Spot the Differential
21 August 2026 694 comments
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Sunderland, Everton and Leeds United players are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 1 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 5.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: ips | FUL | bre | ARS | mci

With newly-promoted Ipswich Town up first, followed by a home encounter with Fulham, Dan Ballard (£5.0m) looks like a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Sunderland centre-back averaged 10.98 defensive contributions (DefCon) per 90 minutes in 2025/26.

He subsequently hit the required DefCon threshold in 51.7% of his matches.

Notably, only six defenders (and four current ones in FPL!) had a greater DefCon hit rate:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

Ballard also carries a bit of goal threat from set plays.

He scored twice from such situations last season, and ranked fifth among defenders for shots from set plays, with 24. Given his lower minutes (2,164) compared to other defenders on this list, it’s even more impressive.

Ballard also recorded two Fantasy assists, one from a penalty he was awarded, the other from a cross that he flicked on.

By prioritising structure and defensive shape, Sunderland ranked joint-fourth for clean sheets last season, with 11.

Further down the line, European football could potentially impact their domestic form. However, Matchday 1 of the Europa League isn’t until after Gameweek 4, so Ballard could still be a nice option for those on an early Wildcard strategy.

It allows you to target those early Sunderland fixtures against Ipswich and Fulham, both of whom are under new management.

THIERNO BARRY

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: CRY | bou | MUN | tot | IPS

Picked by only 1.3% of managers, Thierno Barry (£5.5m) is a cheap forward option to consider, particularly for those on an early Bench Boost.

Everton are hardly known for their attacking intent, and Barry did somewhat underwhelm last season, with eight goals in just under 2,000 minutes of top-flight football.

However, lots of his shots were from good positions inside the box (0.21 xG per shot).

 Image from our FPL Toolkit

His 18 big chances weren’t bettered by any other Everton player, either.

Barry isn’t completely nailed-on to start each week, and even when he does, he usually gets subbed off early.

But he does appear to have moved ahead of Beto (£5.5m) in the striker pecking order this summer, having scored three goals and supplied one assist in pre-season. He also started each of Everton’s final two friendlies against Newcastle United and Lille.

According to our Fixture Ticker, David Moyes’ side have the best first six matches of all teams, with new boys Ipswich Town and Hull City included in that run.

Up first is Crystal Palace, who new head coach Pierre Sage has already said aren’t ready for their Premier League opener.

At an affordable price, Barry could be a decent cheap forward enabler.

ANTON STACH

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: nfo | BRE | bha | NEW | CRY

Anton Stach (£6.0m) averaged an impressive 4.9 points per start last season, outperforming many other popular FPL midfielders, including Elliot Anderson (£6.5m, 4.8 points per start), Bryan Mbeumo (£8.0m, 4.7) and Morgan Rogers (£7.5m, 4.6).

Yet the Leeds United man is owned by merely 0.9% of squads as we approach Friday’s deadline.

Helped by a role on set plays, Stach scored five goals and supplied six assists (three Opta/three Fantasy) in 29 matches last season.

In terms of assist potential, he created 63 chances for his teammates, by far the most of any Leeds player:

Image from our FPL Toolkit

He also hit the DefCon threshold 10 times, with a 34.5% hit rate.

Harry Wilson’s (£6.5m) arrival at Elland Road may see Stach play a bit deeper and share set plays. However, Leeds’ early run of fixtures offers encouragement that he will still have plenty of license to push forward.

Daniel Farke’s men visit Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 1, with further encounters against Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Crystal Palace before the first international break.

Three of those fixtures are on home turf, where Leeds only lost five times last season.  

After that, the schedule takes a turn for the worse, so Stach could be an ideal early investment, partricularly for those managers who plan to Wildcard in Gameweek 6.


694 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    When is it likely we will have leaks for arsenal line up ??

    1. Diles Mavis
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      7pm

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        This is not a leak but a confirmed line up 🙂

        1. boombaba
          • 13 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          6:59pm

        2. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          7.15 pm

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      18:30:01

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Might not

  2. Emiliano Sala
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Please
    Last question

    On BB gw1:

    A) lammens, frimpong, palmer, egeli, davis
    B) verbruggen, palestra, gakpo, brobbey, mosquera

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

    2. Diles Mavis
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  3. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Thoughts please?

    Verbruggen (Kinsky)
    Shaw Calafiori Vuskovic (Rodon O'Shea)
    Bruno Mbuemo Odegaard Gross Szob
    Haaland Pedro (Barry)

    Also considering Kerkez and Gomez over Vusko and Gross?

  4. Diles Mavis
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    GTG?

    Raya
    Gabriel | Konsa | O’Nien
    Bruno | Mbeumo | Szoboszlai | Tzolis
    Haaland | Pedro | Egeli

    (Steele | Hemmings | Davis | van Ewijk)

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Konsa won't play

      1. Diles Mavis
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        I know he's in there for when he starts in 2 or 3

        1. Van der Faart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Bench a little weak in that case

        2. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Hell be 4.4 on Tuesday I reckon.

          1. Diles Mavis
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            That's fine, he'll recover value

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Is Konsa available and registered in time for tonight

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Nope

        1. g40steve
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          He’s now Arsenal player & showing in Ars strip on fpl 😉

      2. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Deals done, his price will rocket soon

        1. Udogie-style
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          If he doesn't play GW1-2 some will sell him. He could drop in price.

          1. g40steve
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            He’s on my bench, he’ll be 5 if he gets a start & his stats are better than current line up.

        2. Utopsis
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          His price wont rocket because casuals will but before GW1, then sell when they realise he's not starting or not even on bench

          1. g40steve
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            He’s showing as Ars in fpl, next step first 11.

            He can stay on my bench teams solid 11

            1. Sly Fly
              • 17 Years
              1 month, 17 days ago

              That's fair. One less transfer to make later on. Only thing to mention is, if you're set for a WC in 3 or 4 you could always get him in then.

  5. boombaba
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Foden or Slob

    1. Diles Mavis
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Slob

    2. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Szob

    3. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Foden

  6. Milan M.
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is Ben White nailed on to start vs Coventry/unless Timber is back fit?

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Timber is a few weeks away I reckon

  7. Under my Cucurella
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Want to lock in the team now. Any issues with this BB1 draft that I've missed or GTG?

    Verb Kinsky
    Calafiori Maguire Hume Rodon Davis
    Bruno Mbuemo Szob Tzolis Gomez
    Haaland JP DCL

    1. JuulKrapuul
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I'm on a similar one but with Shaw + Ballard instead of Maguire + Hume

    2. Goro Majima
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Exactly the same for me except Thomas for Davis and no BB yet. So hopefully it's great!

    3. Sly Fly
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Like it too. I have iMuharemovic, Diop, Ajer, Gross and Sangare instead of of Hume, Rodon, Davis, Szob, Gomez but can't tell which one is better!! 🙂

    4. Under my Cucurella
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Thanks all, think all your drafts sound GTG as well! GL

  8. FantasyClub
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Lads ive gone no Haaland...
    For my 6.5m def should i stick to Oreilly or go VVD?

    1. JuulKrapuul
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      O'Reilly

    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      O’Reilly

  9. JuulKrapuul
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Final question - How to start?

    A) Leno + Thomas + Graves + BB2
    B) Verbrugge + Oshea + Gomes + BB1

    Kinkski - X
    Calafiori - Ballard - Shaw - Rodon - X
    Fernandes - Mbeumo - Szoboslai - Tzolis - X
    Haaland - JP - CL

    1. JuulKrapuul
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Grimes * instead of Graves

  10. Baron Penguin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Semenyo and 5.0 def or Gabriel (3xars def) and 5.5m (gross/sangare)

    1. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      3 arsenal defence too many

      1. Sly Fly
        • 17 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Agreed

  11. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Will Vuskovic start? Thoughts?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      50/50

  12. Denis Tueart on the wing
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    With 7 out of 10 FPL managers having Haaland, is there really any point ?!

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Probably not

    2. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Remaining 14 is the plan.

      1. Denis Tueart on the wing
        • 16 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        good answer , but the sheep can't all finish in the top 1%

    3. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      No, delete team

      1. Denis Tueart on the wing
        • 16 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        too experienced my friend

  13. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    GW1 only

    a) MGW + Foden

    b) Wirtz + Rogers

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

  14. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    I typed it incorrectly previously,

    Final decision -

    A. Muharemovic & Dango
    B. Rodon & Szoboszlai/Gakpo
    C. Muharemovic & Rayan

  15. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Too soon for ‘That tweet’ 😮 ?

  16. boroie
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Think I’m finally settled and ready to go…

    Gtg?

    Verbruggen
    Calafiori Maguire Aina
    Bruno(VC) Mbeumo Tzolis Ndiaye
    Haaland(C) JP DCL

    Kinsky; ELF Hume Davis

    BB GW1 Active!

  17. TafOnTour1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Good to go, and lock this in?!

    Kelleher (Dubravka)

    Gabriel, Calafiori, Maguire (Muharemovic, Van Ewijk)

    Ødegaard, Rogers, Le Fee, Mbeumo, Gibbs-White

    Haaland, Joao Pedro (Walle Egeli).

    Plan to do Rogers to Wirtz GW3 and then reverse back GW4.

    1. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Caoimhín Abú!

  18. PartyTime
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which

    1. Vusko + Aina
    2. Neco + KadIoglu

    Thanks

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      2

  19. Udogie-style
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    If I have Schade and Sangarè, should I move Sangarè to Gross? He would be on bench most of the time, but I will BB1.

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      No

      1. Udogie-style
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Cheers

  20. mitre
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Kinsky
    Calafiori Shaw Hume
    Bruno Semenyo Tzolis Fée Hinshelwood
    Haaland Pedro

    …Leno DCL Rodon Davis

    GTG?

    1. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Start DCL over Hinshelwood

  21. bv57
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Is deadline 6pm or 6:30pm?

    1. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      6:30. It's on team page.

  22. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Why’s no one on Semenyo?

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Got

    2. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      For me it’s between Gabriel and Le Fee or White and Semenyo.

      1. Football is home
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        2 minutes to kneejerk

    3. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I am

    4. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      26.3% are

  23. The Tinkerman
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    I think I’m done… what’s wrong with it? BB1 WC3:

    Roefs, Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Calafiori, Maguire, Ballard, Williams
    Bruno, Mbuemo, Szobo, Tzolis, Le Fee
    Isak, Pedro, DCL

  24. Saka White Rice
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Guys why arent people going for Schade what am I missing? Hes better than Ndiaye surely

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Much prefer Schade, I guess Jaidon Anthony from Burnley could take minutes from him?

  25. ghost__5
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Best 4.5M defender I’ve already got Maguire so I’m not looking to get shaw aswell

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ajer

    2. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Hilume, Mitchell

      1. GreennRed
        • 15 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Hume!

      2. ghost__5
        1 month, 17 days ago

        I’ve got Hume so it’s ajer, mitchell or someone else for me! I’m not sure though

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Ajer or Hume. Some say Rodon as well...

  26. Keane There Dunne That
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    All set? Any changes?

    Kinsky (Dub)
    Califiori Kerkez Shaw (Rodon) (Diop)
    Fernandes Wirtz Mbuemo Tzolis (Slater)
    Haaland (C) Brobbey JPedro

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Looks good

  27. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Good to go?

    Verbruggen (Kinsky)
    Shaw Kerkez Calafiori (Rodon O'Shea)
    Bruno Mbuemo Odegaard Gomez Szob
    Haaland Pedro (Barry)

    1. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      How much in the bank?

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Nothing left

  28. peddymax
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Need help deciding which pairing:

    A. Wirtz and Gomez
    B. Szob and Sangare

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B

    2. Wengers Apprentice
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I’ve had a similar dilemma. Ultimately gone with Szob due to high ownership and my own ownership experience of both last season.

    3. Jstap94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Marginally prefer B. Szob and Wirtz roughly even in points I think, but Sangare outscores Gomez for me

  29. RICICLE
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Here’s a last ponder from me then

    A) Szbos + Gross
    B) Tzolis + Ndiaye/Le Fee

  30. Football is home
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    My team is playing 1-5-4 formation since Hume is a winger and Calafiori played forward against City

    1. GreennRed
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      4 strikers is impressive.