FPL
9 October 2026 2 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Three successive Fantasy Premier League (FPL) blanks are pushing many managers to sell Bruno Fernandes (£11.9m).

Since Gameweek 3 ended, around 1.5 million decided to ditch the second-most expensive player, armed with the belief that other midfielders are providing better value.

He’s now dropped in price, too.

So, is Manchester United’s 2025/26 assist machine playing at a level worthy of such a premium price?


ARE WE BEING HARSH?

FPL notes: Romero's ban length, Cunha up top + Bruno's stats

To be honest, three goals, an assist and 31 points in five matches is a pretty good start.

Yet because they all happened in one go – Gameweek 2’s mega haul versus Ipswich Town – Fernandes is being judged on the four surrounding blanks.

Maintain this rate over the whole nine months, and that gives a final amount of 235.6 points. Basically the same as last season’s 235 – albeit at a much higher price.

Throughout the previous five FPL campaigns, that’s been beaten eight times. Half of those players cost either £11.5m or £12.5m at the start. So is he on par with expectations?

Not only that, Fernandes has already hit the woodwork twice. If one of those goes in, this analysis doesn’t even happen.

SHOTSCHANCES CREATEDTOTAL
Bruno Fernandes191332
Bryan Mbeumo191029
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall181129
Cole Palmer171128
Morgan Rogers151126
Marcus Rashford131326
Pascal Gross101525

After all, the playmaker is leading the way for overall chance involvement (32) and sits third for expected goal involvement (xGI, 3.89). It’s not like he’s impersonating last season’s £14.5m Mohamed Salah!


REASONS TO OWN

Bruno Fernandes

A 90-MINUTE PENALTY TAKER

When weighing up the pros and cons, this one doesn’t need explaining. Club captain Fernandes has played all 450 minutes, and also steps up to take spot kicks.

STRONG STATS

Conducting a team that ranks first for attempts (113) and second for efforts on target (27), he’s continuing the devastating underlying numbers of 2025/26.

The Portuguese all-rounder sits joint-third for chances created (13) and joint-second for shots (19). Admittedly, half of the latter came from long-range.

However, nobody has whipped in more successful crosses (11), and Fernandes has racked up the highest tally of final third passes (121). Additionally, the most successful passes into the box (29).

HIS RELIABLE HISTORY

Last time, he set a new Premier League record for orthodox assists (21), while he accumulated 24 of them in FPL thanks to 12 during his final 11 outings.

Don’t forget that his chances created (136), big ones (33) and expected assists (xA, 12.32) were miles ahead of second-placed guys Dominik Szoboszlai (78) and Rayan Cherki (19 and 8.65). That xA is well short of 24, mind.

Simultaneously, he came fourth for shots (85), delivering six consecutive double-digit hauls at home between Gameweeks 16 and 30.

SEASONMINUTESPOINTSFPL RETURNSPOINTS PER 90
2025/263,065235336.9
2024/253,017174205.2
2023/243,118166194.8
2022/233,317176174.8
2021/223,110151174.4
2020/213,101244327.1
2019/20 (half)1,187117168.9

Yet, incredibly, 6.9 points per 90 minutes still fell below his 2020/21 number (7.1) and that of his 2019/20 half-season (8.9).

Taking six full campaigns into account, Fernandes averages 23 attacking returns.

REASONS TO AVOID

Is Mbeumo a better FPL pick than Fernandes? 4

CAN HE BE CAPTAINED?

Although we’re talking about both right now and the future. Selling before he faces last-placed Tottenham Hotspur at home feels dangerous.

But, after that, Man United have the fourth-toughest run between Gameweeks 7 and 12. Fernandes is too expensive not to captain.

UNCONVINCING TEAM

The Red Devils don’t feel trustworthy, either. 12th in the table and leaky at the back, last season’s third-placed finish happened in a rare year without European football.

Well, this time they’re in the Champions League and soon must face Atletico Madrid, Como and Roma.

MBEUMO IS MATCHING HIM

Bruno may have ranked highly for 2025/26 attempts, but he wasn’t near the best for having them be inside the box, on target, or be deemed a big chance. It’s similar this time.

Meanwhile, cheaper colleague Bryan Mbeumo (£7.9m) lingers only slightly behind in terms of chance involvement (29) but joins him on 19 shots and an almost identical xGI (3.86, below).

The 27-year-old even beats Fernandes for close-range efforts (14 v 8). He’s perhaps a smarter, budget-friendly way to invest in Man United’s attack.


WHAT ABOUT PALMER + SAKA?

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Elsewhere, the only other FPL midfielders costing at least £8.5m are Cole Palmer (£9.7m) and Bukayo Saka (£9.5m).

Both are fellow penalty takers at ‘top’ teams, but are actually about to embark on a good fixture run. They’re each on 12 box shots, too.

The Chelsea attacker had a poor 2025/26 and has faded since Gameweek 1’s big score, but three-goal Saka is bettered only by Erling Haaland (£15.6m) for xGI (4.19) and putting attempts on target (nine).

Managers can have both, instead of Fernandes and a mid-priced asset. Then again, affording Bruno and Haaland isn’t a problem if teammates Morgan Rogers (£7.7m) and Martin Odegaard (£6.8m) are preferred.


FINAL THOUGHTS

Goals + assists imminent! Who is 'due' in FPL Gameweek 10? 2

An epic 2025/26 means that Fernandes costs a lot. But focus on his points total (31) rather than the number of blanks (four): those attacking returns in a different order would be seen as ‘ticking along nicely’.

The 32-year-old shoots a lot, dominates the creativity stats and takes Man United penalties. Unless a manager strongly craves the ownership of both Palmer and Saka, he remains a fine pick.

Nevertheless, Fernandes lacks armband-friendly fixtures in the near future. Using that money to instead buy everyone else desired makes perfect sense.


FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

2 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FantasyFooty01
    • 9 Years
    1 hour, 54 mins ago

    Kinsky

    Calafiori, Van Hecke, Konea, Muñoz

    Gibbs-White, Palmer (C), Rogers (V), King

    Haaland, García

    Bench:
    Bentley, Tavernier, Muharemovic, DCL

    1 FT 1.3 ITB
    Should I make any changes?

  2. Esraj
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 36 mins ago

    He's 32 now! Time to ditch him.