for Newcastle to be in, having two in-form forwards to pick from, not that it helps FPL managers at all. Wilson’s brace probably won’t stop Isak from starting at home to Southampton this weekend but Double Gameweek 36 could easily see Eddie Howe repeat the rotation of both tonight and Double Gameweek 29.

Adding to the frustration, Isak’s cameo produced a breathtaking solo run that seemed to assist Jacob Murphy’s (£4.1m) tap-in. However, it was ruled that his diverted pass was intended for Wilson and therefore he ended on one point.

FPL review: Bruno on pens, XX

JOY FOR RASHFORD AND FERNANDES

Seeing Bruno Fernandes (£9.5m) start for Man United felt superhuman, considering Monday’s photo of him in a protective boot. Subsequently ditched or benched by many owners, the Portuguese playmaker set up Marcus Rashford’s (£7.1m) goal and later hit the crossbar.

Recently back from his own injury, Rashford excelled as the forward at Spurs and infuriated the near-two million managers that recently sold him by assisting Jadon Sancho (£7.1m) before his own strike.

Double Gameweek 34 looks tricky on paper versus Aston Villa and Brighton and Hove Albion but our Season Ticker rates Man United as having the second-best fixture run over these final weeks and a lot of late transfers will look to get at least one of this elite attacking pair.

Where have Newcastle's clean sheets gone? 5

STILL NO NEWCASTLE CLEAN SHEET

Ultimately, Man United threw away their 2-0 lead in the second half, denying a clean sheet for Luke Shaw (£5.1m) and David De Gea (£5.0m). As for Spurs, the main defensive positive was that this time they weren’t 5-0 down after 21 minutes, with new interim boss Ryan Mason returning them to a wing-back system that was rewarded by Pedro Porro’s (£4.8m) goal.

Meanwhile, once again, Newcastle somehow found a way to lose a secure-looking clean sheet. They’re still the season’s best defence for total number of goals conceded but they have just one successful shut-out from their last 12 matches.

A warning came late in the first half when Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s (£7.9m) goal was deemed offside but owners of Kieran Trippier (£6.2m), Nick Pope (£5.4m), Sven Botman (£4.5m) and Fabian Schar (£5.1m) will be furious that, when coasting 3-0, they allowed Dwight McNeil’s (£5.1m) corner kick to somehow go straight past the goalkeeper.

Trippier’s FPL ownership is almost unanimous but his freakish streak of returning in 17 of this season’s first 20 matches has been followed by ten blanks from the latest 12. He was denied an assist when a corner led to Schar’s attempt being cleared off the line, before his Swiss teammate saw a beautiful long-range curler ruled out in the 90th minute. A bad night for the owners of both Schar and Isak.

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke

BITS AND PIECES

Adding to the Isak problem is that anyone looking towards an alternative differential like Anthony Martial (£6.3m) will notice his minutes are also being managed. Named as a substitute tonight, he witnessed Rashford be excellent up front and it’s hard to have confidence that the Frenchman will start twice in either of Man United’s upcoming double gameweeks.

Let’s also mention the night’s third encounter, pitting south coast sides Southampton and Bournemouth against each other in a crucial basement battle. Cheap forward Dominic Solanke (£5.6m) had an earlier assist taken away for offside reasons but succeeded when setting up the game’s only goal.

It’s the Cherries’ fifth win from eight league matches and their third successive away success. They’ve reached 36 points and will be confident of securing survival at home to Leeds United on Sunday.

Making things even worse for Southampton is that captain James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m) was taken off at half-time because of illness.


GAMEWEEK 33 LINE-UPS

Everton XI: Pickford; Godfrey, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Iwobi, Doucoure, Gana (Garner 83′), Onana (Maupay 73′), McNeil; Calvert-Lewin (Simms 83′)

Newcastle United XI: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Targett (Burn 68′); Longstaff (Isak 74′), Guimaraes, Willock (Anderson 87′); Almiron (Murphy 68′), Wilson (Gordon 87′), Joelinton

Southampton XI: McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Bednarek, Caleta-Car, Perraud (Maitland-Niles 36′); Elyounoussi (S Armstrong 61′), Ward-Prowse (Lyanco 46′), Lavia, Alcaraz; Walcott (Adams 61′), A Armstrong (Sulemana 76′)

Bournemouth XI: Neto; Kelly, Mepham, Senesi (Zabarnyi 68′), Vina; Lerma, Rothwell; Christie, Billing (Ouattara 90′), Tavernier (Smith 78′); Solanke (Moore 90′)

Tottenham Hotspur XI: Forster; Romero, Dier, Lenglet; Porro (Danjuma 77′), Hojbjerg, Skipp, Perisic (Davies 77′); Richarlison (Kulusevski 61′), Kane, Son (Tanganga 87′)

Manchester United XI: De Gea; Wan-Bissaka (Malacia 71′), Lindelof, Shaw, Dalot; Casemiro, Eriksen (Fred 61′); Antony (Weghorst 71′), Fernandes, Sancho (Martial 61′); Rashford



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

788 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Boberella
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Enciso anyone?

  2. Prinzhorn
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Got robbed from March points now got robbed from Isak points.

    Who else?

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Me

  3. GE
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which two players to ditch for Salah and Rashford?

    1) Saka
    2) Martinelli
    3) Mitoma
    4) MacAllister
    5) Grealish

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Has to be 1&2 this week with the other 3 doubling

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I'd agree with this even though Arsenal could rip that terrible Chelsea team apart

        1. GE
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          That’s the worry

    2. JELLYFISH
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      That’s difficult one but like the others it’s probably 1 & 2.
      I’m deliberating over losing Saka (for Gakpo for a hit) but worried that he could haul against Chelsea.

    3. DLLM
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      if budget is not an issue. Macallister and saka

  4. Hazardous1221
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    If you could get two Liverpool assets for free, would you take a -8 for the third one or just leave it?

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Leave it as 2 I’d say

  5. G Banger
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Current BB is:

    Steele (Leno)
    Tripper / Botman / TAA (Coufal / Lindelof)
    Rashford / Salah / Mitoma / Grealish (March)
    Haaland / Jota / Isak

    Not going to take a hit, so anything worth doing for free?

  6. Edalock
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    DDG (Iverson)
    Trippier Pinnock Estupinan Chilwell Botman
    Martinelli Salah Mitoma March Rashford
    Kane Haaland Watkins
    2 FT
    0.2itb

    Kane Chilwell to TAA Jota
    Or something else. What do I do?

    1. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      yea those moves look good

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Those are good moves imo. Be nice to get more city perhaps (eg: Marti to Grealish, or Kane to cheaper and get KDB)

      1. Edalock
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I'm a little concerned about getting 3 Liverpool players with just 1 DGW. Kane to who, if not Jota?

        1. Boberella
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          I’d maybe go Isak for future doubles then. Or don’t do TAA and just have Salah and Jota as your 2 LIV if that still enables KDB. Can’t have Em all, it’s a tricky one!

  7. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Ederson | Kepa
    Chilwell Shaw Estupinan | Trippier Botman
    Fernandes Rashford March Mitoma Martinelli
    Haaland | Kane Watkins

    For -4
    A) Kane+Watkins+Martinelli --> Jota+Greenwood+Salah
    B) Kane+Martinelli+Chilwell --> Greenwood+Salah+Van Dijk

    1. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      a

    2. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      KDB over Salah lets you afford Trent over VVD??

  8. tibollom
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    1.Isak or Wilson?
    2.Salah or KDB?

    Thinking of Watkins + Saka (-4) for the above...

    Raya Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Veltman
    Mac Mito Rash Saka Marti
    Haaland Jota Watkins

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      1. Isak
      2. KDB

      1. tibollom
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        thanks mate, you think kdb will play both? my ML rival who is only 10pts ahead of me has salah and isak and will use his BB for the double, so not sure if i need to differentiate now with KDB or take same as him

        1. Boberella
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          I think there’s no reason for KDB not to play both and he was amazing vs Arsenal. If your ML is that close though, maybe go Salah and hope your other differences pay off.

  9. pundit of punts
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    FH team -

    Thoughts? 🙂

    Steele
    TAA - Robertson - Stones - Lindelof
    Salah - KDB - Fernandes - Rashford - Mitoma
    Haaland

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Like that one. Should do well.

      I’m really tempted by Jota and want KDB as a diff, so my FH looks like this:

      Steele
      TAA Stones Dalot
      KDB Salah Mitoma Rashy
      Haaland Jota Enciso

      Bit different but chasing so ok with the punts.

      1. pundit of punts
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I wanted Jota as well

        Just not sure about his minutes

        Don’t want FH to be a damp squib

    2. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      That’s basically what I want but my team value comes up short. Great team.

  10. it lies in the proles
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Would you BB:

    Steele, Zanka, Bueno, Edouard

    Or any better candidates for similar price? Or just TC this week and bb another day?

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Bueno wont start, but the fixtures are there for the others. I'd still use the TC over the BB this week.

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      No. TC this week and BB later.

  11. Hitthewall
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is this worth a -8?

    Kepa + Chilwell + Martinelli --> Steele + TAA + Mitoma

    1. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      No

      1. donbagino
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        No

  12. jack88
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Feels criminal to ditch kane for someone else

    1. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yup learnt the hard way after ditching him for a hit

    2. Jack Burton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'm feeling the same was going to do fernandes and kane to jota and salah,unsure if I want to now

  13. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Current squad:

    Steele*
    Tripp Gabriel Mings
    Saka Marti Rashford*(vc) Mitoma* March*
    Kane Haaland*(tc)

    Kepa Watkins Chilwell Neco

    2.5m itb and 1ft, TC to play this DGW!

    I think Kane needs to go?! Am thinking about -8 this GW, as 5 DGWers doesn't seem enough? Would love to break 25k OR this season... Help!

  14. RashFraud
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Pick one:
    A. Zinchenko > stones
    B. Watkins > Jota (-4)

  15. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    BB left when to BB?
    34: DDG Botman Trippier Solanke
    or
    37: DDG Schar Trippier Isak

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Now

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Having everyone fit and ready is the biggest barrier to a decent BB - if they're g2g just play it as if you don't it'll be sods law something will go wrong in 37

        1. Shark Team
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Yes true, let’s hope Newcastle keep a clean sheet and it’s successful

          1. Mr. O'Connell
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            It's better than mine and I'm pulling the trigger

            Iversen, Castagne, Trippier, Solanke

            1. Shark Team
              • 8 Years
              2 years, 10 months ago

              I WC33 this is why I have this bench, yours is good too and worth playing

            2. Gegenpress
              • 9 Years
              2 years, 10 months ago

              Yeh I was contemplating the same as I have TC left too was tempted with Harland TC.. But pulling the trigger on BB due to rotation later and also injuries

              Have literally the same BB apart from Isak over Castagne

    2. DLLM
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      i'm using BB this week.

      Steele Watkins White Botman

      1. Shark Team
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Worth, they are all very likely to return

  16. battlecat
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Given that Frank Lampard appears to be one of the worst managers of all time, I’ve a sneaky suspicion that anyone still fielding Saka, Martinelli, etc could find themselves doing quite well this week.

    Currently got Gabriel and Martinelli as subs and wishing I still had my somewhat wasted bench boost.

    1. JELLYFISH
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I sold Gabriel this week but I am (currently) holding Saka for this reason.
      Selling for Gakpo is tempting though (only have TAA for pool cover).

      1. battlecat
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Overall I’d be happy not to have Gabriel, but after seeing that stat of Lampard losing 16 of his last 19 matches as manager, and the state of Chelsea, they do seem a team to target. If it wasn’t for the DGW I’d be all over Arsenal.

  17. Dave2008
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A Salah TAA and Mitoma or
    B Salah VVD or any defender 6.6 or less and Rashford?

  18. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Going Ake over stones in GW31 has been one of the worst transfers I can remember.

    Ake injured
    Stones two goals
    Snookered with my transfers this week as I can't bring in a third City easily and all my preferred options leave me short to upgrade Ake to Stones.

    Grrr!

  19. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    So Kane’s assist despite bouncing off a defender gets given while Isak’s doesn’t?

    1. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Isak didn’t want to pass to Murphy this is why

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Isak cross was going to a different player to that who scored.
      Kane assist was a clear assist not sure what you saw?

    3. Milk, 1 Šuker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks for the clarification guys. Just seen again.

  20. Lord of Ings
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Will ake be fit for the double?

  21. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone know what's happening with Laporte? Pep not a fan?

    1. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      He is leaving on summer

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Ah makes sense

  22. Vovhund
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Best attacker max 7.5m? Isak, right?

    1. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably

      1. Vovhund
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Any real alterntives? Don't like what I see from Martial

        1. Shark Team
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          For this gw only, maybe Antonio. Solanke also may do well vs LEE(H). Another good long term option is Ferguson when he’s fit

    2. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      wilson?

    3. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Wilson 36 vsIsak 27 past five games

      1. Vovhund
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Those point are gone. I´m looking for the points to come 🙂 I think, Isak is Howe's first choice

  23. Lord of Ings
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is grealish too Mahrez worth a -4 or it’s just too risk?

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Risky *

  24. donbagino
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    1FT, 0,0itb
    Steele* (Kepa)
    TAA*, Shaw*, Trippier (Botman, Gabriel)
    Rashford*, Mitoma*, MacAllister* Grealish* (Saka)
    Haaland*, Kane, (Watkins)

    I cannot afford combo: Kane + Saka --> Salah + Jota or Isak and I don't want to go (-8), so which transfers:
    a) Kane --> Jota (FT)
    b) Saka -->Gakpo (FT)
    c) both transfers above (-4)
    d) Kane + MacAllister -->Jota + Gakpo (-4)
    e) other?

  25. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Go with boring one and do Chilwell Martinelli to TAA Mitoma -4 and bench Trippier/play Isak?

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Been thinking Jota over TAA but not really sure he will start both games?

  26. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Morning All,

    Who to start?

    A- Gabriel (CHE) and no other Arsenal players
    B- Watkins (mun)

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Ollie

  27. abaalan
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    DGW34, 2 ft...thoughts on any of the below?

    A) Kane + Bruno + Saka + Pinnock -> Martial + Rashford + Salah + TAA -8 [10 doublers]
    B) Kane + Saka + Bruno -> Greenwood + KDB + Salah -4 [8 doublers]
    C) Kane + Saka -> Martial + Salah [9 doublers]
    D) Kane + Saka + Chilwell -> Martial + Salah + Stones -4 [10 doublers]
    E) kane +saka + Watkins + chilwell -> Jota + salah + greenwood + taa -8 [10 doublers]

    1. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      stay away from martial mate

  28. FootballRookie
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Worth taking a -4 hit to replace Johnstone to Steele?

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Nop, can’t see Brighton keeping CS in either game

  29. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    How is my tweaked FH team looking like? Might take a punt on Mahrez or Grealish, but would need to replace March or Mitoma.

    Steele

    TAA / Dalot / Stones

    KDB / Rashford / Salah / Mitoma / March

    Haaland / Jota

    Iversen | Shaw | Coufal | Greenwood

    Thanks

  30. Gegenpress
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone else with both BB and TC left?

    I wildcarded 33 - in a decent position I think around 25 points behind in my biggest mini league and 10-15 in the others.

    I see mostly everyone has used their BB - some are left with TC and one has WC too..

    I was fully considering BB for 34 and have set my team up for a 34 BB with a FT to use too! However, having looked at it in depth and Haaland form / no CL atm would a TC 34 be more fruitful with a BB in 36/37?

    Or should I stick to the plan and BB 34, with a TC in either 36 (ISAK) or 37 (HAALAND)

    What do you guys rate more a BB chip or TC chip?

    Team is below

    My current team is below:

    Ederson Iverson

    TAA Robbo AWB Estupinian Trippier

    Salah Rashford Grealish March Mitoma

    Haaland Isak Solanke

    Bench would be Isak (sou) Solanke (lee) Trippier (sou)

    With a FT

    TC on a Newcastle player 36 maybe an option too and just carry on with BB and hope Harland misses one of the 2 games in 34