Watkins v Diaby: Who is the best Villa pick in FPL?

Price Change Predictions

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A, Vs
Up	Thiago	BRE	A
Down	Mateta	CRY	C
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Ekitiké	LIV	8.4m	108.0%	Very Likely
Hincapie	ARS	5.4m	90.1%	Likely
Foden	MCI	8.6m	110.1%	Very Likely
Bruno G.	NEW	6.9m	102.7%	Very Likely
White	ARS	5.3m	76.2%	Likely
Merino	ARS	6.0m	96.4%	Likely
Raúl	FUL	6.2m	84.2%	Likely
O.Dango	BRE	6.0m	93.3%	Likely
Chalobah	CHE	5.3m	81.4%	Likely
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	95.3%	Maybe
Cash	AVL	4.8m	70.1%	Unlikely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	80.3%	Unlikely
Wilson	FUL	5.3m	73.7%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	87.3%	Unlikely
Guéhi	CRY	5.2m	67.7%	Unlikely
O’Reilly	MCI	5.2m	62.6%	Unlikely
Thiago	BRE	7.0m	69.8%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	77.9%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	77.9%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	72.2%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	73.7%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	70.3%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	67.6%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	68.1%	Unlikely
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.1m	47.3%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	63.2%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	65.7%	Unlikely
Rice	ARS	7.1m	76.3%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	63.0%	Unlikely
Cherki	MCI	6.4m	52.3%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	45.3%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.1m	44.2%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	53.3%	Unlikely
Raya	ARS	6.0m	39.7%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	52.6%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	46.4%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.3m	46.3%	Unlikely
Saka	ARS	10.2m	27.4%	Unlikely
Wilson	WHU	5.8m	41.5%	Unlikely
Chukwueze	FUL	5.3m	39.8%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
DaCosta	BOU	4.5m	72.4%	Likely
Calafiori	ARS	5.8m	105.8%	Very Likely
Mateta	CRY	8.0m	112.0%	Very Likely
Welbeck	BHA	6.6m	95.8%	Likely
Mbeumo	MUN	8.4m	105.8%	Very Likely
Bergvall	TOT	5.4m	101.3%	Very Likely
Milenković	NFO	5.2m	101.2%	Very Likely
Saliba	ARS	6.0m	101.4%	Very Likely
Agbinone	CRY	4.4m	101.2%	Very Likely
Nallo	LIV	3.8m	99.3%	Likely
Gakpo	LIV	7.5m	93.2%	Likely
Gruev	LEE	4.8m	100.3%	Very Likely
Caicedo	CHE	5.8m	93.3%	Likely
Hato	CHE	4.7m	99.8%	Likely
Johnson	TOT	6.6m	99.4%	Likely
Pope	NEW	5.1m	92.5%	Likely
Beto	EVE	5.1m	97.3%	Likely
Morgan	BRE	4.4m	100.1%	Maybe
Virgil	LIV	6.0m	96.4%	Maybe
Hee Chan	WOL	5.7m	95.1%	Maybe
Adingra	SUN	5.0m	94.4%	Maybe
Fitzgerald	MUN	4.4m	93.6%	Maybe
Zubimendi	ARS	5.3m	94.7%	Maybe
Aznou	EVE	4.3m	93.6%	Maybe
H.Jones	SUN	4.4m	92.3%	Maybe
Neave	NEW	4.4m	97.0%	Maybe
Kulusevski	TOT	6.4m	94.3%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	94.2%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.2%	Unlikely
Boly	NFO	3.9m	88.7%	Unlikely
Patterson	SUN	4.3m	94.2%	Unlikely
Rigg	SUN	4.8m	86.1%	Unlikely
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	93.2%	Unlikely
Bates	EVE	4.4m	85.9%	Unlikely
Toti	WOL	4.3m	90.3%	Unlikely
Reinildo	SUN	4.0m	84.8%	Unlikely
Steele	BHA	4.3m	89.4%	Unlikely
H.Bueno	WOL	4.4m	85.6%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	91.0%	Unlikely
Tosin	CHE	4.2m	83.9%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C, Vs
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Vs, Sus
No Change	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Sels	NFO	B
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:36am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Muñoz	CRY	A, Sus
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	de Ligt	MUN	B, Inj
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Andersen	FUL	B
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	B
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A, £
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:41am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	A
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	B
No Change	Foden	MCI	A, Vs
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
No Change	Gakpo	LIV	B, Vs, Rest
No Change	Minteh	BHA	B
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
Up	Schade	BRE	C
No Change	Anderson	NFO	A, £
Down	Fernández	CHE	B

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:48am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A, Vs
Up	Thiago	BRE	A
Down	Mateta	CRY	C
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B

Aston Villa sit top of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 8-14, with five matches against sides currently ranked 12th or below in the Premier League table.

In the attacking spots, Fantasy Premier League (FPL) interest is chiefly focused on Ollie Watkins (£8.0m) and Moussa Diaby (£6.7m), but how do they stack up against one another?

Diaby, of course, was substituted late on in Gameweek 7 with a back injury and missed Thursday’s UEFA Europa Conference League clash against HSK Zrinjski, but he isn’t expected to be out for a period of time.

So, in this, our latest Premium Members article, we explore Watkins and Diaby’s appeal.

WATKINS V DIABY: GOAL THREAT

	Watkins	Diaby
Goals	4	2
Shots	22	18
Shots in the box	21	13
Big chances	7	2
Expected goals (xG)	3.39	1.61

Watkins has the edge over Diaby for goal threat.

While the pair have racked up a similar amount of shots, with 22 and 18 respectively, Watkins’ 21 efforts inside the box and seven Opta-defined ‘big chances’ is significantly better.

In his first five matches, Watkins was the most wasteful finisher in the league according to expected goals (xG), failing to score from 2.38 xG.

Since then, however, he’s found the net four times from 1.01 xG, readdressing the balance.

Above: Ollie Watkins (left) and Moussa Diaby’s (right) xG shotmaps in 2023/24

WATKINS V DIABY: ASSIST POTENTIAL

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Rupert The Horse

2 years, 2 months ago

NEW ARTICLE POSTED

https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2023/10/06/the-scout-squads-best-players-for-fpl-gameweek-8-2/?hc_sort_by=comment_date&hc_page=-1&notify=no#hc_comment_26157597

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Lallana_

Keep WC and hope Diaby plays? On a -8.

Johnstone
Cash Udogie Schar
Neto Son (C) Maddison Salah Diaby (!)
Haaland (v) Watkins

Bench: Turner, Estupinan (!), Kabore, Mubama

AC/DC AFC
2 years, 2 months ago
Diaby should hopefully be fine.

He'll be available for the next game you'd think anyhow.
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moogmcd

Not sure if this posted or not

On a wc

Trippier and Archer (or Broja)
Or
Burn and Watkins

Thanks in advance!

Rojo's Modern Life
2 years, 2 months ago
B by far
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amck27

Got saka, mbeumo, son, grealish and sterling in midfield.

Used FT & 0.8ITB. Want to make a change for -4

A) sterling to bowen
B) sterling to diaby
C) grealish to Maddison
D) other, any suggestions?

Thanks

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