Pro Pundits - Zophar
28 April 2023 671 comments
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Our top team of Pro Pundits and Hall of Famers write about all things Fantasy Premier League (FPL) throughout the season.

Only Premium Members are able to read every single one of these pieces, so sign up today to get full access not just to the editorial content but all of the other benefits, from hundreds of Opta stats to a transfer planner.

Here, seven-time top 10k finisher Zophar answers some of the week’s most-asked FPL questions and reveals his own transfer plans.


Q: Who from Jack Grealish and Bruno Fernandes should make way for Mohamed Salah?

FPL review: Klopp on Jota's injury, Salah warms up for Gameweek 12

(via @yala_leopard)

A: This is probably the main dilemma for numerous FPL managers who Wildcarded in Gameweek 26, as you likely have a midfield of five doublers already but want to get Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) ahead of Double Gameweek 34 and for the kind fixtures thereafter. Selling the Brighton midfielders isn’t viable since they are so cheap and have the additional double coming in Gameweek 36. Marcus Rashford (£7.1m) also looked sharp against Spurs so he is going nowhere. The question really comes down to Bruno Fernandes (£9.4m) or Jack Grealish (£7.3m).

Bruno’s start against Spurs came as a surprise to many, including myself. He played in the advanced role, created three chances, took four shots accumulating 0.73 xG and really should have scored when he hit the crossbar from close range. It was fine margins between a five-point haul and a 13-pointer. A start and 180 minutes over the doubles in Gameweeks 34 and 37 now seems certain, especially with Manchester United dropping points. 

Grealish has started each of Manchester City’s last 13 league games so in terms of minutes, he’s as secure as you are going to get. However, with the schedule so compressed for Man City (they have three more games before playing Real Madrid on May 9)., some rotation is to be expected. The underlying numbers have not been spectacular for Grealish over the last two matches, either, with a combined xGI of 0.23. When looking at it in isolation, Bruno does appear to be the better pick than Grealish.

That being said, you also have to consider the combinations it enables. There’s a £2.1m price difference so what does that get you? Does that let you get a Diogo Jota (£8.9m) up top or enable a move for Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) in defence? In that case, I think a case can be made to sell Bruno instead of Grealish. But if the cash for upgrades elsewhere is not required, then I think it should be Grealish making way. 


Q: Is Ederson worth a -4 for the Double Gameweek over David Raya, who has a good single Gameweek fixture?

Why aren't Man City keeping clean sheets? 3

(via @AmanTalksFPL)

A: David Raya (£4.9m) probably has two clean sheets over the next five Gameweeks (the home games against Forest and West Ham), as the fixtures against Liverpool, Spurs and Man City do not exactly scream shut-out potential. As someone who owns Kepa Arrizabalaga (£4.6m) alongside Raya, I had originally planned to rotate the two but with Chelsea looking so abysmal, the very thought of playing Kepa in any match now is completely unappealing. The thing with Raya though is even in the difficult fixtures, he tends to rack up saves and bonus points so there is not really a pressing urgency to get rid, as he should still tick along with 3-5 points.

Ederson’s (£5.4m) ceiling seems to be 6-7 points a game and City’s defensive numbers have been great for some time, they have just been allowing the odd goal to fly in after closing the match early on. Over their next seven matches, you would still expect about four clean sheets, so I think the move for a -4 does pay off over the long run. I do want to mention, though, that I only like Ederson as your second Man City pick, not the third. Keep the third City spot open for punts, as their home game against Leeds United in Gameweek 35 is the first match of the weekend and there might be some team leaks early on. It is worth a transfer to punt on a low-owned attacker even for one Gameweek with only four Gameweeks remaining at that point. It also opens up the option to perhaps go Salah to Kevin De Bruyne (£12.1m) in Gameweek 37. Don’t lock your third City pick with Ederson. 

If you have a Manchester United spot open, I also think David de Gea (£5.0m) is worth a shout. He tends to rack up saves and bonus more often than Ederson but there is a concern, of course, with the first-choice centre-back pairing of Lisandro Martinez (£4.4m) and Raphael Varane (£4.8m) likely to be out for a period.


Q: Who is the best Double Gameweek 34 striker if you can’t afford Diogo Jota – or should we turn a -4 into a -8 and just get Jota?

FPL Q&A: Haaland, Alvarez, Bowen one-week buys + the World Cup 1

(via @mbison22)

A: Like City, Liverpool have a compressed schedule with their first Gameweek 34 fixture kicking off on Sunday, the midweek game against Fulham following on Wednesday and the Gameweek 35 fixture against Brentford rounding off the week next Saturday. When Liverpool have had three games in six days in the past, Jurgen Klopp has tended to change up his team and the Reds do have five players available for the front three positions: Luis Diaz (£7.8m), Cody Gakpo (£7.7m), Darwin Nunez (£8.6m), Jota and Salah. 

Jota has started each of the last six games for Liverpool and his versatility does bode well for his starting prospects. It is not impossible that he does get benched in one of the upcoming three games but even if he does, he will likely still get minutes off the bench either way. I do think he is part of Liverpool’s first-choice front three and Klopp has mentioned he wants to end the season strongly, so he is a good pick not just for Gameweeks 34 and 35 but also for the entire run-in. 

The only other Double Gameweek alternative I can see is Julian Alvarez (£6.0m), with Evan Ferguson’s (£4.6m) game-time unpredictable. The minutes are significantly less assured than Jota but with how good Man City are in attack, the ceiling is possibly higher. Is Jota going to be a five-week pick for you or just a stop-gap who you will convert to Alexander Isak (£6.9m) in Gameweek 36? If it’s the latter, then taking a -8 does not appeal and I would punt on Alvarez for two weeks instead.

My Team

We cover these topics and all the Double Gameweek teams in this week’s episode of The FPL Wire. You can check it out here:



671 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Pater familias
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    would you start isak over trippier for this gw34?

    currently have this

    ederson
    shaw TAA estupinan trippier
    salah march mitoma rashford grealish
    haaland (c)

    iversen watkins isak castagne

    1. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yes

    2. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm considering it too

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I am

      Defo

    4. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Start Isak

  2. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Chasing only 3 points and rival has no chips. He’ll surely captain Haaland

    Haaland (TC) or Salah (TC)

    Salah TC would have more upside and could haul on two home games tbh

    1. Pater familias
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      thought the same this gw33 due to chase...
      look how it turned. in my opinion captaining haaland is a MUST because of protection someone doesnt go too far from you... he did crazy vs arsenal while salah didnt even have shot in the box vs west ham

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yes I get that. Haaland looks in form and so is City. Will he play 180 min though?

        Also Salah form away from home is already bad but decent at home.

        I’ll probably end up Haaland (TC) but I may get pissed drunk to go for Salah instead

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Haaland only needs one half tho and Salah is normally good for 1 and possibly 2.

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Haaland. Simple.

    3. Dunster
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I did the same as Pater in 33 and got punished. No option but to double down and go for Salah again to recoup the losses. No guts no glory!

      (casinos love me - I don’t know why….)

    4. Roshen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Haaland for sure

    5. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Haaland TC enough of a weapon in itself

  3. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    -8 taken. Pretty damn happy with my team though:

    Raya
    TAA, Shaw, Estupinian.
    Salah, Rashford, Bruno, March, Mac Al.
    Haaland, Isak.

    Kepa, Trippier, Schar, Greenwood.

    Nice team for this week. Looks solid for future doubles. /brag

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      good team what moves did u make?

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Kane ---> Isak
        Ake ---> Trent
        Martinelli ---> Salah
        Watkins ---> Greenwood

        1. BERGKOP
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Any concerns about Isak minutes? Seems odd he was benched

          1. La Roja
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            He should next game but there will be rotation with Wilson going forward. Both are in form

            1. BERGKOP
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              Cheers. He seems dangerous despite the minutes.

          2. Bubz
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Yeah I do have concerns but just gone for it anyway

            1. BERGKOP
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              Good call and good luck. I'll be transferring him in for free this week and we'll have the same team.

    2. Roshen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would start Trippier over Shaw

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Why?

        1. Roshen
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          more CS and assist potential from that one game, Villa ripped United last time, Emery know how to beat this club

      2. El Presidente
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        You have to go for the doubler c´mon

    3. Mirror Man
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Should be good for 65pts or so, which is plenty. Good luck.

  4. Mati
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A - start Schar
    B - Chilwell -> Robbo (-4)
    C - Chilwell, Watkins -> TAA, Isak (-8)

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  5. ludaslol
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A) Trent, Gakpo, Encisio/Isak -8
    B) Robbo, Isak, MacA

    Who scores more for the run-in?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B looks better but who knows when Trent hauls by gw38?

      You'd think 1 or 2 decent scores over Robbo but neither are actually scoring so it's assists and home clean sheets that you are looking for.

  6. marcos11
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    GTG or try get a United or Liverpool defender in?
    0.2itb 1ft

    Steele
    Trippier Ake Estu
    Salah Grealish Rashford Mitoma
    Haaland Toney Watkins
    Raya Marti Chilwell Pinnock

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Ake is highly unlikely to play both

    2. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Ake out

  7. G Banger
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all, current BB is (1FT):

    Steele (Leno)
    Tripper / Botman / TAA (Coufal / Lindelof)
    Rashford / Salah / Mitoma / Grealish (March)
    Haaland / Jota / Isak

    Rather not to take a hit, so anything worth doing for free?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No, stick with it

  8. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Grealish a safe hold for this GW?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I think so

  9. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Had a bad few weeks, with 33 an absolute stinker. Best moves to turn that around?

    A) Ake to Shaw or Dalot for free
    B) Ake and Watkins to Trent and 4.0 (-4)
    C) Ake and Kepa to Shaw/Dalot and Ederson (-4)

    1FT 1.1ITB
    Raya
    Trippier Ake* Estupinan
    Salah Rashford Bruno Mitoma March
    Haaland Isak

    Kepa Watkins Schar Pinnock

    Thanks

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not C,

      Just play Raya.

      Can't guess the others over the dgw so good luck with working that out!

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Nice one, thanks

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Ake to Stones?

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I just feel like the City defence has burned me so many times, but thanks

  10. dshv
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Ederson or Stones
    Grealish or Mahrez

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Ederson and Grealish

    2. Mirror Man
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Nope
      Quite possibly

  11. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Still unsure on selling Kane. It's the only way to get Mo, but just feels so wrong.

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Surely the extra game and favourable fixtures swings it for Mo

    2. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Are u saying Kane away to Liverpool would outscore Salah DGW both games at home?

      Unlikely imo

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        True. But i wouldn't rule out him outscoring him between now and end of season

  12. El Presidente
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Who wins?

    A. Ederson, Estupiñan, Grealish and Martial

    B. Steel, Stones, Mitoma and KDB

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B by a mile

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd be confident on B there.

    5. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks fellas

  13. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Kane, Saka and Chilwell to Isak, Salah and Taa for a -4?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Deffo

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      100%

    3. Kodap
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks chaps

  14. Drogo
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Pick one

    A) Botman to Stones
    B) Toney to Jota
    C) Botman to Dias

    After that I got 11 DGW players

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  15. Bobby_Baggio
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Was Konate injured or Matip preferred?

    1. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Konate wasn't fit enough to do full training sessions all last week. Not injured but suffering from fatigue I think. Sounds like he was just rested.

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        cheers

  16. Denis Tueart on the wing
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Has anybody seen Enciso play for Brighton.
    Is he worth a punt, as my cash is tied up, but require a very cheap forward

    1. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      He's pretty good actually but with Welbeck and Ferguson back + Undav its pretty unclear who will get those minutes

      1. Denis Tueart on the wing
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Didn't realise Ferguson was back, thanks for the info.

    2. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Just go straight to Ferguson.

      1. Denis Tueart on the wing
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Has Ferguson been confirmed as fit?

  17. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Just noticed Jota is flagged..go with Robertson alongside Salah and taa on fh? Cheers

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      How about Gakpo?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        My mid is already full with mitoma march rashford Salah and kdb. Cheers

    2. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      flagged, what???

  18. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Would you make any changes to this WC?

    Ederson Iversen
    Trent Trippier Estupinan Botman Lindelof
    Salah KDB Rashford Mitoma March
    Haaland Isak Greenwood

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Very nice. Lindelof my only doubt but otherwise solid.

    2. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd maybe reconsider that last Brighton spot. Steele looks like a great pick and Ferguson should also return to fitness this week. I've also picked Estupinan on my WC last week but I kind of regret it now.

    3. Denis Tueart on the wing
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      any cash left?

    4. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No, g2g

  19. Athletico Underachieving
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Probably going to be asked a lot…but Kane to who to free up Salah funds:

    A) Jota (gamble on fitness)
    B) Isak

    Will be getting Isak 35 or 36 anyway

    1. Athletico Underachieving
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Or even…Darwin

  20. Roshen
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    a. Saka + Kane -> KDB + Jota
    b. Saka + Watkins -> Salah + Greenwood
    c. Saka + Chilwell -> TAA + Gakpo

    if you pick C, also bench one: Kane, Tripp, Shaw, Mac Allister

  21. PanosStyl
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    NEED HELP: START EZE, ODEGAARD OR WATKINS?

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Watkins

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Caps off. Watkins.

  22. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A or B? (On FH)

    A) Coufal, Stones, Mac, Jota
    B) Shaw, Dias, Gakpo, Ferguson

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  23. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    TC Haaland when? Is Chelsea actually the easiest game here?

    34 - ful (a) WHU (H)
    37 - CHE (H) bri (a)

    1. jam
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm doing it this week, who knows what will have happened by 37. League might be sewn up and Champions League final on the horizon.

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      34 for sure.

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Still 34 because Brighton away isn't easy for anyone.

    4. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      34, City could have the title wrapped up by GW37 meaning possible benchings for Haaland and KDB.

  24. Fit_to_drop
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    On FH for 34:

    A) TAA & Akanji
    B) Robbo & Stones

    1. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      a

  25. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What's up with Jota?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A knock apparently. Klopp says he should be fine but will he be risked?

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I just bought him and don’t think he’ll start. We’ve been looking for a reason to put in Diaz and this is it.

  26. How I met your Mata
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    For the next game week
    A Salah Henry Steele
    B Isak Trent Raya

    1. How I met your Mata
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A is with -4

  27. ratski
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Steele (kepa)
    Trips, estuptian, Shaw, (Henry, botman)
    Saka, rash, mitoma, grealish (mart)
    Haaland , Watkins, kane

    Was all set to dump kane but at the rate people are selling he's actually turning into a differential for a great run in.

    A. Kane, saka and Henry to Salah, isak and taa
    B..Watkins,saka and Henry to Salah, isak and lindelof
    C. Watkins and saka to salah and martial
    D. Kane and saka to salah and Jota

  28. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    3rd city spot with Kdb and haaland

    A stones
    B grealish
    C foden
    D marhez

    Cheers

    1. dshv
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I will go stones

    2. Wobbles
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  29. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Darwin or Jota?

    Was all set for Jota but them Klopp comments making me think otherwise

    1. Roshen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      surely not Darwin

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Neither.

    3. Orion
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      What comments about Jota ???

  30. Lord of Ings
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    The jota yellow flag will definitely put off a lot more people now I think… worst case he gets the Fulham game and 30 mins in Tottenham game, still looks explosive enough to me

    1. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Could get patched up and play 60 vs Spurs being the harder game though and 30 vs Fulham