Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


694 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. MarkN
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Brobby or DCL? Currently on Brobby, tempted by DCL just worried by his historic inconsistency and injury record. Thoughts appreciated

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Same dilemma... think Dcl edges it

    2. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      By the looks of preseason he is firing. But he is a horrible fixture.

      And he is fit now. Of the injuries do re-occur you can assess then

    3. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I prefer DCL. If he gets injured there are nice alternatives to move to

    4. shady4revr
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I’d go DCL, on penalties as well

  2. RogueBlood
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    DCL, Semenyo, Gvardiol +1.0ITB or Konsa, B.Fernandes, Scarlett current squad Konsa will be benched untill GW2 or 3

    Kinsky, Verbruggen
    Shaw, Calafiori, Rodon, N.Williams, ---
    Tzolis, Mbuemo, Gross, Wirtz, ----
    Haaland, Pedro, ----

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  3. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts on this please?

    Plan is to BB1, FH3 and WC 4-6.

    Raya, Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Calafiori, Shaw, Williams, Ballard
    B Fernandes (c), Mbuemo, Le Fee, Szobozlai, Ndiaye
    DCL, Pedro, Isak

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Solid plan gl

    2. boroie
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Love it!

      Unfortunately I’m too much of a coward to go without Haaland!

  4. Bobby Digital
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Good timing for the site to crash

  5. boombaba
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Leaksssss

  6. FPL Emu
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Are there any 5.0 mids at all now that look ok on bench boost?

    I am thinking BB2, and this Gomez fella is playing Chelsea away

  7. Ibralicious
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 5.0 midfielder? Sangare?

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Im on Gomez atm but having doubts..

    2. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      He’s 5.5

      1. Ibralicious
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Oh whoops, thought it was the other Sangare

  8. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Last decision

    A) Kinsky + Szoboszlai
    B) Raya + Gross

    1. MightyGar
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  9. Saka White Rice
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Do we think Kerkez is nailed?

  10. lilmessipran
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Pick one, not planning on an early wildcard.

    A White, Buemo
    B O Reily, Szobo

    1. Connor Wickham
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A if only Arsenal defender.. NOR can be added later but im starting with him fwiw

    2. Kane Train
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  11. Connor Wickham
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Gabriel + Gomez
    B) Wirtz + Mosquera

    On A atm due to Gabriel being ignored by most but probably not best reasoning so open to thoughts from the community. Gl all!

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B, but depends on who else you got from Arsenal..

      1. Connor Wickham
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        I've got Cali and Tzolis aswell. How long mosq holds his spot is main worry as dont plan to wc early if can help it. Rogers v Wirtz other dilemma

  12. shady4revr
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who is on penalties for Liverpool?

    1. Rio Angora Mohair
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      You would say Szobs based on last season, but I have a funny feeling, the first one will go to Isak, as a red.

    2. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Owen

    3. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Most likely Isak, with Szlob next

  13. C. SAMBA
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Sangare from Brentford or Xhaka?

  14. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    If we get early news that new boy Tzolis is benched do you have a replacement in mind?

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Dango or KDH

    2. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Sarr could be an alternative

    3. Rabb05
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Schade

    4. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Some tasty replacements cheers

  15. Bale11
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A)Ballard and Wirtz
    B) Ndiaye and O’Riley

  16. Ady87
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) White/Semenyo
    B) Gabriel/Le Fee

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Short term A, long term B

  17. ABCDEFC
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who to pick on bench boost?
    A) De Cuyper
    B) Rodon

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ajer

    2. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

    3. Johnny 8
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  18. Pep Roulette
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Hey fam! Saving the chips for later, please select one option!

    Kinsky Dubravka
    Calafiori Maguire Hume VanEwijk XXX
    Bruno Mbeumo Tzolis Grimes XXX
    Haaland Isak JP

    A. DeCuyper & Slater
    B. Davis & Gomez

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      That is terribly light because if to many big hitters
      Grimes VanE including A and B
      Jesus wept

      Out of them B

  19. tmstrand
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Considering a BB1

    Lammens
    Maguire/Muharemovic/Ballard/Calafiori
    Bruno F/Gross/Le Fee/Odegaard
    Haaland/Joao Pedro
    (Verbruggen/Ndiaye/DCL/Vuskovic)

    Somehow, I've ended up with 3 Brighton players in my squad, but not really sure who to replace Vuskovic with..

    Would you BB this?

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Canvot is an option. Should be very good for defcon. Ok GW1 fixture and then a decent run thereafter.

      I think a triple up matters less if one is a defcon guy. De risks a clean sheet issue.

      1. tmstrand
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Thanks! How would you feel about a BB with this squad (swap Vusko for Canvot)?

  20. Milan M.
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who is nailed on in Everton defence except Tarkowski?

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Mykolenko, I'd expect..

  21. Bleh
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who wins?

    A. Isak, Semenyo, Wilson, Muharemovic, Vuskovic
    B. DCL, Bruno, Gakpo, Rodon, Kadioglu

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  22. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Please help, BB1

    a) Rogers + Wirtz

    or

    b) Foden + MGW

    1. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      whose your strikers? when you wc?

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Pedro Thiago Brobbey

        Isak weakens my midfield too much as I have Gabriel. Wildcarding post-deadline 😉

        1. Christina.
          • 16 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          I wont double up on Chelsea
          Gamble with Havetz?

  23. Merc with a goalmouth
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which one?

    A. Ballard & Gomez
    B. 4.5 (ajer or de cuyper) & Sangare

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  24. it lies in the proles
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Anyone knows how post Guardiola era will impact O'Reilly, Foden and Semenyo?

    thanks!

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Not watched much football since the World Cup but I read somewhere, cant remember where unfortunately, that Semenyo has apparently been used wider than under Pep

      I think Foden will do well though

  25. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts please?

    Verbruggen (Kinsky)
    Shaw Calafiori Vuskovic (Rodon O'Shea)
    Bruno Mbuemo Odegaard Gross Szob
    Haaland Pedro (Barry)

    1. chilli con kone
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Vuskovic too risky to start on bench boost

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        I dont plan to BB this week

  26. chilli con kone
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Ndiaye or KDH?

    One week punt most likely

  27. Saka White Rice
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Why isnt anyone considering Kerkez?

    1. Sigga43
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Got him. Seems like with his old manager and less competition he might return to his best but for a better side than bournemouth.

  28. Heskey Time
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    BB Wk1 WC 3

    A) Kinsky and O’Reilly
    B) Roefs and Tarkowski

    1. chilli con kone
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. tmstrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  29. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Rank these 4 in order of preference for GW1 punt. (Gvardiol/Mukiele/Frimpong/Palestra

  30. NejiHyuuga01
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    So much love on Calafiori but he barely makes 60 minutes. Do you guys know something or are you willing to sweat up to 60'?

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I think I read that he has only twice been subbed before 60 mins when starting. And those were tactical changes at half time. And tbh I quite happy if my defender is subbed at 70 mins given that most goals post 80 mins