Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
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Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Am I G2G?

    DDG
    TAA - Rudiger - James - Cancelo
    Salah (c) - ESR - Bernado
    Antonio - Dennis - Broja

    Steele - Jota - Son - Lamptey

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good. Start Jota imo

    2. Tanaka'd
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'd start Jota over Broja just in case

  2. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Son an Toney out for king an bilva -4
    Leave jota an Cornett and just hope?
    Cheers

    1. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      looks good

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks good luck

  3. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Just sold Kane and Raphinha only to realize my bench is ESR, Brownhill and Reguilon with Jota on the field hahah

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Will i be the one to tell you that you should have kept Raphina?

      1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Haha hope not! Man they are decimated in the front plus that schedule is... Not sure tho haha

  4. storr84
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Team, thoughts on the below?

    Ramsdale Foster
    Reguilon TAA Cancelo Livramento James
    ESR Jota Raphina Salah Brownhill
    Vardy Antonio Dennis

    1FT 1.4itb

    Reguilon and Jota out, ESR a doubt?
    I think I'm going to bench Livramento, Jota and Brownhill (in that order)

    A, Vardy, Regulion to Ronaldo and Dalot for a hit? (Bench Jota, start Ronaldo, Antonio and Dennis)
    B, Reguilon to Dalot, no hits?
    C, Something else?

  5. Manani
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    selling Vardy to free up fund to upgrade my mid

    A. Vardy -> Watkins (play Raphinna this week)
    B. Vardy -> King (play King this week)

    1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A Watkins will become the new Bowen next week.

  6. George James
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Son >>

    A) Rashford -4

    B) Mount -4

    C) Play Livramento

    1. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  7. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On WC- Jota > Mount ITB to get him back again?

    A. Yes
    B. Keep Jota (play king instead)

    1. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. storr84
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  8. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    No cash ITB and already used my FT.

    A - Take -8 hit and do Son & Sanchez > Bowen & Ramsdale
    B - Just take -4 hit and do Son > Bowen and go without GK
    C - No hits, let Gilmour come in for Son and have no GK

    Sanchez
    TAA - James - Cancelo - Livra
    Salah (c) - Son - Jota - Bilva
    Antonio - Wilson

    Foster - Gilmour - Duffy - Perica

  9. West Hammered
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale Foster
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Salah Son* Jota* Raph* Saka
    Wilson* Antonio Obafemi*
    2FT 0,5ITB

    A) Son Wilson Obafemi to Gilmour Ronaldo King -4 (Means I have to play Jota/Raphina)
    B) Son Raph to Mount/Bowen & Bernado (Can bench Jota & no hit but makes it difficult to bring Ronaldo in next week, also leaves non playing Obafemi in squad)
    C) Other suggestion?

  10. lordkippe
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bad season. Please help me out with my bad team. Only 1 FT and .2 ITB. Maybe I should take a hit or two. Any suggestions ?

    Fernandez

    TAA - Cancelo - Alonso - Semedo ( Reguillon)

    Salah - Raphinha - Zaha ( Cornet, Allan)

    Ronaldo - King - Jimenez

    A: Semedo & Jimenez > Dalot & Antonio -4
    B : Cornet & Semedo > Bowen & Dalot - 4
    C : Jimenez & Cornet > Pukki & Gundogan -4
    D : Other suggestions are very welcome

    1. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A&B combine -8

  11. lewis274
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    for a -4?

    raphinha to bowen
    or
    vardy to ronaldo?

  12. OverTinker
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best differential captain this GW
    1. Ronaldo
    2. James
    3. Alonso
    4. TAA
    5. Cancelo

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      1 - 1st time in weeks I'm moving from Salah

  13. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is this worth a WC?

    A. -4 team will likely end up with Alonso, White (for Jota), and Raphinha.

    B. WC would be no hit with James, Bowen and Bernardo.

  14. Paganoi
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sigh....chasing in my ML, only 9 players available in my whole squad this week and I've already taken a -4. Is a -8 worth it?

  15. 420king
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What time is Liverpool training today?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wondered the same

  16. ArseneAllTheWay
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale (Foster)
    TAA, James, Alonso, Cancelo (Liv)
    Salah, Jota*, ESR*, Bilva (Raph)
    Vardy, Antonio (Dennis)

    0.0 itb, how do I get in Ronnie?

    Vardy > Cr7 & who to downgrade?

  17. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hows this looking for this GW. 0.8 1FT

    Ramsdal
    TAA Cancelo Dalot James
    Salah ESR Jota
    Wilson Ronaldo Antonio
    Livramento-Brownhill-Bissouma

    Can I hold and rely on bench or does something need addressing?

    Thanks guys 🙂

  18. Mind över Mata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Worth taking a hit to do Raph -> 7.5m mid (-4)

    A) Bowen
    B) Mount
    C) Gundo

    Ramsdale
    Cancelo, TAA, James, Alonso
    Salah (c), Jota*, ESM*
    Ronny, Antonio, King

    4.0; Raph, Livra, Brownhill

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C if any but I wouldn't take a hit

      1. Mind över Mata
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

    2. CRAZY TRAIN
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Shame you got priced out of a swap with Bilva. I think I'd stick if it were me

    3. Definitely not sleeping
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keep Raph for Chelsea fixture.

  19. HD7
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Cornet owners?

    Are you selling or saving him for next GW with Watford?

  20. Brunsvigeren
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So, -4 here, and play Cancelo instead of Jota, I only have 10 players, if Jota is out, bench is doomed 🙁 Or some other ideas? ranked 170k

    5,6 ITB already made 2 FT, Kane, Raphina to Dennis and Bilva


    TAA - James - Rúdiger
    Saka - Salah - Mbuemo - Jota - Bilva
    Antonio - Dennis

    Steer - Duffy - Requilon - Richardson

  21. winchester
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Will spurs play next gw? Is it worth to transfer out son now?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Depends how much you have tied up in him imo

      1. winchester
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Got him at 10,3m. And i guess he will drop?

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would get rid, that game probably gets cancelled as well imo

  22. lewis274
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    for a -4? i

    raphinha to bowen
    or
    vardy to ronaldo??

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      The latter one

  23. CRAZY TRAIN
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Team check guys, G2g?

    Ramsdale
    Cancello TAA Rudi Alonso
    Salah Bilva Raph Gallagher
    Vardy Dennis
    (Broja Livra Brownhill)

    0FT's and 4.8 itb

  24. TVPlugSockets
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which option is better?

    Vardy/Toney/Jota > Ronaldo/King/Bowen (-4)

    Or

    Toney/Jota > King/Silva (free)

    Just feeling a bit scared about no Ronaldo this week, but need a hit to fit him in

  25. tinear
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sanchez*
    TAA James Cancelo Livra
    Salah Gallagher Bilva Jota*
    Antonio Dennis

    Foster* Brownhill Kane* Veltman*
    0ft
    Would you play this 10 or take hits?

  26. Return of the FF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Not fun this week, is it!? Thoughts on this please?

    A. Semedo to TAA -4
    B. Raph to Bilva
    C roll

    Bear in mind I also own ESR, Jota and Raphina. My bench opponents mean I need to play the above 3 as well, unless I take a hit.

  27. ChampChomp
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any opinions on who to get in for Reguillon?
    A) Tomiyasu 4.7m
    B) Shaw 5.1m
    C) White 4.4m
    D) Matip 4.9m
    E) Maguire 5.4m
    F) Someone else for 5.4m or under

  28. Fergymac
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is it too risk (1 point cameo) starting Jota and ESR? Have ASM and Gallagher on bench

  29. MikeS
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any of these worth a -4 gentlemen?

    A. Jota to Bowen or mount
    B. ESR to Bowen or mount
    C. Scarlett to king

  30. smix
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Panicked & got Vardy in. Is he expected to start ?

    1. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No guarantee, played 90 mins yesterday

    2. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't count on it.

    3. HammersXI
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm even considering cutting him short for Ronaldo in a -4 move.. Wanted him out next GW anyways