Scout Notes
28 April 2023 788 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We end our analysis of the Gameweek 33 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Thursday night matches – Everton v Newcastle United, Southampton v Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




WILSON ROTATION DENTS ISAK APPEAL

In a match of contrasting moods, Everton look in deep trouble as they try to prevent their first relegation since 1951. A spirited start turned into a 4-1 defeat against this jubilant Newcastle side now on the verge of returning to the Champions League.

One popular route for purchasing Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) continues to be the downgrade of Harry Kane (£11.5m) to Alexander Isak (£6.8m). Not only did the Spurs forward bag 11 points in his match – taking him to eight returns from seven matches – but the Swedish superstar is sharing game time with Callum Wilson (£6.9m).

It’s a luxurious position for Newcastle to be in, having two in-form forwards to pick from, not that it helps FPL managers at all. Wilson’s brace probably won’t stop Isak from starting at home to Southampton this weekend but Double Gameweek 36 could easily see Eddie Howe repeat the rotation of both tonight and Double Gameweek 29.

Adding to the frustration, Isak’s cameo produced a breathtaking solo run that seemed to assist Jacob Murphy’s (£4.1m) tap-in. However, it was ruled that his diverted pass was intended for Wilson and therefore he ended on one point.

FPL review: Bruno on pens, XX

JOY FOR RASHFORD AND FERNANDES

Seeing Bruno Fernandes (£9.5m) start for Man United felt superhuman, considering Monday’s photo of him in a protective boot. Subsequently ditched or benched by many owners, the Portuguese playmaker set up Marcus Rashford’s (£7.1m) goal and later hit the crossbar.

Recently back from his own injury, Rashford excelled as the forward at Spurs and infuriated the near-two million managers that recently sold him by assisting Jadon Sancho (£7.1m) before his own strike.

Double Gameweek 34 looks tricky on paper versus Aston Villa and Brighton and Hove Albion but our Season Ticker rates Man United as having the second-best fixture run over these final weeks and a lot of late transfers will look to get at least one of this elite attacking pair.

Where have Newcastle's clean sheets gone? 5

STILL NO NEWCASTLE CLEAN SHEET

Ultimately, Man United threw away their 2-0 lead in the second half, denying a clean sheet for Luke Shaw (£5.1m) and David De Gea (£5.0m). As for Spurs, the main defensive positive was that this time they weren’t 5-0 down after 21 minutes, with new interim boss Ryan Mason returning them to a wing-back system that was rewarded by Pedro Porro’s (£4.8m) goal.

Meanwhile, once again, Newcastle somehow found a way to lose a secure-looking clean sheet. They’re still the season’s best defence for total number of goals conceded but they have just one successful shut-out from their last 12 matches.

A warning came late in the first half when Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s (£7.9m) goal was deemed offside but owners of Kieran Trippier (£6.2m), Nick Pope (£5.4m), Sven Botman (£4.5m) and Fabian Schar (£5.1m) will be furious that, when coasting 3-0, they allowed Dwight McNeil’s (£5.1m) corner kick to somehow go straight past the goalkeeper.

Trippier’s FPL ownership is almost unanimous but his freakish streak of returning in 17 of this season’s first 20 matches has been followed by ten blanks from the latest 12. He was denied an assist when a corner led to Schar’s attempt being cleared off the line, before his Swiss teammate saw a beautiful long-range curler ruled out in the 90th minute. A bad night for the owners of both Schar and Isak.

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke

BITS AND PIECES

Adding to the Isak problem is that anyone looking towards an alternative differential like Anthony Martial (£6.3m) will notice his minutes are also being managed. Named as a substitute tonight, he witnessed Rashford be excellent up front and it’s hard to have confidence that the Frenchman will start twice in either of Man United’s upcoming double gameweeks.

Let’s also mention the night’s third encounter, pitting south coast sides Southampton and Bournemouth against each other in a crucial basement battle. Cheap forward Dominic Solanke (£5.6m) had an earlier assist taken away for offside reasons but succeeded when setting up the game’s only goal.

It’s the Cherries’ fifth win from eight league matches and their third successive away success. They’ve reached 36 points and will be confident of securing survival at home to Leeds United on Sunday.

Making things even worse for Southampton is that captain James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m) was taken off at half-time because of illness.


GAMEWEEK 33 LINE-UPS

Everton XI: Pickford; Godfrey, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Iwobi, Doucoure, Gana (Garner 83′), Onana (Maupay 73′), McNeil; Calvert-Lewin (Simms 83′)

Newcastle United XI: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Targett (Burn 68′); Longstaff (Isak 74′), Guimaraes, Willock (Anderson 87′); Almiron (Murphy 68′), Wilson (Gordon 87′), Joelinton

Southampton XI: McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Bednarek, Caleta-Car, Perraud (Maitland-Niles 36′); Elyounoussi (S Armstrong 61′), Ward-Prowse (Lyanco 46′), Lavia, Alcaraz; Walcott (Adams 61′), A Armstrong (Sulemana 76′)

Bournemouth XI: Neto; Kelly, Mepham, Senesi (Zabarnyi 68′), Vina; Lerma, Rothwell; Christie, Billing (Ouattara 90′), Tavernier (Smith 78′); Solanke (Moore 90′)

Tottenham Hotspur XI: Forster; Romero, Dier, Lenglet; Porro (Danjuma 77′), Hojbjerg, Skipp, Perisic (Davies 77′); Richarlison (Kulusevski 61′), Kane, Son (Tanganga 87′)

Manchester United XI: De Gea; Wan-Bissaka (Malacia 71′), Lindelof, Shaw, Dalot; Casemiro, Eriksen (Fred 61′); Antony (Weghorst 71′), Fernandes, Sancho (Martial 61′); Rashford



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

788 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Undecided on these for FH now.

    a) DDG + Estupiñian

    or

    b) Steele + Shaw

    Also, Stones or Dias?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

      Stones for an attacking streak?

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Good to see you mate, been a while.

      I’d go DDG and Estu for the latters attacking potential, but it’s close. Worried of Stones getting withdrawn early in one of the games, but I’d still risk it giving his potential compared to Dias

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Not seen that Ramires grav in too long! Hope you are well mate and life is treating you well. Yeah they look like close picks the United/Brighton defensive double up. Agreed on Stones with his added attacking threat. How is your fantasy team doing?

        1. Chris_White
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Sorry for the late response, I’m well and hope the same goes for you!

          I’m doing well this season actually, around 1k atm. How about you?

          1. Count of Monte Hristo
            • 12 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            That is some effort, congratulations! Hope the rest of the season goes well for you made and you get a triple digit finish! I am struggling around the 300k mark. Hoping for a good free hit this week.

    3. CABAYE4
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B and Dias for me.

      If they’re winning 3-0, Stones is going to be off early.

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks mate, I never considered that. Blinded by the beauty that is a John Stones header! 😆

        1. CABAYE4
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          He could well score one of the 3! The Leicester game is the blueprint for Pep I think in the easier fixtures and Stones was first to go off alongside Haaland.

    4. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A & Stones

  2. Chris_White
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone else considering starting Trippier over Shaw/Estu?

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I think a Newcastle clean sheet is very 2022 and while Trippier is so important to the team I don’t think they are as reliant on him going forward as they were. They are flying just now and looks like the whole team can contribute.

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Got tired with tinkering so took a hit a the team is locked - GTG?

    Raya
    TAA/Shaw/Estupinan
    Salah/Grealish/Rashford/Mitoma/March
    Haaland(c)/Isak

    Kepa/Trippier/Watkins/Botman

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Good luck...

      Just Trippier or Watkins first sub to decide!

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Let it be Tripp, just hope it won't be needed!

    2. One More Hit
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      We have 14 the same, I've also got my bench order the same as you. Good luck

  4. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    2 FT and 1.9 ITB

    A - Kane, Mart & Saka > Isak, Rash & Salah for -4
    B - Kane, Saka & Chilwell > Isak, Salah & TAA for -4
    C - Other suggestion?

    Raya
    Trippier - Estu - Shaw
    Mitoma - Grealish - March - Saka
    Watkins - Haaland - Kane

    Kepa - Martinelli - Botman - Chilwel

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'd go A but ditching Chilwell has a strong appeal too.

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I can bench Chilwell until next week and so this week boils down to TAA v Rash as I want Salah and Isak

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Yeah,

          Do A then.

    2. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'd do both A and B for -8

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Not enough funds for Marti > Rash sadly

  5. BHA_Seagull
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Can someone explain to me how Isak was not given an assist !?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Not the intended target of the pass.

      He was picking out Wilson.

      If the defenders arm hadn't deflected it to Murphy for the goal tho was it a penalty?

      1. BHA_Seagull
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Not intended agreed , yet a shot that's rebounded in counts as an assist !?
        Feel an strongly written email to FPL towers is in order...

    2. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah joke of a rule for not intending to pass to Murphy, cost me on head to head. Compare that to kanes blocked shot but still get an assist. Rules need looking at

      1. Lord.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        There’s nothing controversial about Kane’s assist, but I do think interpreting the intended recipient of the pass is a bit pony. The pass delivered the intended effect and the assist is being denied due to a minor deflection. We’ve definitely seen more dubious assists given in the past.

  6. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Rate my FH34 team please

    Steele
    TAA, Shaw, Estupinan
    KDB, Bruno, Mahrez, Gakpo, March
    Haaland, Jota

    1. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'd try to get Salah.
      Gakpo's minutes will be shared, but Salah will probably start both games

      1. Forza Papac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        What about Bruno, Gakpo, Shaw > Salah, Rashford, Lindelof?

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Bruno to rash gakpo to salah if possible.

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Not sure Bruno and Gakpo outscores Salah and Mitoma

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Rashford ahead of Bruno gives you more dosh to deploy...

  7. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Really need help guys, fell from 47K to 149K in 3 GWS.

    Currently on -4 with the below team,

    Alisson
    Botman Trippier Gabriel Shaw*
    Salah* March* Rashford* Mitoma* Grealish*
    Haaland *(TC)

    subs: Steele Watkins Edouard Chilwell

    Which is better?

    A- Chilwell > TAA for another -4, bench Gabriel
    B- Chilwell > TAA for another -4, bench Botman
    C- Leave as it is
    D- Something else

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I would be tempted in the TAA hit.

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Look at each move in isolation rather than thinking it as multiple hits

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

  8. kanuforpresident
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Best defender to bring in (this week and likely to end of season)

    A) TAA

    B) City def

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      TAA

    2. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      TAA

      mind helping me above?

  9. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I'm curious to hear folks thoughts on the below.

    Who will score the most points between GW34-38?

    1. Ederson (-4): 7 games
    2. Kepa: 6 games
    3. Raya: 5 games

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I bet it's Raya.

  10. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Got 2 FTs and will be swapping chilwell for TAA. In order to do this I need to swap Jesus for Antonio/Solanke OR Watkins for Solanke.

    Which striker would you rather KEEP for GW34 and the season run in
    J)esus
    W)atkins

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Watkins

  11. RedJive79
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    MacAllister to March for -4 worth it?

    1. Cahill
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Nah

    2. CABAYE4
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Not for me

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      No

    4. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      No way

    5. RedJive79
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      That's pretty conclusive! Thanks.

  12. CABAYE4
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Currently have 10 DGWers plus Trippier and 1FT. Which of these would you do?

    A. Save FT and play Trippier
    B. Mings to Robertson and bench Trippier
    C. Watkins to Jota and bench Trippier

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I like C

    2. Cahill
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Jota

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'd hold Mings.

      How many matches will Jota start in the next three?

      Spurs, Fulham and Brentford at home.

      1. CABAYE4
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I’d be fairly confident he doesn’t start all 3. Probably less minutes than 90 from Trippier in 34 and 90 from Watkins in 35.

        It’s a bit dull but thinking I’ll just do nothing.

    4. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Not many GWs left. Depending on the type of player you are, I would be a bit more aggressive this GW and both Robbo and Jota are good options to bring in

    5. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      C

  13. Cahill
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Walker or Akanji please?

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Akanji

    2. noissimbus
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Akanji

  14. Lord of Ings
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Raha
    Taa shaw trippier
    Salah (v) rash March Mitoma Grealish
    Haaland (c) Jota
    Kepa Schar Henry Greenwood
    1.5M ITB, -4 taken.
    Anything else worth a hit? I’m really considering grealish to Mahrez for -4 but looks really risky to me…

  15. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I hate that part of me is considering keeping Chilwell as the next two fixtures are 'good' 😆

  16. The White Pele
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    best option :
    A) Grealish & Jota
    B) Salah & Solanke -4

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

  17. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which FH is better ?
    A-
    Steele
    TAA Robbo indelöf Stones
    Salah KDB Rashford March Bruno
    Haaland ©
    B-
    Ederson
    TAA Estupian Shaw
    Salah Rashford KDB Mitoma March
    Haaland Jota

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B for me.

    2. The White Pele
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Cheers Guys Try to get Bruno in B or it's like that ?

  18. The Mighty Whites
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    1FT, 2.3 ITB:

    Raya - Kepa
    Trippier - Shaw - Ake - Henry - Botman
    Salah - Grealish - Rashford - Mitoma - March
    Haaland - Watkins - Isak

    A: Raya & Henry to Steele & TAA (-4)
    B: Kepa & Ake to Steele & Trent (-4)
    C: Ake & Watkins to any Man City defender & Jota (-4)

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B and 353 I'd ake confirmed out

  19. Hypnos
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Foden are we thinking he starts both games? Could be a maverick TC if so

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      TC 😆
      Just getting him is differential enough

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I love maverick moves but TC is too speculative even for me

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Prob not but grealish is due a rest so prob one of them

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez, Foden and Bernardo vying for RW. Difficult to say he starts both games unless Grealish needs a rest

  20. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is TC Haaland this week the best TC option between now and GW38?

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I think so

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yes. UCL after GW35 so should be fine for starts

  21. JollyGoodYellows
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is this worth a -8?

    Chilwell + Martinelli + Kane > Robertson + Salah + Isak.

    Can't afford TAA unfortunately

  22. alsybach
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Play trippier or Solanke to go alongside the usual suspects?

  23. Typo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    KDB with a mucleinjury, think he will play at all?

    A: 1 game
    B: Both games
    C: not at all / sub 60mins

    1. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      my whole issue right now.. really wnat him instead of salah

    2. AppleDunk
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Wait for pressers

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Difficult to say as a "niggle" is too vague. Need to see training photos/videos

    4. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A... he's been rested plenty this season. He'll have reduced minutes u till the CL semi is decided

  24. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    That 4-1 goal yesterday blew away any uncertainty about Alexander Isak. 100% certified baller.

    And if you had told med two years ago that Newcastle would be the most fun team to watch in 2023 I would have laughed.

  25. AppleDunk
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is this worth a -4?
    Watkins + Henry -> Greenwood + TAA

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably yes

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably, yes

    3. AppleDunk
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks for reply guys!

  26. Not again Shirley
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Captain Haaland (like probably everyone else) or Salah who has 2 decent home fixtures? I don’t really need to take the risk as not chasing but could be very good differential.

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Are you in Mls?

      I don't think it's worth the risk unless chasing

      1. Not again Shirley
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Top in a league of 50 odd and only 1 can really catch me now. He will captain Haaland.

  27. Concrete
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A Chilwell, Martinelli, Watkins to TAA, Andreas, Isaak -8

    B Chillwell, Watkins to Robbo and Isaak -4

    C Watkins, Martinelli to Isaak and Grealish -4

    D Chillwell, Martinelli, Watkins to Moreno, De Bruyne, Greenwood -8

  28. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Play double Newcastle defence (Trippier, Botman)

    Or play Trippier + Henry

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Double could pay off

      1. CheesyZoot
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        It's tempting but Newcastle seem a bit leaky

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Brentford home to Forest...

      Spread the load.

      1. CheesyZoot
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        This was my thinking...

        Henry more attacking potential as well?

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably Henry for slightly more attacking upside

      1. CheesyZoot
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers

  29. jaywills
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    2 FT;
    A) Roll
    B) Bruno F to Salah, Kane to Jota
    C) Bruno F to Salah, Kane to Isak, Zinchenko to TAA (-4)

    Note: Kane and Zinchenko would be benched in option a.

    Thanks!

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      C

  30. SKENG
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Bruno or Grealish - who would you sell for Salah until the end of the season? Money is not really an issue.

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Grealish