Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


694 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Last min decision
    Shaw HUL / IPS
    Or
    Hume IPS / FUL

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Shaw

    2. El_Matador
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I have Shaw

    3. Lilliputian
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I'd go for Hume.

      He might even play OOP up-front.

    4. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Hume. OOP

  2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    BB GTG?

    Lammens - Verbruggen
    O'Reilly - Calafiori - James - Maguire - Ballard
    Mbeumo - Szoboszlai - Odegaard - Tzolis - Schade
    Haaland - Pedro - Calvert-Lewin

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      James is the only one I'm not keen on, bit other than that, strong

  3. El_Matador
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Tzolis for now or Odegaard for longer term?

    The former seems like a pre booked transfer out.

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I've gone for Odegaard fwiw

      1. Eastman
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        I've gone with both

  4. Fifa las vegas
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is it necessary to get Maguire over Shaw?

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I have. Maguire is nailed. Easy sideways to other good 5m if needed in the near future

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Hmmm, what about on BB
        A) Maguire + Diop
        B Shaw + Kadioglu

    2. Royal5
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Defcons and goal threat. And nailed

    3. Fifa las vegas
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Fair lads, thanks for the advice!

  5. Underworld
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    I assume there will have a glory hunter for No.1 spot after game 1 with 3 ARS & COV players and triple capt chip applied?

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Always is, always will be!

  6. RICICLE
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    last ponder from me lads

    A) Szbos + Gross
    B) Tzolis + Ndiaye/Le Fee

    Cheers

    1. Bored Ape Jota Club
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  7. FantasyClub
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    On BB which one?
    A) Diop & 6.0m Schade?
    B) Hume & Groß

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

      1. FantasyClub
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Thank you

  8. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    New article

  9. how now brown cow
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Petrovic or verbruggen to pair with kinsky?

  10. jeffa79
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Draft team:

    Sanchez (Petrovic)
    Van Hecke Khusanov Maguire (Guehi Hill)
    Wirtz Mbueno Wilson Sarr (I), Nero
    Georgino Richarlison (Barry)

    The right bench? Was toying between Man City CB and Barry v Neto.

  11. Wet Bandits
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    That's me set for BB1.. any changes?

    Vert, Kinsky
    Cal, Shaw, VVD, Gvardiol, Diop
    Mbuemo, Tz, Semenyo, Slob, Schade
    Haaland, Brobbery, JP

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Not much that can be done I’d say at this late stage! Very different midfield to mine! Arguably much better without Bruno

      Verb, Kinsky
      Cala, Gvardiol, Maguire, Hume, Diop
      Bruno, Mbeumo, KDH, Hinshelwood, Sangare
      Haaland, Pedro, DCL

      Could still downgrade Sangare to a 4.5 and upgrade KDH to a 7mil, but meh…

  12. Fifa las vegas
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Diop or Van Ewijk on BB1?

    1. FantasyClub
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Diop

  13. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Good to go? BB worthy or not? Nothing ITB

    Verbruggen (Kinsky)
    Shaw Kerkez Calafiori (Rodon O'Shea)
    Bruno Mbuemo Odegaard Gomez Szob Haaland Pedro (Barry)

  14. FantasyClub
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which striker?
    A) Thiago
    B) Isak

    If Isak would mean Mbeumo down to Szobo. I have BrunoF