Scout Notes
28 April 2023 788 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We end our analysis of the Gameweek 33 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Thursday night matches – Everton v Newcastle United, Southampton v Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




WILSON ROTATION DENTS ISAK APPEAL

In a match of contrasting moods, Everton look in deep trouble as they try to prevent their first relegation since 1951. A spirited start turned into a 4-1 defeat against this jubilant Newcastle side now on the verge of returning to the Champions League.

One popular route for purchasing Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) continues to be the downgrade of Harry Kane (£11.5m) to Alexander Isak (£6.8m). Not only did the Spurs forward bag 11 points in his match – taking him to eight returns from seven matches – but the Swedish superstar is sharing game time with Callum Wilson (£6.9m).

It’s a luxurious position for Newcastle to be in, having two in-form forwards to pick from, not that it helps FPL managers at all. Wilson’s brace probably won’t stop Isak from starting at home to Southampton this weekend but Double Gameweek 36 could easily see Eddie Howe repeat the rotation of both tonight and Double Gameweek 29.

Adding to the frustration, Isak’s cameo produced a breathtaking solo run that seemed to assist Jacob Murphy’s (£4.1m) tap-in. However, it was ruled that his diverted pass was intended for Wilson and therefore he ended on one point.

FPL review: Bruno on pens, XX

JOY FOR RASHFORD AND FERNANDES

Seeing Bruno Fernandes (£9.5m) start for Man United felt superhuman, considering Monday’s photo of him in a protective boot. Subsequently ditched or benched by many owners, the Portuguese playmaker set up Marcus Rashford’s (£7.1m) goal and later hit the crossbar.

Recently back from his own injury, Rashford excelled as the forward at Spurs and infuriated the near-two million managers that recently sold him by assisting Jadon Sancho (£7.1m) before his own strike.

Double Gameweek 34 looks tricky on paper versus Aston Villa and Brighton and Hove Albion but our Season Ticker rates Man United as having the second-best fixture run over these final weeks and a lot of late transfers will look to get at least one of this elite attacking pair.

Where have Newcastle's clean sheets gone? 5

STILL NO NEWCASTLE CLEAN SHEET

Ultimately, Man United threw away their 2-0 lead in the second half, denying a clean sheet for Luke Shaw (£5.1m) and David De Gea (£5.0m). As for Spurs, the main defensive positive was that this time they weren’t 5-0 down after 21 minutes, with new interim boss Ryan Mason returning them to a wing-back system that was rewarded by Pedro Porro’s (£4.8m) goal.

Meanwhile, once again, Newcastle somehow found a way to lose a secure-looking clean sheet. They’re still the season’s best defence for total number of goals conceded but they have just one successful shut-out from their last 12 matches.

A warning came late in the first half when Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s (£7.9m) goal was deemed offside but owners of Kieran Trippier (£6.2m), Nick Pope (£5.4m), Sven Botman (£4.5m) and Fabian Schar (£5.1m) will be furious that, when coasting 3-0, they allowed Dwight McNeil’s (£5.1m) corner kick to somehow go straight past the goalkeeper.

Trippier’s FPL ownership is almost unanimous but his freakish streak of returning in 17 of this season’s first 20 matches has been followed by ten blanks from the latest 12. He was denied an assist when a corner led to Schar’s attempt being cleared off the line, before his Swiss teammate saw a beautiful long-range curler ruled out in the 90th minute. A bad night for the owners of both Schar and Isak.

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke

BITS AND PIECES

Adding to the Isak problem is that anyone looking towards an alternative differential like Anthony Martial (£6.3m) will notice his minutes are also being managed. Named as a substitute tonight, he witnessed Rashford be excellent up front and it’s hard to have confidence that the Frenchman will start twice in either of Man United’s upcoming double gameweeks.

Let’s also mention the night’s third encounter, pitting south coast sides Southampton and Bournemouth against each other in a crucial basement battle. Cheap forward Dominic Solanke (£5.6m) had an earlier assist taken away for offside reasons but succeeded when setting up the game’s only goal.

It’s the Cherries’ fifth win from eight league matches and their third successive away success. They’ve reached 36 points and will be confident of securing survival at home to Leeds United on Sunday.

Making things even worse for Southampton is that captain James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m) was taken off at half-time because of illness.


GAMEWEEK 33 LINE-UPS

Everton XI: Pickford; Godfrey, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Iwobi, Doucoure, Gana (Garner 83′), Onana (Maupay 73′), McNeil; Calvert-Lewin (Simms 83′)

Newcastle United XI: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Targett (Burn 68′); Longstaff (Isak 74′), Guimaraes, Willock (Anderson 87′); Almiron (Murphy 68′), Wilson (Gordon 87′), Joelinton

Southampton XI: McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Bednarek, Caleta-Car, Perraud (Maitland-Niles 36′); Elyounoussi (S Armstrong 61′), Ward-Prowse (Lyanco 46′), Lavia, Alcaraz; Walcott (Adams 61′), A Armstrong (Sulemana 76′)

Bournemouth XI: Neto; Kelly, Mepham, Senesi (Zabarnyi 68′), Vina; Lerma, Rothwell; Christie, Billing (Ouattara 90′), Tavernier (Smith 78′); Solanke (Moore 90′)

Tottenham Hotspur XI: Forster; Romero, Dier, Lenglet; Porro (Danjuma 77′), Hojbjerg, Skipp, Perisic (Davies 77′); Richarlison (Kulusevski 61′), Kane, Son (Tanganga 87′)

Manchester United XI: De Gea; Wan-Bissaka (Malacia 71′), Lindelof, Shaw, Dalot; Casemiro, Eriksen (Fred 61′); Antony (Weghorst 71′), Fernandes, Sancho (Martial 61′); Rashford



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

788 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. tibollom
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Will we have any news on KDB before the GW starts?

  2. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which move do you like?

    A) Zinchenko, Toney to Stones, Isak
    B) Zinchenko, Saka to Stones, Mahrez/Grealish
    C) Zinchenko, Toney to Coufal, Jota
    D) Saka, Toney to KDB, Greenwood
    E) Zinchenko, Saka, Toney to Tarkowski, Salah, Greenwood (-4)

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Benster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Anyone who you bring in for Toney this week basically needs to score a brace.

      Toney WILL score. Check out his history last 12 GWs:

      Goal, Blank, Goal, Blank, Goal, Blank, Goal, Blank, Goal, Blank, Goal, Blank

      So....goal incoming 🙂

      1. waltzingmatildas
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Haha, maybe! I do have Watkins so he could be the one to go if needed

    3. Boz
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

  3. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    There's not much top flight football this Saturday.

    It's a Sunday show!

    (And midweek of course).

  4. Lord of Ings
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Raya
    Taa shaw trippier
    Salah (v) rash March Mitoma Grealish
    Haaland (c) Jota
    Kepa Schar Henry Greenwood
    1.5M ITB, -4 taken.
    Anything else worth a hit? I’m really considering grealish to Mahrez for -4 but looks really risky to me…

    1. Boz
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Nah stick. Like it

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Looks good

  5. jaywills
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed.

    2 FT;

    A) Roll
    B) Bruno F to Salah, Kane to Jota
    C) Zinchenko to TAA, Kane to Jota
    C) Bruno F to Salah, Kane to Isak, Zinchenko to TAA (-4)

    Note: Kane and Zinchenko would be benched in option a.

    Thanks!

  6. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Care to give me your minutes prediction for following players this gw?

    A) KDB
    B) Grealish
    C) Mahrez

    Thanks!

  7. Boz
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone still on the 3mium?

    Raya
    Trips Schar Dunk
    Salah Rash Grealish MacA March
    Kane Haaland

    Iverson Chilwell Gabriel Greenwood.

    Anything worth a hit? 0.2itb

  8. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    If considering BB (with dgw players) vs Haaland TC, how many points should bench produce to exceed TC points? 25pts at least? At least it seems so 🙂

    Even if it is a perfect time to BB, it seems risky to not TC Haaland. What would u do?

    1. thangiax
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I have the same dilemma, i think i will go with TC in Haaland. My bench is saka, trippier and isak. The rest team all have doubles.

  9. Concrete
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    .

    A Chilwell, Martinelli, Watkins to TAA, Andreas, Isaak -8

    B Chillwell, Watkins to Robbo and Isaak -4

    C Watkins, Martinelli to Isaak and Grealish -4

    D Chillwell, Martinelli, Watkins to Moreno, De Bruyne, Greenwood -8

    1. Rojo's Modern Life
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A -8 including bench fodder is highly unwise

  10. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Kane, Bruno, Chilwell > Isak, Salah, TAA for -4?

    Other option is Estu + Jota, instead of Trent/Isak

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Y

    2. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Good moves

  11. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Struggling on what transfers to make, any suggestions welcome (2FT + 0.4m)

    Kepa Raya
    Chilwell Trippier Shaw Schar Estupinan
    Bruno Grealish Odegaard Mitoma March
    Haaland Kane Watkins

    1. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Something like Chilwell and Odegaard to Trent and Salah? Sell kane to release some funds.

      1. corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I'm 0.2m short of those moves. Could do Robbo instead of TAA

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Chil, bruno/ode, kane to taa, salah, jota

  12. Ëð
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    G2G? Not too happy having Trippier on the bench. 0FT, £0.2m ITB

    Raya
    Trentz Shaw, Estupinan
    Salah, Rashford, March, Mitoma
    Haaland (c), Watkins, Toney

    Kepa, Trippier, Almiron, Toti

  13. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts guys?

    Alisson Raya
    Schar Trippier Estu Ake Henry
    Salah Rashford March Mitoma Saka
    Haaland Watkins Isak

    A Saka & Watkins to KDB & Edouard (-4)
    B Saka & Ake (if inj) to combo of Grealish/Gakpo & Robertson/Dias (-4)

  14. Boz
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Chilwell, Ode, Kane to TAA, Rash, Jota

    1. Malinwa
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I wouldn't get rid of Kane. Keeps on scoring.

  15. Jon Snow
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Shouldn't judge a WC after one week but not looking good so far having taken Mings and Kane out

    1. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I sold gakpo, steele, kane.

      For grelish, jota ederson(started pope)

      5pts vs 31pts, so yep, not the best of starts!

      1. GC123
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Ouch! Sorry buddy

    2. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Unlucky

  16. cutch
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Considering who to start as 3rd defender (the other 2 are Trippier and Estu):

    A) Mee
    B) Burn
    C) Mings
    D) Shaw, doing Burn/Mee -> Shaw (-4 hit)
    E) Dalot, doing Burn/Mee -> Dalot (-4 hit)

  17. Malinwa
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) Chilwell + Watkins + Odegaard > Stones + Isak + March (-4)
    B) Ward + Chilwell + Watkins > Steele + Stones + Jota (-4) Need a second playing GK
    C) Other

    Kepa
    Tripp-Estupinian-Chilwell
    Rast-Saka-Mitoma-Grealish
    Kane-Watkins-Haaland

    Ward - Zynchenko - Odegaard - Perraud

  18. jason_ni
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Dwight Mcneil - Destroyer of game weeks, purveyor of pointless goals.

    As dbl Newcastle defence, thanks for nothing Dwight.

    1. boc610
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      toon cleanies are soooo last year mate

  19. MHG
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Play Saka or Isak ?

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Isak

    2. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Isak

    3. MHG
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Isak it is - for now.

  20. mirkec
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Ederson Grealish Haaland or
    Ederson Dias Haaland
    from MCI?

  21. golfboy
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone tempted to go with Wilson over Isak?

    1. PlayPercentage
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yes. Surely Wilson is starting the next game, after 2 goals and a good performance.
      Eddie Howe will not be resting/rotating players during the final 5 games. He wants to guarantee that they qualify for the Champions League.

  22. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Ederson* (Iversen)
    TAA* Estupi* Dalot* Tripp Zouma*
    Salah* Grealish* Rash* March* Andreas*
    Haaland* Jota* Solanke

    * - dgw players

    1) BB
    2) TC Haaland

  23. Radulfo28773
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    On FH
    Bruno & Grealish vs KDB & March
    Who wins?

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      KDB and March for me. Bruno has delivered one assist in six weeks

    2. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      KDB and March

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      K&M

      1. Radulfo28773
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Bruno was unlucky yesterday but I think you are right. Unanimous!

        Thank you all

    4. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Bruno has been unlucky and posting good numbers so I reckon he’s due and will return big this DGW

  24. steven8991
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which player is the most priority to get?
    A. TAA
    B. Rashford

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably TAA. But maybe worth a hit to get both for the double

    2. MHG
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Depends a bit on what Reds or Mancs you already have?
      Mancs have an extra match and both let in goals so probably Rashford

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

    4. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Try and get both probably for a hit

  25. RealSocialDads
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    My FH boils down to this:

    A. Stones Shaw March
    B. Estu Lindelof Grealish/Mahrez

    Full team:

    Steele
    TAA xx xx
    KDB Salah Mitoma Rash xx
    Haaland Jota

    Any help/advice is appreciated!

  26. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is Isak worth bringing in for rest of year with rotation?

    1. carko92
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Worried about this as well. I'm leaning towards gambling

      1. JoeSoap
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Unfortunately if I want Salah, Isak is my only option at that price range.

  27. steven8991
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is this worth it?
    Chilwell, Odegaard, Watkins > TAA, Rashford, Solanke for -8.

  28. jaywills
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    What do you like more:
    A) Taa, Bruno F, Jota? (0 hits taken)
    B) Taa, Salah, Isak (-4)

    Thanks!

  29. oz-marsh
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Raya / Kepa
    Trippier / Estupinian / Shaw // Zinchenco / Mee
    Grealish / March / Mitoma / Rashford / Fernandes
    Haaland / Kane // Watkins

    2 FT & 1.6 ITB

    Thoughts on Kane, Mee & Kepa to Jota TAA & Ederson. (-4)

  30. Little Frank
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which scores more:
    a. Mitoma and Jota or
    b. Bruno and Schar + 4 points