Spot the Differential
13 January 2022 544 comments
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Double Gameweek 22 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brighton and Hove Albion and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

MARC CUCURELLA

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: CRY + CHE | lei | – | wat | BUR

Spaniard Marc Cucurella (£5.1m) has made a real impact at Brighton and Hove Albion since his summer transfer from Getafe.

Across his 16 Premier League starts, the attack-minded defender is averaging 4.1 points per match, a team-leading total.

During that time, amongst all defenders, only Joao Cancelo (£7.0m), Trent Alexander-Arnold (£8.4m) and Reece James (£6.2m) have produced more final-third touches, whilst he also sits in the top 10 for crosses and expected assists (xA). Notably, he’s a bit of a BAP-magnet, too, sitting joint-eighth overall for bonus points in 2021/22.

The Double Gameweek 22 matches are far from perfect but both opponents – Crystal Palace and Chelsea – have allowed more crosses from their right-flank than the left (198/176 and 170/152 respectively) to date, with the Blues’ split more significant when zoning in on the last six matches – 49/28. That’s encouraging for Cucurella’s small army of owners, who’s delivery from wide areas is one of his main strengths. 

Brighton’s defensive form is also worth touching on here, as Graham Potter’s side have now kept four clean sheets at the Amex this season, conceding just nine goals in as many games.

Meanwhile, if you can afford to bench Cucurella for his Gameweek 24 blank, it’s worth noting his fixtures to follow, which includes back-to-back matches against Watford (a), Burnley (h), Aston Villa (h) and Newcastle United (a).

Cucurella has been one of Brighton’s players of the season so far, and could be an effective differential for Double Gameweek 22 and beyond.

LEANDRO TROSSARD

  • FPL ownership: 1.8%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: CRY + CHE | lei | – | wat | BUR

Staying with Brighton, another differential worth considering is Leandro Trossard (£6.1m).

The Belgian has performed well this season, but in Fantasy terms, it has been a little underwhelming, with just four goals and one assist across his 18 Premier League appearances.

However, his most recent strike against Brentford signalled an upturn in form for the Seagulls, which has seen them beat Thomas Frank’s side and Everton, whilst also taking a deserved point from Chelsea.

As a result, Graham Potter’s side now sit ninth in the table, with six wins, nine draws and only four losses.

For Trossard, he can be found in just 1.8% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads ahead of Double Gameweek 22, which sees Brighton play at home twice, facing Crystal Palace and Chelsea. That’s important, too, given that he has posted team-leading totals at the Amex for goal attempts, shots in the box, created chances, penalty area touches and expected goal involvement (xGI).

In fact, across the season, amongst all players, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m), Cristiano Ronaldo (£12.5m) and Raphinha (£6.5m) have attempted more shots on home turf, though we should point out that just under half have been from range.

Tactically, Trossard usually starts off the left, but mainly occupies more central zones due to Brighton’s reliance on their wing-backs to provide the width. Because of that, he is always heavily involved in the final third, and a lot of the time, is asked to get in behind the oppositions defence.

All things considered, that makes Trossard one of the better midfield options in Double Gameweek 22.

PATSON DAKA

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: bur + TOT | BHA | liv | WHU | wol

In the absence of Jamie Vardy (£10.4m) and Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.9m), Patson Daka (£7.1m) will surely be tasked with leading the Leicester City line in Double Gameweek 22.

The Zambian, who was passed fit by Brendan Rodgers in Thursday’s press conference, was brought to the King Power Stadium for a reported fee of £27m in the summer, after hitting 27 goals in 28 Austrian Bundesliga appearances for Red Bull Salzburg in 2020/21.

His Premier League minutes have been limited since, though it is worth noting that he has made a real impact when on the pitch, producing two goals and three assists in just 286 minutes. During that time, he is averaging 2.28 shots in the box per 90 minutes (p90), whilst his 0.54 xGI p90 is a team-leading total.

Meanwhile, Daka’s UEFA Europa League form has been equally impressive, too, having bagged five goals from six appearances, including four in just one match against Spartak Moscow back in October.

With three players at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), plus an extensive injury list, Leicester’s squad is stretched ahead of Double Gameweek 22. However, Rodgers today provided positive updates on Luke Thomas (£4.3m), Caglar Soyuncu (£4.9m) and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£4.4m), plus Daka of course, which suggests they will be ready on Saturday, when they take on a Burnley side that has failed to win a single league match since October.

With five attacking returns from seven Premier League appearances so far, Daka will now be looking to add to his tally against Burnley and Tottenham Hotspur, and could be a nice differential pickup for those on the lookout for a new forward.

544 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. PretzleDuckUSA
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    thoughts on wood?
    should i bring him in if wilson is out

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      No

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      No

  2. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    If ronaldo back in training surely worth getting?

  3. james 101
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    De Gea ²
    Alonso ² TAA Dier ² James ²
    Maddison ² Jota Bowen Mount ²
    Ronaldo ² Dennis ²

    (Steel Martinelli Watkins Cancelo)

    Would you:

    A. take a hit to swap James out for someone this week? Eg another Spurs defender.

    B. Play Martinelli and worry about James next week

    1. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      What is Cancelo doing so far down that bench?

      1. james 101
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 24 days ago

        He’s just chilling.

    2. PAs lag
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      James> Reg...

    3. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      C. Play Cancelo/Watkins and worry about James next week

      1. Devos
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 24 days ago

        Read the article and go James > Cucu

        1. james 101
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 24 days ago

          Now you’ve said that do I still need to read the article?

    4. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Bench James. Start Cancelo. City are going to spank Chelsea. Also don't bring in Spurs assets their games are awful after GW22.

      1. james 101
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 24 days ago

        You don’t see Chelsea getting even one?

  4. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Current team (got both FH intact) DGW players in Caps
    0,1m in bank and 1 FT

    DE GEA
    Cancelo Trent REGUILON (Livramento BJohnson)
    SON Jota Bernardo Foden Bowen
    Antonio RONALDO (Gelhardt)

    What would you do?

    A. Free hit
    B. Son and Gelhardt to Maddi and Dennis for a hit (bench Bernardo)
    C. Something else

    Thanks.!

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      B

    2. PAs lag
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      B for me

  5. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Rank them in order of giving preference to start!

    A. Cancelo
    B. Bernardo
    C. Foden

    1. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      CAB

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      C b a

    3. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      ACB

    4. PAs lag
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      C

      1. PAs lag
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 24 days ago

        Cab

    5. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Cheers everyone

    6. aitman_richard@yahoo.co.uk
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Abc

  6. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Which would u do for -4pts? (have Kane)

    a) Antonio, Son -> CR7, Maddison
    b) Son, JWP -> Jota, Maddison
    c) just Son-> Jota/Madd

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      B

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      B looks best because of the people you're selling

  7. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Still no news/ rumour/ tweet regarding Reguilon?

  8. Beautiful Game
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Does any of the below transfers make sense?

    1) Watkins -> Ronaldo (-4)
    2) Watkins -> Kane(-4)
    3) Watkins -> Dennis (-4)
    4) Antonio -> Ronaldo (-4)
    5) Antonio -> Kane(-4)
    6) Antonio -> Dennis (-4)

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      1, 2, 4, 5 are justifiable
      I'm likely to do 1

    2. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Villa might have a dgw next gw so i would keep Watkins.

    3. PAs lag
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      No

    4. fplgaruda
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      It's confusing

  9. JollyGoodYellows
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Is this worth a FH or should I do Salah + Son + Broja > Maddison + Moura + Ronaldo (-8)

    DDG Sanchez
    TAA Cancelo Regulion Dalot Lowton
    Salah Jota Son Bowen Gray
    King Antonio Broja

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      I'd take the –8, or maybe just Salah + Broja to Maddison + Ronaldo if you can afford

  10. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Would you free hit this? 3 players with a double. I have both free hits available.

    Sanchez
    TAA Dawson Cancelo
    Raph Bowen Gray Jota
    Antonio Ronaldo Dennis

    DDG Jansson Keane Son

    I have 1 FT & 0.3 itb.

    1. Bunk Moreland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      I wouldn't, you are already benching a guy who plays Norwich. There will be more upside later. Just shift Son and you are good imo.

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      No. Antonio to Dennis maybe?

    3. Ephurion
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Keep. Imo Ronaldo + Dennis/king and another 2 DGW'ers for FH is a surefire keep as longs as the SGW'ers have good fixtures, as Antonio, Bowen, Jota and TAA and Dawson has.

      1. Ephurion
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 24 days ago

        For free, not FH 😀

  11. KieranKA
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Thoughts on this team?

    Sánchez // Foster
    Trent Cancelo Reguilón // Coufal Livramento
    Jota Bernardo Maddison Bowen // Brownhill
    Ronaldo (C) Antonio King (V)

    Transfers: Salah + Watkins → Maddison + Ronaldo (–4)
    Remaining funds: 3.9

  12. F4L
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Is it stupid to try and keep hold of Son? would just want him back in GW 24 anyways

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Getting rid. His value will plummet.

    2. Bunk Moreland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Sell, because you never know with these injuries. It may easily be gw25 or 26 before he returns.

    3. F4L
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      cheers both

  13. Boomerang V
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Brazilian players called for national duty on Jan 27th and Feb 1st:

    Alisson (Liverpool), Ederson (Manchester City)
    Emerson Royal (Tottenham), Alex Telles (Man United);
    Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal), Thiago Silva (Chelsea);
    Fabinho (Liverpool), Fred (Manchester United), Philippe Coutinho (Aston Villa); Gabriel Jesus (Manchester City), Raphinha (Leeds)

  14. Bobby Digital
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Got rid of Salah for 12.8m and now he will drop to 12.7m... cha-ching$.

  15. Firminooooo
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Play Foden or Antonio?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Tonio

  16. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Ideas on this lot?

    DDG*
    TTA Cancelo Alonso* (Johnson Livra)
    Son# Salah# Jota Bowen Bilva
    Dennis Antonio Locadia#

    1 FT, 1.9 in bank

    Thinking -8 for Son, Salah and Locadia out for 3 DGWers & bench Bilva
    Would have 29.7 to spend currently.

    Cheers on any ideas.

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Kane, Maddison & a United punt

  17. HD7
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Wondering who to get in for Watkins:
    Ronaldo or Dennis?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Dennis

    2. mdm
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Dennis

  18. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    How many DGWers are folk hoping to have for 22??

    - I currently have 5 (Was 6 until Sonny messed things up).
    - Also have TAA, Jota, Bowen as SGWers who I am happy to play.
    - I am in the select few that still own Salah and he is going to be my player out this gw... so for a hit I can get this team;

    DDG
    trent - BAVIES - LOWTON - laporte
    LOOKMAN - jota - bowen
    CR7 - KANE - KING

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Only DDG Maddison and Dennis for me.

  19. Snoop Udogie Dogg
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Is it safe to make my transfers now or are there likely to be more new flags between now and tomorrow?

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Wait

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Arsenal will play Pool tonight

  20. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    If you have Dennis who to get ?
    A- King
    B- Daka

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      B

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Daka unless you need the money

    3. mdm
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      A

  21. JBG
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Really need some advice on my team... What to do?

    Ramsdale-4.0
    TAA-Cancelo-Dawson-Livra-Duffy
    Son-Bowen-Jota-Ødegaard-D.Luiz
    Antonio-DCL-CR

    3.3itb 1ft. Will most likely (C) CR. Not against doing -4 or -8. But to which players? And who do I take out?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Odegaard to Maddison

      1. JBG
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 24 days ago

        And keep Son on the bench for 3GWs?

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 24 days ago

          Oh missed Son. My bad. Do Son to a dgwer then.

          1. JBG
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 24 days ago

            Yeah ofc but who haha? Maddison the obvious one, but I can't take another postponement in the middle of a DGW.

            1. Bobby Digital
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 24 days ago

              I'm doing the Son -> Maddison move tonight after the Carabap Cup game.

  22. Donster
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Bench 2.
    A: Dalot
    B:Cancelo
    C: Foden
    D: Kean

    1. mdm
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      B C

  23. Mcgugan
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Free hit:

    DDG

    TAA, Reguillon, Rudiger

    Mount, Maddison, Fernandes, Moura

    Ronaldo, King, Daka.

    Bench all cheap but playing.

    Suggestions? Main players I am unsure on are Mount and Daka.

    1. Ron_Swanson
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      I’m going to bring in Daka if that helps

    2. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Mount+Reguilon -> Jota + defender you can rely on

      1. Mcgugan
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Who is a defender you can rely on?

  24. yanky
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    a) best Reece James replacement? Royal/Lamptey? someone else?
    b) Should I start Dalot or Martinelli? is Dalot fit?

  25. offspinnersinahurry
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Trossard, Jorginho or Kovacic please for this gameweek , reasons would be a bonus

  26. donbagino
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Taa, Cancelo, Keane, Duffy (dgw)
    D. Luiz, B.Silva, Bowen
    Watkins, Kane (dgw), Antonio

    bench: Son, ESR, Livra (all likely no to play/not to start)

    a) Son --> Maddison (FT)
    b) Son, Watkins --> Maddison, CR7/Dennis/King (-4)
    c) other

    My first idea was b) but Watkins may get dgw soon. What's your opinion?

  27. F4L
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Looking back at past Leicester fixtures, Daka is ahead of Iheanacho in the pecking order isn't he? Either being the one to start if Vardy is absent, or the one to come off the bench late on ahead of Iheanacho.

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Didn't Nachos travel to AFCON?

      1. F4L
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 24 days ago

        yeah yeah just if getting Daka this week I would want to keep until Vardy is back (which is a while yet); just would hope that when Iheanacho comes back Daka is still the one starting

        1. JBG
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 24 days ago

          Ah I see, but yeah looked like Daka was ahead of him yes.

  28. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Thoughts on Robbo, TAA, Jota triple up now? And shifting Jota to Salah when Salah is back?

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      I have TAA & Jota. Planning to get Robbo in!

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      it's a good shout, Robertson was really starting to pick up attacking wise before the red card

    3. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 24 days ago

      Finally. Wondered why nobody was suggesting Robbo, low ownership easily explained by Trent at start of season when we have no budget, but now there's no excuse now.

      I'm planning to do this exact set of moves.

  29. carbonv1
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    Sanchez/Steele
    Cancelo-Dier-TAA-Henry-Livra
    Bowen-BSilva-Son-Jota-Gundogen
    Antonio-Lacazette-Broja
    3.5 Bank no FT

    1) Free hit and bench boost to leverage dgw
    2) Take a hit - I like Lucas,Maddison,daka,cr7
    3) nothing

  30. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 24 days ago

    De gea
    TAA, Cancelo, Duffy
    Gray, Raphinha, Jota (c), Bowen
    Edouard, Antonio, king

    Ramsdale, Livramento, Salah, James

    1ft 3.9 itb

    A James > Dias
    B James + Edouard > Dias + Dennis -4
    C Salah + Edouard > Maddison + Ronaldo -4 (captain ronaldo, bench raphinha)

    These are some of the options im currently weighing up, any help appreciated.