The group stage of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup was completed on Friday morning, so thoughts turn to the knockout rounds.
Managers in the official Fantasy game now get unlimited transfers. Make them count, however, as the allowance drops back down from the quarter-finals onwards.
TRANSFERS ALLOWED PER ROUND
| Stage | Transfers allowed |
|---|---|
| Before the round of 16 | Unlimited |
| Before the quarter-finals | 4 |
| Before the semi-finals | 5 |
| Before the final | 6 |
So, attempting to second-guess who will make it through the Club World Cup knockout rounds will be key when setting up your last-16 team. That goes especially so if you have no Wildcard remaining.
Remember, too, that the new Qualification Booster gives you +2 points for every player that makes it through to the next round.
With that in mind, we’ve rounded up the bookmakers’ odds for each club’s chances of qualifying for each subsequent round.
If you don’t know your Monterreys from your Miamis (which you surely do by now!), this should give you a guide as to the teams to target.
BOOKIES’ ODDS FOR EACH ROUND
We’ve divided the below odds into two tables, reflecting the two sides of the draw.
| Team | To reach the quarter-finals | To reach the semi-finals | To reach the final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 57.6% | 22.7% | 7.7% |
| Botafogo | 42.4% | 16.9% | 5.5% |
| Chelsea | 58.9% | 37.7% | 16.8% |
| Benfica | 41.1% | 22.7% | 5.5% |
| Inter Milan | 70.9% | 26.6% | 15.4% |
| Fluminense | 29.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Manchester City | 85.4% | 59.7% | 42.1% |
| Al Hilal | 14.6% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
Manchester City are the team to back, according to the bookies. They have the greatest chance of making the semi-finals and final out of any team in the last 16.
Chelsea’s quarter of the draw is the hardest to call, according to the odds-setters. The Blues and Palmeiras are the favourites to reach the quarter-finals but the bookmakers are the least convinced of those two out of all the round-of-16 ties.
| Team | To reach the quarter-finals | To reach the semi-finals | To reach the final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 87.9% | 52.5% | 30.6%* |
| Inter Miami | 12.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Flamengo | 29.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Bayern Munich | 70.9% | 34.3% | 20.4% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 68.8% | 21.0% | 6.1% |
| Monterrey | 31.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Real Madrid | 72.3% | 54.7% | 30.6%* |
| Juventus | 27.7% | 18.2% | 6.1% |
The bookies make PSG and Real equal favourites (30.6% apiece) to reach the final from the second half of the draw.
The UEFA Champions League winners have the most favourable round-of-16 clash, against Inter Miami.
They do, however, potentially have Bayern Munich standing in their way of a semi-final showdown with Real.
