This Members article series explores the expected goals (xG) data from the last six matches, assessing each side from an attacking and defensive perspective.
We also look at the top expected goal involvement (xGI) performers.
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TEAMS
XG: LAST SIX MATCHES
It’s been a disappointing start to life for Mauricio Pochettino at Chelsea, after Sunday’s defeat at Everton made it three losses in their last four. They remain on top here, yet it’s worth noting 4.12 of their 12.16 xG in the last six matches was accrued against nine-man Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 11. Since then, their output has been mixed, with very little created against Everton or Newcastle United.
CHELSEA’S XG BREAKDOWN: LAST SIX MATCHES
| GW16 (eve) | GW15 (mun) | GW14 (BHA) | GW13 (new) | GW12 (MCI) | GW11 (tot) | |
| xG | 0.95 | 1.52 | 2.11 | 0.53 | 2.95 | 4.12 |
Chelsea do at least have a favourable run of games coming up (SHU/wol/CRY/lut/FUL), offering hope that improvement might be around the corner.
Elsewhere, Andoni Iraola has his Bournemouth side flying at the moment. Across their last six matches, the Cherries have won four and drawn one, with their only defeat coming against champions Manchester City. In that time, their underlying attacking numbers are excellent, having averaged 1.94 xG per game. With Luton Town, Nottingham Forest and Fulham up next, their good run of form could well continue.
Another underdog impressing is Fulham, who have shown real improvements in attack recently. Yes, they have overperformed their xG by just over six goals, but they are still creating plenty of chances. It’s too early to say if it’ll continue, so it’ll be interesting to see how they fare at Newcastle United in Gameweek 17. The Magpies have saved their best performances for St James’ Park this season but they are struggling to cope with a vast injury list, which has seen them lose some of their potency in attack.
XGC: LAST SIX MATCHES
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