Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
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Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. chelseabrad
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    G2G? 0ft 0.1itb

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo Alonso
    Salah Bilva Raph Saka
    Ronaldo Antonio King

    (Foster Livra Brownhill Duffy)

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      g2g

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

    3. BremerHB
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yep!

  2. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Please someone, help me out here.. what the hell do I do? Might only field 9 at this rate..

    Sanchez
    TAA - Rudiger - Cancelo - James
    Salah - Jota - Bernardo
    Antonio - Dennis - Broja

    Steele - ESR - Son - Lamptey

    1. veedub1989
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Take two hits or play nine.

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Already taken a -4, I could do a -8 and do Sanchez > DDG so I have a guaranteed 10? 11 Potentially with Jota/ESR

        1. Andy_Social
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          You'll get 10 outfield players.
          GK - would you want to hold Sanchez going forward? If so, keep.
          Do you want DDG long term? If so, buy.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No info on budget or FTs. Sell Son and maybe do a GK change.

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        1.8m in the bank, 0FT left as already taken a -4.. stupidly made the mistake of doing that before all of the news came out.

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Sanchez only misses 1 game so could keep unless you want someone like DDG long term. I would lose Son since he takes up a lot of your budget and could miss 2 games. A replacement mid has a higher ceiling than the GK change

    3. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Just do the keeper & hope either ESR or Jota play.

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah at least then I'll be fielding 10, which isn't horrendous..

        1. veedub1989
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Arguably better than fielding 11 with hits if players don't return. There will be plenty of teams taking hits this week so minimising this should put you on a better footing.

          1. Kodap
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            -8 though, to do Sanchez > DDG

            1. veedub1989
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              But at risk of Man Utd not playing. Why not get Ramsdale in? Failing that, don't play a keeper (Arsenal's record against Soton isn't great - granted, form is in Arsenal's favour).

  3. Cali
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Captain Ronaldo or Salah?

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Salah

    3. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Salah Safe if good rank
      Ronaldo puntier if chasing

  4. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start two:

    A: Jota
    B: ESR
    C: Mbeumo

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      AC

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers 69

    2. Steiger
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      BC

  5. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Please, friends:

    Ramsdale
    TAA, Cancelo, James
    Salah, Foden, Jota, Bowen
    Antonio, Wilson, King

    Dias, Livra, Luiz

    1. Hold ft?
    2. Good to go — team and bench order?

    1. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Certainly in one of the best spots I've seen. Hold and Dias for Jota if he's out is a luxury and a half

      1. sirmorbach
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thank you very much indeed, sir!

    2. chelseabrad
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes and yes, only possible change I'd make is Livra > Dalot incase Jota/Foden don't play

      1. chelseabrad
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Just saw you have Dias on the bench, should be g2g in that case

        1. sirmorbach
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Thank you mate, I appreciate it!

  6. WHITE HORSES
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A. Raphinha > Bowen
    B. Jota > Bowen / City MID
    C. Jimenez > King

    At the moment on A..
    If Jota out for few weeks, so next week maybe Jota > Foden, if he will be fit or Jimenez > King.
    Also have Galagher but it's -0.1 from Galagher > Bowen.

  7. GoonerGirl
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start Jota or ESR?

  8. veedub1989
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    In the words of Craig David...fill me in: why are people looking to move Jota on GW17? Is Firmino back?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      knock from last game and hasn't trained so far this week. He could train today. Firmino is back training with the team, too early to start imo

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      50% muscle injury

  9. Cheeky Onion
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed.....On WC with 0.0 ITB

    DDG
    TAA - Cancelo - James - Dalot - White
    Salah - Jota - Silva - Bowen
    Ronaldo

    Gunnarsson - Gray - Dennis - Locadia

    Not sure about United triple up and also what to do with Jota?

    1. chelseabrad
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I like it, could always switch Jota for Mount?

  10. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Rams
    Taa can rudi regi (lampty)
    Jota esr son salah bsilva
    Denis (watkins locadia)

    Which. ?

    A) regi son -4 to dalot rash/mount/bowen (gw17 jota-bowen gw18 locadia-antonio)
    B) jota son locadia -8 to ronaldo bowen 4.5 mid.
    C) jota son regi -8 to rash/mount bowen dalot.

  11. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which transfer would you prioritise this gw?

    A. Sanchez > ddg
    B. Jota > Bowen

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  12. DB_00
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    The thing about Jota is he could miss the next two and then depending on Spurs’ covid situation, have a blank the gw after. Might be time to sell for a city mid

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Relax first

      1. DB_00
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I’m not selling him, just thinking out loud

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      We don't have enough info. Klopp said there is a possibility of him training today suggesting it is minor.

      1. DB_00
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        He hasn’t trained all week and wasn’t in the squad midweek, so clearly it’s something. My guess is he gets benched this week. Don’t want a cameo if that’s the case

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I believe he either starts or doesn' t play at all. I personally have two City mids, but nothing wrong in selling him for one and getting him back for another player later.

    3. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fair point. Contemplating shifting him to Mount or Gundo for a hit

      1. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Plus, Firmino is on his way back

  13. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would have done this in a heartbeat when my rank was in the 800K's but now I'm up to 2406 and I agonize over every point., I'm already on a -4 so would it be crazy to do Toney to Ronaldo for another -4 or just wait until next week. Pretty sure I have 11 playing this week and have Livra on the bench.

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Toney to Ronaldo is worth -4 imo.

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play your game. It got where you are. Should Ronaldo haul, you find everyone who has him getting ahead of you and you can see big red arrow. You cannot be scared of playing, or you will find yourself chasing again.

      1. Disco Stu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. Just pulled the trigger

  14. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed

    Ramsdale
    Trent • Cancelo • Dias • Alonso
    Salah • Son • Foden • Jota
    Antonio • King
    (Foster / White / Brownhill / Davis) 1FT 1.4ITB

    Son and Jota -> Mane and Bowen(-4)? Or do I just do Son to Bowen for free and risk Jota. I’m just worried about his mins with Firmino back

    1. Gross Blank Point
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Firmino wont be back for long, he's made of glass this season, would not be surprised at all to see him pick up another strain or knock in his comeback games

  15. akhilrajau
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Worth to hold jotta in wc team or mount instead of him

    1. chelseabrad
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Mount imo but it's close

      1. akhilrajau
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        De gea, Benchman
        TAA, James, Cancelo, White, Williams
        Salah, Jota, BSilva, Bowen, Brownhill
        CR7, King, Dennis
        Bank: 0.1m
        Which you suggest in this

        A. Jota, Brownhill, Dennis -> Mount, Gray, Broja
        B. Jota, Brownhill, Dennis -> Mount, Saka, Locardia
        C. Jota -> mount only

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          C allows you to get Jota back easily if necessary

          1. akhilrajau
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            K gor it. Price.chanve may affect but good one thank you

  16. BHA_Seagull
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Jota flag got me thinking.
    Jimenez on my bench but wanted to roll my FT for next week.
    4.2 ITB
    Plan was to use 2 FT's to upgrade to C Ron next week
    Stick with original plan?
    Ramsdale
    Rudi - Cancelo - TAA - White
    Salah (c) - Bowen - Mount - Jota
    Wilson - Dennis
    BENCH Sanchez - Jimenez - Biss - Duffy
    4.2 ITB 1 FT
    Cheers

  17. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Can't see Vardy starting this week after his gruelling 90 yesterday.
    Cancelo or James Captain this week, tough call.

    1. putana
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      they need the win he will start

      1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        He's like 38 isn't he?

        1. Philosopher's Stones
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Nah, 37 years, 11 months and 360 days

          1. Philosopher's Stones
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Seems the beer is starting to talk lol

          2. Zimo
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            That's 38

            1. Philosopher's Stones
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Good maths

      2. Matjes_taet
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        ..and he will have a full rest next week.

  18. I Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    To take hits or not to take hits. Weighing up Sanchez + Raphinha -> DDG + Bowen for -8.

    1. Kodap
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm swaying more towards doing Sanchez > DDG for a -8

      1. I Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Surely a good chance the hit pays off.

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same dilemma. Leaning towards getting ddg and playing raph. Could change though

  19. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Okay, I'll try again... 0FT as already taken a -4 hit this week, got 1.8m in the bank, do I take a -8 to do Sanchez > DDG and field 10/11?

    Sanchez
    TAA - Rudiger - Cancelo - James
    Salah - Jota - Bernardo
    Antonio - Dennis - Broja

    Steele - ESR - Son - Lamptey

    1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If that's a long term move 100% the perfect week to do it.

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah it is, United's fixtures look good and their defence has significantly improved already under Ralf

    2. putana
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      it's a tough call. im debating whether to do it for -4.

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        It is still -4 for that transfer. I have also taken hits earlier this season. Should I start avoiding them for one specific transfer? Why?

  20. LABILLEPOGBATHEGOAT
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    who would you bench:
    a. mbuemo
    b. dennis
    c. gallagher

    1. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

  21. George James
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Already on below team for -4.

    Best option?

    A) Son >> Mount -8

    B) leave it and have Livra and Sissoko to save the day from the bench?

    1. George James
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sa
      TAA • James • Alonso
      Salah • Jota • Bilva • Son*
      Watkins • Antonio • King

      Steele / Livramento / Sissoko / Williams*

  22. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Will we get any City training footage from today before deadline?

  23. BrockLanders
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is ESR out??

  24. fricky_
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    DDG
    Dalot Cancelo James TAA
    Salah Jota Bowen Gallagher
    Jesus Vardy
    Benteke - Sissoko

    Took the hit to get DDG and Dalot in. Really just hope Jesus plays now

  25. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Teams a mess
    Which 2 out of these 6 would you get out first on a hit?
    Reguilon* Johnson*
    Jota* Foden* ESR* Bissouma*

  26. Mattdrid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is Fab Fab?

    Keepers… what to do. Have Sanchez, rivals generally have ramsdale (along with the same 4 defenders as the rest of the world), so I’m avoiding him, can’t really see a better option though.

    Not getting de gea, Guaita or a premium.

    Fabianksi has good fixtures and same price as Rams, but no love on here? Under the radar or just not a good move?

    Feels like zero vs Fab -4 (which is technically minus 2 if he concedes and makes less than 3 saves).

    Hit the button?

  27. mcginnntonic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Give me the likelihood of the below starting:

    A) ESR
    B) Jota

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      80
      20

  28. Dexters Laboratory
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench 1 of:
    A) Jota (AVL)
    B) ESR (SOU)
    C) King (bre)
    D) Alonso (LEE)

    Currently on B

    1. chelseabrad
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  29. El_Gigante
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    WC team, 0.0itb

    Ramsdale
    TAA | James | Cancelo
    Salah | Bowen | Bernardo | Mount
    Ronaldo | Antonio | King

    (Gunnarsson | Dalot | Gilmour | Amartey)

    Good to go?

  30. JollyGoodYellows
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is this team worth a last minute WC?

    Sanchez Steele
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso Livra
    Salah Bernardo ESR Jota Gilmour
    Antonio Vardy Dennis

    1. BremerHB
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Absolutely not!

      1. JollyGoodYellows
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers. Haven't seen the news on Jota and ESR, are they likely to start?