Opinion
22 November 2017 822 comments
Paul Paul
Share:

We bring Gameweek 12 to a close this evening with our usual three-point post-mortem.

We acknowledge how Eden Hazard is becoming difficult to ignore, how Paul Pogba’s return forces a reassessment of Man United’s goal power, and how Pep Guardiola’s insight into his team selection offers mixed news for owners of the Man City attack.

The Player

Hampered by an ankle injury at the start of the season, it’s taken some time for Eden Hazard to grab the attention of Fantasy Premier League managers.

Eased back into contention by manager Antonio Conte, the Belgian was afforded just three sub appearances in the champions’ first six before finally returning to the teamsheet in Gameweek 7.

But with 32 FPL points in the last three league fixtures, Hazard now merits serious consideration as a premium priced big-hitter once again.

Shifted into a central support role following the recent return to fitness of N’Golo Kante, the winger served a timely reminder of his abilities with two goals and an assist helping him to 18-point haul in the 4-0 demolition of West Brom last weekend.

Sitting in a mere 5% of squads compared with team-mate Alvaro Morata’s 24%, Hazard – who has delivered at least 190 points in four of the previous five seasons – is shaping up to be an outstanding differential over the winter period.

One look at the schedule shows that Conte’s side have just two testing fixtures – this weekend’s trip to Liverpool and a Gameweek 22 visit to Arsenal – over the next 15 rounds of matches.

During that stretch, they have eight hugely enticing home encounters (SWA NEW SOU BHA STK LEI BOU WBA) as well as trips to West Ham, Huddersfield, Everton, Brighton and Watford.

Given that Hazard scored more goals in front of his own supporters (12) than any midfielder last term, the case for his acquisition – as an alternative to or even alongside Morata in our XIs – is gathering pace.

Furthermore, the final five of those eight fixtures listed above at Stamford Bridge also occur when Harry Kane plays at home, offering a clear captaincy alternative to the Spurs striker should his Wembley woes continue.

Overshadowed by the clamour to acquire Paul Pogba in midfield, the Belgian has convinced only 37,000 to take the plunge for his visit to Anfield.

But the ensuing schedule suggests that it won’t be too long before many of us clamber aboard the bandwagon as Hazard looks to build momentum for the Christmas period and beyond.

The Team

After scoring just twice in the previous four fixtures, thanks, in part, to a trio of defensive displays against Liverpool, Spurs and Chelsea, Man United finally rediscovered their thirst for goals at home to Newcastle United.

The return to action of Paul Pogba made an immediate impact on the Red Devils’ fortunes after a 4-1 demolition of the Magpies.

The most bought player for Gameweek 13, the 8.0-priced Frenchman has been snapped up by a massive 240,000 after bagging a 12-point FPL return last Saturday.

And his manager’s post-match assertion that United are a different team with Pogba on board is borne out by the statistics.

Looking at the data with/without the midfielder, their average number of shots (18.8 vs 11.3), efforts from open play (13.4 vs 8.4) and attempts on target (7 vs 3.9) are far superior.

Tellingly, United have registered double the number of big chances per match (four vs two) and goals (3.2 vs 1.6) in the five league matches that the Frenchman has started.

It’s also no coincidence that Saturday saw Romelu Lukaku end a seven-match club scoring drought in all competitions. The Belgian continues to average a goal-a-game with Pogba in the line-up, compared with three goals in seven without him.

Although there’s a fear that Mourinho may take a defensive stance for the Gameweek 15-16 encounters against Arsenal and Man City, they are the only occasions that United face top six sides between now and Gameweek 24.

With that in mind, owners of Lukaku – who has dropped from 11.8 to 11.5 in recent weeks due to his patchy form – are perhaps more likely to hold in light of Pogba’s impact on his fortunes.

At the back, the situation surrounding Phil Jones’ fitness ahead of a busy winter schedule doesn’t look promising for his security of starts and may well drive some to consider David de Gea as their fire and forget option between the sticks.

Priced at 5.8, the Spaniard’s penchant for save points means that he trails Lukaku by just two FPL points (68 to 70) over the opening 12 Gameweeks.

The Talking Point

Whisper it, but Pep Guardiola may have just done us all a favour.

So often the scourge of Fantasy managers, the Man City head coach took time out ahead of yesterday’s Champions League clash against Feyenoord to offer a handy explanation as to why he no longer plays Sergio Aguero and Gabriel Jesus in the same XI.

Citing the absence of raiding full-back Benjamin Mendy, Guardiola reckons he needs the pace of Leroy Sane to stretch opposition defences down the left flank instead. Essentially, it’s either/or for Aguero and Jesus when it comes to naming the teamsheet.

Taking the Mendy factor into consideration, dare we say it – we can now apply a pattern to the City manager’s recent lineups.

From the point when the summer signing from Monaco limped off with a serious knee injury in Gameweek 6, Sane has started every league match. He had previously started just two of the first six.

Jesus was given the nod in all three of the subsequent away matches – indeed, he has been included in the XI in all six of their road trips. From Gameweek 7 onwards, the Brazilian has started just once at home – and that was in Gameweek 8 against Stoke, a match that Aguero missed due to injury.

The Argentine, meanwhile, has been available for four of the league matches since Mendy was injured. He has started both their home fixtures over this period and has played no minutes of the two on the road. Over the next six Gameweeks, City play three times at home and three away.

Currently sitting in 20.4% and 15.6% of FPL squads, it looks like Aguero and Jesus will continue to job share until Mendy’s return – which is expected in late April. Unless Guardiola can recruit in January.

Given that Aguero played the 90 minutes against Feyenoord last night and City travel to Huddersfield on Sunday, he could be back on bench-warming duties again, with Jesus leading the line.

In the meantime, everything looks rosy for Sane on the back of his manager’s recent comments, with Guardiola’s decision to rest him altogether against the Dutch outfit on Tuesday only strengthening the growing sense of confidence in his pitch time.

Admittedly, there is no such thing as a nailed-on attacker in this City side and taking Guardiola’s teamsheet for granted is never a wise move – particularly on the brink of a hectic winter schedule.

For now, though, this may be as good as it gets.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

822 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Willian fouled, pen and red card

  2. sunzip14
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hazard to score 1-20 bet and he is taking pen now. Sad

    1. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      20:53. Does it count?

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Nope. Unlucky.

        1. sunzip14
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Really unlucky. Took long to take that Pen. I hope now chelsea go 2-0 in half time. better odds!

          1. dark91
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Congratulations

  3. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Willian 2 games ban incoming

    1. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Don't be so Niasse.

  4. shearer9
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I've seen people say on here that Sterling and B.Silva will be rotated with each other, but they both played yesterday. Does this mean Sane is likely to come in for Sterling, or do we just not know?

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sane will play most games, Sterling will play more than B.Silva, but less than Sane

    2. Pasqualinho
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      The latter, I’d say. If you have Man City players you need to be prepared for the odd benching. And they will be odd.

  5. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Goal Hazard. Nice choice of header pic in this article.

  6. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Classic Hazard pen, not looking at the ball. Brave.

  7. soup natsi
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I thought rules for red cards when penalty is also given were changed - yellow's more than enough, this just kills the game.

    1. Essem
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      The player has to make an honest attempt at geting the ball. If he doesn't, it's a red card if he prevents a clear goal scoring chance.

      1. soup natsi
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I know these rules - I thought it was changed because it's too harsh.

        1. Essem
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          That was the change. Earlier it didn't matter if the player tried to go for the ball. Now he gets away with a yellow if he does.

          1. soup natsi
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Ah ok, didn't know that thank you. I think it should be a red only if it's a violent conduct, otherwise it's a very disproportionate punishment.

  8. Vlad Tepes
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Why is Morata now playing?

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      he isn't playing?

      1. Fred54
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Think he meant *not.

    2. Vlad Tepes
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      not* 🙂

  9. Pierce34
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Time to sub Hazard, Antonio.

  10. Adzy
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A) vertonghen
    B) alonso
    C) mustafi
    D) maguire

    Which three to play this week?
    Playing 352 and happy with strikers/mids

    1. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      acb

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      AC

  11. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Eden warming up for the weekend, so glad I got him in last week prior to his haul

  12. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Would this be g2g?
    DDG
    Azpi Yedlin Otamendi
    Salah Silva Richarlison Choupo
    Kane Lukaku Abraham

    Elliot Dunk Ward Carroll

    0.9itb

  13. Jafalad
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Front 8:

    Erik, Richarl, RLC, Sane, Salah

    Kane, Vardy, Father Abrahams.

    Should I do Vardy and Erik to Morata and Pogwash this week or next week?

    Have 0.2 after these trades which I fear may disappear with incoming trades.

    As Eriksen has a plum fixture I am tempted to hold for now.

  14. Do I Not Like Orange
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    That Niasse ban has scuppered my masterplan for next week (Jesus/Richarlison/Jones > Niasse/Haz/Alonso for -4).

    Should I still stick with it and play RLC during the ban, or get Wilson/Murray instead and do without a Chelsea defender? My worry is that Niasse doesn't regain his place after the ban.

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Might not be a bad thing, wouldn't want rid of Jesus or Richarlison this weekend.

      1. Do I Not Like Orange
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        It's for next GW - don't particularly care for Richarlison's fixtures after Newcastle, and I expect Aguero to start the 2 home games.

        1. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Oh ok. It would only be a ban for one game then. Don't like advocating a hit involving an unavalible player but it's got a great upside.

    2. Sharkytect
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No ppint bringing in someome who won't play the next two games.

  15. Quinninho
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Probably been done to death by now but, Ibra or Lukaku? I’m really tempted by Ibra to free up the cash

    1. Forza Juventus
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Too early for Ibra, still a while before he gets consistent 90s i'd assume.

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ibra not going to start just yet

    3. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      The cross city version of Aguero/Jesus.

      1. Quinninho
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I’m having that dilemma too!!

  16. CloudSky
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Thats Hazards peno checked for this year, now I can sell him and not stress that much.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hes playing sensational mate and right up top! Don’t sell!

  17. b✪mber
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    This thought has been bugging me this entire day...

    Play with Kane in a 3-4-3 or with Hazard in a 3-5-2? I guess the answer would be clearer after this GW, but even though I was against the idea of dropping a big forward for Haz, now I'm starting to change my mind.

    1. Hedge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Probably Kane if you have Morata as well. I'm giving Kane another week

      1. b✪mber
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I got Kaku. My original plan was to drop Kaku and pick Kane going into GW15. Now I'm starting to think it's better to go Kaku > Niasse and RLC > Haz in GW14

        1. b✪mber
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Kaku+Morata that is*

  18. Forza Juventus
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero and Sterling owner. What to do?

    1. My Name Is Pepu
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I own Aguero and that gives me a lot of anxiety. Lol.

      That being said, if I owned Sterling, I wouldn't ditch him. He offers great value at that price.

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd hold onto both and accept the ridk of rotation. Rewards are great if they starting

  19. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Thinking of doing Jones > Monreal

    United have a few tough fixtures coming up and we don't know when Jones will be back

    1. Forza Juventus
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not a bad shout, Mustafi also worth a check, little goal threat and cheaper.

    2. Garth Marenghi
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I’m waiting til watford. Still good value and in tough games Utd just park the bus anyways

    3. My Name Is Pepu
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Go for Mustafi

    4. soup natsi
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      check arsenal's away record and fixtures first

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        If you look at their fixtures they are playing teams who don't score lots of goals

  20. Cesc's old mullet
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is David Luiz playing tonight in Champions League a sign that his alleged row with Conte is over and that he's back in contention for starts in PL now?

    1. soup natsi
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no it means he's now conte's alexander arnold

    2. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yep. Kills Christensen as an option.

      1. Cesc's old mullet
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Let's hope so.

        With Stones' and Jones' injuries and Niasse's suspension I have too many fires to put out

    3. Gideons Rolling Another One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      The row defo over, he's on the pitch.

    4. Bun Rab
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Him and Christensen to be rotated.

      "I think Christensen is playing very well but we have to play a lot of games, and we have to play every three days. We need all the players and to have different solutions [is good] - last season in this position I didn't have this opportunity."

      http://www.insidefutbol.com/2017/11/20/antonio-conte-indicates-chelsea-star-will-have-to-be-rotated-despite-superb-form/357074/

      1. Cesc's old mullet
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        As long as he's no longer out of the team, I'm ok with it.

        Like I said, too many fires to put out

  21. My Name Is Pepu
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Well, this game is soo fooking boring.

  22. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hazard amazing!

  23. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    G Will
    A Haz

  24. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    What a goal that is

  25. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Mariappa, Nailed?

    Considering Eriksen + Jones to Hazard and Mariappa. Next GW.

    1. Hedge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Def not nailed no. Might play some games

      1. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah, risky isn't it. Will have to find another way.

    2. My Name Is Pepu
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Just do Jones to someone decent around 4.5

      Don't get people selling Eriksen ahead of WBA, the kind of game I would captain him.

      1. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I said next GW. Cheers for thoughts though.

        1. My Name Is Pepu
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Fixtures after WBA are pretty juicy too. 🙂

          1. Gideons Rolling Another One
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Agreed, but I think there will be better options. Haz or Coutinho for example.

  26. Hedge
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero, TC, RLC > Hemed, Pogba, Sane (-4)?

    1. Freddo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hemed?

      1. Hedge
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Can only afford 4.9. Would swap to Niasse presuming his price drops in the next 2 weeks. Wouldn't play unless forced by injury

  27. Garth Marenghi
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is femenia out this week?

  28. F4L
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    This is Eden's garden and we're all just living in it

  29. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Eden assist 😎

  30. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Might just replace Jones, Go for Azpi or Mustafi?

    1. My Name Is Pepu
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mustafi