Spot the Differential
3 March 2026 620 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

For our differentials selection this week, we’ve turned to three players who all have favourable home fixtures in Gameweek 29.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less.


KIERNAN DEWSBURY-HALL

Who is close to a ban or suspended in FPL Gameweek 6?

  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: BUR | ars | CHE | bre | LIV

Playing host to a Burnley side that have conceded the second-most goals (14) over the last six Gameweeks, Everton’s Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£5.0m) could be a player to back.

The Toffees will come into this match buoyed by their 3-2 away win at Newcastle United on Saturday.

Dewsbury-Hall, meanwhile, has already scored and provided two assists in five starts since returning from injury, and should get plenty of space to run or pass into on Tuesday.

Mostly playing as the No 10 in David Moyes’ 4-2-3-1 formation, Dewsbury-Hall is averaging an impressive 5.1 points per start in 2025/26, and remains one of Everton’s most potent attacking weapons.

Above: Midfielders sorted by points per start in 2025/26 (min 500 mins)

Dewsbury-Hall’s dead-ball quality is another route to points, with Burnley bottom for set-piece shots conceded in 2025/26.

Currently owned by just 4.1% of FPL managers, Dewsbury-Hall is consequently a decent differential shout for Gameweek 29.

“I don’t think Kiernan’s far off the England squad. If they had a B international or something similar, he’d certainly be in the mix.

“He’s got energy and skill that really makes a difference. He was probably on the verge of being our top goalscorer before the injury.”– David Moyes on Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall


ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 2.3%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: SUN | cry | BRE | mun | WOL

Now down to just £4.7m in FPL, Leeds United’s Anton Stach could be worth a roll of the dice ahead of Tuesday’s home encounter with Sunderland.

The German has really impressed since returning from injury, playing as one of the two attacking midfielders in Daniel Farke’s 3-4-2-1 formation.

Above: Leeds United’s passing network v Manchester City in Gameweek 28

So far this season, Stach has produced a very decent 10 attacking returns in 22 starts. Factor in his 34.8% defensive contribution (DefCon) success rate, and his points per start average is 5.0, just below Dewsbury-Hall.

The set-piece takers’ underlying stats offer further encouragement, with the midfielder having created six chances in his last two matches, while he’s also racked up four shots over the same period.

As for Sunderland, they’ve conceded 10 goals in their last four away matches, offering hope that Stach can get on the scoresheet on Tuesday.

So, for those Fantasy managers needing to free up some cash, Stach could present a handy solution. He also provides plenty of upside as a differential, with an ownership of only 2.3%.

“Anton is highly praised as one of the best signings in the whole Premier League and rightly so. Because he is delivering on the Premier League, on the top level. He is there for us, shows his versatility, plays in more or less in each level of the midfield role, in the deeper role, in the higher role. With his consistency, he is important for us, also because of his strength in the air. He wins many, many balls for us; he is really, really strong in the duels.

“I also like his ability to run the game – of course, he is good when he has the game in front of him, but also under pressure when he has the ball back to the opponent’s goal, he hardly loses the ball. He influences games, he delivers goals, he delivers assists, and he is also often the creator of the spark for us. Also, what he does against the ball – unbelievable consistency. I think his covered ground is always on the top level in each game. So, he is a complete player, and we are very, very happy to have him and for me a fantastic player at that level.” – Daniel Farke on Anton Stach


CALVIN BASSEY

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: WHU | nfo | BUR | liv | bre

Fulham’s favourable schedule over the next three Gameweeks has brought Calvin Bassey (£4.4m) to our attention.

The centre-back has only recently reclaimed his starting spot from Jorge Cuenca (£4.3m), who impressed during his Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) absence.

Since his return, however, Bassey has quietly racked up four shots in the box in Gameweeks 26-28, the fifth-most of any FPL defender. He really should have found the net against Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday, too, firing over from six yards out.

Furthermore, Bassey has banked DefCon points in five of his last eight starts.

Now, with West Ham United, Nottingham Forest and Burnley up next, Bassey looks like a decent differential option with an ownership of just 0.4%.

Crucially, two of those fixtures are at Craven Cottage, where Fulham have performed very well against teams currently in the bottom half, keeping clean sheets against Wolverhampton Wanderers, Forest (who they face in Gameweek 30), Leeds and Sunderland.

Above: Fulham’s home and away results in 2025/26

Fulham are firmly in the mix for a European spot, too, with only goal difference separating them and eighth-placed Everton, so there is plenty to play for.

Team-mate Joachim Andersen (£4.5m) is an equally attractive purchase, of course, with superior DefCon potential, but Bassey could still be a really interesting differential pick-up at a slightly lower price.


price change predictions
620 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. JohnnyB10
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Raya

    Gab Tark VVD

    Semenyo Bruno Mbeumo Wilson Dango

    Haaland Bowen

    Dub Hill Gudm Brobbey

    G2G? Or bring DCL for Brobbey? But who to bench in that case? Cheers y’ll 🙂

  2. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Thoughts on DCL for next 3 gameweeks only? Good minutes,fixtures and xGI

    1. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      I'm looking at him

  3. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    A) Kayode to Hill
    B) Kayode to Andersen
    C) Miley to Stach
    D) Miley to KDH

    C/D would mean playing Kayode

  4. TanN
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Start two:
    A) Wilson
    B) KDH
    C) Dango

    1. dparran
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      B and C
      Wilson is a doubt

      1. TanN
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Is it better to start wilson in case he does play though?

  5. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Any pics of Man City in training today? Asking for a friend TIA

  6. tankle
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Haaland/Rice to Ekitike/Semenyo? 2 FTs and no wc left. Would sort out gw31 for me.

    1. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      With no WC you might need a plan for getting Haaland back

      1. tankle
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Should be fairly easy with 2 FTs

        1. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          4FTs just to remove Haaland for 3 GWs seems excessive. If I removed him without WC, it would be with no plan of getting him back.

          1. tankle
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Likely depend on how the doubles fall (still have FH)

  7. Yordan Letchkov
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Pedro to Ekitike yes or no?

    Most of my ML rivals already own him…

  8. theshazly
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Play two :
    A) Guddmnsn (SUN)
    B) Hill (BRE)
    C) Enzo (AVL)

    Captain:

    1) BrunoF
    2) Semenyo

    1. G Banger
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      A C 2

  9. G Banger
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Just seen Andersen cleared to play, who would you rather have for the next 3:
    a) Anderson
    b) Hill

  10. LC1
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Szob or Gakpo??

    Chasing big time so not stressed about going against the grain

    1. ButterB
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      The way it's working out, Szob the better option from the eye test, so go Gakpo! Fix with WC later on

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Gakpo is awful imo

  11. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Guiu to Ekitiké, Rogers to fodder for a hit?

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      No

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Guihi rogers get you nothing

  12. ButterB
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Hi all,

    I can do Guiu to Thiago with my FT. (have 2 FTs)
    I have Ekitike and Haaland as the other forwards. Just do the transfer now, as I need to get him for GW31 anyway? Or would DCL or Jiminez be a better option over the next few weeks? Will WC soon after GW31.

    1. Sgt. Schultz
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Thiago now

      1. ButterB
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Thanks

  13. mr_jones
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    im cooked. injury crisis..

    Kelleher
    O‘Reilly (flagged) / Gabriel / Virgil
    Rice (flagged) / Wilson (C) (flagged) / Mbeumo / Szobo
    Haaland (flagged) / Thiago (VC) / Evanilson (flagged)

    Dubravka / Senesi / Rogers / Aina

    gtg?

  14. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Is it worth a -4 to (effectively) do Rice ---> Ekitike?

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      No. Wolves are decent

    2. tankle
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Wouldn't for a hit

  15. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Am I right to bench Munoz and play Cunha & Andersen?

    1. ButterB
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Yes

  16. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Get rid of Rice now for

    A. Szobo
    B. Rayan
    C. Dango
    D. Tavernier
    E. Schade

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      C

  17. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Rice kroupi to Stach ekitike?
    Cheers

  18. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Rice & J.Pedro -> Dango & Ekitike (2FT)?

    (Dead-ending into BGW31)

  19. marpy016
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Who to captain?

    A) Haaland
    B) Bruno
    C) Ekitike
    D) Bring in Semenyo for -4

  20. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Mane & Palmer > Ekiteke & KDH -4?

  21. RalphieFPL
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    I have Rice, Wilson and Haaland flagged starting, with only one starter on the bench should I look to make a transfer? Thanks

    1. I have no Wirtz
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I would

    2. tuturututu
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Is Haaland cameo possible? Somehow I believe he will start if he can play at all, no point of having him on bench, what do you think?

      1. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I think there's definitely reason to have him on the bench if he's not fit enough to start

    3. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Captain?
      1. Eki
      2. Bruno
      3. Haaland

      First on bench? Playing Wilson.
      A. Enzo
      B. Dorgu to Fulham def

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        2A

    4. mayofc2000
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      (A) Rice to tavernir
      (B) Rice to harry wilson
      (c) Rice + dorku to tav + Van dik
      (d) Rice + dorku to harry wilson + van dijk
      (e) roll

    5. Fred the Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Best replacement for Rogers? Considering Dango or Schade.

      Currently have Bruno, Wilson, Semenyo, Mainoo, Haaland, Ekitike, Thiago

    6. adstomko
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Bench one:

      A) Dango
      B) Rogers

      1. Sgt. Schultz
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Rogers

      2. Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        B

    7. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      1ft, 3.6itb..
      A) Guiu to Thiago (bench one Rice/Kdh/Mbeumo/Dango)
      B) save and play all miss (would probably need Thiago/3rd fwd anyway 30 & 31)

      Raya
      Gab Hill Andersen
      Bruno Mbeumo Kdh Dango
      Haaland Eki GUIU*

      B: Rice*, Alderete, Richards

    8. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      1FT 0.2m ITB

      Raya
      Gabriel VVD Andersen
      Bruno Mbuemo Semenyo (C) Rice* Dango
      Haaland* Ekitike

      Dub - Senesi Alderete Guiu

      Roll FT here? Waiting on moving Rice on as ideally I'd bring in Wilson for the GW31 fixture.

    9. mr_jones
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      last time rice was flagged and i sold him, he went to score to goals and a freakin 17 pointer against bournemouth..

      1. Ale Seizer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I just said that! To repeat, I'm not falling for that one again.

      2. Pompel
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        lookin at it another way - it's ten gw's since his last double digit haul. I don't think it's a big risk losing him

        1. mr_jones
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          yeah, but his not a striker, so you cant expect a double digit haul every week.

    10. Wolfman180
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Stuck in work, whats the latest on Rice?
      Any signs he might play?

      1. toerag
        • 15 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        cant see owt either way atm

        1. toerag
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          The boss also gave an update on Declan Rice, who was forced off in the second half of Sunday’s London derby win with a knock.

          “I hope [he is available]. He was much better today.

          “Obviously, we haven’t really trained because we have only two days to prepare the game. So hopefully, it’s going to be better tomorrow.”

          1. Wolfman180
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Typical.
            Nice one for that 🙂