Spot the Differential
20 January 2022 896 comments
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Gameweek 23 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Liverpool, Aston Villa and Burnley, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ANDREW ROBERTSON

Who is the best third Liverpool asset to own during AFCON?
  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: cry | LEI | bur | NOR | –

Andrew Robertson (£7.0m) has blanked just once across his last seven Premier League appearances, yet is still owned by just 3.2% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers.

During that time, the Scot has produced one goal, five assists and 10 bonus points, plus four clean sheets, averaging 7.9 points per match.

His ability to create has caught the eye, too.

Since Gameweek 13, Robertson ranks amongst the top three defenders per 90 minutes for chances created, big chances created and crosses, whilst his 2.26 expected assists (xA) tally is only bettered by team-mate Trent Alexander-Arnold (£8.4m). There isn’t a great deal of goal threat on offer, with just four shots in the box registered, though it is worth noting that his 34 penalty box touches are at least eight more than any other backline option.

Liverpool’s forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that he can continue producing, with this weekend’s trip to Crystal Palace followed by appealing ties against Leicester City (h), Burnley (a) and Norwich City (h). Robertson’s share of set-pieces could be key here, too, with the Eagles, plus Brendan Rodgers’ side, both vulnerable defending dead-ball situations at times this season.

Robertson’s recent form suggests he can be an effective differential for that run, and perhaps even stake a claim to be the third-best Liverpool option behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Alexander-Arnold going forwards.

PHILIPPE COUTINHO

  • FPL ownership: 5.5%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: eve | LEE | new | WAT | bha

Despite Philippe Coutinho’s (£7.0m) ownership already surpassing our usual 5% differential threshold, we’re making an exception this week, due to the Brazilian’s impact off the bench against Manchester United in Double Gameweek 22.

The playmaker’s goalscoring cameo swung the tie in Aston Villa’s favour, ahead of an appealing run of fixtures which gives Steven Gerrard’s side a real opportunity to build some momentum. There is also potential for a Double Gameweek to be added into the mix, with postponed ties against Leeds United (a) and Burnley (h) still to be rearranged.

As for Coutinho, it’s difficult to gauge his fitness levels from a 22-minute run-out, and because of that, it is by no means certain that he starts against Everton on Saturday. However, it surely won’t be long before the Brazilian is locked into Gerrard’s 4-3-2-1 ‘Christmas tree’ formation, which is arguably the perfect set-up to get the most out of him. That’s because the system involves two number 10s rather than traditional wingers, which means Coutinho will have the freedom to drift infield and affect the game in more central areas.

Normally we preach a ‘wait and see’ policy with new signings to see how they bed in, but with Villa’s next run of fixtures of such an attractive nature, Coutinho could be an excellent differential.

JAY RODRIGUEZ

Who are the best budget FPL enablers for Gameweek 2 and beyond? 1
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: ars | MUN | LIV | bha | cry

Following Chris Wood’s (£6.7m) surprise departure to Newcastle United last week, plus Maxwel Cornet’s (5.9m) ongoing involvement at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), Burnley are woefully short of striking options.

As a result, budget forward Jay Rodriguez (£5.2m) will likely be tasked with spearheading the Clarets’ attack, which Sean Dyche touched on earlier this week:

“It’s not the perfect scenario, but it is what it is. I do believe in people having the chance, and Wood has been one of the mainstays, but now he’s gone, it opens up the next window.

We do want people to take on that challenge, and down the years I’ve believed in the players to do that, and I still believe in the players we’ve got here to take the challenge on.

Jay (Rodriguez) is a great servant to what it is, a fantastic pro, and we do believe in Jay. He’s been very unlucky this season with injuries and the timing of them, because he’d have played more football.” – Sean Dyche

Worryingly, Rodriguez’s last Premier League goal was 11 months ago, though it is worth noting that he has netted five in cup competitions this season, whilst his combined tally of 14 across the previous two campaigns does at least offer a bit of encouragement that he can deliver.

Notably, the Clarets’ schedule detailed above does underwhelm, with tough games against Arsenal (a), Manchester United (h), Liverpool (h) and Brighton and Hove Albion (a) up next. However, they also need to fit in five postponed matches – a trip to Aston Villa along with home games against Leicester City, Watford, Everton and Tottenham Hotspur – which means plenty of future Double Gameweeks.

Rodriguez has showed glimpses of his quality throughout his time at Burnley, and with so many out, could be the man who steps up.

896 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Erez Avni
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    I feel a bit lost here… have 1 FT and 0 ITB… willing to take a hit to improve the situation

    Ramsdale
    TAA Rudy Cancelo Reguilon Coufal
    Trossard Jota Bowen
    CR7 Watkins

    Foster Broja Salah Gilmour

    maybe I need to sell Salah to balance my team?

    1. Lucky Z
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      No chance. Keep if you still kept.

    2. TopBinFC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Keep Salah, back in GW24. Ronaldo and Trossard need to go

    3. NorCal Villan
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Sell Ronaldo

    4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Keep Salah, should be back next week. Sell Ronaldo if you need funds, maybe downgrade him and upgrade Gilmour? You can deal with Rudiger next week

    5. balint84
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Trossard to anyone

  2. TopBinFC
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    I find it baffling that so many fpl managers are sticking with Ronaldo... 12.5m spread across a team is huge.

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Other fires

    2. NorCal Villan
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Sunk cost
      Pride

  3. No Professionals
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    De Gea
    Trent Cancelo Reguilon
    Bruno Jota Bernardo Maddison Bowen
    Watkins King

    Steele Antonio Keane Livramento
    1ft 1.7m

    A) Bruno to KDB(c)
    B) Bruno and Keane to KDB and Digne (-4)

    Concerned with my current captaincy choices.

    1. TopBinFC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Bruno to Raph, spread funds, make room for Salah

      1. No Professionals
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 2 days ago

        Bruno is the funds for Salah, spreading them blocks him

        1. TopBinFC
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 2 days ago

          Then I'd go Bruno to Raph, then Jota to Salah next GW

          1. TopBinFC
            • 4 Years
            4 years, 2 days ago

            Dont see the point getting KDB for one week

            1. have you seen cyan
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 2 days ago

              famous last words

              1. TopBinFC
                • 4 Years
                4 years, 2 days ago

                If you get KDB you have to keep him for Brentford and Norwich, Southampton a tougher game than both of them

    2. Brunsvigeren
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Why sell Bruno, he's om a run

      1. Brunsvigeren
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 2 days ago

        Great differential atm, keep him..

        I put Captaincy on him last gw, im now ranked 59k

        1. No Professionals
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 2 days ago

          So did I

        2. HashAttack
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 day ago

          41% EO in the Top 10K compared to 4.2% EO for KDB ... Which one's the differential?

  4. Athletico Underachieving
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA, Cancelo, Coufal
    Bernardo, Jota, Bowen, Gray
    Antonio, Dennis, King

    Sanchez, Bavies, Livra, Salah

    1FT. 5.9 ITB.

    A) Gray - Raph
    B) Roll

    1. balint84
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      A

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Deffo A

    3. Athletico Underachieving
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Cheers both

  5. RyanMK
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Looking to move Rudiger. A or B?

    A. Digne
    B. Coady

    1. balint84
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      B

    2. TopBinFC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      B easy

    3. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      B need a wolves def myself !

    4. AD2110
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      A

  6. balint84
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    A) Antonio to Dennis
    B) Son to Gallagher

    (Because Salah's price)

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      B as son not playing

    2. Abra Dubravka
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      B

  7. The Frenchie
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Long term pick

    TAA / Cancelo / ?

    A) Digne
    B) Reguilon
    C) Dias
    D) Laporte

    1. TopBinFC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      I've had Cash or Dier ahead of A and B

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      C or D take your pick
      I have D for 5 weeks now and he’s hardly disappointed.

    3. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      C or D, depending on funds

  8. Old Gregg
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Which move please presuming no doubles.

    A) Alonso > Laporte
    B) Alonso + Gray > Digne & foden (-4)
    C) Alonso + Gray > Laporte + Raphina (-4)

    1. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      C

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      A

  9. balint84
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Has to be D)

  10. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Is there a risk of Leeds asking to postpone their match with Newcastle?

    They only have 10 senior players unflagged on the FPL website at the minute

    1. TopBinFC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Nope, was same last week. One of a few none moaning teams

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      If they get one Covid case, yes

      But none for now. They've had none for a while, so have been unable to apply

      1. TopBinFC
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 2 days ago

        Didn't Brendan Roger's say this week that no team needed Covid cases to apply for postponement? If they dont have the 13 players regardless of Covid or not you could ask for postponement

        1. Hits from the Bong
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 2 days ago

          They need one apparently

        2. Ze_Austin
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 2 days ago

          He was mistaken. EPL stated the rules

          The rules might change again soon though

    3. Tanaka'd
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      2 new injuries, 2 or 3 returning, so will just be a similar story to last week.

  11. George James
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Emerson royal owners…

    Think he may have lost his place now?

    Time to sell?

    1. TopBinFC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Yes, defo

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Did conte confirm the reason for the half time sub?

  12. balint84
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Captain Jota or Dennis?

    1. RyanMK
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      I might go with TAA

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Diogo

  13. RyanMK
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Which one?

    A. Rudiger > Coady
    B. B. Silva > KDB
    C. Both for -4.

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      B an captain

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      B

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      B

  14. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Great goal jota

  15. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    I needed that Jota goal on Sunday.

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      We all did.

  16. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    That's horrific goalkeeping from Ramsdale. That shot had no power and wasn't even in the corner.

    1. Free Hat
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Indeed. Strange shot to conceed, wrong footed or not...

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      unsighted, but still awful yeah lol

    3. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      99 out of 100 people selected from the fans in the ground would’ve saved it simply by standing in the middle of the goal.

    4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      I still maintain that, while he has been good for Arsenal, that he's still too sloppy and a lot of his better-looking saves are ones he doesn't need to make look so dramatic

    5. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      If he was back on his goal line instead of 6 yards out he'd have more time and seen it.

  17. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Thoughts
    Captain
    A jota
    B foden
    Cheers

    1. NorCal Villan
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Who is heers? 😎

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 day ago

        You mean cheers!
        It’s a way of saying thanks

        1. _Ninja_
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 day ago

          lol

        2. NorCal Villan
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 1 day ago

          It was a joke

          1. Gizzachance
            • 11 Years
            4 years, 1 day ago

            I know! Nice one though

  18. Reeker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Play Antonio or Bowen?

    1. el polako
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      Both

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      B

  19. Cok3y5murf
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Match fixed... no way Ramsdale doesn't save that

    1. Hooky
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      I blame Xhaka

  20. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Good goal because it'll give him an extra boost in the captaincy and more people can experience the blank with me

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      You captaining jota? Who is your VC?

  21. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    Pet hate: when commentators assume players have mis-hit a shot just because it doesn't ping off their boot

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      They assumed correctly in this case 🙂

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 2 days ago

        Scuffing it inside like that doesn't seem likely. Smart shot more likely imo

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          4 years, 1 day ago

          Looked like he was trying to put his foot through it and just caught the outside of the ball rather than true. I’d describe it as scuffed because of how it trickled towards goal.

          1. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            4 years, 1 day ago

            Agreed

          2. Deulofail
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 1 day ago

            That's how you can fool the keeper and defenders though. Purposefully scuff a ball. Trickling doesn't mean accidental, but if you think it was unintentional, then we just disagree. I think it was his intention to place it on that side of Ramsdale, but I'll take another look at the replays later

            1. No Professionals
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 1 day ago

              I’m not sure I have ever seen a player intentionally scuff a ball

              1. ZimZalabim
                • 9 Years
                4 years, 1 day ago

                Ozil

                1. No Professionals
                  • 8 Years
                  4 years, 1 day ago

                  That’s not a scuff that is side footing it downwards

              2. Deulofail
                • 10 Years
                4 years, 1 day ago

                How would you know?

    2. Hooky
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 days ago

      To be fair, Jota does mishit a lot of his shots.

    3. NorCal Villan
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Any mention of “last chance saloon” 😎

    4. _Make
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      They all count!

      (Except the ones that don't)

    5. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Just seen the goal, made me laugh out loud. It’s such a clear miss hit.

  22. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    WC team, any suggestions?

    Sa Foster
    TAA Cancelo Digne AitNouri Lowton
    KDB Maddison Jota Coutinho Bowen
    Watkins Kane Dennis.

    Lowton in there for potential doubles.

    Considering Foden for Jota for a couple of weeks, or trying to squeeze Laporte for Lowton (by Dennis to Broja maybe).

    The plan is then to do Kane + Jota/Foden to Salah + DCL maybe in a few weeks.

  23. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 days ago

    What would you do here?
    1 FT 5.8 ITB

    De gea Gunnarsson
    Dawson Dalot Cancelo Taa Livra
    Bowen Moura Jota Bernardo Brownhill
    Antonio CR7 King

    1. Tanaka'd
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Sort out a defender and Moura.

  24. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 day ago

    It’s a joke that diving has stopped becoming a yc offence, especially when VAR can prove it

    1. Ginkapo FPL
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Stopped? It never was

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 day ago

        Of course it was, for a while

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      I think there are lots of moments that aren't a dive but aren't a penalty either. It doesn't have to be one or the other if a player goes down.

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 day ago

        Sure, but some are obvious and they no longer care

    3. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Not sure why VAR should overturn a penalty if a diver fools the ref ... How can they say the ref being conned is a clear and obvious error?

  25. RedJive79
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 day ago

    Start Bilva or Antonio?

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Probably not

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 day ago

        I’d sell one of them

        1. RedJive79
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 1 day ago

          Already made transfers that were more pressing.

    2. Abra Dubravka
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      I’m starting both. If you have the funds and a free transfer with nothing else pressing I would do Bilva to KDB

      1. RedJive79
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 day ago

        Have KDB.

  26. Abra Dubravka
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 day ago

    What move if any is best here?

    Ramsdale (Guaita)
    TAA, Cancelo, Dias (Coufal, Livra)
    Bernardo, Jota, Raph, Bowen (Salah)
    Antonio, Dennis, Maupay.

    1. PORTUGA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Dias to Laporte, gets you some funds going forward

  27. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 day ago

    Which move?

    1) Moura>Saka
    2) Moura>Raphinha
    2) Ronaldo>Dennis, Trossard>De Bruyne (C), leaves enough for KDB>Salah in future

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      3

    2. Tanaka'd
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      2

    3. Hits from the Bong
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      I like 2, and quite like 2 too

      1. Lallana_
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 day ago

        lol

  28. basilfawlty
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 day ago

    Thoughts on Son & Alonso > Raphinha & Laporte for a -4? Would captain Raphinha

    Would give me:

    De Gea Foster
    TAA Cancelo Laporte Dawson Livramento
    Jota Foden Bowen Gray Raphinha
    Ronaldo Antonio Dennis

    1. Hits from the Bong
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      Good moves but Son back next week

  29. Hits from the Bong
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 day ago

    Anything worth a hit here? Thinking C if Leeds get a double but not sure if not. Thanks.
    A. Son to KDB (but got Son at £10.2m so tempted to keep him now)
    B. Johnson to Laporte (but Stones is back on the scene)
    C. Gray to Raphina (but good fixtures and Rafa gone)

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo Reguilon
    Jota Foden Bowen Gray
    Ronaldo Antonio Dennis

    (Steele Son Manquillo Johnson)

    1. Heiro
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      We are in similar boats below. Your team is fine this week and should score well.

      But everyone wants Ronaldo out which seems a little mad when West Ham have a shite defence.

      1. Hits from the Bong
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 day ago

        Yeah but a good attack, how much have you got to upgrade Dalot?

        1. Heiro
          • 16 Years
          4 years, 1 day ago

          0.7. Could go for Al Nouri at Wolves

    2. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 day ago

      If Leeds get a double, won't Raphinha miss any second match due to Brazil match?

      1. Hits from the Bong
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 day ago

        Interesting.. thanks

        1. HashAttack
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 day ago

          Have the same concern with Coutinho if Villa get a dgw - There's South American and Asian WC qualifying rounds planned for 27/1, but I'm not sure what's happening

  30. Heiro
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 day ago

    Hi all,

    Any changes needed here?

    Ramsdale
    Trent/Cancelo/Dalot
    Saka/Bernardo/Bowen/Jota
    Ronaldo/Antonio/Dennis

    Sub:James/Cash/Moura

    1FY