Pro Pundits
14 August 2025 715 comments
zøphar zøphar
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With the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 1 deadline just a day away, we’re hearing from our panel of guest writers.

Here, eight-time top 10k finisher Zophar is back for the new season with his weekly Q&A, taking questions on Erling Haaland (£14.0m), 4-5-1, £4.0m defenders and more.

Make sure you sign up for the new season to get all the Member-only articles, tools and features to make 2025/26 your best FPL campaign yet!

FPL 2025/26 first draft team reveals: DC magnets + Bench Boost 1

Q: Is tripling up on Nottingham Forest a good idea for those with an Erling Haaland draft and who are Free Hitting in Gameweek 4?

FPL Gameweek 24 round-up: Saturday’s goals, assists, bonus points + stats 5

(via Zimo)

A: The question doesn’t mention which players form your triple-up. So, I’m not sure if it’s a triple defence, one defender + Elliot Anderson (£5.5m) + Chris Wood (£8.0m), or something in between.

So, let’s talk about their assets in general in defence and attack.

I think the first six Gameweeks, Forest have the best fixtures for clean sheets. Barring the away games at Crystal Palace and Arsenal in Gameweeks 2 and 4, the other fixtures look very promising for defensive returns. Along with Everton, their defensive assets are the biggest benefactors of the new ‘DEFCON’ scoring system. 

However, it worries me that Forest have been struggling for goals in pre-season. We saw some attacking line-ups from Nuno Espirito Santo in their last few games and with these games being more ‘winnable’ for Forest, does he go a bit more on the front foot and be a bit more open defensively? It’s against his very nature but the team needs to score goals to win football matches. Also, if you are planning to Free Hit potentially in Gameweek 6 (to target Manchester City v Burnley), then the fixture run looks a bit less rosy. I am not against a double-up in defence, but I don’t think it is essential. 

But as you mention, you are looking to Free Hit in Gameweek 4, in which case you eliminate the worst fixture in the first six Gameweeks. So, the double/triple-up in defence could reward handsomely. 

Anderson is a perfectly good pick at £5.5m and is a bit of a set-and-forget that will tick along, so I like that option there if that’s what you want from that slot in your attack. Despite the fixture list, talismanic goal involvement and spot-kick duties, I think there are better options than Wood in the £7.5m forward bracket, especially given Igor Jesus (£6.0m) and Taiwo Awoniyi (£5.5m) are both champing at the bit now. 


Q: Is 4-5-1 with Ollie Watkins and 2x £4.5m forwards a viable strategy?

FPL new signings: Is Marc Guiu now the best £4.5m forward?

(via @FPLAnalyser)

A: I tried something similar in one of my drafts. I had a midfield of Bruno Fernandes (£9.0m), Florian Wirtz (£8.5m), Kiernan DewsburyHall (£5.0m), Mohamed Salah (£14.5m) and Cole Palmer (£10.5m) along with DEFCON monsters such as Pedro Porro (£5.5m), Maxence Lacroix (£5.0m), Murillo (£5.5m) and James Tarkowski (£5.5m) in defence. Eli Junior Kroupi (£4.5m) and Marc Guiu (£4.5m) were the forwards.

It could absolutely work, given the scoring boost for defenders this season, but I think it will leave you a little bit inflexible. I think Ollie Watkins (£9.0m) is worth keeping for at least seven Gameweeks and with the wealth of options in the £7.5m bracket, I think some players will emerge who you will want to hop on. Also, you will almost certainly need to make a transfer for at least one of the forwards for when you want to Bench Boost. But if you’re asking if it is a viable strategy, it absolutely is. 


Q: Isn’t it much easier to begin the season with Erling Haaland rather than scramble to get him once the campaign is underway?

Q. This one has probably been covered a million times – but I want your view on it over a specific period. If I can only have one of Erling Haaland or Mohamed Salah for the first six gameweeks, who should it be and why?

Haaland injury: Man City issue update

(via FPL Virgin and The Pretender)

A: There’s no right or wrong answer to this, I’m afraid. Erling Haaland (£14.0m) is a fantastic FPL pick and given his record of starting seasons strongly, there is no reason to definitely not own the Norwegian international. 

The reason I don’t own him, and many others on this site also don’t, is Mohamed Salah (£14.5m). Liverpool have added potent weapons to their attack and the Gameweek 1 captaincy is a huge lure against a Bournemouth side with an entirely new backline. Even beyond Gameweek 1, there isn’t a standout week where you can say Haaland is the outstanding captain pick besides Gameweek 6, by when you can make the transfer from Salah. 

Could it backfire and could Haaland outscore Salah by 20+ points over that period? Absolutely.

Also, it’s not that difficult to get Haaland in if you own Palmer and, say, Watkins. Palmer down to a £5.5m midfielder lets you take Watkins up to Haaland, so you don’t really need to scramble as long as you have a structure where the funds are not too spread out. 


Q: Some analysis on the £4.0m Leeds defenders would be great!

Fantasy EFL 2024/25 transfer news: All the confirmed summer signings

(via Boberella)

A: I’ve been looking into this myself. Out of the promoted teams, I think they’re the ones I fancy backing the most. I think Burnley and Sunderland will struggle a bit. I also think Elland Road will be a difficult place to go for most teams in the league. Jayden Bogle is no doubt the standout at £4.5m, if fit, but let’s look at the £4.0m options as requested.

  • Jaka Bijol (£4.0m): Suspended for Gameweek 1 but most Leeds fans and journalists expect him to become first choice very soon after. If you don’t need him right away, a 6’4″ centre-back sounds fun to own. However, there is a risk if the centre-back pairing he goes with in Gameweek 1 fares well, Daniel Farke sticks to it for a bit.
  • Joe Rodon (£4.0m): Most fans I have spoken to insist that Rodon is first choice and from the numbers, it appears that he will fare well for DEFCON points too. There is a small risk if he has a few bad games that Pascal Strujik (£4.5m) or Ethan Ampadu (£5.0m) are preferred but that possibility looks slim, with 46 starts last season. He’s the one I’m currently favouring. However, there is this caveat from this article: at the age of 27, he’s scored only two league goals in his entire career. Of the 22 Leeds players to have a goal attempt in 2024/25, his average of a shot every 197 minutes was the second-worst.
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson (£4.0m): Leeds’ new left-back was signed after Junior Firpo’s heroics last season and traditionally, Farke gives both his full-backs license to attack. There is a chance he takes some set-pieces, but he took none during their last preseason game. Also, I’m not so sure Farke will give both his full-backs as much license to bomb forward at the top level, so he might be the one hanging back a bit while Bogle does his thing. There is a very small chance he prefers Strujik at LB in some games but it is unlikely. Gudmundsson’s underlying numbers aren’t great though and he has played as a third centre-back for his national team Sweden. 

If DEFCON points are your thing, go for Rodon. If you like some modest open-play attacking threat, Gudmonsson is your man. 


Q: If I’m not playing my Wildcard until at least Gameweek 8, rank the best forwards at £7.0m or below.

FPL pre-season: New £4.5m West Ham left-back Diouf shines

(via @AR_FPL147)

A: There are very few options in this price bracket who I think are viable FPL picks. In fact, there are only two, in my opinion: Jorgen Strand Larsen (£6.5m) and Evanilson (£7.0m).

Evanilson is Bournemouth’s big chance hogger. I think the striker is set for a better campaign after an adaptation period last season. The fixtures from Gameweek 2 are great and it would not surprise me if he scored at Anfield. There’s a chance he’s on spot-kick duties in Justin Kluivert’s (£7.0m) absence as well.

Strand Larsen is a decent pick. Wolves are not a very high xG side but he is likely to be their focal point and there is a chance he is on penalty-taking duties as well. The fixtures improve for the Midlands side from Gameweek 2 onwards but they have struggled a bit with chance creation in the absence of Rayan Ait-Nouri (£6.0m) and Matheus Cunha (£8.5m). Vitor Pereira is a good manager though and Jhon Arias (£5.5m) is an absolute baller, so I think they will do fine. 

Elsewhere, Danny Welbeck’s (£6.5m) minutes look very dodgy to me. I think Georginio Rutter (£6.0m) will get the nod ahead of him in most games and eventually the two new Greek strikers might be groomed to take his place. His fitness is always a worry, as well, with Fabian Hurzeler very coy with team news.

Below this, I don’t think any of Thierno Barry (£6.0m, Beto (£5.5m) or Igor Thiago (£6.0m) can be relied upon as FPL options just yet. Brentford are actively in the market for a centre-forward, while who of Barry or Beto starts for the Toffees is anyone’s guess.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has just signed for Leeds and will eat into Joel Piroe’s (£5.5m) and Lukas Nmecha’s (£5.0m) gametime, while Eliezer Mayenda (£5.5m) has competition from Guiu.


Q: When has pre-season form predicted player performance in the last few years?

FPL pre-season: Gibbs-White minutes, a Wilson penalty + Sunderland injury

(via @FplSatisfaction)

A: There haven’t been many but I can think of a few. Michu comes to mind; he was on fire in pre-season and carried his form into the league. Riyad Mahrez in Leicester’s title-winning season had a very strong showing, as well. I think it helps the ‘streaky’ forwards, in particular. I remember Olivier Giroud starting well after a few pre-season goals.

For all of these, though, there is always a Mauro Boselli...


715 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Manani
    • 14 Years
    3 months, 23 days ago

    is Kelleher injured?

    thinking Kelleher + Dub combo, but both are flagged

    1. The Pretender
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 23 days ago

      The belief is he will play

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 23 days ago

        People believe a lot of things

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 23 days ago

      Brentford presser 2pm

    3. Moon Dog
        3 months, 23 days ago

        His absence was "precautionary" so he's probably fine. Hopefully we'll find out in a couple of hours.

    4. RogueBlood
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 23 days ago

      Current Draft suggestions?
      Sanchez
      De Cuyper, VDV, Williams
      KDH, Salah, Palmer, Kudus, Wirtz
      Gyokeres, Pedro

      Dubravka, Evanilson, Konsa, Esteve

      1. Manani
        • 14 Years
        3 months, 23 days ago

        would rather have Watkins over Gyo,
        and PMSarr over KDH (but i see you already have 2 other spurs)

    5. cruzex
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 23 days ago

      My team is done!! Finaly

      Sels
      Porro Cucurela Diouf
      Palmer Cunha Gakpo Ndaye Cherki (or Mitoma or Kudus)
      Haaland (c) Gyokeres

      Bench: Dubravka Guiu Dorgu Hoever

      Good to go?

    6. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 23 days ago

      Hey guys, haven't been on for months.
      What's happened to the site? Its seems stripped back.

      1. Moon Dog
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Devs have been horsing around. I've heard they're working on a "dark mode" but that was a while ago now...

          1. The Knights Template
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            And bigger gravs!

            1. Deulofail
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 23 days ago

              It's hard to make every picture bigger. There are maybe 200 or so users with pictures. That's a lot of work

        • Gazwaz80
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Welcome back Rupe…

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            thanks

      2. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 23 days ago

        Would you prefer:

        1. Dorgu & Bowen
        2. Hartman & Ekitike

        1. Kodap
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          or, use the extra 0.5m to upgrade one of Munoz/Tark to a 6m defender such as VVD

        2. Under my Cucurella
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          1

      3. adstomko
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 23 days ago

        Regarding sub-goalkeepers:
        Should you choose the benched 4m goalie for the same team as your starting goalie?
        Or should you choose Dubravka?
        Just concerned about the price drop

      4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 23 days ago

        Does this look ok?

        Kelleher/ Dubravka
        De Cuyper/ Diouf/ Andersen/ Konsa/ Esteve
        Palmer/ Saka/ Bruno/ Wirtz/ Reijnders
        Haaland/ Pedro/ Gulu

        Thanks!

      5. Mumchumba
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 23 days ago

        Okay, first post of the season (and the 42nd draft), am I good to go ? Is it a possible BB1 team to boot ?

        Sels
        Murillo, Pedro Porro, Diouf
        Salah, Palmer, Wirtx, Georginio, Reijnders
        Watkins, Evanilson

        Dubravka, Strand Larsen, Rodon, Esteve

      6. marpy016
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 months, 23 days ago

        G2G?

        Sels
        Murillo - Porro - De Cuyper
        Salah - Palmer - Wirtz - Rogers - Rjeinders
        J Pedro - Watkins

        Dubravka - Diouf - Rodon - Guiu

      7. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Any love for Foden this year?

        • Letsgo!
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Gakpo rutter haaland guiu
          Or gyokeres bowen mitoma wirtz

        • football
          • 16 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Any advice? (1.5m left)

          Sanchez , (Dubravka)

          Van De Ven Aina Dorgu (Esteve, Konsa)

          Salah Palmer, Bruno F, Anderson, Ndiaye

          J Pedro , O Watkins (Guiu)

        • Atimis
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Thoughts on Tielemans over Rutter? Or would you find funds to get Kudus? I'm not sure about Sarr (CP) fixtures for now.

          1. The FPL Units
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Kudus and no go imo

          2. WVA
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Rutter looks really good

        • football
          • 16 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Van De Ven or Porro?

          1. Manani
            • 14 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            porro if you have fund obviously

          2. Letsgo!
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Porro

          3. OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Van

        • space mercenary
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          So, what positions do Bruno, Casemiro and Baleba play if the latter gets his move to Man Utd. - assuming Ugarte drops to the bench?

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Sesko
            Cunha Mbeumo
            Baleba Bruno

            1. space mercenary
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 23 days ago

              So £70M Casemiro drops to the bench?

              1. I Member
                • 10 Years
                3 months, 23 days ago

                Yes.

              2. WVA
                • 9 Years
                3 months, 23 days ago

                70 year old Casemiro drops

              3. Tonyawesome69
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 23 days ago

                Yup, he will add depth in midfield. Baleba and Bruno will be first choice CMs

        • lekalatch
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Playing BB.
          A) Sanchez + Dubravka
          B) Kelleher + Verbruggen

          1. I Member
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Is Dubravka going to play?

          2. Cruyff's Eleven
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            For BB I'd pick B. Not sure Dubravka will start GW1

        • RedKev81
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Who would you captain for GW1 ?

          Watkins
          Bowen
          Ekitike
          Palmer
          Gakpo
          Wirtz

          1. The FPL Units
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            P

          2. I Member
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Think I'd punt on one of the Liverpool players.

            1. RedKev81
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 23 days ago

              Which Liverpool player would you go for?
              I’m leaning towards Watkins or Gakpo atm based on being prem proven and their oppositions transfer windows. Palace are decent putting me off Palmer slightly

              1. I Member
                • 10 Years
                3 months, 23 days ago

                Yeah I don't really like Palmer captain this week. Lack of preseason and Palace are a good side.

                Watkins is probably safer, Liverpool boys higher upside.

                1. RedKev81
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  3 months, 23 days ago

                  Thanks mate, my thoughts also, probably leave it on Watkins C and Gakpo VC then. Good luck for the season

                  1. I Member
                    • 10 Years
                    3 months, 23 days ago

                    Same to you. For what it's worth I'm captaining Wirtz.

        • bitm2007
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Füllkrug not even mentioned in the 7.0m or below reply. Surely a decent option for those looking for a cheap 3rd forward given his preseason form, and Sunderland up first as well.

          1. The FPL Units
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Wouldn't go near.

          2. Sloopy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            I'm in!

        • DavvaMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Not sure on VDV, would you prefer De Cuyper or perhaps Diouf?

          1. WVA
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Tempted on all three

        • Juventusfan4life
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Forest triple up defense.

          Y or N

          Sels, Murillo, willams

          1. cravencottage
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            y- easy to switch later. Good fixtures

          2. Pariße
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Not a fan of defensive triple-ups. Even in the easiest fixtures teams concede…a cheeky goal and it’s all ruined.

        • FDMS All Starz
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          Thoughts on current draft and potential moves?

          Sanchez Dubravka
          Porro Munoz Anderson (Dorgu Rodon)
          Salah Palmer Bruno Wirtz Carvalho
          Watkins Fulkrug (Guiu)

          Considering: Salah/Carvalho/Fullkrug/Dorgu —> Saka/Gakpo/Evanilson/Murrilo

          Would you do it or keep it the same?

        • cravencottage
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 23 days ago

          PM Sarr or KDH ?

          1. Moon Dog
              3 months, 23 days ago

              KDH for me. I think he's going to hoover up DefCons as an 8, whilst also providing a decent number of assists from set pieces and open play.

          2. Edge
            • 16 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            A) 4.5 + Saka
            B) Cucurella + Wirtz
            C) 5.5 + Bruno

            ?

            1. Jordan.
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              3 months, 23 days ago

              C

          3. cravencottage
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Both over him

          4. EL tridente
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Please rate this team:
            Sanchez, Dubravka
            VVD, Neco, Van De Ven, De Cuyper, Esteve
            Salah, Palmer, Wirtz, Georginio, Sarr
            Watkins, Pedro, Guiu

            1. Cruyff's Eleven
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 23 days ago

              Template

          5. waltzingmatildas
            • 15 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Really unsure on this:
            A) Cucu and Rice
            B) Konsa and Bruno

            Cucu seems to be getting very far forward and good fixtures. Rice is a cheap way into Arsenal.
            Bruno has attacking threat, DC, pens, but I'm not sure on the Man U set up yet. Konsa is ok for a 4.5.

            1. cravencottage
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              3 months, 23 days ago

              Honestly I dont love either. Cucu and Mitoma?

          6. jonnybhoy
            • 13 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Best 4.5m mid?

            1. WVA
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 23 days ago

              King maybe?

              1. Caws13
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 22 days ago

                Will he play?

                1. WVA
                  • 9 Years
                  3 months, 22 days ago

                  To start with

              1. iFash@FPL
                • 1 Year
                3 months, 23 days ago

                This is the interesting article that made me switch from Potts to King.
                Fingers crossed…

          7. Sharkytect
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Raul jiminez, anyone? Not mentioned above in the article

            1. The FPL Units
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              3 months, 23 days ago

              He was value at 5.5m

          8. Deulofail
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Nice to see the Scout Picks bus team with Dubravka in it, even though he's not named once in the Scout Squad. Plenty are still putting him in their GW1 BB teams!

          9. Sting
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            3 months, 23 days ago

            Best 6.5 mid to play every week in a 352?

            I started my drafts with Kudus and then Ndiaye. Now I’m on Mitoma.

            The Eze rumours leave me doubtful about Palace and Sarr so that’s a wait and see.