Scout Notes

Euro 2024 Fantasy: Heroic Gakpo + Demiral, differential Malen

The Round of 16 concluded with a couple of Tuesday matches. So here are the Euro 2024 Fantasy notes from Romania v Netherlands and Austria v Turkey.

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ROMANIA 0-3 NETHERLANDS

HAULS FOR GAKPO + MALEN

Euro 2024 Fantasy: Tuesday’s goals, assists, Player of the Match awards + stats 34

In the best Dutch display so far, big scores from Cody Gakpo (€7.5m) and Donyell Malen (€6.9m) booked them a Saturday quarter-final clash with Turkey.

The deadlock was broken in the 20th minute when Xavi Simons (€7.0m) picked out Gakpo, allowing Liverpool’s attacker to cut inside from the left and fire a right-footed shot past Florin Nita (€4.0m), who was disappointed to be beaten at his near post.

A second Gakpo strike was ruled out for offside but Fantasy owners didn’t have time to get too downbeat. He proceeded to set up Malen’s tap-in by brilliantly keeping the ball in play.

So it’s a goal, assist and Player of the Match award that takes the forward up to 27 points. Joint-top scorer of these Euros, combine his stats with the 2022 World Cup and you’ll find he’s netted six times in nine tournament matches.

Joint-fourth for chances created (11) and the best for setting up big ones (four), he’s the obvious candidate for those looking to replace a now-eliminated Romelu Lukaku (€9.0m).

Euro 2024 Fantasy: Tuesday’s goals, assists, Player of the Match awards + stats 33

Overall, the Netherlands accumulated 17 penalty area shots but – until two late goals – had a frustrating lack of cutting edge. Memphis Depay (€7.5m) was responsible for four shots and five chances created. Then Joey Veerman’s (€6.4m) effort narrowly missed the far corner.

At least they had half-time substitute Malen around to seal the win. After coming on for Steven Bergwijn (€7.0m), he followed the close-range goal with a stoppage-time solo counter-attack that eventually sent Nita the wrong way. In 45 minutes, he racked up 1.20 expected goals (xG) and could be an intriguing differential.

CLEAN SHEET JOY

Meanwhile, one of the closest attempts came from Virgil van Dijk (€6.0m). His header from a corner grazed the post but owners can console themselves with a clean sheet. As can those with the similarly popular Nathan Ake (€5.5m) and Bart Verbruggen (€4.5m).

Ronald Koeman is yet to settle on a right-sided combination and his latest line-up brought Denzel Dumfries (€5.5m) back into the fold. The attacking full-back was constantly dangerous in Munich, creating two chances and taking seven touches in the box. A late yellow card limited him to a five-point tally.

As for Ake, an onside Gakpo would’ve seen him register a third tournament assist.

AUSTRIA 1-2 TURKEY

DEFENDER DEMIRAL DOUBLE

Euro 2024 Fantasy: Heroic Gakpo + Demiral, differential Malen

Dark horses Austria topped the Netherlands’ group that also contained France. However, there won’t be a quick rematch thanks to the two goals of Turkish centre-back Merih Demiral (€4.5m). Unsurprisingly named Player of the Match, he takes home a whopping 20 points.

All three goals in this superb encounter came from corners – the first one after just 57 seconds. Arda Guler’s (€6.9m) set piece snuck all the way through to an Austrian defender on the line, where brief hesitancy allowed Demiral to intervene. Slightly before the hour mark, he rose high to head home another Guler delivery.

Making Turkey’s win even more impressive is that it happened without the suspended Hakan Calhanoglu (€6.5m). Although he returns for the quarter-final, it’ll be the turn of Orkun Kokcu (€6.0m) and Ismail Yuksek (€5.0m) to miss out.

SABITZER, BAUMGARTNER + POSCH OUT

Demiral’s second came as a sucker punch to Ralf Rangnick’s side, who thrashed Turkey 6-1 in March. Michael Gregoritsch (€6.4m) bagged a hat-trick that day and, after being brought on at half-time, helped them react relentlessly.

His 66th-minute consolation set up a grandstand finale but, despite having far more chances overall, the team’s 2.76 xG ultimately meant nothing.

Christoph Baumgartner (€6.6m) had numerous attempts, plus an early occasion where he was agonisingly close to reaching a corner. Instead, he collided with the post.

But perhaps the match’s most memorable long-term moment occurred in the very last minute of stoppage time. Baumgartner powerfully headed the ball downwards, only to see Mert Gunok (€4.4m) somehow pull off an incredible, absurd save. With that, the final whistle brought deafening roars from the Turkish fans, as their exhausted players simultaneously collapsed to the turf.

Yet none of their Fantasy assets currently have over 2% ownership. Instead, we’re losing Marcel Sabitzer (€6.6m), who racked up three shots on the night.

Furthermore, the great underlying numbers of right-back Stefan Posch (€4.5m) have been eliminated. He ended the group stage as the best defender for attempts (five) and shots on target (three), before having two more efforts here – both inside the box.

This contributed to an expected goal involvement (xGI) of 1.11, as did the assist for Gregoritsch and a total of six chances created, three of which were deemed to be big. He departs this tournament as the leading defender in many attacking areas.


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36 Comments Post a Comment
  1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 10 Years
    11 days, 14 hours ago

    Spain - Netherlands in the final?

    1. Ginkapo FPL
      • 12 Years
      11 days, 14 hours ago

      Spain England

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 days, 14 hours ago

      Yes, De Jong to kung fu kick Xabi Alonso in the chest.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 10 Years
        11 days, 14 hours ago

        This made me giggle!

  2. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 11 Years
    11 days, 14 hours ago

    Which approach is better to take going into the quarter finals. Pick your winners and back them in team selection or choose a balanced approach and cover all of Germany, Spain, France, Portugal etc?

    1. The Tonberry
        11 days, 14 hours ago

        A bit of both in my opinion. Template teams should already have a couple of players from each of those teams listed.

      • The Mentaculus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 3 Years
        11 days, 13 hours ago

        4 FTs between QF and SF isn't enough to fix a completely balanced side where you lose 7-8, so you have to back some winners. I think hedging one or maximum two games, with e.g. 2 players from either side can work where you're unsure. Personally I think I'd go for 2 attackers from each side of Spain v Germany, which I also think will be one of the more open QF ties. Could maybe hedge on FRA/POR or ENG/SWI defenders too, but I think I would back France (I've already kind of committed to that with my own team anyway..)

      • RedLightning
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 13 Years
        11 days, 12 hours ago

        Balanced approaches might be good enough to get high rankings and do well in mini-leagues, but the overall champion will probably be someone who picks their winners and backs them 100% - all or nothing.

    2. shirtless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 days, 14 hours ago

      12/15 not bad with wild card still available. I've got Nita, Baumgartner and Lukaku to move on. What a waste of time he was. The Utd version of him!

      1. The Tonberry
          11 days, 14 hours ago

          14/15 here with just Baumgartner out (and Guehi suspended) for the next round. WC still to be used

        • Goro Majima
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          11 days, 14 hours ago

          Are you planning to WC now or wait until the SF?

          1. shirtless
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            11 days, 13 hours ago

            Semi. No point now.

        • Hairy Potter
          • 9 Years
          11 days, 14 hours ago

          Donnarumma and Guehi to ship for me. I'll probably transfer Fernandes out as well with my 3 FTs. Will save WC for SF now.

        • Gizzachance
          • 9 Years
          11 days, 13 hours ago

          Only guehi out for me, will use transfers, w/c in semis

      2. samz146
          11 days, 13 hours ago

          Why did Xavi second assist not register on the game? I captained him and expected 18 points instead of 12. Is the game based on individual perception? Otherwise I'm thinking it's rigged or fixed.

          1. Skonto Rigga
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 6 Years
            11 days, 13 hours ago

            It's because Malen's second was deemed a 'solo goal'.

            "When a goal is scored from a solo run or dribble, no player is credited with the assist."

            1. samz146
                11 days, 13 hours ago

                Thanks for confirming Skonto, that's in the Euro Fantasy rules I'm assuming? Just baffled because both BBC and other sources said he got the assist for 90+3mn. Without him directing into the path of Malen, he might have not had the chance for the run.

                1. Skonto Rigga
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 6 Years
                  11 days, 13 hours ago

                  Yeah, it's in the Euro Fantasy rules. Does feel harsh!

          2. Karan14
            • 8 Years
            11 days, 13 hours ago

            Pickford Verbruggen
            Carvajal Cucurella Guehi* Stones Cancelo
            Musiala N.Williams Pedri Bruno Sabitzer*
            Kane Mbappe CR7
            0.0m

            Rank 45k slipped down from 10k this week.
            Would you WC this lot or use 3 FTs?

            Considering selling Ronaldo, Sabitzer & Guehi.
            Gakpo, Simon/Ger mid, VVD/Hernandez to come in.

            Thoughts?

          3. Gizzachance
            • 9 Years
            11 days, 13 hours ago

            Morrata? Keep or transfer out?
            Have Kane and mbappe
            Cheers

            1. YoungPretender
              • 9 Years
              11 days, 11 hours ago

              I’m thinking of moving him out for Gakpo

              1. Gizzachance
                • 9 Years
                11 days, 11 hours ago

                Cheers
                Thinking same

          4. fenixri
            • 8 Years
            11 days, 13 hours ago

            I am going to save wc for QF since its hard to predict who will get through.

            * are FTs.

            Pickford Maignan
            Stones Cucurella Carvajal Pepe Hernandez*
            Bruno Musiala Gundo Bellingham* Williams*
            Morata Mbappe Depay

            Not really happy, but I think saving WC for semi is better.

            What you think?

            1. fenixri
              • 8 Years
              11 days, 13 hours ago

              edit: save WC for semis

          5. Baps hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            11 days, 12 hours ago

            I just realised that my team has 11 players playing on the 5th, so I have to transfer only English and Dutch players in. This means that I am stuck with Morata also, he is not worth -4 to Gakpo. VvD is the first name, but are the others Bellingham and Simons?

            1. Karan14
              • 8 Years
              11 days, 12 hours ago

              Dutch over English players

              1. Mirror Man
                  11 days, 12 hours ago

                  And Swiss

                  1. Baps hunter
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    11 days, 12 hours ago

                    VvD, Simons, Aebischer?

                • Baps hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 6 Years
                  11 days, 10 hours ago

                  Bookies believe that England is more likely to keep cs than Netherlands, but I strongly disagree tbh.

              2. Baps hunter
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                11 days, 12 hours ago

                Ouch, not affordable. After Simons and VvD I have only 7.3 left. So who is the best option at that price or is there better combo? I believe VvD is a must because Turkey is poor when defending corners, he is genuine C option for me.

                1. Karan14
                  • 8 Years
                  11 days, 12 hours ago

                  Gundo

                  1. Baps hunter
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    11 days, 10 hours ago

                    Thx. I just realised that I have Mittelstadt also stinking in my team, but he plays on the 5th. However, if this is going to be low scoring, I might sell him instead of getting another mid.

                    1. Baps hunter
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 6 Years
                      11 days, 10 hours ago

                      It's actually first match, so I will know whether he starts or not.

            2. Gullit
              • 6 Years
              11 days, 12 hours ago

              So, 14/15 players qualified.
              Keeping WC for semis.
              So 3 transfers only.

              Diogo Costa 05/07
              Pickford 06/07

              Cucurella 05/07
              Cancelo 05/07
              John Stones 06/07
              Kyle Walker 06/07
              Van Dijk 06/07

              Gundogan 05/07
              Musiala 05/07
              Nico Williams 05/07
              Bruno Fernandes 05/07
              *Sabitzer*

              Yamal 05/07
              Morata 05/07
              Depay 06/07

              Right now, I'm thinking orange.
              More dutch.

              Gakpo for Morata
              Aké for Kyle Walker (or J.Stones)

              Just not sure if should go with Bellingham or X.Simmons for Sabitzer.

              Any advice would be much appreciated. (First in my private league by 29pts - the prize is free sushi and drinks!)

              1. Baps hunter
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                11 days, 12 hours ago

                Your bench order is incorrect, makes reading it more dfficult.

                1. Gullit
                  • 6 Years
                  11 days, 6 hours ago

                  I don't know who's going to be in the bench.

                  And it really doesn't seem to matter all that much.

                  There will be 4 games played in two days (05/07 and 06/07).

                  Almost half of my players will be playing in the second day.