Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


694 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. GoonerSteve
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Ballard or Jacquet?

    1. cravencottage
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ballard

  2. joeynse99
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Good to go? Going for a few low ownership players then plan an early wildcard. Also gone for Bench Boost GW1

    Kinsky
    Hume, Calafiori, Shaw
    E. le Fee, Bruno (c), Foden, Mbeumo, Gallagher
    Haaland, J. Pedro

    Bench - Vebruggen, Kadioglu, DCL, Mykolenko

  3. boroie
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final decision and it’s a biggie… best Ipswich defender…

    A - Diop
    B - O’Shea
    C - Davis

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Davis more fun but other 2 better defcon chance

  4. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Konsa now an Arsenal player in FPL.

  5. boombaba
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Any leaks ?

  6. Ibralicious
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Back after years, let's go. Where's LMS code

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Hot topics

  7. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Anyone considering Vuskovic? Scored 6 goals in the Bundesliga last season

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Many, he’s also good for defcons

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Low ownership too

  8. darkmatt3r
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Few last minute changes against my better judgement. Good to go?

    Verbruggen
    Calafiori, Muharemović, Shaw
    Szobo, Bruno (c) Mbeumo, Tzolis
    Pedro, Haaland, DCL

    Kinsky, Gomez, van Ewijk, Konsa (saves me a transfer later)

  9. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts on this please?

    Plan is to BB1, FH3 and WC 4-6

    Raya, Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Calafiori, Shaw, Williams, Ballard
    B Fernandes (c), Mbuemo, Le Fee, Szobozlai, Ndiaye
    DCL, Pedro, Isak

  10. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Will predicted line ups be updated on here before deadline?

  11. ghost__5
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 4m defender?

  12. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Any news of note that happened today that might impact selections before deadline?

  13. Wounded Prophets
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Team all sorted and locked in.

    Verbruggen, Kinsky

    Calafiori, Mosquera, Muharemovic, Maguire, Ballard

    Ndiaye, Wirtz, Bruno, Mbeumo, Tzolis

    João Pedro, Calvert‑Lewin, Isak

  14. Tinmen
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Folks which option if better

    A) White Semenyo DCL

    B) Vuskovic Le fee Isak

    1. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  15. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Draft FPL - have Isak & DCL as my main 2 strikers. 3rd striker is currently Gonzalo but I'm tempted by Marmoush as a free agent with his move to Spurs imminent and De Zerbi's track record for attacking football.

    Who do you think is better medium-long term? Would you stick with Gonzalo or grab Marmoush while available?

  16. Ray85
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Last decision lads

    Ndiaye Elf or Schade for the next 6-8 games

    Cheers

  17. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final decision:

    A) Wirtz + Rodon
    B) Szobo + Muharemovic

  18. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which 2 would you rather have?.

    A) Raya + Mbeumo
    B) Kinsky + Palmer

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A to start

  19. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Pick 1 to play

    De Cuyper
    DCL

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Dcl

  20. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which 2 would you rather have??

    A) Raya + Mbeumo
    B) Kinsky + Palmer

  21. Mini League Fatigue
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Curious. Got my a 91 rated team on the free RMT … clearly a good score but realistically how much higher can you get / have others achieved ?

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      The highest I have managed is 95, but that was without Haaland. I suspect all the best will be without him

      1. Mini League Fatigue
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Nice, thanks! The above is with Haaland and Bruno

        1. Jstap94
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          It was:

          Lammens, Verb
          Diop, Canvot, Ballard, Gabriel, Cala
          Bruno, Semenyo, Mbuemo, Sangare, Tzolis
          Isak, Pedro, DCL

          1. Mini League Fatigue
            • 13 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            String, a lot of value in a No-land draft!

    2. BananaDrama
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I've been on 86 for a while, but after a tinker bringing in Isak and Tzolis, I'm now also on 91

  22. Johan Queef
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Schade & 5.0 defender

    B) Grob/Sangare & White

    Thanks!

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Both decent. Maybe only B if early wildcard

  23. Old and Slow
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thiago seems to be the odd man out.... Doesn't feel bad to me at 8m

  24. Ibralicious
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Top 10k league code this year?

  25. Dynamic Duos
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    how's this bb1 team?

    Verbruggen Kinsky
    Calafiori Ballard Maguire Williams Muharemovic
    BrunoF Mbeumo Semenyo Tzolis Schade
    Isak Thiago Pedro

  26. Jstap94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thinks it has boiled down to:

    1) Wirtz and Tarkowski
    2) Semenyo and Ballard/Muha/other 5

    Currently on 1

  27. The Train Driver
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Would you rather punt on Foden or Odegaard for first 3 gws?

  28. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Get Konsa in now as a sub or sell one of Cala/White for him in 1-2 weeks?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Wait

    2. The 12th Man
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Wait and get him at 4.4m

      1. Utopsis
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        or 4.6

        1. The 12th Man
          • 13 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Either way it’s an easy downgrade from an expensive defender.

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Cheers!

    4. Nico.
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I think people don’t realise that most Konsa owners have 4 Arsenal players for the memes. And when they realise they can’t make a transfer in GW2 before they can make a transfer, guess who are they gonna sell?

      1. Nico.
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Until they sell one* of course

  29. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Any changes to this BB1 team? Will FH in GW3 and then likely WC in 7

    Lammens
    Ballard / Calafiori / White
    Mbuemo / Fernandes / Semenyo / Tzolis
    Thiago / Isak / Pedro

    Verbruggen / Rodon / Hume / Le Fee

  30. GoonerGirl
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which option is best?

    1. Szoboszoli, Rodon, O'shea
    2. Groß, Muharemovic, Ballard
    3.Szoboszoli, Gomez, Hume,

    I'm worried about not having Szoboszoli but I have fomo over not having Muharemovic and having cheaper defence.

    Thanks.

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      2