Cheers Rainy. I guess Antony and Sancho are being vilified at the moment!

Be cautious of players who get a big haul after a run of blanks .
I'm talking about Son/Sterling etc .
We expect the big score to be the new norm but in reality the previous form is more likely .
Go for slow & steady form like Bowen & Maddison

Also to be considered is the player's injury history, e.g. KDB, Reece James, etc.

Those will get you players who have scored well. You want players who will score well

My transfer policy this season ... who decent is playing Luton or Burnley or Shuff Utd or Bournemouth ... buy some of them each week with a -4

I think your first 3 points are all perfectly sensible, and the number 1 rule remains 'don't chase last week's points'. Lots of other good suggestions from you and others below too. Perhaps a couple more I could add:

- Consider how both the player's team and opposing team play. E.g., I held onto Rashford because I thought he might get a chance on the break v ARS, and lo & behold he scored. Or, I've usually avoided wide players from MCI, as they tend to stay out wide while city crowd round the opposing box.

- You could even go into greater detail and look at individual player match-ups in a particular game, but that's quite short-term and probably overthinking it.

I didn't have the best start this year, but have been making progress each week just by being patient, making transfers after the pressers and not taking hits.

Always make transfers for a few weeks ahead, not for 1 week - any single week is unpredictable.

What non-PL fixtures does the team have and might that impact the player?

Think about who you are transferring out as well as who you're bringing in. If it's a long-term injury then fine, but if not, why will the new player outperform the exising player? Has something fundamental changed? Is that backed up with statistics, change in position, falling out of favour?

I like to make it up as I go along.

Alcohol-fuelled vibes

1) How good are the teams upcoming fixtures (with most impetus on the next fixture, then the next 3 after that (so 4 gameweeks ahead).
2) Of the teams with the best fixtures who are the best and second best asets to own from that team (mainly based on past form/points and npXG + XA, even for defenders but do consider other things too)
3) Are those factors above better than the player I am looking to transfer out?
4) If unsure or playing with multiple options/routes, do nothing, as i'm probably tinkering for the sake of it.

This week is a perfect example, have 2FT's, I would very much like a Spurs player for the next 4 (as think they'll do well in all, easy fixture, derby could be anything, pool defense poor, easy fixture).
Best assets are Maddison then Son (in my eyes)
Existing midfield is Salah, Saka, Bruno, Mbuemo, Diaby (who actually all have good fixtures this week anyway)
Have tinkered lot's of routes to Maddo or Son (have 2 FT's) which tells me I'm probably indecisive so will likely just stick (caveat being if Salah leaves or an international injury pops up then it's an easy switch to Son or Maddo)

Buy players in or coming into form with good fixtures and a history of returning well.