Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


694 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Evasivo
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best £4.5 Mid for this GW only (as BB)

    1. Diles Mavis
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Slater for minutes or Hemmings for upside

      1. Evasivo
        • 16 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Cheers mate

  2. taibi
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who is first choice GK for Ipswich? Palmer I assume?

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      No

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Scherpen

  3. Brosstan
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Imagine you pay to be a "chief scout" member and then this site isnt even up in the crucial last hour before deadline. Id ask for a refund.

    1. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      theyll sort it

      1. GreennRed
        • 15 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        It's contention.They have to block more people logging in to sort it.

  4. Utopsis
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Why is there no love whatsoever for Porro?

    Superb player, much stronger defence, very attacking, not negligible defcon potential, very favourable fixtures....

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      RDZ has said he wont start gw1. But an option later for sure

    2. banskt
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Not playing in GW1.

    3. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Not back in time buddy

      Spain won the World Cup. He’s on his holibobs

    4. markymark
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      He’s injured

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        He’s not

    5. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Not starting GW1.

  5. RICICLE
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    All set guys? BB GW 1

    Kinsky
    Maguire - Muharemovic - Calafiori
    Szbos - Bruno - Mbuemo - Gross
    J.Pedro - Haaland - DCL
    —————————————————
    Verbruggen; Gomez: Ballard: O’Shea

    Thank you and GL to everyone!

    1. Wet Bandits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Squeezed Bruno & Mb in at the cost of your defence I fear..

      1. RICICLE
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Really? There’s me thinking I’ve actually overspent in defence haha! Not sure what I’d change tbh

        1. L S P
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Your DEF is solid

          1. RICICLE
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Cheers mate!

        2. Sly Fly
          • 17 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Defence is quite balanced. I've got largely the same, with Diop instead of O'Shea, and someone cheaper than Ballard!! (Ajer)

          1. RICICLE
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Very nice bud, I’ve toyed with downgrading a defender here and there for 0.5 but not entirely sure where I’d use it, and quite happy and settled with it
            I have thought of opting for Diop over O’Shea however

            1. Sly Fly
              • 17 Years
              1 month, 17 days ago

              I'm currently on

              Bruno | Mbeumo | Tzolis | Gross | Sangare

              Haaland | Pedro | DCL

              ...and keeping 0.5 in the bank to capture a price rise. Still thinking I want Le Fee and maybe someone else!!!

              1. RICICLE
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 17 days ago

                I like that, surprised I’ve not opted for Sanger’s myself as I do like the look of him, always a nice cushion to leave 0.5 itb, I kept with Le Fee for a while and still even pondering on him

    2. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Gross benching will hurt

      1. RICICLE
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        It really would but I expect him to play

        1. boombaba
          • 13 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          I think Hinselwood will

          1. Shteve
            • 17 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Prob both

          2. RICICLE
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Good shout actually bud!

            Muharemovic + Maguire > Shaw + Rodon wouldn’t be worth it for Tzolis?

            1. Sly Fly
              • 17 Years
              1 month, 17 days ago

              Easier to downgrade Szob to be fair... but if you're sold on Szob...

              1. RICICLE
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 17 days ago

                Very true actually, I’m not the biggest fan of Szbos but he does have a fair few avenues to points

          3. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
            • 15 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Why not both?

  6. Juhizczak
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final dilemma.

    A) Thiago + Szobo
    B) Isak + Schade

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Tough

      B

    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    3. leeds_manc
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Flip a coin?

    4. Shteve
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  7. sklarface
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Aside from no Haaland (in my plans for an earlyish WC), GTG here? BB in GW1

    Raya / Kinsky
    De Cuyper / Gabriel / Gvardiol / Davis / Shaw
    Foden / Tzolis / Bruno / Mbeumo / Szoboszlai
    Isak / Joao Pedro / DCL

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Yeah like it, risky but why not

  8. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is the Arsenal starting line up leak free at the moment?

    Especially the starting striker, Havertz or Gyok?

    Arsenal watcher's occasionally leak reliable info.

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Tony Adam’s starts

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Boom boom

        Saw him score at Highbury in his last league match for Arsenal

  9. GoonerSteve
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    BB1 g2g?

    Verbruggen, Kinsky
    Calafiori, Ballard, N.Williams, Shaw, Diop
    Odegaard, Bruno F, Szoboszlai, Tzolis, Ndiaye
    Haaland (c), Pedro, DCL.

    Also considered Jacquet for Ballard.
    Also considered Davis for Diop, as Diop high ownership slightly worries me.

  10. The Tinkerman
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Gabriel, Le Fee, Ndiaye
    B) White, Semenyo, Tzolis

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

    2. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ball, *Williams instead of White

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Balls*

        … I give up typing

  11. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Last decision then I lock in guys

    BB1

    a) Frimpong/Mukiele + Foden

    b) Jacquet + Wirtz

    1. Udogie-style
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B but is Jacquet nailed?

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Good point

        Frimpong or Mukiele

  12. Udogie-style
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Ballard or Muharemovic?

    1. Lav
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ballard

    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ballard to start, Muharlong term

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Muharemovic

  13. Lav
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Start one.

    A. Tark (CRY - H)
    B. Wirtz (NEW - A)

    1. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Blimey. Who else you got?

  14. Jordan.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    muhalovic and dcl +2m or williams and mgw

  15. winchester
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thinking of using BB on GW2. have 3.0m itb. any thoughts if i should BB on GW1 already?

    kinsky
    cala gvardiol shaw
    bruno(c) mbeumo semenyo tzolis
    isak jpedro brobbey

    (verbuggen lefee rodon hume)

  16. banskt
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is Simms viable for the first 2 weeks? Or would that be minutes risk for BB2? That would enable me to have Gvardiol + Simms instead of Rodon + Brobbey in my team for the first 2 weeks. Bruno and Brobbey (or Simms, if I decide to go that way) will be out in GW3.

  17. Nightf0x
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    12m pick 2 mids
    Schade sangare gross kdh ndiaye

    1. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Dewsbury Hall and punty Palacios.

    2. Ball Ake
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Dango and Sangare

    3. martynteresa
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Hinshelwood Dorgu

  18. Jstap94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Some thoughts on no Haaland.

    I think the worst, worst, worst case scenario is 30 points behind after two games. At his EO (~roughly 100% i reckon) that would be two hat tricks and Bruno doing nothing. That is easily surmountable over a season.

    Reckon good scenario would be 2 goals

    1. Oldjoe81
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Right....classic 1hr before the deadline decision? I'm not so sure? Done a 20min podcast on why I've changed tact last minute and gotten Haaland back in.... https://open.spotify.com/episode/7bJnDp4yfzPmctYx8JpYmf?si=Zqdz2EPlSLmabfhCQK5N8g

      So the final change was...

      Joao Pedro / Semenyo / Bruno
      for
      Haaland / Foden / Tielemens

      Feels I cover the No-Haaland risk this way but offer some coverage to the players I lose. Planning on BB GW1 still.

  19. ddande
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Bb gw1.. gtg?

    Lammens
    Gabriel-Calafiori-Tarko
    Mbuemo-Wirtz-Tzol-Ndiaye
    Haaland(c) - j Pedro - Dcl

    Verbruggen-Gomez-Hume-Shaw

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Great one

  20. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 4.5 defender?

    1. Football is home
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Shaw

      1. Kane Train
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Other than Shaw

        1. Wet Bandits
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          If not shaw, then Robbo, after that May aswell drop to 4 (drop or Davies)

        2. Sly Fly
          • 17 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Ajer?

    2. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ajer or Hume...

  21. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Pick one for next 2 gw’s

    A) Brobbey
    B) Richarlison

    Isak and J Pedro other forwards

    1. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. The Reptile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I've gone Brobbey - bit risky as Sun not very attacking

      1. ball c
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        I’m going Richarlison then

  22. FPL Emu
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) BB1 with Gomez (AVL), Hume (ips) and Diop (SUN)

    B) BB2 with Grimes (HUL), Van Ewijk (HUL) and Hume (FUL)

    Grimes seems like kind of a non-attacking player, but still home games

  23. boombaba
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Everyone remember Haalands hatricks in August last year?

  24. The Tinkerman
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A) Gabriel, Le Fee, Ndiaye
    B) Williams, Semenyo, Tzolis

    A is triple Arsenal Defence, B is double.

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Is there a way you can have Gabriel and Tzolis?

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Yeah… Semenyo and White become Gabriel and Le Fee

        1. The Tinkerman
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Right… I think I’m done. BB1 WC3:

          Roefs, Verbruggen
          Gabriel, Calafiori, Maguire, Ballard, Williams
          Bruno, Mbuemo, Szobo, Tzolis, Le Fee
          Isak, Pedro, DCL

          1. FPL Blow-In
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Nice

          2. Sly Fly
            • 17 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Nice team. Haaland funds well spread. Possible benching headache for GW2? Nice problem to have though!

  25. Voronins Pony Tail
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Szob or Wirtz??

    1. Pomp and Circumstance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Wirtz

  26. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    If Saka is leaked to start. Would you

    A) do VVD to Hume and Rogers to Saka (would need to lose Calafiori as have Gabriel and Tzolis)

    Or

    B) Gabriel to 6m and Rogers to Saka

    Thank you

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Thanks

  27. Football is home
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    A)Hume
    B)Kayode

    1. FantasyClub
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  28. it lies in the proles
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Madea or Slater?

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Maeda

    2. Pomp and Circumstance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Maeda or Gross?

  29. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final decision

    A. Rodon & Dango
    B. Muharemovic & Szoboszlai/Gakpo
    C. Muharemovic & Rayan

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  30. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Ditch one

    Foden
    MGW
    Wirtz
    Rogers

    1. FantasyClub
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Foden

    2. Voronins Pony Tail
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Foden all day long. City will be pony this season, awful manager