Captain Sensible
6 May 2023 421 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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With two goals, four bonuses and a combined 16-point haul preceding a hugely favourable encounter against Leeds United, record-breaking Erling Haaland (£12.4m) is the clear favourite for Gameweek 35’s Fantasy Premier League (FPL) armband.

Nevertheless, the Captain Sensible article is here to consider any chinks in his robotic armoury, whether the red-hot home form of Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) can challenge the Norwegian and also run the rule on some usual suspects and differential punts.  

These alternative armband options might be all the more important, should we get any pre-deadline heads-up on a benching for Haaland.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 13:30 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Haaland dominates the poll, backed by just under three-quarters of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

No other player has garnered more than 8% of votes, with Salah providing the Norwegian’s main competition. Jack Grealish (£7.3m) occupies third place with 3.69% of the vote, closely followed by Julian Alvarez (£6.0m) and Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m).

THE CANDIDATES

ERLING HAALAND/JULIAN ALVAREZ

Haaland’s deft chip against West Ham United on Wednesday night gave the Norwegian his 35th goal, already breaking the single-season Premier League record.

The Manchester City marksman received a guard of honour from teammates in acknowledgement of his superb debut season, with early-season questions about his suitability for Pep Guardiola’s system and the Premier League now a very distant memory.

While it’s almost churlish at this stage to examine Haaland’s recent underlying data, the Norwegian continues to dominate the majority of key metrics.

Over the last six matches, Haaland’s non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 4.80), 13 big chances and 13 shots on target are all division-leading

Above: Erling Haaland leads the division for big chances (13) and shots on target (13) over the last six matches.

In his current form and with a hugely favourable fixture, how do you oppose him?

A strong indication from Guardiola that the Norwegian will be preserved for Real Madrid – or a trusted team leak that he’s benched – represents the only opportunity without committing Fantasy suicide.

Man City’s title ambitions are firmly in their own hands, holding a slender one-point lead over Arsenal with a game in hand.

It’s no secret that Guardiola’s pursuit of Champions League glory has been a high priority for their Abu Dhabi ownership, so resting Haaland could be on the cards after three successive 90-minute outings.  

Meanwhile, Alvarez produced a 12-point haul at Fulham last weekend, scoring a screamer from 25 yards to put Man City on top. With possible rotation taking place, the Argentinian may be afforded another opportunity to impress and continue his recent run of form. Again, we await a possible team leak.

Since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17, Alvarez has scored five goals, supplied three assists and collected seven bonus points – averaging 7.33 FPL points per start.

City’s opponents Leeds are under the new stewardship of Sam Allardyce but face an uphill battle for top-flight survival that starts at the Etihad Stadium. A five-game winless streak hastened the departure of Javi Gracia and, without a clean sheet in ten, their underlying defensive numbers look ominous.

The last half-dozen matches have seen Leeds concede the most goals (19) of everyone, ranking second-worst for non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 12.52).

MOHAMED SALAH/TRENT ALEXANDER-ARNOLD



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

421 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. TanN
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    If I was to start Watkins it would mean benching Mitoma or March. Who's got the better stats/is more explosive.

    I'm leaning towards benching mitoma, because march is lower ownership and i'm chasing

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      See below I’m in same boat. Is March ceiling lower?

      1. TanN
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        I feel like more people will have mitoma so there is the upside that if he blanks, and we bench him then it could benefit our rank. If that happens, and then march returns, a green arrow might be on the cards.

        But having watched the United Brighton highlights, Mitoma played quite well and probably should've scored (DDG face got in the way) so even though he has been blanking he is getting chances.

  2. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    If Grealish starts (if we find out) who to BENCH?

    A. March
    B. Mitoma
    C. Watkins

    1. barcaa7
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      C

  3. Michelle Davin
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Where can we find the City leaks before deadline,I have to say these 'leaks' screwed me a few times in the past..

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Here

    2. tim
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      IG @teamnewsandtix

  4. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Anyone with jota this week?

    Whats the plan with him?

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Get rid. No contact in training yesterday. Bench at best and possible he’s not involved at all

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Rid to who..have triple city so nor alvarez

        1. Jonesy5
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          Who are your 3 City?

          1. n14mul
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 26 days ago

            Haaland ake jack

            1. Jonesy5
              • 11 Years
              3 years, 26 days ago

              I would keep them. Jota out for one of the Newcastle boys

        2. GC123
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          Isak. Ahead of next weeks DGW

    2. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      >Alvarez or Wilson/Isak

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Between Wilson and isak atm not sure which

    3. tim
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Same dilemma here, I have Isak and 3 City so might get rid of Ederson and go w Alvarez, but

      Ederson to who?

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        I'd go steele if you don't have triple brighton

        1. tim
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          Have triple Bri also 😀

          1. n14mul
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 26 days ago

            Ddg then maybe but reluctantly

            1. tim
              • 16 Years
              3 years, 26 days ago

              Also have triple Manu :D, might get rid of Estupian and take a hit for Steele

      2. Jonesy5
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Steel

    4. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Move to any punt or bench and anticipate next DGWs

      1. tim
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Could just go w Wilson, would double up w Isak anyways for the double

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          It’s an option but if the squad is strong I would wait another week

  5. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Bench two:

    A) Trippier
    B) Castagne
    C) Moreno
    D) Porro
    E) Bueno

    1. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      BE

    2. mr_jones
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      B/E

    3. barcaa7
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      B-E

  6. FantasyTony
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Took a punt on Martial and Jota and now want those bums out of my team.

    Who out first and to who?

  7. barcaa7
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Bench one
    A- Tripper
    B - Stones
    C -Estupinan

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Trippier

  8. mr_jones
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Joelinton or Martinelli?

    1. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Wow both if possible, martinelli just as he was rested last game

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Martinelli

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      For this GW? Martinelli for me. I worry about his pace against Trippier. Joelinton may be playing deeper if Longstaff is out, which impacts his attacking threat. I think Joelinton could be a good punt for the DGW though.

  9. Jonesy5
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Jota -> Isak/Wilson
    Or
    Jota & KDB -> Salah & Isak/Wilson/Alvarez (-4)
    Early team news could be really helpful!

    1. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I'm on some dilema and would want to avoid a hit.

      Jota to wilson/isak

      Think kdb starts

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Just Jota to Isak and let’s pray Kev starts

    3. Indio
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I'd just go with Jota to one of the NEW guys. Good luck.

    4. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      No hit for sure, Isak if must

  10. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Kepa
    TAA Trippier Estupinan
    Salah Rashford Mitoma March
    Haaland Isak Jota*

    Raya Olise Shaw Botman

    A. Jota > Alvarez
    B. Play Olise (bench Jota)
    C. Play Shaw (bench Jota)

    1. tim
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      A

  11. Indio
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Hi all - 2 FTs and struggling here - maybe switch out Trips for Shaw and/or upgrade Raya to DDG?

    Raya
    Trent, Estupian, Trips,
    Salah, Rash, Grealish, Mitoma, Mac
    Haaland, Isak
    (Kepa, Watkins, Botman, Henry)

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Trippier double next week, so get DDG out of those options

      1. Indio
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Thanks. Thinking same - also have Botman, Estup, Trent and 3 BRI so will have benching headache! (Hence Shaw idea to 'stagger' the doublers.) Good luck with your team!

    2. caddy118
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Trippier double gameweek next week, seems a shame to out him. Would upgrade Raya/Kepa as you say, or possibly Kepa and Mac out, Steele and ? In

    3. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Watkins to Alvarez, if he starts ofc.

      Grealish to Foden?

      Raya can wait I think.

  12. Ronnies
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    If we get news Alvarez starts and Haaland is benched, would you buy Alvarez for isak and captain him?

    Would buy Isak/Wilson in gw36.

    Cheers.

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I don’t think Haaland will be benched. I think he and KDB just get taken off early (circa 60 mins unless they’re 3/4 up at HT)

      1. boc610
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        i think pep would love to give him a full 90 min rest before madrid, he broke the record, its the time to do it. imo hes benched but comes on if its not going city's way.

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          He’s young, he’s fit and his injury record this year has been decent. He’ll want to stretch that record so I think he starts personally. I might be wrong but Pep was clear that he wants to grow the gap ahead of Arsenal. The sooner they wrap up the league, the earlier they can focus purely on the CL and FA Cup final

    2. TanN
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      If Haaland is benched (unlikely I think) and Alvarez starts then yes I would buy him.

      I would be doing Watkins --> Alvarez though, if you have him?

      Seems wasteful to sell Isak then buy him back...

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Alvarez only for a week punt? I would go for the NEW guys

    4. Indio
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I don't like the Isak hokey-cokey idea, but (C) Alvarez if you get him another way (and team news) is a good shout.

      (Or, Isak > Alvarez > Wilson sort of makes sense if you genuinely favour Wilson).

  13. TanN
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Best Brighton defender? Estu seems the best choice but seen as I'm chasing is Dunk better?

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Estu. Brightons fixtures turn but he’s a BAP magnet and has attacking return potential

  14. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Everyone talking about Coty leaks but it’s the pool leaks I need

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I’d say the starting XI is pretty obvious. Front 3 Diaz, Gakpo, Salah

      1. Paqueta Rice
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Nothing is obvious in fpl. Diaz is returning from a very long injury lay off to start 3 games in 7 days? Seems risky but if I get a sniff of you being right I may take a punt on him

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          I’m not sure he trusts Darwin yet but he raves about Dias. I think he’s a good differential this week

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Diaz will start I think, His time has been managed.

  15. Guitarman84
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Bench one of:
    A. Toney
    B. Isak
    C. Mac A

  16. TanN
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Think how easily you could troll everyone...if I was to say Haaland is confirmed to be benched 30mins before the deadline, lots would de-captain him and I would take that green arrow I desperately need!!

    *Don't worry, I won't be trolling...

  17. King Sheep
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Transfer Deadline is 13:30, with ALL games 15:00 ...

    So no chance of any leaks?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Always chance

    2. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      In the knows get access to teams earlier

  18. Ibracadebruyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Martinelli or Eze to Rashford?

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Eze.

      Marty will be handy the last two GWs.

  19. TanN
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Thoughts on this:

    Captain Haaland
    Vice Captain Estupinan

    If Haaland is benched then I get my differential captain choice...

    1. caddy118
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      As long as you can live with everyone else having vice captains like Salah and Kane

  20. puffingannet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Mitoma, March, Martinelli...bench which one?

    1. TanN
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Marti

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      March

  21. caddy118
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Lets pretend Haaland is benched… Kane, Salah or Rashford (C)? I am feeling Kane

  22. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    -8 for Salah including Bruno who I want next week 🙁

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Nah. Bruno is not needed yet. Hope you have Salah cover though.

      Before next week things could happen.

  23. Djoora
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Vice captain Mahrez:)

    Start one:
    A-Trippier
    B-Lindelof
    C-Castagne

  24. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Taking Champions League into consideration, If you were bring 1 City mid in now until end of season - Who would it be?

    A - Foden
    B - Mahrez

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      A, but maybe Gundogan is safer.

  25. Nazz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Start Mings or Trippier?

  26. tryf88
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Why Shaw over Tripps? Odds of man u cs higher?