Spot the Differential
15 May 2026 405 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Our Gameweek 37 differentials column puts the spotlight on three low-owned players.

This time, we’ve selected assets from Everton, Brentford and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.

CATCH UP ON FRIDAY’S LIVE TEAM NEWS HERE


BETO

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SUN | tot

A favourable home fixture against Sunderland has seen us plump for Everton forward Beto (£5.0m) as our headline differential.

Crucially, the Toffees can still finish as high as sixth, and need to win in order to maintain their hopes of European qualification.

Beto has found the net six times in his last eight matches, the most of any forward from Gameweek 28 onwards.

In that time, he has received eight Opta ‘big chances’, and averaged a shot every 31.9 minutes:

Beto’s appeal is further boosted by the fact that Sunderland are third-bottom for StatsBomb expected goals conceded (xGC) in away matches across 2025/26.

The forward could get some joy from crosses into the box, too.

That’s because Regis Le Bris’ men are 18th for headed chances conceded in the last six matches.

While many Fantasy managers are looking to Everton teammate Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£5.3m) this week, the fifth-most transferred-in player, Beto is going under the radar and could be worth a gamble.


KEANE LEWIS-POTTER

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: CRY | liv

Brentford play host to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 37, so Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) could be worth a punt.

The 25-year-old has impressed for Keith Andrews’ side recently, getting forward at every opportunity from left-back.

Indeed, since returning to the Brentford starting XI in Gameweek 30, he’s supplied two assists in seven matches.

In that time, he ranks second among defenders for expected goal involvement (xGI), having received 14 passes in the opposition penalty box.

Above: Defenders sorted by passes received in the opposition penalty box (Pen) in Gameweeks 30-36

Clean sheets are the bread and butter for Fantasy defenders, however, and Brentford have four of those since the start of March, the second-most of any team behind Arsenal.

The goalscoring form of Palace is far from prolific, too, having failed to find the net in each of their last two away matches, with Europe very much the focus for the remainder of the campaign.

Like Everton and a few other clubs, Brentford are locked in a battle for sixth, which may even be enough for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Lewis-Potter, who comes with obvious attacking upside, could subsequently prove a canny acquisition.


HARVEY BARNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: WHU | ful

Following an impressive substitute appearance at the City Ground last week, Harvey Barnes (£6.1m) presents an intriguing differential option.

The winger scored in the 74th minute and has now netted in consecutive Gameweeks, bringing his total for the season to 16 goals across all competitions

His underlying numbers further illustrate his impact.

Barnes is averaging a shot every 35.9 minutes in 2025/26, the fastest rate of any Newcastle player.

On home turf, it’s even better (27.8 minutes per shot).

With Anthony Gordon (£7.3m) seemingly out of the picture, Barnes looks like he’s in the frame to start in Gameweek 37.

Speaking last week, Eddie Howe said:

“He is such a good player and he has goals in him. He has done well for us historically, off the bench. He has done well when he’s started too and he’s an outstanding player. He took his goal well and that gives Harvey a great chance to start the next game.” – Eddie Howe on Harvey Barnes

Barnes’ match-up with West Ham United on Sunday looks favourable.

Instead of merely relying on a draw, the Hammers will likely try to come out and beat Newcastle, so Barnes, who has an ownership of just 1.1%, could have a field day if the match becomes more dynamic.

A favourable fixture follows, too, with a trip to Fulham on the final day.

It all bodes well for Barnes, whose pace and goal threat could cause plenty of problems for both opponents.

There’s an obvious risk involved with Newcastle stocked with wide options, but Barnes could hold the upper hand given his recent output.

At least we know that when Barnes gets on the pitch, he’s more than capable of finding the net, as shown in Gameweeks 35 and 36.


price change predictions
405 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Lav
    • 9 Years
    7 hours, 38 mins ago

    Semenyo —> Rice ?

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 36 mins ago

      No

    2. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 36 mins ago

      No thanks

    3. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 34 mins ago

      No

    4. Lav
      • 9 Years
      7 hours, 33 mins ago

      Thanks all

  2. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    7 hours, 36 mins ago

    Start 1:

    1) Lacroix
    2) Munoz
    3) DCL

    1. ronpateluk
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 36 mins ago

      3

    2. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 36 mins ago

      DCL please

  3. ronpateluk
    • 8 Years
    7 hours, 36 mins ago

    Take a hit to get mbeumo out to Saka?

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 33 mins ago

      If you're wanting to captain Saka, yes. If not, maybe.

  4. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    7 hours, 36 mins ago

    What say you to this?

    Donnarumma
    Gabriel Saliba (C)alafiori O'Reilly
    Fernandes Casemiro BrunoG(v) KDH
    Haaland DCL

    Henderson | Gross, Watkins, Lacroix

    3FTs. 1.8 ITB

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 5 mins ago

      Not hot on the captain, but I guess you are trailing and it is a necessary play.

      How far behind are you?

      Why not take a shot on gyokeres rather than triple arsenal d?

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        6 hours, 58 mins ago

        Just bought Cala, so ain't gonna use 2 more FTs to swap him for another player 😀

        Not playing based on being ahead or behind, just looking for points and fun. I think Cala gets forward if he plays. Part of the Arsenal attack.

        Could switch captaincy to one of the Brunos

        1. Bobby Crush
          • 11 Years
          6 hours, 51 mins ago

          I'd just go with your play then, stick with Cala.
          He does get forward a lot, and with Mosquera likely to be on the right, Cala will be the one doing the "O'Reilly" role.

  5. threeputt
    • 16 Years
    7 hours, 36 mins ago

    Whats the consensus, is the majority going (c) ?
    a) Bruno
    b) Saka
    c) Gyokeres

    1. ronpateluk
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 36 mins ago

      A

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      7 hours, 35 mins ago

      C if you have him

    3. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      7 hours, 33 mins ago

      I would go A but since I’m chasing I’m going KDH.

  6. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    7 hours, 36 mins ago

    Bench one:

    A) Semenyo (bou)
    B) Eze (BUR)
    C) Wilson (wol)
    D) Joao Pedro (TOT)

    1. ronpateluk
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 36 mins ago

      C

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 32 mins ago

      That’s tough. I’m toying with benching Eze but it could backfire. Probably C is the least risk

    3. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 27 mins ago

      D - no form

  7. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 hours, 36 mins ago

    Which one to transfer in:

    A) Tarkowski & KDH
    B) Keane & Ndiaye

    1. Orion
      • 15 Years
      7 hours, 35 mins ago

      A

    2. CASSIUS
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 25 mins ago

      A

  8. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    7 hours, 35 mins ago

    Anyone see much point in going Van Hecke to Keane when the odds of Keane getting a CS in the next two arent that high?

    1. CASSIUS
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 25 mins ago

      No

    2. threeputt
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 24 mins ago

      You've just answered your own question

    3. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 23 mins ago

      No

  9. The Big Fella
    • 9 Years
    7 hours, 35 mins ago

    Sell White for who for the last two games? Max 6.1 so Saliba isn’t an option. Have Nor.

    1. simong1
      • 7 Years
      7 hours, 33 mins ago

      MLS?

      1. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        7 hours, 30 mins ago

        Definitely going to play? That is my concern as I am also considering Califiori

  10. simong1
    • 7 Years
    7 hours, 35 mins ago

    Bring in Trossard or MLS (triple Arsenal defence)? Leading ML by 12 points

  11. tiger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 hours, 34 mins ago

    Best midfielder for 6.9m or less?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 33 mins ago

      Barnes?

      1. tiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 hours, 28 mins ago

        Was also thinking of Bruno G, but Barnes might be the better option

    2. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 27 mins ago

      KDH

  12. Manani
    • 14 Years
    7 hours, 34 mins ago

    on BB:

    A. Munoz > Tark
    B. Enzo > KDH

    (will need Enzo/KDH 38 as well)

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 33 mins ago

      I like B

  13. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 hours, 34 mins ago

    Should I say Fk it, Sarr > Trossard for a hit and stick the captain on him?

    OR 700k, whats the worst that can happen.

  14. LFC
    • 4 Years
    7 hours, 34 mins ago

    Would you get Lewis-skelly as second arsenal defender? Can’t afford Saliba

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 30 mins ago

      I like it, but it's risky. I have plenty of FTs and squad depth, and took a punt on Calafiori. MLS is another good punt if you can afford the risk.

    2. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 28 mins ago

      yeah for free

  15. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    7 hours, 33 mins ago

    Which is best?

    A. Watkins+Eze >> Beto+Saka(-4) - SAKA TC

    B. Watkins >> Gyokeres TC

    C. Save TC for GW38

  16. Gassemannen
    • 10 Years
    7 hours, 33 mins ago

    Raya
    Gabriel, O’Reilly, Kayode
    Semenyo, Rice, Mbeumo, Rogers, Le Fee
    Haaland, Thiago

    Kelleher - Kroupi - Cash - Lacroix

    Going to use FH round 38. 0.1 ITB.

    Any suggestions? 1 FT.

  17. Caravagio
    • 11 Years
    7 hours, 32 mins ago

    Trossard or ndiaye for free?
    Have gab and saka and no Everton.

    1. Sprinterdude
      • 5 Years
      7 hours, 29 mins ago

      Trossard for me

      1. Caravagio
        • 11 Years
        7 hours, 26 mins ago

        Upside here we come. Thanks

    2. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      7 hours, 28 mins ago

      Trossard

      1. Caravagio
        • 11 Years
        7 hours, 25 mins ago

        Ta

  18. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    7 hours, 32 mins ago

    Need to make a differential punt to try and chase about 30 points in a few MLs that I still have a faint chance of winning.

    Which midfielder has the highest upside over the next 2 GWs do you think?

    Can't be Bruno G (already own) or KDH (Rival owns him).

    I'm leading Szobo

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 32 mins ago

      Leaning*

    2. Caravagio
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 25 mins ago

      Tross or ndiaye lol see above

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        7 hours, 20 mins ago

        Already on triple arsenal and don't really fancy ndiaye... want someone more explosive.

  19. Three Badgers on a Shirt
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    7 hours, 31 mins ago

    Who to bench out of Cherki and Dango?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 30 mins ago

      Dango

    2. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      7 hours, 29 mins ago

      Dango

  20. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    7 hours, 31 mins ago

    Cap

    A Bruno
    B Thiago

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 30 mins ago

      A

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        7 hours, 30 mins ago

        Cheers

    2. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      7 hours, 29 mins ago

      A

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 hours, 29 mins ago

      A

    4. CASSIUS
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 26 mins ago

      A

    5. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 26 mins ago

      Cheers all

  21. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    7 hours, 29 mins ago

    Verbruggen
    O'Reilly | Gabriel (C) | Van Hecke
    Semenyo | Saka | Grob | B. Fernandes (v)
    Haaland | J. Pedro | Gyokeres

    Darlow / Tavernier / Bijol / Strujik

    Any idea (1FT, 0.1M ITB)? Cheers! Also any issue with Gabriel (C), Bruno (v)?

    a) Save FT
    b) Van Hecke>Keane
    c) Grob>Dewsbury-Hall

    1. CASSIUS
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 27 mins ago

      I’d roll and have 2FT to play with next week. Otherwise if you had to choose then C.

      1. Lallana_
        • 12 Years
        7 hours, 25 mins ago

        Cheers!

    2. Caravagio
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 24 mins ago

      Roll mate

  22. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 hours, 29 mins ago

    Who to captain?

    A) Bruno
    B) Saka
    C) Haaland

    1. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      7 hours, 29 mins ago

      A

    2. simong1
      • 7 Years
      7 hours, 28 mins ago

      A

    3. Sprinterdude
      • 5 Years
      7 hours, 27 mins ago

      Cap Gabriel clean sheet + Goal incoming. Looking at the goals and clean sheet percentage projections captaining anyone but an arsenal player looks a bad move

    4. Udogie-style
      • 2 Years
      7 hours, 25 mins ago

      B

    5. Caravagio
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 24 mins ago

      B

    6. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 hours, 7 mins ago

      Cheers, GL!

  23. CASSIUS
    • 11 Years
    7 hours, 29 mins ago

    Changing Tav to Bruno G, but would mean I need to bench a forward. My other is Haaland.

    (A) Bench Welbeck
    (B) Bench JPedro
    (C) Play both and don’t do the FT

    1. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      7 hours, 28 mins ago

      C

  24. janlu0
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 hours, 28 mins ago

    3fts available. Suggestions for best moves please?
    Verbruggen
    O'Reilly VanHecke Gabriel
    Cherki Saka Bruno Wilson
    Haaland Gyokeres(c) Welbeck
    Subs: Darlow Senesi Tavernier Struijk

    1. Sgt. Schultz
      • 9 Years
      7 hours, 24 mins ago

      Wilson to KDH, may be

  25. Feanor
    • 16 Years
    7 hours, 28 mins ago

    Start Van Hecke or Virgil?

    1. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      7 hours, 27 mins ago

      Van Hecke

  26. Stap
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    7 hours, 27 mins ago

    Defending 27 points in my league
    Have only 1 FT, thoughts on my team
    Raya (Henderson)
    Gabriel, van Hecke, NOR (Lacroix, Munoz)
    Saka, Cherki, Bruno, Gross (Rogers)
    Haaland, DCL, Welbeck

    A: Roll
    B: Lacroix > Keane/Tark
    C: Rogers > Dewsbury
    D:?

  27. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    7 hours, 26 mins ago

    Spread risk and play darlow & vem hecke ? Otjerwise play both verb & van hecke

    1. Bobbyg1
      • 14 Years
      7 hours, 24 mins ago

      Im going Darlow and Van H

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        7 hours, 21 mins ago

        Cheers and hope 0-0 bit i have gr9ss

  28. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    7 hours, 26 mins ago

    Best option please and thanks?

    A. Tavenier > Trossard
    B. Semenyo & Welbeck > Gyokores & Szob (-4)
    C. Virgil & Welbeck > Gyokores & Keane (-4)

    1. Sprinterdude
      • 5 Years
      7 hours, 23 mins ago

      C or A

      Leaning towards A to avoid the -4

  29. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 hours, 25 mins ago

    Best Tavernier replacement:

    A) KDH
    B) Ndiaye
    C) Bruno G
    D) Harvey Barnes

  30. simong1
    • 7 Years
    7 hours, 24 mins ago

    Bring in Trossard or MLS (triple Arsenal defence)? Leading ML by 12 points.

    1. Feanor
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 21 mins ago

      Torssard