Scout Notes
10 February 2018 1740 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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A four-goal blast and the season’s top Gameweek score from Sergio Aguero lights up Man City’s 5-1 win over Leicester City, bringing joy and anguish to Fantasy managers far and wide.

What a difference a week makes.

Some 16.59% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers – close to a million overall – captained Sergio Aguero to a dispiriting two-point haul at Burnley last Saturday.

It was a decision compounded by Mohamed Salah’s double and 15 points the next day against Spurs.

Only 13.14% had handed the armband to the Egyptian, and it was clear that they weren’t going to make the same mistake when today’s deadline came around.

Salah is this Gameweek’s most-captained player, with 1,265,000+ (22.06%) hoping for big things from tomorrow’s trip to Southampton.

Some will have doubtless transferred their allegiance from Aguero, who was captained by 778,000 (13.56%) managers ahead of today’s outing.

Keeping faith in the City striker produced a season-best 21-point haul as he fired a second hat-trick in four Gameweeks – and his third of the season – in the demolition of the Foxes.

Salah is outstanding, but he’ll do well to get anywhere close to Aguero’s tally, which could be hugely significant for many overall rankings and mini-leagues.

Aguero has now scored nine goals in six Gameweeks and has 11 from his last five home matches.

Those home comforts are extreme – he’s scored 66 points in his last five matches at the Etihad Stadium, with a mere 16 from his previous five away fixtures.

Aguero is now up to 7.3 points per match, second only to that man Salah among outfield players, although his biggest haul arrives just as we’re forced to re-assess City’s assets.

Guardiola’s men now play three times before they resume Gameweek action – in Basel, at Wigan in the FA Cup and against Arsenal in the Carabao Cup final.

That not only offers the risk of injury and suspension, but there’s also the added scenario where if Wigan take City to a replay – not out of the question if Guardiola fields a second string XI – then the Gameweek 28 fixture with Arsenal will be postponed.

Aguero is already attracting big interest in the FPL market – he is second for transfers in currently – but, in truth, investing now is a risk.

The reality could be that his window may have passed as Guardiola indicated in Friday’s press conference that Gabriel Jesus might only be ten days from a return.

Certainly, having been pushed into six successive 90 minutes since Jesus’ injury at Crystal Palace, we can expect some rest for Aguero once the Brazilian returns. A rotation policy will likely resume, particularly if Aguero is seen as the favoured option for European ties.

De Bruyne & Sterling chip in

While Aguero dominated, the efforts of City’s key midfield assets should not be overlooked.

Raheem Sterling was the fourth most sold player ahead of the Gameweek, with 105,000+ managers moving him out.

He punished the doubters with a goal and has now produced a goal or an assist in eight of his last 10 starts.

Kevin De Bruyne, meanwhile, provided a hat-trick of assists, moving him to 16 for the season, which is four more than any other player.

He has 45 points from his last five home matches and his 13 points today was his eighth double-figure haul of the season, six of which have come at the Etihad.

The Belgian has managed just one goal across the last nine Gameweeks, but eight assists over that spell is a decidedly pleasant second prize for his 22.9% ownership.

The only dampener on the day was City’s defence, which continues to falter.

With just one clean sheet from their last six Gameweeks now, Nicolas Otamendi – the top owned defender in the game (31.3%) – is looking increasingly vulnerable.

His plight is not helped by the fact that he started his 15th successive match in all competitions today, with a rest surely beckoning soon.

Otamendi was sold by 50,000 this week, and those sales will likely pick up now the fixtures are stiffening, with Arsenal and Chelsea up next for Guardiola’s men.

Four in four for Vardy

Leicester briefly threatened to make a match of it when Jamie Vardy scored for the fourth successive Gameweek – the first time he’s managed that since his record 11-in-a-row spree from the Foxes’ title-winning year.

And Riyad Mahrez finally made an appearance following his transfer window shenanigans, starting on the bench before coming on after 61 minutes.

The Algerian has lost 469,000 owners since his non-transfer tantrum, but Leicester’s schedule is strong enough for him to start rebuilding bridges promptly.

The Foxes play only two of the top six over the remaining 11 matches, although they will miss Gameweek 31 if they can see off Sheffield United in the fifth round of the FA Cup.

  1. Rik Waller
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Have you ever sold a player that's just scored 4 goals, before? Weird feeling.

    1. Hibbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Wtf.

    2. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Nope but I'm probably soon to experience it, that or play an early wildcard to force them both in

    3. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Didn’t he get injured after scoring five vs Newcastle?

    4. Queens of the South Age
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Guy at top of my mini league sold him this week for Kane so missed out on the haul. He doesn't have Salah either so wondering how he even got to the top. I must be really bad this season.

    5. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Sold Morata before his hat trick earlier this season...infact did the same with Kane. Infact Kane's probably scored more goals when out of my team than in it.

  2. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Rival has 77 from 4!!!!!!!

    1. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Probably includes a 42 from 1

  3. Football Heaven
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    An anyone do worse than 24 (-4)?
    Expecting biggest red arrow ever.

  4. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Sell Otamendi to VVD now and save the drops?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Safer to wait and take .1 drop

      1. We Will Klopp you
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        This

  5. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Do we know if Ramsey and Mkhi will be back for the next game?

  6. Dybala10
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Otamendi and Lingard to who?

    Was thinking Maguire/Monreal & Mkhitaryan before but no idea now.

  7. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    46 and a red arrow. Annoying.

    1. Football Heaven
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I have 20. I have a few players to go but unless daniels can bang in a coupl I doubt I’ll do well

  8. Gimli son of Gloin
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Last minute swap from Hazard -> Aguero (c)

    Up to OR 342 😐
    Only down from here I guess.

  9. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Green arrow without Aguero and captain to play. Take that all day long.

    1. RubberDucky
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Must have some team

    2. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      36k to 76k. Not having Kun/KDB killed me. Never felt so sad about FPL.

      1. Football Heaven
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Likewise

      2. dark91
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I have seen a worse drop when dropped Kane the first time from 12k to around 100k in 2 weeks

      3. drughi
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I went the other way, from 87k to 27k. Hope that will cheer you up

      4. Ahtikullervo
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Guess You felt different week ago when they both nailed 2 points...

    3. Football Heaven
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Too late to get in Aguero now? Jesus is coming back but the form he’s on it’s too irresistible

      1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Incredibly difficult decision.

      2. Gimli son of Gloin
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Still think I'll get rid. Jesus coming back w/Champions League to factor in. Brighton is the only game I think I'd captain him in the next 7 and with forward rotation he mightn't even start the it.

        1. We Will Klopp you
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Good points, I'm leaning towards selling after I get those rises for Kane

      3. We Will Klopp you
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Tough to say, very tough, especially for those of us who are boxed into Kane/Kun or wildcard

      4. n-doggg
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Way too late. I’ll be getting him out in either this gw or next

      5. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Too late now in my view

    4. RubberDucky
        7 years, 11 months ago

        85pts

        With Salah DDG Haz and a Def to play.

        49 pts last GW and 84 GW before.

        Still 150kish. Taking out Kane before Christmas was a mistake I don't seem to be able to gain back from.

      • Pranav Santhosh
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        OR updated I've gone from 63k to 24k very happy considering next gameweek is ages away
        How has everyone else done?

        1. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          15k to 10k despite my 12 point hit, which is a relief.

          1. Pranav Santhosh
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            What were the moves made with the 12 point hit?

            1. Francescoli
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Ryan, Stones, Walcott and Son —> DDG, Smalling, Ramsey and Mhiki

              If Man Utd keep a clean sheet it will be a success. Captain Aguero saved today.

              1. Pranav Santhosh
                • 9 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Yeah United clean sheet and would defintely pay off

          2. Legomané
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Wowzers

        2. Blanka
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Well done.

          Up to 31K for me with Alonso, Jones, Salah & Wilson to go.

          1. Legomané
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            208k > 175k, with the same 4 to go, but Salah(c)

            Been an awful season due to injuries and pishy captain picks... hopefully a good run in can make up for it.

        3. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          8K down to 20K with 23 points

          1. Legomané
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            🙁

      • ★Kuntheman★
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Which combo is better?
        A) De Gea-Maguire-Chilwell
        B) De Gea-Jones-Chilwell

        Showed both combinations to give some context on the doubling up. LEI have better fixtures, MUN have the better bus.

        1. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          B

          1. ★Kuntheman★
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            I'm leaning that way but the fixtures are atrocious

        2. MTPockets
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Fixtures matter more for defs, so Maguire. Although he didn't look great today.

            1. ★Kuntheman★
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              In fairness very few teams look good against us

              1. MTPockets
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  True. Made to look quite lumbering.

            2. We Will Klopp you
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              B, Leicester will disappoint defensively, defo wouldn't double up

          • Francescoli
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            My hits have come off my overall rank already haven’t they?

            1. Epic Fail
              • 15 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              They will have now.

              1. Francescoli
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Cheers EF

          • Tmel
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Best defender to bring in for Ota? Reluctant to go for VVD as already have Robertson & Salah and would prevent a move for Firmino

            1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Wait for FA Cup results

          • Football Heaven
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Best mid for 8.4 or under? Thinking son because of fixtures

            1. Francescoli
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Yep he looked great against the Gunners

              1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
                • 9 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                No he didn’t

          • Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Double WH defence finally paid off.

            1. JONALDINHO
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Not when you bench them...

          • Patch
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Did Mee look worth it today, pretty good fixtures but I wonder if Lowton/ Long would equally sufficient

            1. We Will Klopp you
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Lowton yes, Long no (tark)

              1. Patch
                • 8 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Thanks a lot, who do you think poses a risk to Tark

                Unfortunately can't afford West Brom defenders...lol

                1. Patch
                  • 8 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  Sorry risk to Lowton?

                  1. We Will Klopp you
                    • 9 Years
                    7 years, 11 months ago

                    Bardsley but Dyche seems to be operating on a 'you get the jersey play well and you keep it' policy with his full backs

          • the snazzy viking
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Agüero scoring 4 is a good example of why I really hate this game sometimes, or practically all the time

            1. Football Heaven
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              ^this

              1. the snazzy viking
                • 9 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                So painful when these things happen..

                It feels as if my top 10k hopes have been ripped into shreds

                What makes it even more frustrating was that I was 19k in GW16, and now I’m 130k 🙁

          • Football Heaven
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            I didn’t realise how many people in my ml had penalvojevic

            1. Epic Fail
              • 15 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              How many?

              1. Football Heaven
                • 9 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                4 of 6 ahead of me. Haven’t checked below

          • Football Heaven
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            this gw has literally depended on having Aguero or kdb

            1. Queens of the South Age
              • 7 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              You mean the 1st day of the gameweek has. I've still got Salah (c), Sanchez and Alonso to come. Could still be a twist.

          • Dybala10
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Best midfielder for 9.3 or under? Own Sterling, Walcott, Lingard & Richarlison.

            1. Patch
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Thinking Arnie, Mili, Shaqiri

            2. MTPockets
                7 years, 11 months ago

                mane?

                1. n-doggg
                  • 13 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  This

              • drughi
                • 16 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                eriksen

            3. drughi
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Is double united defence (DDG,Jones) worth keeping ? tough fixtures and no gw 31

            4. George James
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              So.... point prediction for Mr Salah tomorrow?

              1. adidasOriginals
                • 10 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                6pts

              2. drughi
                • 16 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                2

            5. adidasOriginals
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Aguero is a Lord

            6. hnmfm
              • 13 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Aguero (C) propelled me to 9k in overall rankings, praise Allah.

            7. jimmy.floyd
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Best replacement for Ota?

              1. hnmfm
                • 13 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                I'd get vertongen

              2. adidasOriginals
                • 10 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                a cheapie!

            8. aleksios
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              26 pts with 6 still to go..ML leader is now 80p far.Do i still have hope?

              1. adidasOriginals
                • 10 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                depends on chips and WC left?

              2. mir
                • 16 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Of course just under a third of season left. Chips in hand?

            9. the snazzy viking
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Next year will be my year..

              Such a rollercoaster this year in FPL but one that mainly just keeps going downhill. Hard to see light at the end of the tunnel but in the end, this game is just a bit of fun and it’s based around luck, so shouldn’t be too hard on myself.

              That being said, my failure from being 19k in GW16 to 130k this GW is laughable 🙂

              1. George Sillett
                • 10 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Heard this kind of stuff so many times previously.

                1. the snazzy viking
                  • 9 Years
                  7 years, 11 months ago

                  And it’s people like you who urge me to quit the game as I clearly have no place here even with all the advice I give to others 🙁