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19 May 2023 565 comments
Greyhead Greyhead
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Fantasy Football Scout community writer Greyhead returns for the 2022/23 season with his series of articles analysing the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) transfers and strategies of some noted Fantasy managers, from serial top 10k finishers to well-known faces.

The Great and The Good this season are the BlackBox pair of Mark Sutherns and Az, Scouts Joe LepperTom FreemanNeale Rigg, Geoff Dance, Pro Pundits PrasZophar and FPL Harry,  FPL “celebrities” Magnus CarlsenFPL GeneralLTFPL AndyBen Crellin, from the Hall of Fame, Fabio BorgesFPL MatthewFinn Sollie and Tom Stephenson and of course last year’s mini-league winner and overall no.2 Suvansh.


“I’ve been the G.O.A.T. for so long I guess it’s not excitin’ when I win”

There was excitement this week as grime artist Stormzy (yes, I know who he is), came out to a dinosaur as an FPL manager. It would be harder to make this up, yet it was another ‘GOAT’ who made The Great and The Good headlines.

The key decision this weekend was who was your favourite out of the famous Geordie double act – no, not Ant or Dec, but Callum Wilson (£7.2m) or Alexander Isak (£7.0m). The answer was Wilson, who goes by other names depending on whether you put the armband on him or not.

Defenders also had their moment to shine with Pervis Estupinan (£4.9m), Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.7m) and free-scoring Dan Burn (£4.5m) performing well, while everyone came to the realisation that Ilkay Gundogan (£7.4m) was the best City midfielder to own.

OVERALL PERFORMANCE

Az, you may want to look away.

Mark Sutherns was this week’s highest scorer with 135 points, but he was not the only centurion with FPL Matthew not far behind on 118 and Pras and Magnus also joining in the hundred club fun.

The Wilson captaincy, plus a little Pervis magic, gave Mark a 57-point swing over Az in the battle for FPL Blackbox bragging rights. FPL Matthew also had the Newcastle striker to thank for his green arrow, which sees him into the top 100,000 for the first time since Gameweek 12. Timing is everything.

The captaincy was obviously key this week. The majority went Isak and aside from the Wilson wonders, there was a sprinkling of Kieran Trippiers (£6.1m) and even an Alexis Mac Allister (£5.6m), although I suspect Az regrets that one.

Some bench jam came into play, and we should form an orderly queue to throw rotten fruit at FPL General, Zophar and Tom Stephenson who all had Estupinan’s points come off their woodwork.

Elsewhere, Magnus is still doing Magnus things, although his decision to double up on the Liverpool defence continues to pay off with his fifth green arrow in a row. He also appears to be entertaining himself by changing his team name on a weekly basis – this time to Gunnstein Akselberg, who turns out to be a Norweigan cunning linguist. If anyone has a view on the relevance, then pop a letter in the post.

TRANSFERS

The copy and paste function came in handy this week as six of the managers did exactly the same couple of moves: Isak and Mac Allister were seen as the no-brainer transfers, with Ollie Watkins (£7.4m) Solly March (£5.2m) moved on. Yet, the real smarts belonged to the Wilson purchasers.

Geoff deserves credit for doing things differently with Jack Colback (£4.1m) not entering many templates, and speaking of differentials, Tom Freeman picked a good one in goal-scoring Julio Encisco (£4.6m).

The full list of transfers is below:

  • Az – Mac Allister (March)
  • LTFPL Andy – Mac Allister (March)
  • Ben Crellin – Isak, Mac Allister (Toney, March)
  • Fabio Borges – Mac Allister (March)
  • Finn Sollie – Isak, Mitoma (Toney, March)
  • FPL Harry – Isak, Mac Allister (Watkins, March)
  • Joe Lepper – Isak, Mac Allister (Watkins, March)
  • Geoff Dance – Colback, Stones (March, Zinchenko)
  • FPL General – Isak, Mac Allister (Watkins, March)
  • Magnus Carlsen – Isak, Trippier (Toney, Henry)
  • Mark Sutherns – Wilson (Watkins)
  • FPL Matthew – Wilson, Mac Allister (Watkins, March)
  • Neale Rigg – Isak, Mac Allister (Darwin, March)
  • Pras – Isak, Mac Allister (Watkins, March)
  • Suvansh – Isak (Darwin)
  • Tom Freeman – Encisco, Isak, Mac Allister (Watkins, March, Greenwood)
  • Tom Stephenson – Isak, Mac Allister (Watkins, March)
  • Zophar – Isak, Mac Allister (Watkins, March)

TEMPLATE

A slight tremor in the template as Isak came in for Watkins and MacAllister saw off March.

The full details for The Great and The Good are as follows, with the number in brackets showing how many teams in which they appear:

Kepa (11), Raya (8)

Trippier (18), Alexander-Arnold (16), Botman (13), Shaw (11), Estupinan (10)

MacAllister (17), Mitoma (17), Rashford (17), Salah (15), Fernandes (13)

Haaland (18), Isak (15), Greenwood (7)

BENCH WARFARE

Plenty of jam around this week, particularly when it came to auto subs as Marcus Rashford’s (£7.0m) injury led to a few players coming in from the cold of the sidelines.

Having a quick look at the season’s stats, we first have to disqualify FPL Harry due to several heinous acts of bench wizardry, which explains his 20 autosubs garnering over a hundred points.

learning-from-the-great-and-the-good-gw36

Looking at the averages, LTFPL Andy has done the best here at 6.3 points per substitute appearance. If this is a measure of variance, then Fabio and FPL Matthew have been the least fortunate with an average of less than two points per autosub.

Moving onto points left on the bench, this is often a good indicator of those more prudent, risk-adverse managers who like to ensure enough squad depth – so it’s maybe no surprise to see Ben Crellin top here on 336 and maverick Magnus on only 171.

CONCLUSION

This week was the first one in a while where a 50/50 call proved decisive in the colour of arrow, providing some fantastic jumps up the ranking. I suspect we will be back to reality this week with most teams on template autopilot but never fear, the last weekend of the season is differential party time, so it might be worth saving that transfer.

Be prepared for the fact that your last transfers of the season could well see some retro moves with Jamie Vardy (£9.1m), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) and Michail Antonio (£6.9m) not completely ridiculous suggestions. I wonder which one Stormzy will go for?

Anyway, that’s all from me for now but remember, don’t have FPL nightmares.

For those affected by any of the topics raised in the above article then you can find me on Twitter at https://twitter.com/Greyhead19



565 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Will u capt rash?
    Also will u do isak to martial?

    No funds for bruno cause dont want to sell salah

    1. mdm
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No. He is ill
      No. He is chit

  2. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Here we go

  3. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I'm 0.1m short of Kepa > DDG - which given my outfield is best bet I think this week.
    I've got 2FT's
    So options to get the extra 0.1m are:

    a) Watkins (currently benched) > Alvarez and bench Isak instead
    b) Trippier (on bench anyway) > 3.8m Bueno to release as much cash as possible for GW38 transfer

    OR
    c) Dont' switch to DDG, other keeper is Raya and use 1FT on b above only and save the other FT..

  4. Nozzer7474
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Would you play Kepa or Raya, already used transfer so not sure which one to take a punt on?

    1. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kepa

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I own both, edging towards Kepa. I don't see many points for either. I wouldn't be surprised if Raya's backup gets a game this week

  5. sunzip14
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    From leading my ML by 29 points to chasing by 8 points.

    Salah + Odegaard> Bruno + Sterling (-4)?

    Worth the risk and hit or play safe because I have FH remaining for 38?

    Team

    Ederson
    Taa, Shaw, Estup
    Salah, Rash, Ode, Mac A, Mitoma
    Haaland, Alvarez

    Iversen, Isak, Trippier, Botman

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

    2. abaalan
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Similar position but I'm trying not to panic too much. My team's well set for this week and taking 2 ft into 38 will hopefully give me the edge.
      Since you have FH...you're in even better position!

  6. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Starting to think Alvarez is the best City player to own this week. He can potentially be the player to come in for KDB's rest, for Gundogan's rest or for Haaland's rest. He could quite possibly get two starts. But I do think KDB, Gundo, Haaland will probably start vs Chelsea so also maybe not.

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      He's got something to prove too.
      Must be the best back-up striker in the league. And that's a position that is notoriously difficult to recruit for.

    2. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Hope he can compensate for the blank last gw.

    3. CABAYE4
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      KDB looked knackered on Wednesday, I’d personally be surprised to see him start at the weekend.

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        KDB always looks like that

      2. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        But yes, you could well be right

    4. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Three blanks in three starts is a worry

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        True, his stats aren't great

  7. UKG
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Rashford a doubt still for Bournemouth - https://t.co/fKmrk0MP3u

    1. Silecro
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Due to illness, important to note

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Cheers,

      Despite owning Rashford it does add some spice with some added jeopardy.

      Erik ten Hag said: "So a positive: we have Varane definitely available, Scott joined in training. When final training goes well he will be in.

      "Also Rashy trained the whole week but today he reported he doesn't feel well, so he's ill. We have to see how he recovers during the day and see tomorrow."

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Darn

  8. YoungPretender
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Captain Bruno or Alvarez if chasing?

  9. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Would you for a -4?

    A. Zinc > Shaw
    B. Isak > Alvarez

    or for a -8

    1. Zinc > Shaw
    2. Solanke > Greenwood
    3. Odegaard > Bruno

    Thanks

  10. Mr.K
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I still have my FH available, but I don't know if I should just save it for the last round. Can currently field:

    Steele²
    Shaw² TAA Estupinan
    Grealish² Salah KDB² Caicedo²
    Watkins Haaland² Isak

    I realize this is not the perfect DGW team, but is the improvement through FH gonna give me more value than using the FH in the last round?

    a) Keep now, FH last round
    b) FH now

    1. Mr.K
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Should point out that I have on transfer and a terrible bench (Willock, Zanka, Bueno) of whom I'm probably gonna do something with Willock, but I only have 0.3 in the bank so not much I can improve.

    2. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Keep and go all out for this gw

      1. Mr.K
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        In case you happen to see this still, thanks! I had disappeared for a bit due to work-things.

  11. x.jim.x
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Marcus Rashford is a doubt for #MUFC's trip to Bournemouth tomorrow. The striker trained all week but has reported ill today.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Does it alter your approach at all?

      1. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Nah, I wasn’t going to captain him anyway.

    2. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Which means we will have chance to know if he has travelled or not

  12. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Rashford ill now 😆

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      He's been sick all season.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Erik ten Hag said: "So a positive: we have Varane definitely available, Scott joined in training. When final training goes well he will be in.

        "Also Rashy trained the whole week but today he reported he doesn't feel well, so he's ill. We have to see how he recovers during the day and see tomorrow."

  13. SomeoneKnows
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who scores more?

    A) Solanke
    B) Alvarez (-4)
    C) Odegaard (-4)

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A) 2 pts
      B) -1 pt
      C) 1 pt but might be nice for final week.

  14. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    So FPL Harry has more than 7x the number of points from auto-subs than Fabio has. Despite Fabio having more points benched this season.

    Luck is such a huge factor in FPL.

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yep, it's huge. Especially over a single week.

      The Wilson v Isak captaincy decision was a marginal call on paper, with huge implications.

      These decisions can balance out over a season, but not always.

    2. abaalan
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yeh 45 point swing in my ml with Wilson Vs isak and Shaw autosubing for rash (I played grealish)

    3. CABAYE4
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Without looking at the specifics I don’t think that analysis means much.

      Some people start players who are almost certainly out. Certain players either start or they’re not involved (e.g. Rashford this week).

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I've lost a heck of a lot of points by having my subs in the wrong order. Is that all luck?

        1. CABAYE4
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          No - you picked the players who scored less points.

          As much as people now want to try - you can’t split outcomes down into bad decisions and luck.

          1. Andy_Social
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            That's my point. I made mistakes in the finer details.

    4. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Doing well = skill
      Doing badly = luck

  15. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Rash and isak to bruno and greenwood for 2 ft?

    1. boc610
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      no

    2. Bottleandahalf
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Why not?

  16. boc610
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    lol so what now...rash could easily recover and play. and if he doesnt he most likely plays chelsea. aka sell him at your peril

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nobody is going to sell him surely

      1. Sir Matt Bugsby
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Why not? My first instinct on hearing this, is to sell. He's returning from injury, illness into a DGW. Potential 1-pointer..

    2. mdm
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No sell, but hard to captain now.

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah wouldn't captain

      2. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        This

        1. ggfussball
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          is SPARTA

          1. Andy_Social
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            I already sold him to enable Trent.

  17. thom830g
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What to do?

    A) Toney + Aké -> alvarez + estupinan
    B) toney + Aké -> alvarez + United def

    BOTH for -4
    Already have ederson

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Between those two, I prefer B.

      Can you afford Shaw?

      1. thom830g
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Should've mentioned that I got Shaw

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

  18. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    “Rashy, he trained the whole week but today he reported he doesn't feel well so he's ill”

    The game is tomorrow. Keep, right?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes, would keep, but not captain

    2. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Omggg

    3. Red Star Toro
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not sure if he starts

  19. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any other ML chaser besides me contemplating Gundo captain? Here are some arguments

    Exploded last couple of weeks with 19 and 12 pointer, plays through the middle which means he is basically more often than not the recipient of Grealish and Mahrez back crosses, maybe im wrong but it seems to me that likes of him and KDB have more explosive potential and ceiling due to style of play. Wingers not so much, low ceiling for them

    Cons - rotation of course, and a lot of potential scorers at MCI

    Rashford - still a injury doubt, cant see him playing both
    Bruno - not really setting the FPL world on fire lately, good underlying numbers but realistically we should expect one assist per game, goal at best
    Mahrez - good option and possibly more minutes secured but not as explosive potential as Gundo, as last 5 fixtures suggest, where he almost exclusively participated with only assists
    Alvarez - Maybe the best differential captain option alongside Gundo, given he can play in KDB role as well as pure ST

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      FPLSalah reckons he won't get many minutes this GW.

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yep nice summary

  20. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which move do you prefer?

    A) Martinelli to Foden/Mahrez
    B) Solanke to Alavez
    C) Schär to Shaw (also have DDG)

    1. Mumfie
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like the Mahrez move, he did really well for me earlier in the season.

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers, GL!

  21. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Can't be worse so probably will just go punty - Antony, Alvarez and Steele -4 in, GTG?

    Steele
    TAA/Shaw/Estu
    Salah/Grealish/Antony/Rash/Mac
    Haaland/Alvarez

    Kepa/Isak/Trip/Botman

  22. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What to do here? 1FT and 0ITB. Currently 6k so kind of want to play safe. Worth taking out Rashford given the news. Cant see him starting tomorrow if unwell today

    Ederson
    TAA Shaw Estu
    Rashford Bruno MacA Mitoma Salah
    Haaland Wilson

    Kepa Trippier Schar Greenwood

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      What about the home game against Chelsea next Thursday?

  23. FootballRookie
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    How is this FH looking..

    DDG
    Estu, TAA, Shaw
    Bruno, Salah, Mahrez, McAllister
    Wilson, Alvarez, Haaland
    Bench: Steele, Trippier, Kilman, Dasilva

    I'm just wondering if I downgrade Alvarez, and upgrade a mid to Eze perhaps?

    1. Steager
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I’m still thinking if I should do a FH or not as I’m finding it difficult to choose players.

      I’m considering Anthony, Sterling, Ensico. I’m also concerned about Trip if he plays and Rashy. S

  24. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Below would be for a hit (only need one of the options not both)

    1. Isak > Alvarez
    2. Odegaard > Antony

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      1

  25. -GK22-
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Confused tgis well with what to do now I am chasing, £1.3m itb

    A) change keeper
    B) replace Brighton mid to eze
    C) Man City def
    D) Salah to KDB
    E) other?

    Kepa
    Trip, Estup, Shaw
    Salah, Rash, Bruno, Mitoma, macA
    Haaland, Alvarez

    Raya, Isak, Schar, mee

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Would roll, great team

  26. abaalan
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Steele
    Taa, Shaw, akanji
    Salah, Bruno, macA, mitoma, grealish
    Halaand, isak

    Trippier, botman, greenwood

    2ft, 1.1itb. grealish obv concern...any ideas?

  27. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which score more final two GWs:

    A) Alvarez (CHE, bha, bre) -4
    B) Mitoma (SOU, MCI, avl)

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yep nice summaryA I feel a mitoma rest v saints

  28. jack88
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Are you selling rashford? Or ar waiting till deadline

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No chance

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not selling, good for 2 more appealing matches even if he should miss the first

  29. LosSurenos
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Trailing mini league by 50 so need some bold move ideas... 1FT 0ITB

    DDG (Kepa)
    TAA Shaw Dunk Stones (Trippier)
    Salah Rashford Mitoma Mac10 Grealish
    Haaland (Isak Greenwood)

    Rival has Mahrez, Wilson, Pope, Alvarez.

  30. jack88
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Foden/mahrez/Antony

    Pick 1. I am leaning towards foden