Spot the Differential
15 May 2026 405 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Our Gameweek 37 differentials column puts the spotlight on three low-owned players.

This time, we’ve selected assets from Everton, Brentford and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.

CATCH UP ON FRIDAY’S LIVE TEAM NEWS HERE


BETO

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SUN | tot

A favourable home fixture against Sunderland has seen us plump for Everton forward Beto (£5.0m) as our headline differential.

Crucially, the Toffees can still finish as high as sixth, and need to win in order to maintain their hopes of European qualification.

Beto has found the net six times in his last eight matches, the most of any forward from Gameweek 28 onwards.

In that time, he has received eight Opta ‘big chances’, and averaged a shot every 31.9 minutes:

Beto’s appeal is further boosted by the fact that Sunderland are third-bottom for StatsBomb expected goals conceded (xGC) in away matches across 2025/26.

The forward could get some joy from crosses into the box, too.

That’s because Regis Le Bris’ men are 18th for headed chances conceded in the last six matches.

While many Fantasy managers are looking to Everton teammate Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£5.3m) this week, the fifth-most transferred-in player, Beto is going under the radar and could be worth a gamble.


KEANE LEWIS-POTTER

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: CRY | liv

Brentford play host to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 37, so Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) could be worth a punt.

The 25-year-old has impressed for Keith Andrews’ side recently, getting forward at every opportunity from left-back.

Indeed, since returning to the Brentford starting XI in Gameweek 30, he’s supplied two assists in seven matches.

In that time, he ranks second among defenders for expected goal involvement (xGI), having received 14 passes in the opposition penalty box.

Above: Defenders sorted by passes received in the opposition penalty box (Pen) in Gameweeks 30-36

Clean sheets are the bread and butter for Fantasy defenders, however, and Brentford have four of those since the start of March, the second-most of any team behind Arsenal.

The goalscoring form of Palace is far from prolific, too, having failed to find the net in each of their last two away matches, with Europe very much the focus for the remainder of the campaign.

Like Everton and a few other clubs, Brentford are locked in a battle for sixth, which may even be enough for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Lewis-Potter, who comes with obvious attacking upside, could subsequently prove a canny acquisition.


HARVEY BARNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: WHU | ful

Following an impressive substitute appearance at the City Ground last week, Harvey Barnes (£6.1m) presents an intriguing differential option.

The winger scored in the 74th minute and has now netted in consecutive Gameweeks, bringing his total for the season to 16 goals across all competitions

His underlying numbers further illustrate his impact.

Barnes is averaging a shot every 35.9 minutes in 2025/26, the fastest rate of any Newcastle player.

On home turf, it’s even better (27.8 minutes per shot).

With Anthony Gordon (£7.3m) seemingly out of the picture, Barnes looks like he’s in the frame to start in Gameweek 37.

Speaking last week, Eddie Howe said:

“He is such a good player and he has goals in him. He has done well for us historically, off the bench. He has done well when he’s started too and he’s an outstanding player. He took his goal well and that gives Harvey a great chance to start the next game.” – Eddie Howe on Harvey Barnes

Barnes’ match-up with West Ham United on Sunday looks favourable.

Instead of merely relying on a draw, the Hammers will likely try to come out and beat Newcastle, so Barnes, who has an ownership of just 1.1%, could have a field day if the match becomes more dynamic.

A favourable fixture follows, too, with a trip to Fulham on the final day.

It all bodes well for Barnes, whose pace and goal threat could cause plenty of problems for both opponents.

There’s an obvious risk involved with Newcastle stocked with wide options, but Barnes could hold the upper hand given his recent output.

At least we know that when Barnes gets on the pitch, he’s more than capable of finding the net, as shown in Gameweeks 35 and 36.


price change predictions
405 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    would you bench boost this
    Darlow
    Rogers
    Richarlison
    Justin

    1. Feanor
      • 17 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Wait till GW 39

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        This

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      May as well

  2. Captain Mal
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Let me throw Schade's name into the mix of differentials.

    1. Bonus magnet
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      what about Damsgaard

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 14 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Sold. Just got him in.

  3. Sid07
    • 12 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    1) J pedro to Thiago
    2) struijk to keane
    3) both for 2ft
    4) Save 2ft play mukiele

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      2

    2. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      2

    3. Under my Cucurella
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      3

    4. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      2

  4. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Need to bench one:
    A Hinshelwood
    B Cherki
    C DCL
    D Welbeck

    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      DCL

    2. Under my Cucurella
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      C

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      C

  5. scarlet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Bringing in a second Arsenal defender so shall I:

    A) Go safe and pick Saliba or
    B) Chase upside and go Califiori

    I am leading my cash mini league by 2pts, if that influences your choice.

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A because leading

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A

  6. Under my Cucurella
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Appreciate some opinions on my move this week?

    A: Welbeck > Gyokeres
    B: Gomez > KDH/Trossard/Hinshelwood
    C: Hill > Saliba/
    D: Verb > Raya
    E: Something else?

    Verb
    Gab O'Reilly Justin
    Bruno Saka Cherki Tav
    Haaland Pedro Welbeck

    Darlow Senesi Hill Gomez

    1FT 3.1ITB

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A

  7. Bod
    • 15 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Who to play?

    A Virgil
    B Dango

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A

    2. Keane There Dunne That
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      B

  8. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Who to captain?

    A) Bruno
    B) Trossard (transferred in this week)
    C) Saka
    D) Haaland

    ML leader (+ 10 points) have all these but Trossard, but he has Gyokeres as 3rd Arsenal. Unsure if he’ll diff with Gyokeres c or play safe with one of the other 3.

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      I'd be tempted to punt on Trossard in that situation

    2. Under my Cucurella
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      C, just owning B is probably enough of a differential for only a 10 point gap

    3. Bobbyg1
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A or D

      Tempted by Haaland as im unsure of Tross and Saka gametime

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      C

    5. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Cheers

  9. Joyce1998
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Who to captain if chasing

    A- Bruno.F
    Or
    B- Haaland

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      B, high risk, but due for a haul

  10. threeputt
    • 16 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Best replacement for Ismaila Sarr for next 2 GWs for £7.6m ? Already have Fernandes, Bruno, Semenyo, Saka (also have 3xArs & 3xCity)

    1. SIMBOBIANTHEIII
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Bruno g

      1. threeputt
        • 16 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Already have (see abv)

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      KDH

  11. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Which one

    Watkins
    Thiago
    Pedro

    ???

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Thiago

  12. Pegboy
    • 16 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    I'm in a bonkers position of having 1 FT and no idea what to do with it. No point saving as I have a WC left for next week!

    Raya (Dub)
    Saliba Gabriel NOR (VDV Sensei)
    Bruno Cherki KDH Hinshelwood (Sarr)
    Haaland Thiago Welbeck

    £3.4m ITB so can get almost anyone. Saka/Gyok ruled out due to taking 2FTs

    Any ideas?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Cherki to casimero 😆

  13. Feanor
    • 17 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Bench Pedro or Semenyo? Could see both getting a rest on Tuesday after 90 minutes in the Final.

    1. Feanor
      • 17 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Or Haaland.

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Sem

  14. WVA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    A. Verbruggen to Raya
    B. DCL to Gyokeres

    Verbruggen
    Gab NOR Van-Hecke
    Bruno Saka Semenyo GroB
    Haaland Thiago DCL
    Darlow Justin Hill Tav

  15. Anfield road 1972
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Captain B fernandes
    Gabriel
    Saka
    Or Haaland????

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Not gab, unless no idea

  16. aardvark22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Best switch out for Gordon upto 9.3m?

    A) Trossard
    B) Ndiaye
    C) Tel
    D) Guimares

    Have Saka and KDH

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A

    2. Keane There Dunne That
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A

  17. Ribus
    • 13 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Captain:
    A) Saka
    B) Gyökores

    1. Clintymints
      • 17 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Can't decide

      Head is Gyok, Heart is Saka

      1. threeputt
        • 16 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Head and Heart should be Bruno

  18. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Best use of TC this week or next? Gyokerez this week or a last week fling?

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      this week

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        On who?

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        I can get to Saka (-4) with Beto or Gyokeres free

    2. Clintymints
      • 17 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Probably this week Arsenal have to win and it's the last place team

  19. Cojones of Destiny
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    TC on (chasing )
    a. Saka
    b. Gabby

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A

  20. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Sorry but want to be sure
    Which is better ?
    A- Múnoz & Trossard
    B- Saliba & DCL

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      b

  21. Keane There Dunne That
    • 14 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Verbuggen
    Gabriel Van Hecke OReilly
    Saka (C) Fernandes Trossard Semenyo
    Haaland JPedro Welbeck

    A) Save FT
    B) Van Hecke -> Keane

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      A

  22. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Would you go Saka(-4) or Gyokeres for free if you have a TC to potentially play?

    Or keep it for last week

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      or just triple c arsenal def?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Hmm, not sure on that. One daft goal and it’s ruined

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 16 Years
          3 months, 7 days ago

          true but play 90 mins and goal threat too. Burnley weak attack

          Saying that, if tc it should be played this week as don't see a good choice next week. Probably saka but if they are 3-0 up by ht then he may come off. I prefer him to grok

  23. Clintymints
    • 17 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Saka or Gyok cap?

    Thiago in for DCL?

    Playing two Brighton at the back + GroB. Just a punt really

  24. gomez123
    • 12 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Start A) Wilson or B) Anderson

  25. threeputt
    • 16 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Play:
    a) O Reilly
    b) Van Hecke

  26. Mata of opinion
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Bench 1.
    A. Hinshelwood
    B. DCL

    1. Mata of opinion
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Or DCL>Thiago for -4 and bench hinshelwood

  27. w00ton
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Hi all, anything worth a hit here or g2g? 0FT

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Saliba, O'Reilly
    Saka, Bruno(c), Enzo, Cherki
    Haaland, Welbeck, J Pedro

    Darlo, Van Hecke, Tavernier, Struijk

  28. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Basically which is best?

    A. Watkins+Eze >> Beto+Saka(-4) - SAKA TC

    B. Watkins >> Gyokeres TC

    C. Save TC for GW38

  29. Joyce1998
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Best option here

    A- Rogers> Szbozalai, bench Bowen
    B- Rogers> Bruno.G, bench Bowen
    C- play Bowen, bench Rogers and safe FT

  30. WVA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    RP

    A. Verbruggen to Raya
    B. DCL to Gyokeres

    Verbruggen
    Gab NOR Van-Hecke
    Bruno Saka Semenyo GroB
    Haaland Thiago DCL
    Darlow Justin Hill Tav

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      bb?

      1. WVA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Used it on Palmer 2 Pedro 0 Gabriel 0

    2. Bagpuss
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      I doing B