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8 April 2016 23 comments
FFFrog FFFrog
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Following on from my article on midfielders, here is a Points Per Game (PPG) comparison of the five top scoring Fantasy Premier League forwards and five Wildcard attacking punts vying for a place in our double Gameweeks squads.  I have added in a home and away analysis as well as their PPG over the last four games to spot any players with stocks on the rise.

The Wildcard Punts

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Team: Newcastle United

Price: 6.2m

Total Score: 86

PPG: 3.2

Home PPG: 3.2

Away PPG: 3.7

PPG Last 4 Games: 5

His season PPG looks poor, but factor in the Rafalution at Newcastle and he looks to be hot property in terms of recent form. Since the former Liverpool and Real Madrid boss took charge against Leicester in Gameweek 30 Mitrovic has tallied 19 points, that’s an impressive Rafa-era PPG of 6.3.

Marcus Rashford

Team: Manchester United

Price: 4.5m

Total Score: 29

PPG: 5.8

Home PPG: 6.7

Away PPG: 4.5

PPG Last 4 Games: 3.3

Rashford burst onto the scene in GW27, with a brace that put Arsenal’s title challenge to the sword. He only has one goal in the league since then however, and with Wayne Rooney’s return imminent may be one to avoid.

Danny Welbeck

Team: Arsenal

Price: 7.4m

Total Score:

PPG: 4.8

Home PPG: 3

Away PPG: 6.7

PPG Last 4 Games: 3.3

Since his return from injury in GW26, Welbeck has served up three goals and an assist, and boasts an impressive away PPG of 6.7. However, with Olivier Giroud looming and only one goal in his three home appearances is he a mistake waiting to be made?

Daniel Sturridge

Team: Liverpool

Price: 9.9

Total Score: 37

PPG: 5.8

Home PPG: 6.7

Away PPG: 5

PPG Last 4 Games: 6 (nb. only last 2 games due to injury)

Sturridge has the potential to explode in this double gameweek, with fixtures and form on his side, he seems to be back to full fitness. However, with Liverpool still being in the Europa League, he may be susceptible to rotation as Klopp looks to keep a key asset fit.

Anthony Martial

Team: Manchester United

Price: 7.6m

Total Score: 110

PPG: 4.4

Home PPG: 5.6

Away PPG: 3.2

PPG Last 4 Games: 4.5

An impressive home PPG of 5.6 having played 12 home matches renders him an enticing prospect for United’s home ties with relegation-resigned Aston Villa and a faltering Crystal Palace.

Top FPL Scorers

Romelu Lukaku

Team: Everton

Price: 9m

Total Score: 169

PPG: 5.6

Home PPG: 5.6

Away PPG: 5.7

PPG Last 4 Games: 4

Having only blanked against bottom-half opposition four times throughout the season and with three double Gameweeks between now and the end of the season, Big Rom looks nailed on to start and with five of his final eight games against weaker teams, along with Southampton at home, expect some monster hauls.

Troy Deeney

Team: Watford

Price: 5.2m

Total Score: 132

PPG: 4.3

Home PPG: 4

Away PPG: 4.5

PPG Last 4 Games: 3.5

With two double Gameweeks coming up he would appear to be a strong option, but quite frankly he’s already in the Bahamas with the rest of his teammates having achieved safety.

Jamie Vardy

Team: Leicester City

Price: 7.8m

Total Score: 184

PPG: 5.8

Home PPG: 6

Away PPG: 5.5

PPG Last 4 Games: 3.5

Leicester are shutting up shop to eke out their first title, at the apparent expense of Jamie Vardy’s goals. Vardy has been playing out wide and his stats have dropped dramatically as a result. Quite rightly he is riding high in the transfers out table.

Sergio Aguero

Team: Manchester City

Price: 13.5m

Total Score: 132

PPG: 5.7

Home PPG: 7

Away PPG: 4

PPG Last 4 Games: 5.5

His home PPG of 7 will please many as West Brom visit the Etihad, however, an away PPG of 4 does not make him look as strong a double Gameweek option as anticipated. The most explosive player in the league on his day, he will have to be firing on all cylinders to score past Chelsea and Newcastle’s newly tightened defences, alongside another match against Paris Saint Germain and a potential Champions League semi final berth.

Harry Kane

Team: Tottenham

Price: 10.4m

Total Score: 184

PPG: 5.9

Home PPG: 5.4

Away PPG: 6.3

PPG Last 4 Games: 10.8

To Kane or not to Kane, that is the question. The league’s form striker by a country mile, Kane’s lack of a double Gameweek is causing many to relocate funds. But with Spurs still in the Premier League title race, is Kane too good to sell?

Conclusion

Picking three men for our forward lines is possibly the hardest task for any Fantasy manager. Personally, I am looking at Kane, Lukaku, Martial as a forward line, with Aguero’s price tag and away form playing second fiddle to Martial’s incredible home form and easy double Gameweek 34 fixtures.

23 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Thanks for posting. Certainly makes the Mitrovic v Martial decision harder. Mitrovic may even have the edge despite having worse fixtures.

  2. DGWjegy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    be scared mitrovic owners

    1. Woy of the Wovers
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Why?

  3. Gaz Downright
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Coutinho or Firmino?

    1. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Coutinho over Firmino. But I'm considering both instead of getting KDB.

      1. Gaz Downright
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        No KDB sounds scary...

      2. French Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        You re now coming around the idea of no KDB Jonty?

      3. hiawatha
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        what do you think about going without aguero? so many players missing from city and they'll try to keep them fit for second leg. Also it frees up a lot of money for investing in mid and defence. can't see aguero scores 3 goals against chelsea and newcastle. Are we just afraid of going without him? that can be crucial moment. wba can also park the bus this week.

    2. ArsenalBankai
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      How did Coutinho play last night?

    3. Woy of the Wovers
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Wrong thread

  4. sindriseagal
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    I want Sturridge really bad, he was rested yesterday, is that a good thing or bad? Im thinking it's a good thing but I'm so bias.

    1. FFFrog
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Definitely a good thing for his hope of starting against stoke

  5. Gaz Downright
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts?

    Mignolet Robles
    Smalling Sakho Gabriel Delaney STaylor
    KDB Sánchez Cout/Firm Payet Iwobi
    Agüero Lukaku Martial

    0.1

    1. Gaz Downright
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Alternatively:
      Bellerin Rojo Lingard (for Delaney Smalling Iwobi)

  6. amplifiedAnt
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Martial vs Mitrovic and KDB/no KDB are driving me mad...

    A.
    Robles, Mignolet
    Bellerin, Smalling, Sakho, Gabriel, Simpson
    Sanchez, Coutinho, Lennon, Lanzini, Payet
    Aguero, Lukaku, Martial

    B.
    Robles, Darlow
    Bellerin, Smalling, Sakho, Gabriel, Simpson
    Sanchez, Coutinho, De Bruyne, Lanzini, Payet
    Aguero, Lukaku, Mitrovic

    Any thoughts?

    1. Lenbag
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      by my calcs...

      team A = 8 players playing GW35
      team B = 10 players playing GW35

  7. sindriseagal
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    don't trust STaylor to be playing.
    maybe Iwobi -> lingard and STaylor -> Rangel

    1. sindriseagal
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      fail reply to Gaz Downright

  8. ktongue
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Makes me feel Mitrovic Kane and Lukaku might be the way to go after game week 34. Will allow me to have funds for KDB and Agüreo for the next three City games. Interesting.

  9. Woy of the Wovers
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Some of those PPG stats look odd. Rashford's are very misleading.

    1. RedLightning
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Rashford's PPG stats are correct, but based on only 5 matches (3 at home and 2 away).

  10. RedLightning
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Mitrovic's Home PPG should be 2.9 and his Away PPG should be 3.4.

  11. Penitent
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Lukaku will not play tomorrow. F A Semi next week and Liverpool midweek which he may also miss. I'm outing him for Mitrovic