Spot the Differential
19 February 2026 205 comments
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Our Gameweek 27 differentials column highlights three low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.

All three of the players have an ownership of 5% or lower.


RAYAN

FPL notes: “Amazing” Rayan, £4.2m goalkeeper starts + Summerville scores again

  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: whu | SUN | BRE | bur | MUN

An away match against a West Ham United team that has failed to keep a clean sheet on home turf all season prompts us to consider Rayan (£5.5m).

The Brazilian winger has enjoyed a fine start to life on the south coast, having either scored or assisted in each of his first three appearances.

He’s also been directly involved in nine shots across his two starts (six of his own, three created for others), the joint-most of any Bournemouth player.

With positional rivals David Brooks (£5.0m) and Marcus Tavernier (£5.3m) returning to fitness, Rayan isn’t a guaranteed starter in every match. However, when you factor in his height and physicality, he could be a really important player against aerially dominant teams such as Sunderland and Brentford.

“It’s one of the things we were looking for in the winter market because this season we have lost Antoine Semenyo and Dango Ouattara, two of the most physical wingers in the league. We needed someone with some physicality and with set plays given that we’re quite short, so I think he’s added these things to the team.” – Andoni Iraola on Rayan

Just one bad performance, or another mistake like the penalty he conceded at Everton, especially if it proves costly this time, could leave him vulnerable, but Bournemouth are in decent form right now, and it may very well be Rayan’s shirt to lose.

The left flank has been a weak spot for West Ham of late, too, with five assists in the last six Gameweeks coming from that side of the pitch:

Above: West Ham United’s chances created conceded (assists in green) over the last six Gameweeks

So, with an ownership of only 1.0%, Rayan can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfielder for the upcoming period.


MICHAEL KAYODE

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: BHA | bur | bou | WOL | lee

A favourable home match against goal-shy Brighton and Hove Albion, plus some really tasty fixtures to follow, leads us to consider Michael Kayode (£4.5m).

The Italian defender has impressed at the Gtech Community Stadium this season, emerging as an effective attacking outlet down the right flank.

Indeed, Kayode is first among Brentford players for passes received in the final-third (201), while only Mikkel Damsgaard (£5.6m) has created more chances (25).

He’s also delivered more successful long throws than any other player in the Premier League, with 22.

Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) netted a thumping header from one of those launched balls in Gameweek 26, of course.

As for Brentford, they are third on our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty over the next six Gameweeks, but from a defensive perspective, they move up to first. That’s partly because four of their next five opponents are in the bottom seven for expected goals (xG) in Gameweeks 21-26:

Looking further ahead, Brentford also entertain Everton, Fulham and West Ham in Gameweeks 32-35, so for those managers who have already used their second Wildcards, the long-term fixture outlook adds further appeal.

Up first, however, is Brighton, who are in really poor attacking form, having failed to score in each of their last two matches, a period which has seen them create just 1.24 xG.

As a nailed-on option in Brentford’s backline, it suggests Kayode can be a really decent set-and-forget budget option for the remainder of the 2025/26 season.


NICO O’REILLY

FP

  • FPL ownership: 4.8%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: NEW | lee | NFO | whu | –

Nico O’Reilly (£4.9m) was one of the standout Fantasy performers in Gameweek 26, with 13 points thanks to a goal, a clean sheet and a share of the bonus.

The England international is, of course, listed as a defender in FPL, but featured as an ‘out-of-position’ left-sided No 8 in Pep Guardiola’s 4-1-3-2 formation.

O’Reilly consequently produced five shots against Fulham, the most of any player, as well as racking up five penalty box touches, another match high.

“I’m loving it. I love it in the middle, try to dictate the game and try to get in the box to score goals. He [Guardiola] is very big on second balls, duels and dominating the midfield. I think I play a big part in that, using my body to win the ball back and counter. That’s what he’s trying to get across to me.” – Nico O’Reilly

Newcastle United visit the Etihad Stadium this weekend, and although the Magpies are in decent form, with three successive wins in all competitions, they could suffer from a European hangover after their midweek trip to Baku.

They’ve also kept just one clean sheet in their last 16 away matches in all competitions.

Furthermore, Man City put three goals past Eddie Howe’s troops in the recent EFL Cup semi-final at the Etihad.

As for O’Reilly, his advanced, ‘out-of-position’ role is yet another string to his bow from a Fantasy perspective – and the chief reason why his underlying attacking stats were so impressive against Fulham.

Tijjani Reijnders (£5.1m) is arguably the biggest threat to O’Reilly’s minutes in the current set-up, but City are in a good moment right now, and Guardiola may choose to maintain this approach for a little while longer.


price change predictions
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  1. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 12 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    How essential is Semenyo?

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      He's worth getting if you have enough transfers to offload other less essential blankers in time for 31

    2. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 1 day ago

      He is good, but there are plenty of decent alternatives that don't blank in 31. The only case I'd consider him close to essential is if you're really satisfied with your OR and want to minimise risk by buying all popular players, but it's probably too early for that.

    3. _Greg
      • 16 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Plan to bench Raya Gabriel Semenyo and Haaland in 31, will sell Saliba and Munoz from my current team.

    4. F4L
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      good option, doku should be back soon though.

      semenyo isnt getting as many shooting chances at city as he did at bournemouth

    5. King Kun Ta
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Did Semenyo -> Palmer

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        Really? Would you have Semenyo or Rogers on WC?

    6. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Essentially he's not

      Lots of good picks

      Arguably even Haaland, Gabriel, Bruno and Palmer etc. aren't essential

      There's lots of choices

    7. WVA
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Depends if you think green arrows are essential

    8. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Cheers all

  2. Absolutely Muñozed
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Totally split between Guehi and O'Reilly? Which one guys

    1. _Greg
      • 16 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      May as well get O'Reilly I think.

    2. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      NOR I think. Guehi doesn't seem to have same license to be a menace in opposition box as was the case at Palace where he was bagging goals and assists

    3. F4L
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      o'reilly will be rotated soon enough imo, guehi

  3. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    2FT and 0.5ITB. I'm pretty set on Pickford and DCL to Kelleher and Thiago for free. Is a -4 needed in midfield e.g. Cunha to Semenyo or Dango (bench KDH)?

    Pickford
    Gabriel - Timber - Munoz
    BrunoF - Enzo - KDH - Rice
    Haaland - Ekitike - DCL

    Dub - Cunha - Gudmund - Andersen

    1. _Greg
      • 16 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      I think you can avoid the hit. Although If you really fancy Semenyo I wouldn't dissuade you, I think he's a great pick.

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        Cheers Greg! I think he repays the -4 over the next four and still has a chance of playing in 31

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          5 months, 1 day ago

          I’d go for it!

  4. _Greg
    • 16 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Wouldn't be getting Virgil this week, Forest will get a goal Vs Liverpool now.

    1. Absolutely Muñozed
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Have they told this in the press conference??

      1. _Greg
        • 16 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        Haha no just that's a really impressive win that.

      2. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        I wish they did that a bit more regularly in the press conferences, I need all the kelp

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Wouldn’t get Virgil at all

  5. Ohh1454
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Thoughts on Raya > Kelleher ?

    1. Rudi Van Disarzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Yep, looking at this myself

    2. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Nothing wrong with it if have transfers to spare

  6. Fifa las vegas
    • 13 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    On WC, so may 50/50s I feel.

    Kelleher
    Gabriel, Mukiele, Hill
    Palmer, Bruno, Semenyo, Dango
    Haaland, Ekitike, Pedro (C)

    Darlow, Rayan, Cash, Justin

    Have taken Rogers out which don’t feel right at all given the fixtures, but would probably need to go 3-5-2 to keep over those other mids.

    Wirtz and Thiago could be there too. Thinking one of Ekitike or Pedro > Thiago next week but I probably should just do it now on WC.

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Boils down to:

      Semenyo or Rogers
      &
      Ekitike or Thiago

      1. Feanor
        • 17 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        S & T for me

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          5 months, 1 day ago

          Cheers!

      2. Rudi Van Disarzio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        Semenyo and Thiago

    2. CherryBoys
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Take into consideration Dango being benched for all games during Ramadan…. as he was last season at Bournemouth.

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        Well that is something I would totally be blindsided by. Interesting

        1. CherryBoys
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          5 months, 1 day ago

          Not definite of course, but the possibility is there.

  7. FantasyFooty01
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Verbruggen
    
Richards Timber Calafiori Gabriel

    Rogers Palmer Bruno Mbeumo

    Haaland Kroupi
    
Dubravka Dorgu Potts Barnes
    
0.2 ITB 1 FT


    Any suggestions of any changes I should make GW27? Comment below. Maybe hill in for calafiori and Kroupi out for someone at 6.5 or below? Can’t get Thiago in but open to ideas

    1. GCHILD2K16
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Lose timber and cal immediately. Triple arsenal def is just dmb. Think VVD, KLP
      Sell Dorgu and potts (3 match ban for red card) for hill and rayan
      Mbuemo to Semenyo or Wirtz
      Sell barnes for Thiago
      Sell verbruggen for martinez or kelleher

  8. Rudi Van Disarzio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Raya Dubs Gabriel Hill Guehi Chalobah Van Hecke Fernandes Mbeumo Wilson Semenyo Rice Haaland Thiago Ekitike
    Team seems to be treading water so would you do
    A) Ekitike to Pedro (C)
    B) WC
    C) Roll
    1 ft 0.0 itb

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      I’d be tempted by A, even though I have both currently on WC, but Pedro could hurt bs Burnley…

      Or in reality, flop

  9. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Raya
    Gabriel Munoz Dalot
    Fernandes Semenyo Wilson Rice
    Haaland Thiago Ekitike

    Dubravka VanHecke Dorgu Tavernier

    2FT, 0.1itb

    I know the bench is a mess but is this a ‘Save FTs’ for next GW??

    Thanks

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Probably is just looking at the 1st 11

  10. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Is Szoboszlai s good punt? Or which other midfielders under 7.9 are good picks?

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Rogers, Dango, Rayan

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Yes he is

    3. F4L
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      yeah, sounds like frimpong should be back soon so rb szobo should be over.

    4. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Yeah reckon he is, but also like Dango

  11. F4L
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    should be some really fun matches to watch this gw, city-newcastle, forest-liverpool and spurs arsenal. hope they deliver the entertainment

  12. FPL Sanky
    • 2 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Timber + LeFee to Virgil + Rayan for free? Need to do it today before Rayan price rise

    Raya
    Gabriel Timber** Senesi O'Reilly Alderete
    Enzo Bruno LeFee** Rogers Wilson
    Haaland Thiago Ekitike

  13. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Which one to bench?
    A) Gabriel
    B) Lacroix
    C) Kayode

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Kayode

    2. George James
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      C

  14. thetommy14
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Thoughts on this team?
    Start Andersen or Mukiele?

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Timber, Muñoz, Andersen
    Palmer, Bruno, Mbeumo, Wirtz, Semenyo
    Haaland

    Dubravka, Mukiele, Kroupi, Guiu

  15. FPL Equilibrium
    • 4 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Bench 1

    A) Chalobah (H) v Burnley
    B) Tunver (a) V Spurs
    C) Ruce (a) v Spurs

    1. George James
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Ruce

    2. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Tunver

    3. northstandnoise
      • 8 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Buth

  16. SallySlayer
    • 6 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Worth selling Bowen (BOU) for Thiago this week or roll and make the move next week?

    1. George James
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Next week

  17. FPL Sanky
    • 2 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Hi folks, need your help. Which option should I go for?

    A) Timber to Virgil
    B) Raya to Allison

    1. George James
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Neither to be honest but if had to do one would be B.

      Thoughts on my post below?

      1. FPL Sanky
        • 2 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        Need to do one of the above as it will provide me funds to do LeFee to Rayan

        I have triple ARS defense so happy to downgrade one of them to a LIV defender

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          5 months, 1 day ago

          Raya this week, Timber next!

  18. George James
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Play 2…

    A) Saliba
    B) Rice
    C) Guehi
    D) Alderete

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      CD

    2. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      BC

    3. FPL Sanky
      • 2 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      B definitely....tough to choose between C and D....can go either way

  19. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Bench one of each?

    A) Sarr
    B) Evanilson

    1) Gabriel
    2) VVD
    3) Matheus Nunes

    1. George James
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      B
      3

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        Yep, although with Nunes you never know

  20. thetommy14
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Thoughts on this team?

    Who to bench?
    A) Andersen
    B) Mukiele

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Timber, Muñoz, Andersen
    Palmer, Bruno, Mbeumo, Wirtz, Semenyo
    Haaland

    Dubravka, Mukiele, Kroupi, Guiu

  21. Fifa las vegas
    • 13 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Like chatting up against a beige wall in here tonight

  22. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Hi. What would you do here with 2ft and 1.7m?

    Thinking rice and guiu to dango and thiago. Thanks

    Raya
    Gabriel richards alderete (andersen hall)
    Bruno mbeumo rice enzo Anderson
    Haaland ekiteke (guiu

    1. Flynny
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Or maybe rayan instead of dango

      With enzo to dango or schade in 28....thanks

  23. AD105
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Play 2

    A) Timber (tot)
    B) Hill (whu)
    C) Alderete (FUL)
    D) Kroupi (whu)
    E) Wilson (sun)

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      CE

  24. OverTinker
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Guehi or Mukiele?

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      muk

    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Guehi for me

  25. FPL Equilibrium
    • 4 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Bench 1

    A) Chalobah (H) v Burnley
    B) Timber (a) V Spurs
    C) Rice (a) v Spurs

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      B

    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      B

    3. Not again Shirley
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Not A

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      B

  26. BrockLanders
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Lacroix injured?????

  27. Tinfoil Deathstar
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Worst GW of the season. TC played and dropped from 11k to 30k.

    What do with this mess? 2FT's and £1.1m ITB. Thinking Le Fee or Anderson to Dango.

    Raya
    Timber Gabriel Munoz
    Rogers Enzo Le Fee Bruno
    Haaland Thiago Ekitike

    Dubravka; Andersen, Anderson, Gudmundsson

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Hardly a less. I would downgrade Timber to Hill upgrade Lee Fee to Wirtz, Semenyo or Mbeumo (if possible).

  28. FC Hakkebøf
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Who to captain?

    A) Haaland
    B) Palmer

    Leaning towards A as isning Palmer is aleady a differential in it self.

    Who to play?

    A) Kroupi
    B) Richards
    C) Mukiele

    Leaning towards A to be honest, but I Think its very close.

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Owning Palmer*

    2. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      Definitely C. A night not even start

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 months, 1 day ago

        * might

  29. Jigger & Pony
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Would you rather play Rice (tot) or bench Rice and get Thiago (BHA) for Mane?

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 1 day ago

      B I think

  30. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    5 months, 1 day ago

    Who on earth do I bench this GW? Dubravka and Esteve are givens but who should join them on the pine? Grateful views, thankee!

    Verbruggen, Dubravka
    Chalobah, Gabriel, Timber, Mukiele, Esteve
    Rice, Bruno, Mbeumo, Semenyo, Enzo
    Watkins, DCL, Haaland