Spot the Differential
29 August 2022 553 comments
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Gameweek 5 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Wolverhampton Wanderers, Brighton and Hove Albion and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

MATHEUS NUNES

FPL transfers: The latest new Premier League signings assessed 44
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: bou | SOU | liv | MCI | whu

Matheus Nunes (£5.0m), Wolverhampton Wanderers’ new club-record £38m signing, has performed well for the club in his first two starts.

The box-to-box midfielder was thrown straight into the starting XI for Wolves’ visit to Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 3, before his Premier League home debut against Newcastle United on Sunday.

In that time, Nunes has racked up six goal attempts, four shots in the box and one ‘big chance’, and is clearly suited to the advanced midfielder role in Bruno Lage’s 4-3-3 set-up. From that position, it’s expected he’ll get the license to attack and join the front three when the opportunity arrives, given that Joao Moutinho (£4.9m) and Ruben Neves (£5.5m) are more likely to sit in.

Wolves were denied their first Premier League win of the season in Gameweek 4, as a late Allan Saint-Maximin (£6.5m) volley cancelled out Neves’ opener. However, Raul Jimenez (£6.9m) made his first Premier League start of the season, and elements of their attacking play caught the eye at Molineux. Indeed, Nunes had a great chance with a free header from the Mexicans cross in the first half, while his pass for Pedro Neto (£5.3m) almost produced an assist.

That suggests attacking returns are on the horizon, ahead of an appealing two-match run against Bournemouth and Southampton.

Nunes has hit the ground running at Wolves and is perhaps being overlooked as a budget midfielder.

PERVIS ESTUPINAN

FPL transfers: The latest new Premier League signings assessed 41
  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: ful | LEI | bou | CRY | liv

Pervis Estupinan (£4.5m) caught the eye with a lively home debut in Gameweek 4, as Brighton and Hove Albion maintained their unbeaten start to the season.

The energetic full-back/wing-back whipped several dangerous crosses into the box and regularly got forward in Graham Potter’s 3-4-1-2 formation, ending the match with a game-high three created chances and one attempt on goal.

It’s also worth noting that among all players on the pitch, only Moises Caicedo (£5.0m) registered more final-third touches than Estupinan. He didn’t neglect his defensive duties, either, with 10 ball recoveries and two interceptions.

The match saw Brighton keep their third clean sheet in four matches, and with a great run of fixtures, now is a good time to invest in the Seagulls. Indeed, they sit top of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 5 to 8, a period which sees them face Fulham, Leicester City, Bournemouth and Crystal Palace. They are in fine form, too, having gone nine consecutive top-flight matches without a defeat, extending back to the 2021/22 season.

Estupinan will help cover the void left by the departure of Marc Cucurella (£5.1m) to Chelsea, and while not quite as nailed as team-mate Lewis Dunk (£4.5m), could potentially develop into a first-choice player. If Saturday’s performance is anything to go by, that isn’t far away.

HARVEY BARNES

Barnes offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: MUN | bha | AVL | tot | NFO

Harvey Barnes (£6.9m) netted for Leicester City in their 2-1 away loss to Chelsea in Gameweek 4, his first goal of the season in just his second start.

The winger was the Foxes’ main attacking threat as he combined well with Jamie Vardy (£9.4m), ending the match with four goal attempts, three of which were on target. That means he’s racked up a respectable five shots in the box in the last two Gameweeks, a tally that ranks joint-seventh among all midfielders.

“Harvey Barnes was outstanding for us, we knocked on the door a lot. There was a lot of good for us but we’re disappointed with the result.” – Brendan Rodgers on Harvey Barnes after their loss at Chelsea

On Saturday’s evidence, further goals and assists will follow for Barnes, who could become an effective differential pick. Indeed, three of Leicester’s next five opponents – Manchester United, Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest – have hardly been convincing defensively so far this season.

Meanwhile, no club has allowed more ‘big chances’ than Brendan Rodgers’ side across the opening four rounds, which suggests they’ll need their attacking players to step up and score if they can’t rely on their defence for clean sheets.

Barnes is a real difference maker in the final third, and after producing six goals and 12 assists in 2021/22, carries significant potential in FPL.



553 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Double City defence (Cancelo/Walker) or double Chelsea defence (James/Cucurella)?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      City

    2. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Chelsea, City defence is useless

      1. Josh.E
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        it's just 4 games relax

        1. RICICLE
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Yes, and useless

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      More value in the Chelsea double up.

  2. CrouchDown
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Is Ben White nailed?

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No

      1. Capocannonieri
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Is Saliba the CB starter now, if they get a real RWB?

    3. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Most likely yes.
      Peoplw assume Tomyasu will play right back when injury free, but he wont. Tomyasu is in the same mould as White, being a cb that can also play right back and with Arteta system tweak, where right back is not going forward but stays back, tucked in, White will continue to play there.
      With the schedule, most players will rotate, i will suspect White misses one odd game due to that but not more than say taa gets a rest for Gomez when fixtures piling up.

  3. mcpoop
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What to do with this team?

    Ward
    Trent Robbo James Cancelo
    Salah Saka Martinelli Pereira
    Haaland Jesus

    Iversen Patterson DaSilva Plange

    2FTs 0.3ITB.

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Downgrade Cancelo and upgrade Andreas?

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Sorry, Meant robbo

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      start with the keeper

    3. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      saka->gross

  4. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Play Andreas or -4 for A or B?

    A) Patterson to Perisic, play 4-4-2
    B) Andreas to Gross, play 3-5-2

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I like A just not sure for a -4 maybe wait a week

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Just Think Andreas is a certain 2 pointer, while Spurs do cs, so Perisic could easily get a cs, assist or maby both against whu, with only 1 goal so far this season

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I'd be very tempted by A, the minutes are a worry though.

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yes, I see thay

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

  5. Lukakwho
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who’s the best 5M goalkeeper right now do you reckon?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Sanchez most gk points so far this year

      1. BLESSED ARE SETPIECE TAKERS
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Henderson has more points slightly but Sanchez better option I think for now

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          You’re right

    2. RamaLangaDingDong
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Sanchez is a bit of a 6pt merchant. BRI defence concedes fewer chanceswhich reduces the number of saves and save points. Hendo top of the tree because of those penalty saves, strip those out and he is on a par with Raya.

      FWIW - I am leaning towards Raya (but only because I am thinking of bringing in Pervis/Dunk and don't want the double up on BRI defence

  6. OverTinker
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Nunez can exploit Bournemouth but do you guys expecting Firmino to be on Beach after that performance?

    1. mcpoop
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      certainly not

    2. Conzema
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yeah I would be on a beach after that performance LOL

  7. undersarmy
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    475k rank & 2FT
    Thinking of doing Kulu > Gunda for a one week punt
    Y/N

  8. Traction Engine Foot
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What's the better move here?

    A Bailey to Gross
    B Bailey, Robertson to Diaz, Saliba -4
    C Roll

    Sanchez
    TAA Robertson Cancelo James
    Salah Martinelli Rodrigo Andreas
    Haaland Jesus
    Ward Bailey Neco Archer

    1ft 1.2m itb

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Either A or C and then B next week. I don't think you need a hit this week with that team

      1. RamaLangaDingDong
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Agreed

  9. ManUtdFan977
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Whose better for my fantasy draft Isak or firmino

    1. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      isak more safe i guess

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Firmino until Isak is settled

    3. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Bobby

  10. Prinzhorn
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    looking for a route of this mess

    Ramsdale - Ward

    TAA - Robertson - Cancelo - Trippier - Neco
    Salah - Mount - Martinelli - Dasilva - Andreas
    Haaland - Jesus - Archer

    Route A: Mount & Ramsdale -> Gundogan & Sanchez
    Route B: Mount & Robertson -> Diaz & James/Dunk/...
    Route C: your input

    thx peepz

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I like B with James or Perisic

  11. KickIt
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    If you intend to Wildcard for GW9 then saving 2 transfers for GW8 seems like a good plan. Can take out Salah for KDB or even ASM to get in Kane for Toney. Then the WC to get Salah iback in (maybe) and reorganize.

  12. Drogo
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Rodrigo (Leeds) or Maxime (Newcastle)?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Max is injured

  13. Under my Cucurella
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Any thoughts on the best moves with 2FT here?

    A: Ederson Eze > Sanchez Gross
    B: Cancelo Archer > Dunk Mitro
    C: Archer Kulu > Mitro Gross
    D: Something else?

    Ederson Ward
    TAA Cancelo James Trippier Neco
    Salah Kulu Martinelli Eze Andreas
    Haaland Jesus Archer

    2FT 0.0ITB

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

  14. Bobby Digital
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Will this Veltman injury affect Brighton defense?

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      They're a well drilled squad, so it won't be like they start shipping goals left, right and centre, but yeah, they also won't be as watertight as they have been.

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Well nothing to do now. Already got Sanchez in yesterday.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      They're all just pawns in Potter's game

  15. Bobby Reds
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    1) Ramsdale & Cucurella
    2) Ederson & Fofana

    which pair is better peeps?

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      1

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      1

    3. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      1

  16. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bailey replacement:

    A: Andreas
    B: Dasilva

    *will also start this GW

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Ooof wouldn't want to start either...

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Me neither, but need to this week with Trippier going to the bench

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Which defender can you downgrade to relieve you from this dross?

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A, but it's close. A because he's at home.

  17. pundit of punts
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Would you change anything? 🙂

    Sanchez
    TAA - James - Walker
    Salah- Diaz - Martinelli - Rodrigo
    Haaland - Jesus - Tiney

    Ward - Saliba - Andreas - Neco

    0.1m in the bank and FT used.

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No, GTG.

      1. pundit of punts
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Ta

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Looks good. Maybe Haaland and Martinelli could be rotation risks, but maybe not and with 5 subs even if they didn't start they should get ample minutes.

      1. pundit of punts
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Martinelli will be gone for Gross or MGW next gw

        Happy to hold Haaland long tern and Martinelli vs a poor villa side

    3. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Tiney a real differential

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Toney's lil bro?

  18. confused01
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who to bench- Trippier or Andreas?

    Currently playing Tripp and if he's injured then Andreas will replace him but if he plays then maybe more point scoring potential than Andreas?

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Trippier, I think Liverpool are going to beat us easily at Anfield.

    2. pundit of punts
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Trippier

  19. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Roll on tomorrow - any changes?

    Reya
    Veltman, Saliba, James, Trent.
    Martinelli, Diaz, Sterling, KDB.
    Jesus, Hauland C

    Ward, Andreas, Neco, Taylor

  20. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on on one of these moves for -4

    Ramsdale Cancelo Neto to

    A Sanchez Dias Rodrigo
    B Sanchez Gabriel Gundogan
    C Sanchez Saliba Groß ( leaving enough in bank for Archer to Mitrovic)
    or

    D Cancelo to Dunk and Neto to Gundogan on free transfer

    Ramsdale*
    TAA James Cancelo* Perisic
    Salah L Díaz Martinelli Neto*
    Haaland Jesus

    Ward Andreas Neco Archer

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      C

    2. balint84
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Romero may start ahead of Sanchez

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        It would be Brighton goalie Sanchez for Ramsdale

  21. T.Henry14
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What to do with 2FT ? 0.4 itb

    Raya (Ward)
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Walker (Neco)
    Salah, Diaz, Martineli, Rodrigo (Andreas)
    Haaland, Jesus (4.5)

    Walker&4.5 ----> Estupian &Edouard?
    But after this GW (City vs NFO)
    Do nothing for gw5?

  22. space mercenary
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    So what happens if you have 3 Chelsea players and bring in Fofana, then of course Fofana's signing is confirmed? Do you just have four Chelsea players until you transfer one out?

    1. pundit of punts
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Your next transfer has to be a Chelski player out.

      1. space mercenary
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Oh, didn't know that bit. That definitely takes the shine off it.

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Hhhmmm

      Did you have Fofana, double Chelsea defence and 1 x CHE attack?

  23. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Rams (ward)
    Walker taa james (janson neco)
    Rodrigo salah gross bailey martineli
    Jesus haland (mbeumo)

    did mount to gross, 2nd ft which ?

    A) mbeumo to toney
    B) janson to dunk/cucu/perisic/estupinan
    C) bailey to bsilva/guedes/7.3 mid.
    D) janson bailey -4 to paterson gundo

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

  24. NUFCTim
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Gundogan or Bernardo?

    Potential WC:

    Sanchez
    TAA Walker James Saliba Gabriel
    Salah Martinelli Gundo Andreas Soumare
    Haaland Darwin Isak

    Plan to transfer Saliba to Fofana & possibly Gabriel to Trippier. Luis Diaz hasn't convinced me. A lot of build up in that LIV right hand side of the pitch. Nunez possibly higher ceiling Diaz?

  25. puhd
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Will Bailey drop in price again?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Already -72.1

    2. RamaLangaDingDong
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Crying shame.
      He could have been this year's Lundstram.
      Should be nice and cheap by the time Poch arrives to sort Villa out...!

  26. balint84
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Will Dunk or Trippier start midweek?

    1. NUFCTim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Both will

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        You seen any post-Wolves update on Trippier?

  27. svgcr
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who’s your captain this week?

    Concerned about Haaland’s minutes.

    Looking at TAA, Salah or Jesus

    1. T.Henry14
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Salah (again)

  28. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Was all set to do:
    Diaz & Kane -> KDB & Toney (2FT), but clearly having 2nd thoughts post the w/e.

    A) Press ahead anyway
    B) Salah -> KDB (option to revert back
    C) Swap out one of Patterson, Dasilva, Andreas, B White

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Please press ahead, I need my ranking to improve

  29. balint84
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who will get more gametime?
    Salah, Jesus, KDB or Kane?

  30. banskt
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Still not decided whether to captain Haaland or KDB. On the captaincy polls, Haaland is leading with 48% and KDB at 4%, surprisingly below Salah, Jesus and James. Is there something that I missed about KDB -- why does he have such a low percentage in the polls?

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I really want to captain Haaland but I am afraid he may not start the game. In that case, it is better to captain KDB. Am I overthinking?

    2. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I'm thinking about KDB too. And his low EO is sort of better if you're looking to climb the ranks.

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I wouldn't captain someone just for the sake of EO. I will captain the player I think will score the highest. If Pep confirms he is starting Haaland, I will definitely captain him again. If he doesn't, then it's probably KDB.

    3. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Do the math - KDB is owned by 26%, Haaland 67% and Salah 56%. People unlikely to vote for players they don't have.

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yes, I think that's what happening here. I wish people voted for the player they think will be the best captain, not someone they own.