Spot the Differential
19 February 2026 205 comments
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Our Gameweek 27 differentials column highlights three low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.

All three of the players have an ownership of 5% or lower.


RAYAN

FPL notes: “Amazing” Rayan, £4.2m goalkeeper starts + Summerville scores again

  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: whu | SUN | BRE | bur | MUN

An away match against a West Ham United team that has failed to keep a clean sheet on home turf all season prompts us to consider Rayan (£5.5m).

The Brazilian winger has enjoyed a fine start to life on the south coast, having either scored or assisted in each of his first three appearances.

He’s also been directly involved in nine shots across his two starts (six of his own, three created for others), the joint-most of any Bournemouth player.

With positional rivals David Brooks (£5.0m) and Marcus Tavernier (£5.3m) returning to fitness, Rayan isn’t a guaranteed starter in every match. However, when you factor in his height and physicality, he could be a really important player against aerially dominant teams such as Sunderland and Brentford.

“It’s one of the things we were looking for in the winter market because this season we have lost Antoine Semenyo and Dango Ouattara, two of the most physical wingers in the league. We needed someone with some physicality and with set plays given that we’re quite short, so I think he’s added these things to the team.” – Andoni Iraola on Rayan

Just one bad performance, or another mistake like the penalty he conceded at Everton, especially if it proves costly this time, could leave him vulnerable, but Bournemouth are in decent form right now, and it may very well be Rayan’s shirt to lose.

The left flank has been a weak spot for West Ham of late, too, with five assists in the last six Gameweeks coming from that side of the pitch:

Above: West Ham United’s chances created conceded (assists in green) over the last six Gameweeks

So, with an ownership of only 1.0%, Rayan can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfielder for the upcoming period.


MICHAEL KAYODE

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: BHA | bur | bou | WOL | lee

A favourable home match against goal-shy Brighton and Hove Albion, plus some really tasty fixtures to follow, leads us to consider Michael Kayode (£4.5m).

The Italian defender has impressed at the Gtech Community Stadium this season, emerging as an effective attacking outlet down the right flank.

Indeed, Kayode is first among Brentford players for passes received in the final-third (201), while only Mikkel Damsgaard (£5.6m) has created more chances (25).

He’s also delivered more successful long throws than any other player in the Premier League, with 22.

Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) netted a thumping header from one of those launched balls in Gameweek 26, of course.

As for Brentford, they are third on our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty over the next six Gameweeks, but from a defensive perspective, they move up to first. That’s partly because four of their next five opponents are in the bottom seven for expected goals (xG) in Gameweeks 21-26:

Looking further ahead, Brentford also entertain Everton, Fulham and West Ham in Gameweeks 32-35, so for those managers who have already used their second Wildcards, the long-term fixture outlook adds further appeal.

Up first, however, is Brighton, who are in really poor attacking form, having failed to score in each of their last two matches, a period which has seen them create just 1.24 xG.

As a nailed-on option in Brentford’s backline, it suggests Kayode can be a really decent set-and-forget budget option for the remainder of the 2025/26 season.


NICO O’REILLY

FP

  • FPL ownership: 4.8%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW27-31 fixtures: NEW | lee | NFO | whu | –

Nico O’Reilly (£4.9m) was one of the standout Fantasy performers in Gameweek 26, with 13 points thanks to a goal, a clean sheet and a share of the bonus.

The England international is, of course, listed as a defender in FPL, but featured as an ‘out-of-position’ left-sided No 8 in Pep Guardiola’s 4-1-3-2 formation.

O’Reilly consequently produced five shots against Fulham, the most of any player, as well as racking up five penalty box touches, another match high.

“I’m loving it. I love it in the middle, try to dictate the game and try to get in the box to score goals. He [Guardiola] is very big on second balls, duels and dominating the midfield. I think I play a big part in that, using my body to win the ball back and counter. That’s what he’s trying to get across to me.” – Nico O’Reilly

Newcastle United visit the Etihad Stadium this weekend, and although the Magpies are in decent form, with three successive wins in all competitions, they could suffer from a European hangover after their midweek trip to Baku.

They’ve also kept just one clean sheet in their last 16 away matches in all competitions.

Furthermore, Man City put three goals past Eddie Howe’s troops in the recent EFL Cup semi-final at the Etihad.

As for O’Reilly, his advanced, ‘out-of-position’ role is yet another string to his bow from a Fantasy perspective – and the chief reason why his underlying attacking stats were so impressive against Fulham.

Tijjani Reijnders (£5.1m) is arguably the biggest threat to O’Reilly’s minutes in the current set-up, but City are in a good moment right now, and Guardiola may choose to maintain this approach for a little while longer.


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  1. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    How essential is Semenyo?

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      He's worth getting if you have enough transfers to offload other less essential blankers in time for 31

    2. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      He is good, but there are plenty of decent alternatives that don't blank in 31. The only case I'd consider him close to essential is if you're really satisfied with your OR and want to minimise risk by buying all popular players, but it's probably too early for that.

    3. _Greg
      • 15 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Plan to bench Raya Gabriel Semenyo and Haaland in 31, will sell Saliba and Munoz from my current team.

    4. F4L
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      good option, doku should be back soon though.

      semenyo isnt getting as many shooting chances at city as he did at bournemouth

    5. King Kun Ta
      • 10 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Did Semenyo -> Palmer

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Really? Would you have Semenyo or Rogers on WC?

    6. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Essentially he's not

      Lots of good picks

      Arguably even Haaland, Gabriel, Bruno and Palmer etc. aren't essential

      There's lots of choices

    7. WVA
      • 9 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Depends if you think green arrows are essential

    8. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 1 hour ago

      Cheers all

  2. Absolutely Muñozed
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Totally split between Guehi and O'Reilly? Which one guys

      1. _Greg
        • 15 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        May as well get O'Reilly I think.

      2. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        NOR I think. Guehi doesn't seem to have same license to be a menace in opposition box as was the case at Palace where he was bagging goals and assists

      3. F4L
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        o'reilly will be rotated soon enough imo, guehi

    • Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      2FT and 0.5ITB. I'm pretty set on Pickford and DCL to Kelleher and Thiago for free. Is a -4 needed in midfield e.g. Cunha to Semenyo or Dango (bench KDH)?

      Pickford
      Gabriel - Timber - Munoz
      BrunoF - Enzo - KDH - Rice
      Haaland - Ekitike - DCL

      Dub - Cunha - Gudmund - Andersen

      1. _Greg
        • 15 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        I think you can avoid the hit. Although If you really fancy Semenyo I wouldn't dissuade you, I think he's a great pick.

        1. Jet5605
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 3 hours ago

          Cheers Greg! I think he repays the -4 over the next four and still has a chance of playing in 31

          1. Fifa las vegas
            • 13 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            I’d go for it!

    • _Greg
      • 15 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Wouldn't be getting Virgil this week, Forest will get a goal Vs Liverpool now.

      1. Absolutely Muñozed
          7 days, 3 hours ago

          Have they told this in the press conference??

          1. _Greg
            • 15 Years
            7 days, 3 hours ago

            Haha no just that's a really impressive win that.

          2. Fifa las vegas
            • 13 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            I wish they did that a bit more regularly in the press conferences, I need all the kelp

        • WVA
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Wouldn’t get Virgil at all

      2. Ohh1454
        • 8 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Thoughts on Raya > Kelleher ?

        1. Rudi Van Disarzio
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Yep, looking at this myself

        2. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Nothing wrong with it if have transfers to spare

      3. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        On WC, so may 50/50s I feel.

        Kelleher
        Gabriel, Mukiele, Hill
        Palmer, Bruno, Semenyo, Dango
        Haaland, Ekitike, Pedro (C)

        Darlow, Rayan, Cash, Justin

        Have taken Rogers out which don’t feel right at all given the fixtures, but would probably need to go 3-5-2 to keep over those other mids.

        Wirtz and Thiago could be there too. Thinking one of Ekitike or Pedro > Thiago next week but I probably should just do it now on WC.

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Boils down to:

          Semenyo or Rogers
          &
          Ekitike or Thiago

          1. Feanor
            • 16 Years
            7 days, 1 hour ago

            S & T for me

            1. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              7 days, 1 hour ago

              Cheers!

          2. Rudi Van Disarzio
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            7 days, 1 hour ago

            Semenyo and Thiago

        2. CherryBoys
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 40 mins ago

          Take into consideration Dango being benched for all games during Ramadan…. as he was last season at Bournemouth.

          1. Fifa las vegas
            • 13 Years
            6 days, 15 hours ago

            Well that is something I would totally be blindsided by. Interesting

            1. CherryBoys
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              6 days, 14 hours ago

              Not definite of course, but the possibility is there.

      4. FantasyFooty01
        • 8 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Verbruggen
        
Richards Timber Calafiori Gabriel

        Rogers Palmer Bruno Mbeumo

        Haaland Kroupi
        
Dubravka Dorgu Potts Barnes
        
0.2 ITB 1 FT


        Any suggestions of any changes I should make GW27? Comment below. Maybe hill in for calafiori and Kroupi out for someone at 6.5 or below? Can’t get Thiago in but open to ideas

        1. GCHILD2K16
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Lose timber and cal immediately. Triple arsenal def is just dmb. Think VVD, KLP
          Sell Dorgu and potts (3 match ban for red card) for hill and rayan
          Mbuemo to Semenyo or Wirtz
          Sell barnes for Thiago
          Sell verbruggen for martinez or kelleher

      5. Rudi Van Disarzio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Raya Dubs Gabriel Hill Guehi Chalobah Van Hecke Fernandes Mbeumo Wilson Semenyo Rice Haaland Thiago Ekitike
        Team seems to be treading water so would you do
        A) Ekitike to Pedro (C)
        B) WC
        C) Roll
        1 ft 0.0 itb

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          I’d be tempted by A, even though I have both currently on WC, but Pedro could hurt bs Burnley…

          Or in reality, flop

      6. FCSB
        • 10 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Raya
        Gabriel Munoz Dalot
        Fernandes Semenyo Wilson Rice
        Haaland Thiago Ekitike

        Dubravka VanHecke Dorgu Tavernier

        2FT, 0.1itb

        I know the bench is a mess but is this a ‘Save FTs’ for next GW??

        Thanks

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Probably is just looking at the 1st 11

      7. EL tridente
        • 8 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Is Szoboszlai s good punt? Or which other midfielders under 7.9 are good picks?

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Rogers, Dango, Rayan

        2. The FPL Units
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Yes he is

        3. F4L
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          yeah, sounds like frimpong should be back soon so rb szobo should be over.

        4. waltzingmatildas
          • 15 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Yeah reckon he is, but also like Dango

      8. F4L
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        should be some really fun matches to watch this gw, city-newcastle, forest-liverpool and spurs arsenal. hope they deliver the entertainment

      9. FPL Sanky
        • 2 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Timber + LeFee to Virgil + Rayan for free? Need to do it today before Rayan price rise

        Raya
        Gabriel Timber** Senesi O'Reilly Alderete
        Enzo Bruno LeFee** Rogers Wilson
        Haaland Thiago Ekitike

      10. waltzingmatildas
        • 15 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Which one to bench?
        A) Gabriel
        B) Lacroix
        C) Kayode

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Kayode

        2. George James
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          C

      11. thetommy14
        • 5 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Thoughts on this team?
        Start Andersen or Mukiele?

        Verbruggen
        Gabriel, Timber, Muñoz, Andersen
        Palmer, Bruno, Mbeumo, Wirtz, Semenyo
        Haaland

        Dubravka, Mukiele, Kroupi, Guiu

      12. FPL Equilibrium
        • 4 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Bench 1

        A) Chalobah (H) v Burnley
        B) Tunver (a) V Spurs
        C) Ruce (a) v Spurs

        1. George James
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Ruce

        2. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Tunver

        3. northstandnoise
          • 8 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Buth

      13. SallySlayer
        • 6 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Worth selling Bowen (BOU) for Thiago this week or roll and make the move next week?

        1. George James
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Next week

      14. FPL Sanky
        • 2 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Hi folks, need your help. Which option should I go for?

        A) Timber to Virgil
        B) Raya to Allison

        1. George James
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Neither to be honest but if had to do one would be B.

          Thoughts on my post below?

          1. FPL Sanky
            • 2 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            Need to do one of the above as it will provide me funds to do LeFee to Rayan

            I have triple ARS defense so happy to downgrade one of them to a LIV defender

            1. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              7 days, 1 hour ago

              Raya this week, Timber next!

      15. George James
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Play 2…

        A) Saliba
        B) Rice
        C) Guehi
        D) Alderete

        1. AzzaroMax99
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          CD

        2. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          BC

        3. FPL Sanky
          • 2 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          B definitely....tough to choose between C and D....can go either way

      16. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Bench one of each?

        A) Sarr
        B) Evanilson

        1) Gabriel
        2) VVD
        3) Matheus Nunes

        1. George James
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          B
          3

          1. Fifa las vegas
            • 13 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            Yep, although with Nunes you never know

      17. thetommy14
        • 5 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Thoughts on this team?

        Who to bench?
        A) Andersen
        B) Mukiele

        Verbruggen
        Gabriel, Timber, Muñoz, Andersen
        Palmer, Bruno, Mbeumo, Wirtz, Semenyo
        Haaland

        Dubravka, Mukiele, Kroupi, Guiu

      18. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Like chatting up against a beige wall in here tonight

      19. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Hi. What would you do here with 2ft and 1.7m?

        Thinking rice and guiu to dango and thiago. Thanks

        Raya
        Gabriel richards alderete (andersen hall)
        Bruno mbeumo rice enzo Anderson
        Haaland ekiteke (guiu

        1. Flynny
          • 10 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Or maybe rayan instead of dango

          With enzo to dango or schade in 28....thanks

      20. AD105
        • 9 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Play 2

        A) Timber (tot)
        B) Hill (whu)
        C) Alderete (FUL)
        D) Kroupi (whu)
        E) Wilson (sun)

        1. BrockLanders
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          CE

      21. OverTinker
        • 7 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Guehi or Mukiele?

        1. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          muk

        2. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Guehi for me

      22. FPL Equilibrium
        • 4 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Bench 1

        A) Chalobah (H) v Burnley
        B) Timber (a) V Spurs
        C) Rice (a) v Spurs

        1. BrockLanders
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          B

        2. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          B

        3. Not again Shirley
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Not A

        4. FourLokoLeipzig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          B

      23. BrockLanders
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Lacroix injured?????

      24. Tinfoil Deathstar
        • 5 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Worst GW of the season. TC played and dropped from 11k to 30k.

        What do with this mess? 2FT's and £1.1m ITB. Thinking Le Fee or Anderson to Dango.

        Raya
        Timber Gabriel Munoz
        Rogers Enzo Le Fee Bruno
        Haaland Thiago Ekitike

        Dubravka; Andersen, Anderson, Gudmundsson

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Hardly a less. I would downgrade Timber to Hill upgrade Lee Fee to Wirtz, Semenyo or Mbeumo (if possible).

      25. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Who to captain?

        A) Haaland
        B) Palmer

        Leaning towards A as isning Palmer is aleady a differential in it self.

        Who to play?

        A) Kroupi
        B) Richards
        C) Mukiele

        Leaning towards A to be honest, but I Think its very close.

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Owning Palmer*

        2. FourLokoLeipzig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          Definitely C. A night not even start

          1. FourLokoLeipzig
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            7 days, 1 hour ago

            * might

      26. Jigger & Pony
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Would you rather play Rice (tot) or bench Rice and get Thiago (BHA) for Mane?

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          7 days, 1 hour ago

          B I think

      27. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        7 days, 1 hour ago

        Who on earth do I bench this GW? Dubravka and Esteve are givens but who should join them on the pine? Grateful views, thankee!

        Verbruggen, Dubravka
        Chalobah, Gabriel, Timber, Mukiele, Esteve
        Rice, Bruno, Mbeumo, Semenyo, Enzo
        Watkins, DCL, Haaland