Spot the Differential
30 January 2026 374 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Our Gameweek 24 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


ISMAILA SARR

Why FPL Gameweek 17 could be a 'blank' for four clubs 3

  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: nfo | bha | BUR | WOL | mun

Now down to only £6.3m in FPL, Ismaila Sarr could be worth a roll of the dice, with Crystal Palace set to embark on one of the best mid-term schedules:

In his first match back since the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), Sarr failed to score or provide an assist; however, he racked up two Opta-defined ‘big chances’ against Chelsea, as well as creating one for team-mate Jean-Philippe Mateta (£7.5m).

And with some tempting fixtures on the way, particularly in Gameweeks 24-27, Sarr could be a quality differential option.

Crucially, Gameweek 24 opponents Nottingham Forest have been conceding key passes (15) down their left side over the last four matches, the third-most of any team, which suggests the pace and power of Sarr and Daniel Munoz (£5.8m) could cause further damage.

Above: Nottingham Forest’s chances created conceded heatmap (last four Gameweeks)

Indeed, Sarr has already found the net against Forest in 2025/26, notably from a Munoz cross. He nearly won a penalty in the same match, too.

With Palace in desperate need of a win to help steer them clear of the relegation zone, the onus will clearly be on Sarr, who is owned by only 2.0% of Fantasy managers, to provide the attacking impetus and a much-needed lift at the City Ground.


YERSON MOSQUERA

FPL Gameweek 24 differentials: 3 low-owned picks to consider

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.3m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: BOU | CHE | nfo | cry | AVL

Yerson Mosquera (£4.3m) could be worth a look as a cheap defender.

The Colombian centre-back has impressed in Rob Edwards’ 3-5-2 formation recently, banking defensive contribution (DefCon) points in five of his last seven starts.

He’s also racked up 10 shots over the last five Gameweeks (including five in one match against Manchester City), the joint-most of any FPL defender.

Above: Yerson Mosquera’s shot map in Gameweeks 19-23

Notably, five of those goal attempts have arrived from corners and free-kicks, a potentially important factor with Bournemouth up next.

Indeed, no team has conceded more goals from dead-ball situations than the Cherries in 2025/26:

However, it is important to mention that Mosquera is fond of a yellow card, with eight bookings in his last 11 matches.

Discussing his recent impact, Edwards said:

“I think he’s great. He’s fully committed and he plays with passion. It’s just who he is. We’ve got to try and control it. We need 11 people on the pitch and we don’t want him getting booked every week, but he’s someone that’s got great athleticism. You can move him to a right-back position. He can go up against someone like Doku and cope with him, and not many can do that. So, he’s very important to us.

“I know it’s hard when people look at the table, and they’ll sort of think, ‘well, they’re rubbish’, but I don’t think we are. Hopefully we’re showing that as well, and we’re trying to improve week on week. The players are working really hard and we’ve got to keep doing that.” – Rob Edwards on Yerson Mosquera

At just £4.3m and with a potential Double Gameweek 26, Mosquera could offer value, particularly having kept clean sheets in each of his last two Molineux encounters against West Ham United and Newcastle United.


KIERNAN DEWSBURY-HALL

Who is close to a ban or suspended in FPL Gameweek 6?

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW24-28 fixtures: bha | ful | BOU | MUN | new

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£4.9m) returned from injury in Everton’s 1-1 draw with Leeds United on Monday, and is now firmly back on the FPL radar.

The budget midfielder was in superb form before succumbing to injury, with five attacking returns (three goals, two assists) in as many matches.

In that period (Gameweeks 11-15), he averaged 8.2 points per start.

Everton travel to out-of-form Brighton and Hove Albion on Saturday.

David Moyes’ team have a solid record on the road, too, having won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six away matches.

Brighton, meanwhile, have managed just one win in their last 10 Premier League encounters, a period (Gameweeks 14-23) in which they’ve conceded 17.14 expected goals (xG), the third most of any team.

“This is a mad league this year. We want to be in the European spots and we have got a lot of important games. We are playing a lot of teams that we have played and beaten. It is down to us now, and it is on us. If we want to achieve something we have to show it.” – Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

Dewsbury-Hall is currently owned by only 2.1% of Fantasy managers, but there is no question that this will quickly rise should he deliver on the south coast.

Everton also have favourable upcoming fixtures against Fulham (a), Bournemouth (h) and Burnley (h), so Dewsbury-Hall could be a really useful asset for those seeking to free up funds.


374 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Toothless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    A) O'Reilly + Rice
    Or
    B) Mukiele + Mbuemo

    Please, help!

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      B quite comfortably imo

    2. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Mukiele + Rice

    3. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      B

  2. Kay317
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Asking again as bottomed on prev page.
    Bench one:
    A) Thiago
    B) Rice
    C) Evanilson

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A

    2. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A

  3. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    A) Sell Watkins for J Pedro for -4
    B) Bench Watkins, sell Thiago for J Pedro -4
    C) Roll, play either Thiago, or Watkins and hope he plays/ gets a decent amount of mins?

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Prob go C if I knew for certain Pedro was starting I would get him but hard to know

    2. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      C

    3. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Play Thiago. Or start Watkins. I think he either starts or not at all.

    4. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      C

    5. Wolfman180
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Seems pretty unanimous. Cheers guys.

      Listening to the team news vid, the quotes seem to suggest Watkins isnt completely ruled out of playing , which could easily mean a little run out at end of game to lock in that 1 pointer. But if he starts then its going to be annoying having him on bench.

  4. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Which do prefer on WC?

    A. Palmer, Dewsbury Hall & Maguire
    B. Enzo, Mbeumo & Andersen

    1. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      B

    2. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      B

    3. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      B for sure

    4. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Enzo Mbeumo Maguire

  5. Ray85
    • 8 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Start one:

    Kroupi v Wolves
    Thiago v Villa

    1. Four Letter Wirtz
      • 10 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      I'd start Thiago. Kroupi is nice to have, a cheap forward that's not a dead spot in 352/442, but I wouldn't start him over Thiago.

      1. Ray85
        • 8 Years
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        Thanks mate. Would you consider moving him out for a few games? To maybe Pedro or Evanilson.

  6. thewhitepele
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Got 2ft and 0.1itb.
    A) Dorgu -> Hill
    B) Dorgu -> Maguire
    C) Save

    Sanchez
    Gabriel Timber Guehi
    Bruno Semenyo Rogers Rice Enzo
    Haaland Thiago

    Dubs, Mukiele, Dorgu, Guiu

    1. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Save

  7. fedolefan
    • 11 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Stupid Watkins has ruined my week already.

  8. MetallicaJack93
    • 2 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Triple ars def is too much right?

    1. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Yes

    2. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      It's not terrible - they always have a decent chance if a clean sheet. If you feel there are slim pickings elsewhere in defence but like Bruno Mbeumo Rogers Enzo Semenyo Wilson Palmer or any other mids I haven't thought of then it's a viable strategy

  9. antis0cial
    • 9 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    1FT, 1.4itb, still undecided

    A) Dorgu > Senesi/Mukiele (any def up to 5.7)
    B) Ekiteke > Pedro
    C) Wilson > Enzo
    D) Two of the above for -4

    Dubravka
    Gabriel Chalobah O'Reilly
    BrunoF Saka Rice Semenyo Wilson
    Haaland Ekiteke

    Vicario Rodon Guiu Dorgu*

    1. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Senesi.

    2. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A

  10. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Which in each ?

    A) start watkins or no ?, if no start richards or keane
    B) start alison or dubrvka ?

    1. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Richards and Allison

    2. fedolefan
      • 11 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Yeah, Watkins benched for me (for now) and playing Richards over him.

  11. Ray85
    • 8 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Anyone think it's worth moving Thiago out for a few games- he has Villa and Newcastle away and then Arsenal?

    Maybe to Pedro or Evanilson.

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      I have

      1. Ray85
        • 8 Years
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        Who did you get?

    2. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      He did score 2 vs Newcastle at home, but could be worth betting against him for the next 3.

      1. Ray85
        • 8 Years
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        This is at SJP though. Who would you go for?

        1. antis0cial
          • 9 Years
          1 day, 6 hours ago

          It was just a note that it could backfire, but I’d be tempted to punt on Pedro getting decent minutes. Their run of games is amazing, vs 4 of the worst defences in the league in next 4.

          1. Ray85
            • 8 Years
            1 day, 6 hours ago

            Thinking Evanilson personally. Big chance that Pedro is rested for the cup final and a tough Napoli game? Hopefully he doesn't get a DGW!

            Shame the game is at 530 so won't be many line up leaks.

    3. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      If you have a few transfers then maybe but it's a bit of a luxury move. If you only have 1 I'd save it in case you really need it in the coming weeks

      1. Ray85
        • 8 Years
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        I only have one FT but the rest of my team is decent tbh.

  12. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Bench one? Currently on O'Reilly.

    A) Alderete
    B) Tarkowski
    C) O'Reilly

    1. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      C

    2. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      C

    3. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      C

    4. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      C

  13. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Which one would you prefer to get in for Foden:

    A) Mbeumo
    B) Semenyo
    C) Enzo

    1. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      B

    3. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A

    4. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      B

    5. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Cheers

  14. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Which do you prefer on WC?

    A. Semenyo & Timber
    B. Mbeumo & Saliba

    1. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Flip a coin

      1. tmstrand
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        Agreed

    2. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A

  15. C0YS
    • 10 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Looking to improve 1 attacker - best option for the next 5-10 GWs?

    1. Enzo (WHU)
    2. Mbeumo (FUL)
    3. Evanilson (wol)
    4. Hold Bruno G/Ekitike for now and play the latter (NEW)

    Cheers!

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      2

  16. NoName
    • 11 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    G2G?

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel Timber Chalobah
    Semenyo Bruno Mbeumo Enzo Schade
    Haaland Evanilson

    (Dubravka, Tuanzebe Guiu Dorgu)
    0FT 3ITB

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Would play that instead of taking a hit

      1. NoName
        • 11 Years
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        Thanks

  17. tmstrand
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    On my wildcard. Thoughts?

    Sanchez
    Timber Gabriel Maguire
    Enzo Rogers Mbeumo Bruno(c)
    Haaland Pedro Brobbey

    Dubravka Senesi Ballard Caicedo

    Bench correct?

    1. NoName
      • 11 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Not confident in João Pedro's minutes in the next 2. Otherwise, looks good.

      1. tmstrand
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        Really? Ok, thanks!

    2. Count Olaf
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Looks ok. Caicedo maybe too expensive for bench cover.

      1. tmstrand
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        Thanks!

    3. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Looks decent, I’d want Rice though

      1. tmstrand
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        Was pondering that myself, think I'll move from Enzo to Rice

    4. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Caicedo is Chelsea pick number 4 so you will need to rethink - perhaps Andersen or Dewsbury Hall/Garner instead??

      No point getting Ballard to bench him this week. Play over Maguire and consider Alderete (cheaper) or Mukiele instead.

      1. tmstrand
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 day, 7 hours ago

        True, I spaced on that. Enzo is becoming Rice.

        1. Kingy109
          • 4 Years
          1 day, 6 hours ago

          Could you get Caicedo to Rice and keep Enzo by doing Ballard to Reinildo)Alderete or Senesi to Hill or both?

          You'd more easily bench Brobbey for the tough fixtures coming then

  18. Count Olaf
    • 1 Year
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    My front 7 is
    Bruno - Rice - Semenyo - Anderson
    Haaland - Ekitike - Thiago

    Would you sell Ekitike to upgrade the 5th mid to Enzo/Rogers/Mbeumo or stick with 3-4-3?

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      I'd have any of those three over Ekitike, but esp Mbeumo

    2. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      I like the Mbeumo pick, he's predicted to score more points over a long periond & in the short term. I have all 3 on WC but fear Enzo could be benched this week or play limited minutes.

  19. LeytonOrient
    • 11 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Play 1:
    A) Thiago (AVL)
    B) KDH (BHA)
    C) Anderson (CRY)

    1. Count Olaf
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Villa most likely win, but they concede chances, especially with Kamara out. I'd play Thiago.

    2. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A or C would lead towards A

    3. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A - he's on pens so you never know

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A

    5. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      A

  20. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Anything standing out here to make a move on?

    1 more transfer gives a big connundrum on who to leave out this GW- so may just keep as is.
    Enzo in for Wirtz may be an option tho Wirtz had some decent returns recently..

    Dubravka.
    Timber, Gabriel, Cash, Alderete.
    Bruno F, Saka, Rogers, Wirtz.
    Thiago, Haaland.
    Kelliher, Miley, O'Reilly, Obi.
    1ft, 0.5m ITB.

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Looks fine

  21. Rednev1983
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Evening all.

    I'm on wildcard and need advice on last defender please.
    My defence is Raya, Chalobah, Gabriel, Alderete, Tarkowski.
    Issue is really the last two. I think it's decent just can't get to Mukiele, 0.1m away. I'm ok really with Alderete but is Tarkowsi better long term than Virgil? Guehi? Cash? Munoz, Andersen.

    WC team is Raya,
    Alderete, Senesi, Gabriel,
    Bruno F, Mbeumo, Rogers, Enzo, Rice,
    Haaland, Evanilsen.

    Dubravka, Chalobah, J.Pedro, Tarkowski

    Not sure that i have the bench right either? Any help is appreciated.

    1. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      You could do Hill over Senesi - it's a little riskier but saves you 0.9 million to get Mukiele if you wanted and have a bit of cash for a rainy day.
      There's a.smsll chance Tark doubles in 26 so might be worth it

      1. Rednev1983
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 day, 6 hours ago

        Yes thanks, that's a good idea actually. That's why I wanted an Everton player. Looked at Pickford but it didn't really work. Hill has put up impressive numbers recently. Thanks, I'm gunna have a good look at that now. Appreciate the reply.

  22. Toplad
    • 8 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    1FT

    Thiago > Pedro ?

    Yes / No

    Thanks in advance !

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      Nooo

    2. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      I have swapped Thiago to J.Pedro on wildcard but probably benching him this week as can't be sure that he starts or will have reduced minutes. Think midweek semi is far more important for Chelsea & Rosenior hinted at rotation i believe. Would definitely do it next week if you can afford it or buy him now & if you can bench you could.
      I'ts a right dilema really.

  23. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Play Kroupi (away to Wolves) or Thiago (away to Villa)?

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      Thiago.

  24. Manani
    • 14 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Y/N?

    Wilson, Anderson, DCL (bench Anderson DCL) > Semenyo, Enzo, Kroupi (bench Timber, Kroupi)

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      No

    2. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      Nope.

    3. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      No

  25. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Best Striker to get for this GW only ?
    A- Evanilson
    B- Brobbery
    C- Mane

    1. Manani
      • 14 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      A

    2. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      A

    3. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      A

  26. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Haalandless WC team..will leave 5.2 idb thou just in case..

    Pickford
    Gabriel Timber Chalobah
    Bruno(C) Mbeumo Enzo Semenyo Rice
    Evanislon JoaoPedro

    JoseSa MatheusNunes Mane Hill

    Opinions pls

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      It’s very good but I still think Haaland is worth keeping considering none of the expensive mids are firing anyway.

    2. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      You might as well get Watkins and bench this week or Ekitike as they'd be you route back to Haaland anyway.
      Don't see the point in going against the robot but not spending the money - you just have the same team as everyone else but without the highest owned player in the game.
      If I was going against Haaland I'd want to bet on Salah or Palmer?

    3. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      It's pretty good if going without the robot. Covered Chelsea's good run & possible double. Triple Arsenal for possible double & some Wolves & Everton for same reason.
      Lot of money itb. Maybe Senesi over Hill. I considered Semenyo on WC but points projections surprisingly have Rogers doing better than him so i stayed with Rogers.
      All in all it's very good & looks like it could pay off well imo.

  27. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    Captain
    1 Haaland
    2 Bruno F

    Play one from
    A Tark
    B Senesi

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      1 day, 7 hours ago

      2B

    2. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      1B

    3. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      I'm going 2B

  28. The Frenchie
    • 9 Years
    1 day, 7 hours ago

    A) Chalobah - Evanilson
    B) Cash - Joao Pedro

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      A

    2. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      A

  29. fgdu
    • 12 Years
    1 day, 6 hours ago

    play 2 of mukiele, wilson and tarkowski

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      Mukiele, Wilson.

    2. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      Mukiele, Wilson.

  30. Viper
    • 16 Years
    1 day, 6 hours ago

    Miley -> Rice or start E. Anderson & roll?

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      Make the move.

    2. Rednev1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 day, 6 hours ago

      Definitely get Rice.