Spot the Differential
5 May 2023 376 comments
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Gameweek 35 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is nearing, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Nottingham Forest, Manchester City and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.


MORGAN GIBBS-WHITE

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: SOU | che | ARS | cry

Morgan Gibbs-White (£5.5m) has been a key figure for Nottingham Forest this season, claiming four goals and nine assists.

Ten of those attacking returns have arrived in 16 starts at The City Ground, which is where he has produced his most eye-catching displays. On home turf, he ranks fifth among all FPL midfielders for chances created and 18th for shots, highlighting his all-round threat.

Time and again this season, Gibbs-White has shown he is an excellent no. 10 who can create and score goals, with his ability to drop into pockets of space just behind the forward causing plenty of problems for opposition backlines.

Nott’m Forest have put six goals past Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion and Liverpool in their last three matches, a period that has seen Gibbs-White record two goals and two assists.

The final match of Gameweek 35 sees Steve Cooper’s side host Southampton, a fixture that will have huge implications for the relegation battle. Forest have picked up 24 of their 30 points at The City Ground in 2022/23, while Saints are winless in nine, so the home side will go into this one as favourites.

Gibbs-White is a key player for Forest and can be a nice midfield differential in Gameweek 35, who can capitalise on Southampton’s set-piece weakness.


JULIAN ALVAREZ

FPL Gameweek 34: Sunday's goals, assists, bonus points + statistics
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: LEE | eve | CHE + bha | bre

After tipping Riyad Mahrez (£7.3m) last week, this time it’s the turn of Man City team-mate Julian Alvarez (£6.0m).

The Argentine deputised for Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m) in Double Gameweek 34, impressing with a goal and assist at Craven Cottage last weekend.

Now, with the first leg of Man City’s UEFA Champions League semi-final against Real Madrid on Tuesday, Pep Guardiola could rotate some of his key players again, allowing Alvarez another start.

He tends to make the most of every opportunity he gets, too: no team-mate bar Erling Haaland (£12.4m) has a better goals-per-minute ratio than Alvarez this season. In fact, in his last four starts in the league, he has six attacking returns and three double-digit hauls.

Man City have claimed victory in 11 of their last 12 league outings, suggesting their match with relegation-threatened Leeds United – the league’s leakiest defence – will be another routine home win. The visitors, of course, now have Sam Allardyce at the helm, but it’s debatable just how much of an impact he can make here, given that he will have overseen only three training sessions.

Furthermore, Guardiola’s side are averaging 3.0 goals per game on home turf since the Premier League resumed after the World Cup.

Alvarez’s recent form suggests he might be worth a punt in Gameweek 35. He could even be a captaincy shout if we get a team news leak that he starts and Haaland doesn’t.


JAMES MADDISON

FPL review: Maddison's elite numbers, Spurs' injury woes 1
  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: ful | LIV | new | WHU

Patience will probably be wearing thin for James Maddison’s (£7.9m) FPL owners right now, after his penalty miss against Everton in Gameweek 34.

However, he has now supplied assists in two of his three appearances under Dean Smith, a period that has seen him rack up 10 goal attempts, six shots in the box and nine chances created.

Those numbers compare well to other midfielders in that period (Gameweek 31 onwards). His three created chances per 90 minutes ranks fifth in his position, while his rate of shots (3.33 per 90) sits 10th among players who have played a meaningful number of minutes (180+).

He will benefit from having a reinvigorated Jamie Vardy (£9.1m) leading the line, as they look to replicate their Gameweek 34 link-up at Fulham on Monday. The Cottagers have lost seven of their last nine league matches, failing to keep a clean sheet in each of their last ten.

Leicester will look to expose those troubles and they arrive in pretty decent form, earning five points from their last three games. They are, however, with a shut-out since the World Cup, so will probably need their attackers to step up and deliver.

Maddison has no doubt frustrated a fair few FPL managers in recent times, but in isolation, feels like a good pick for his trip to Fulham.



376 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Currently on

    Steele
    Chilwell-Trip-Mings
    Salah-Rashford-Mitoma-Marti
    Haaland-Watkins-Jesus

    (Kepa, Trossard, Castagne, Henry)

    A) Roll and reassess for the 2 DGW
    B) Start building for them now

    I’m leaning towards B e.g Isak or another Brighton. Thoughts appreciated.

  2. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Best use of ft pls

    1.jota to welbek
    2.mee to estupinan
    3.eze to mitoma/march
    4.marti/odegard to mitoma/march

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Probably option 2 or 3 but I’m perplexed why who don’t already have those Brighton players anyway

  3. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    If you have both Solanke & Martinelli who want him to start in ur team

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Solanke

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Cheers

    2. The Big Fella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I have Saka and Martinelli and despite my post below, I am also debating shipping one to bring in Rashford. The last two games of the season though for Arsenal look tasty

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Saka > Rash

        1. Royal5
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          I did this

      2. GC123
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        FFS and Guardian Team sheets have Martinelli benched. So I’d keep Saka personally

    3. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Martinelli

    4. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I'm starting Solanke. Chelsea are a disease.

      1. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        No confidence. Nothing to play for. No manager.

      2. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Agreed

  4. The Big Fella
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Olise to rashford or save transfer?

    1. FlamingMoe
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      without any hesitation

  5. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Hi all, these moves yay or nay?

    This week:
    Botman > Dalot/Lindelof (already own Trippier) 1FT

    Next week:
    Jota > Wilson (double up with Isak) 1FT

    Yay or Nay?

    1. FlamingMoe
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Yes, but can you stretch for shaw? Could consider getting wilson this week, Arsenal defence hasn't been great and Gab may be injured. Also Jota may still have a niggle.

  6. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Any transfers worth making or save ft here? 1ft, 0 itb.

    ederson
    shaw trippier dunk
    salah grealish rashford march mitoma
    haaland watkins

    kepa toney zinchenko mee

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      No Kane?

  7. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Will Alvarez start?

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Wouldn't count on it. City's worst player in the last game.

  8. Ten Season Wonder
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    What time (usually) is the pep team news leak? (historically)

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Who do you want? Not worried Big Sam will park the bus?

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Them Leeds lads won't know how to park a bus 🙂

      2. Ten Season Wonder
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        but yeah, to answer your question... I am looking at bringing in Alvarez as he can remain in my squad beyond this GW, and it gives me triple MCY.

        although I may go for KDB over Salah if he's declared fit

        1. Royal5
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 8 days ago

          True. Can't see Leeds getting a point against City. Personally tired of picking the wrong City players. Got rid of Grealish for kdb on FH this week. Before that I had Mahrez for a couple of blanks then sold - and he returned.

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Close enough to deadline and FPL crashing.

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        haha

    3. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Literally 10 mins before the deadline and, even then, you can’t take it as gospel

  9. FC Hakkebøf
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Best Jota replacement? Already got 3 city players, so No room for alvarez

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Newcastle fwd seems popular

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Isak if you can’t afford Kane. If you’re really stretched Solanke could be a good shout this week

    3. BurlingtonDriftersFC
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I just did Wilson. So based on my track record, go isak.

    4. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Isak

  10. Joyce1998
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Toney to Wilson/Isak or save FT??

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Save

  11. squ1rrel
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Lost with what to do here...save? Or ship KDB/Jota...

    Steele - Kepa
    Shaw - Akanji - Trippier - Moreno - Pinnock
    Salah - KDB - Rashford - Mitoma - March
    Haaland - Jota - Greenwood

    1 FT, 2.2 ITB

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Roll. Play 4-5-1 and sell Jota for Isak/Wilson next week. 2 FT’s will come in handy

    2. Narama
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      I sold Kdb and Jota

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Why will u sell kdb

        1. The chocolate leg
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 7 days ago

          he plays deep af

    3. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Keep kdb!

      Roll ft

  12. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Start mitoma or march?

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Probably march

    2. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Mitoma by some some distance

  13. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    Just did a rather drunk move for a hit

    Jota + Tarkowski > Isak + TAA

    SOUND eniugh?

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Sound enough?*

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      Find out when you sober up.

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Haha! True! Rarely I ever get drunk as well, a rarity

    3. FlamingMoe
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 days ago

      good moves

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 days ago

        Thanks bud! Need to take some hits anyway but need to be careful about them at same time

  14. Deer-in-headlights
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 days ago

    KDB owners, if you get pre-deadline news that KDB is benched against Leeds, will you still start him in your fpl team?

  15. Yordan Letchkov
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 7 days ago

    Play two:

    A) McAllister
    B) Trippier
    C)Estupinan
    D) Zinchenko

    Thanks