Spot the Differential
2 January 2026 653 comments
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Our Gameweek 20 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


MARTIN ODEGAARD

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £7.8m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bou | LIV | nfo | MUN | lee

After scoring and providing an assist over the last two Gameweeks, Arsenal’s Martin Odegaard (£7.8m) looks like a great option for the Gunners’ trip to the Vitality Stadium.

The playmaker should certainly be full of confidence coming up against strugglers Bournemouth, having won possession to brilliantly set up Martin Zubimendi (£5.2m) against Aston Villa on Tuesday.

“He needed some consistency and some games. Obviously, he had two times the shoulder injury, then he had a big knee injury, and that takes a little bit of time.

“Now you can see that it’s flowing, that his energy level is back to where it is. He’s taking risks, he’s affecting the game in a great way and I think he was really, really good today again.” – Mikel Arteta on Martin Odegaard in Gameweek 19

Odegaard impressively ranks first among all players for chances created over the last six Gameweeks, with 20.

He is also joint-ninth in his position for goal attempts during the same timeframe (13).

Those underlying stats suggest Odegaard can continue his recent production against Bournemouth, as he comes up against a side that has failed to win since Gameweek 9, conceding 11 goals in their last four matches.

Andoni Iraola’s defence has admittedly performed better at home, but given Arsenal’s attacking output, Odegaard looks like an interesting differential prospect, particularly with Bournemouth conceding so many key passes from the left half-space.

Above: Bournemouth’s chances created conceded heatmap in 2025/26


FERDI KADIOGLU

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: BUR | mci | BOU | ful | EVE

For those Fantasy managers who aren’t afraid to roll the dice, Ferdi Kadioglu (£4.4m) could be a player to back this week as Brighton and Hove Albion entertain Burnley.

The £4.4m full-back provided his first assist of the 2025/26 campaign against West Ham United on Tuesday.

Furthermore, Kadioglu ranks joint-third among all FPL defenders for chances created and joint-10th for shots over the past four Gameweeks.

Set-pieces could prove crucial on Saturday, as Burnley, who have allowed nine goals in their last five matches, have conceded 76 goal attempts from dead-ball situations this season – only Aston Villa are worse off in that respect.

So as Brighton’s main corner-taker, Kadioglu could be set to profit from that weakness.

And with Brighton’s upcoming schedule pretty decent (they sit fifth on our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty in Gameweeks 20-28), and considering Kadioglu has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch, he could be a nice differential pickup with just 0.3% ownership.

Defensively, Fabian Hurzeler’s troops have kept four clean sheets in their last 10 matches, offering further optimism ahead of Gameweek 20.


MATEUS FERNANDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: wol | NFO | tot | SUN | che

West Ham have endured a difficult season thus far, picking up just 14 points from 19 matches.

However, the 2-2 draw against Brighton on Tuesday may provide the perfect springboard as they prepare for a favourable upcoming schedule.

In their next six matches, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face Wolverhampton Wanderers, Nottingham Forest and Burnley, all of whom are currently ranked 17th or below in the table.

“What I want is to perform, compete and make this point [against Brighton] really valuable. If we achieve a good win there [at Molineux], a good performance, this is what we’re going to prepare.” – Nuno Espirito Santo

Budget midfielder Mateus Fernandes, who costs just £5.5m, has been a key creator for West Ham this season.

He’s created 14 chances since the start of November, the most of any Hammers player.

Furthermore, Fernandes has produced defensive contribution (DefCon) points in five of his last eight starts.

West Ham visit Wolves on Saturday.

Rob Edwards’ side have failed to keep a clean sheet so far this season and have looked particularly vulnerable at Molineux, conceding nine goals across their new manager’s four home games in charge.

Fernandes could act as a decent enabler, then, given West Ham’s favourable upcoming schedule.


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Introducing The Eye Test 2
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  1. Lost for Wirtz
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Start 1 please:

    A) Dorgu
    B) Guehi
    C) Chalobah

    1. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      a

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      A

    3. gemmalmr92
      • 11 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Dorgu

  2. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Insane darts, GVV back to 5-3 lead, Anderson fighting for survival....

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Start GVV

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        In this form, worth a TC chip...

  3. antis0cial
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    VVD to Gabriel for free? Exact money.

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      After Burnley

      1. antis0cial
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Would take multiple moves then, Gabriel to rise

    2. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      yes

    3. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Easy

    4. Lost for Wirtz
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Sure

  4. TBL
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    on WC, would you prefer Saka or Palmer

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Palmer

    2. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Saka

    3. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Palmer with Rice and Gabriel

    4. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Palmer

    5. Make FPL Casual Again
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Im tempted by Saka this gw then move to Palmer

  5. boombaba
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Play Andersen and have no bench (all injured) or use a FT and get into alderate for Esteve and play him ?

    1. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Alderate a good back up for the long term so worth it for me

    2. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Play Andersen. Every chance of DCs + attacking returns vs Liverpool

    3. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      I’d use ft if no bench

  6. hannesdela
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Is it crazy to transfer Trossard in for Saka?

    I am an Arsenal fan and Trossard's been on fire.

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Yep

    2. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      very tempting.. I just fear Martinelli rotation every now and then

    3. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Rotation

  7. Viper
    • 16 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Gordon, Bruno G, Rogers or Cherki in for Semenyo?

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Rogers

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Cherki or Rogers

    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Rogers

    4. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Cherki

  8. TochanMama
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Lads, the team looks really weak, what should be done here?

    0.1 ITB, 1FT
    Raya
    Timber - Andersen - Guehi - Alderete - Gudmundson
    Saka - Semenyo - Foden - Anderson - Potts
    Haaland - Raul - Ekitike

    A) Timber to Gabriel as he will rise.
    B) Andersen to Tarkovski (0.1 ITB) but great fixtures.
    C) Andersen to VDV (more ITB but Tottenham's unreliability)
    D) Something else (Please suggest)

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      B of those options.

      Maybe Raya to Verbruggen to enable Guehi to Gabriel?

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      B if you can get Gabriel soon. Else A.

  9. TBL
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    getting Reece James on WC, can you talk me out of it?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      He's a good option, go for it

    2. Mother Farke
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Well, if the obvious "will the new manager pick him?" doesn't work then nothing will" 😀

      1. TBL
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        I thought he would just pick himself, just like Palmer - I guess where is the question but his upside is so high and nice fixtures after City for Chelsea

    3. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      New manager may decide to not play him in midfield and go with Enzo and Caicedo. Could be fighting with Gusto for RB again

      1. TBL
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        ok so rotation risk then

    4. Craigsimpson
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      I've had RJ since about GW5 but I'm taking him out on my WC. Too much rotation in Chelsea and with the CL coming back I can't see it getting any better. For the price you want a set and forget defender really. Plus the added variable of manager change. I'd probably go chalobah if given the choice.

      1. TBL
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        ok thanks

  10. Craigsimpson
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Genuine Q - why are people jumping on the Newcastle defender train? I haven't seen much of them but don't they have half their defenders out and terrible away form? Is it just those two fixtures?

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Probably for attacking threat (Thiaw)

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Talked myself out of it this evening

    3. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Underlying defensive stats pretty strong, good fixtures ahead. Thiaw and Hall are both quality players.

  11. TBL
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Thiago or DCL on WC?

    1. BR510
      7 months, 19 days ago

      DCL

    2. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      DCL

  12. BR510
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Long term:
    1. Tark and Rice
    2. Timber and Rogers

    To be paired with Gab and Saka

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      1.

  13. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Well played GVV, very impressive and an outstanding SF, 6-4 win...

    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Will be a crazy final tomorrow, wowzer!!

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      6-3

      Luke needs to watch out

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        *6-3, yep, hoped Anderson got one back

    3. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      6-3 but it did feel closer than that.

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Yep, never thought I'd be exhausted watching darts lol...

  14. RalphieFPL
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Calafiori, Foden to Rogers, Gabriel?

    1. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      yes

    2. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Not for me. Calafiori seems likely to be back soon, could then match Gabriel. Foden better than Rogers. Sunderland excepted, City seem ro have got their groove back and been scoring for fun.

  15. dansmith1985
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Choose one to sell for Gabriel
    A)VVD
    B)OReilly
    C)Hincapie
    D)Guehi

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      C

    2. abaalan
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Got to be C hasnt it ? Only really getting another week or 2 out of him maybe

  16. JayJay96
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Thoughts on this? Any changes?

    Pickford / Kelleher

    Timber || Gabriel || M.Nunes || Thiaw || Mukiele

    Saka || Rogers || Cherki || Bruno G || Mitoma

    Haaland || Bowen ||| Barnes (won’t play)

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Strong.

      Personally I think Rice and Foden are pretty essential.

      And I think the DC monster defence is the way to go.

  17. Jstap94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Is having Foden and Cherki too much? Feel like there are just no MIDs this year offering value

    1. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      too much city for me

      1. Jstap94
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Problem is its the only sensible move i have to get Gabriel (O'Reilly and Wirtz -> Cherki and Gabriel). Any other mid you would suggest?

    2. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      I'm on it. Good shout.

  18. abaalan
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    A. Saka + Andersen -> Odegaard + Gabriel
    B. Foden + VVD -> Rogers + Gabriel
    B. Minteh + Thiago + Keane/VVD -> Rogers + Barnes(4.2) + Gabriel -4

    Any of them look appealing? - not massively convinced on any.... (obviously could do Saka in B too)

    1. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      b1

  19. TochanMama
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Andersen and Foden OUT
    Thiaw and Gordon IN

    YAY / NAY?

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Nay for me

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Nay

    3. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Andersen and Foden both got plenty of potential this GW...

      I like Thiaw but not sure about Gordon.

  20. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Thoughts on this lot folks? I don’t want to have to waste a transfer bringing in KDH in a few weeks having blown the WC early. Thank you.

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Timber, Gvardiol, Cash
    Saka, Foden, Rogers, Gordon
    Haaland, Watkins

    John, Keane, KDH, Guiu 0itb

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Gvardiol is getting rotated.

      Good-looking team.

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        More like O’Reilly and Gvardiol to LB. What makes you say that?

        1. FPL Blow-In
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 months, 19 days ago

          He just had his rest too

  21. Nightf0x
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    alison (dub)
    cala oriley mukiele clyne (richards)
    gordon foden saka (rice king)
    tiago eki haland

    3fts, which ??

    a) alison cala oriley king tiago -8 to john gabriel alderete rogers dcl.
    b) cala oriley to gabriel obrien.
    c) alison cala oriley king -4 to pickford gabriel alderete garner.
    d) alison oriley saka king -4 to pickford gabriel rogers garner.

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      B

  22. cigan
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Fellas, any advice here?

    I'm mainly between A and B, prefer Roefs as a long term keeper but A would allow me to get Rogers (unless he rises and Semenyo drops which could happen)

    A) Raya & O'Reilly to Verbruggen & Gabriel
    B) Raya, O'Reilly & Semenyo to Roefs, Gabriel & Bruno G (-4)
    C) Raya, O'Reilly & Semenyo to Verbruggen, Gabriel & Rogers (-4)

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      A I reckon

  23. Royal5
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Cunha owners keeping? A move for Rogers is tempting

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Rogers much better than Cunha for sure. What were you guys thinking!

      1. Royal5
        • 15 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Big mess for sure

    2. zensum
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Same question. Would u swap for a -4?

      1. Royal5
        • 15 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Probably not for the hit. Use the FT

  24. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Have only taken one hit all season and tempted to do the next one.
    Yes or No…

    O’Reilly & Wirtz to Gabriel & Gordon?

    Got Wirtz last gw but don’t think he starts.. made a mistake with this transfer.

    Or I could just do Virgil to Gabriel for free.

    1. BR510
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Do it

    2. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Virgil to Gabriel for free

  25. Purefection
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Should I start Rice or DCL? I have Saka.

    1. BR510
      7 months, 19 days ago

      DCL for sure

    2. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Start Rice, but he might not play

  26. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Is VVD > Gabriel worth a hit?

    Debating it especially as he rises tonight.

    1. BR510
      7 months, 19 days ago

      No

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Not for a hit unless it will cost you an extra transfer after the price rise

  27. BR510
    7 months, 19 days ago

    With 1.7 million

    1. KDH to Cherki -4
    2. Andersen to M.Nunes -4
    3. Save it for Cunha to Bruno F and play Dorgu (LEE) this week

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Play Dorgu and don’t take the hit

  28. Sun God Nika
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Not sure who out of senesi o Reilly and guehi to rid of for Gabriel ?

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      I think Palace have lost their way

  29. Manani
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    who is more 'essential'?

    DCL or Bowen?

    1. Yozzer
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      None are even close to essential. I'm thinking of going with 1 striker.

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Agree. Both will tick along nicely however

    2. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Neither

    3. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Not essential but I prefer Bowen in a straight choice

  30. Yozzer
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Opinions very much appreciated folks

    A Virgil --> Gabriel
    B O'Reilly, Semenyo --> Gab , Cherki -4
    C Virgil , O'Reilly --> Tark, Gab -4

    Don't like taking hits at about 700k but selling VVD before Burnley is insane?

    Pope (Dúbravka)
    J.Timber, Dorgu, Virgil (O'Reilly, Lacroix)
    Semenyo, Rice, Foden, Cunha (VC), Szoboszlai
    Ekitiké, Haaland (C) (Marc Guiu)

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      That’s not until gw22.!

      A

      1. Yozzer
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Thanks. Yeah I know mate . Only 3 gws away though and it's a standout fixture. It soon comes around 🙂

    2. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Roll ?

      1. Yozzer
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        I have this strange thing where almost every time I don't have Gabriel in my starting 11 he hauls. It's been happening for over 2 seasons now lol. Rolling would be be sensible though for sure

    3. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      A