Spot the Differential
14 October 2022 1341 comments
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Gameweek 11 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is just hours away, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, West Ham United and Crystal Palace, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

MASON MOUNT

The Complete Guide to FPL Gameweek 10: Tips, captains, team news and best players
  • FPL ownership: 4.4%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: avl | bre | MUN | bha | ARS

Mason Mount (£7.6m) put in a man-of-the-match display in Milan on Tuesday, winning the penalty for the first goal and providing the pass for the second. With Chelsea comfortably in control and the fixtures coming thick and fast, Graham Potter opted to give the 22-year-old, who is the only outfield player to have started every match of his brief tenure so far, a much-needed rest, replacing him with Conor Gallagher (£5.7m) at half-time.

In addition, Mount produced his best score of the season so far in Gameweek 10, supplying two assists in the 3-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers, collecting 12 points. His underlying numbers also stood out, as he registered three shots inside the box and created five chances for his teammates.

“I feel good. I’m enjoying it and we’re playing well and scoring goals, so that’s the most important thing. Hopefully next I get a goal because it’s been coming but I just haven’t finished it off yet. But I’ll take the assists, setting them up for my teammates and I’m very happy for them today.

The manager has spoken to me about trying to get in the box and also connecting the midfield to the strikers and being able to move and be free and get assists and then get goals. It’s been happening for me over the last couple of games and I want more, I want to continue doing that and hopefully that will happen in the next few games too.” – Mason Mount

Chelsea remain unbeaten under Potter since he arrived as their new head coach at the beginning of September. They have picked up four wins and one draw in their last five matches across all competitions, scoring 11 goals and conceding just twice. Now, they return to action in the Premier League on Sunday when they face Aston Villa, before visiting Brentford in Gameweek 12, both of whom have won just one of their last six matches.

Mount is hitting a rich vein of form, and given his midweek breather, is a nice midfield differential to attack Chelsea’s next two fixtures.

GIANLUCA SCAMACCA

  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.8m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: sou | liv | BOU | mun | CRY

Gianluca Scamacca (£6.8m) has started West Ham’s last two Premier League fixtures and seized his opportunity, with goals against Wolves and Fulham.

In that time, the Italian has produced 17 points, plus some decent underlying numbers, including seven goal attempts, five shots inside the box, four efforts on target and three big chances.

In his most recent start v Fulham, he could and have had a hat-trick on the day, were it not for some wasteful finishing and excellent stops from Fulham ‘keeper Bernd Leno (£4.5m). However, his partnership with playmaker Lucas Paqueta (£6.0m) is thriving, which suggests more goals are on the horizon.

“Lucas Paqueta and I have a good connection. It’s one we also have with [Jarrod] Bowen, [Declan] Rice, and everyone in the team all together. We found a good solution to going behind today, but Lucas is a brilliant player and it’s a pleasure to play with him.” – Gianluca Scamacca

Scamacca has played second fiddle to Michail Antonio (£7.1m) in the season’s early stages, but has been the go-to striker of late. Now, with the Jamaican missing Thursday’s UEFA Europa Conference League clash with Anderlecht through illness, a possible scenario is that Scamacca starts against Southampton and Bournemouth, with Antonio selected for the midweek visit to Anfield.

West Ham have won six of their last seven fixtures in all competitions, scoring 14 goals. Next up is a trip to Southampton, who are the only team yet to keep a clean sheet in 2022/23, with appealing home matches against Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Leicester to follow before we pause for the winter World Cup.

Scamacca has found his form of late, and with his partnership with Paqueta blossoming, could be a smart differential pick.

MICHAEL OLISE

Auto Draft 26
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: lei | WOL | eve | SOU | whu

Despite a tricky start to the season, Crystal Palace now sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture between Gameweeks 11-16. In that time, they face the Premier League’s current bottom three – Leicester, Wolves and Nottingham Forest – plus Everton, Southampton and West Ham.

With fixtures improving, they have an opportunity to build on last week’s 2-1 home win over Leeds United, a match which saw Michael Olise (£5.4m) record his first attacking return of 2022/23, as Odsonne Edouard (£5.3m) converted his whipped cross.

The Eagles were a different side in the second half, creating chance after chance, which coincided with Jordan Ayew (£5.4m) being moved into a number eight role alongside Eberechi Eze (£5.5m). That, in turn, freed Olise up to get further forward on the ball and into wider areas where he could affect the game.

Olise has been limited to just three starts so far this season, but his underlying creative numbers catch the eye. Indeed, he is averaging 6.18 crosses and 2.42 created chances per 90 minutes, with his share of set-pieces a key factor behind his FPL appeal.

With an assist in Gameweek 10, Olise will now be looking to add to his tally against a Leicester side that have lost seven of their nine league matches this season, conceding two or more goals on seven occasions. That suggests he can be an effective differential for managers on the lookout for a new budget midfielder.



  1. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Draft League question: Keep Sessegnon or trade him out for one of below? Thanks

    1) Cresswell
    2) Doherty
    3) Romero
    4) Chabolah
    5) Castagne

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I really like Doherty if just for next 2

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        cheers

      2. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        its draft league so can chop and change each week

  2. They are eating the dogs
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Pope+Neco->Cucurella+Ward?

  3. Meechoo115
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Pick one on wc
    A. Mount
    B. Zaha
    C. Antony

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Zaha

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      a
      safe

      c
      maverick

  4. Abra Dubravka
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bottomed.
    Trippier starting.
    Play:

    A) Ward
    B) Pope?

    1. Meechoo115
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Pope!

  5. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    KDB

    a) keep him
    b) transfer to Son or Maddison

    (have triple Arsenal + double ManC)

    1. Meechoo115
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I would sell to Son

    2. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I wouldn't sell KDB!

  6. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Selling James. Have 1 of 2 FT to use.

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier Peresic
    KDB Maddison Zaha Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland Solanke
    Iverson // Mitrovic* James* Neco

    If I bring in Dunk (BRE) or Cresswell (SOU) - who should drop to the bench?
    If I bring in a Palace defender, will likely bench them.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Doherty perhaps?

      I was looking for Chelsea defense advice but it's tricky.

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I wasn't actually asking that. I was asking if I buy a James replacement, who should get benched.
        Also I have Peresic. Avoiding a Spurs double-up.

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          sorry!

          I wasn't square on your agenda.

          I guess you're saying you don't rate a Chelsea replacement yourself.

          Good luck

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      If I replace James in that team, I would bench Solanke or Andreas, the least explosive option.

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Which of those two? Obvs it'd be one of them.

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          No idea. Maybe bench Solanke, the away team. Again, fine margins. Probably 2pts for either of them.

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Solanke

    4. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      andreas

  7. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Does anyone have a good reason to pick one of Dunk or Webster over the other? Bar the £0.1m saving on Webster.

    1. Meechoo115
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Dunk purely as more set piece threat.

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Webster actually has the better goal threat, but both their threat is minimal by stats.

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Nah, fine margins. Webster plays a little further forward than Dunk, carrying the ball to the final third. In last 6 matches, Webster had 5 shots in the box compared to Dunk's 3.

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        They are both so boring aren't they 😆

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah. I am tired of looking at the cheap defenders. None of them are worth the time and effort. Just get one and hope for the best.

          Clean sheets are also historically lower this season (4.9 clean sheets per 10 games, compare to 5.6 in 21/22 and 5.8 in 20/21).

    3. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Dunk because he is due a goal and I just have a feeling about him 😀

      1. Aksekladden
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Dunk is always do a goal that rarely comes.

        1. DycheDycheBaby
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          That's what she said!

  8. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Down to these 2 options with 2ft & 0.3itb (no issue gw12)

    A) KdB, Mitro to Trossard, Kane (forget about Mitro troll). Move James next week
    B) James to Andersen/Cucu (can take 1 drop on James 2nite without losing value). 2ft gw12 which I don't need without unforeseen injuries

    Pope
    Cancelo Trip Dier
    Zaha Mads KdB Marti
    (H)aaland Mitro* Toney
    Ivo Andreas Neco James*

  9. They are eating the dogs
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    James->Cucurella?

    Got Chillwell so one of them will start 100%.

  10. HollywoodXI
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Just in from work. Mitrovic for or not?

    1. HollywoodXI
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      *fit

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        fit ish

        They'll know tomorrow

  11. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Half an hour to go

    These are the anytime goal scorer odds if your guy features.

    Haaland: 57%
    Kane: 48%
    Mitrovic: 48%
    Jesus: 44%
    Ronaldo: 42%
    Son: 38%
    Vardy: 37%
    Auba: 36%
    D.Costa: 33%
    Toney: 33%
    Daka: 32%
    Martinelli: 32%
    Wilson: 32%
    Saka: 30%
    Scamacca: 30%
    Sterling: 30%
    Havertz: 29%
    Salah: 29%
    Guedes: 29%
    Zaha: 29%
    Antony: 29%

    ... has someone shot King Kev?

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Anytime Assisters
      57% King Kev

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        cool

        where can I see that for future reference?

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Sorry I’m assuming all Haaland goals will come from KDB assists.

  12. boroie
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Been at work all day and haven’t read any news… someone please help…

    1. Best James replacement? Already have Cancelo and Trippier

    2. Start Mitrovic or Andreas?

    Thanks in advance!

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I’m going Kilman

      And I’d play Andreas. Best Mitro will get is 20 mins. Andreas scored last week (from my bench)

    2. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      1. Depends on how you want to reinvest, no stand-out candidate.
      2. Flip a coin, I'm going for Andreas as I think the threat of a 20-min cameo is quite high.

  13. Demba Demba
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    I was contemplating another captain but theres been 37 goals in last 10 meetings of Pool Vs City. Thats enough for me to go Captain Haaland as opposed to anyone else

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      1.7 xg in comms shield was it not, and now he's in the groove. VVD on holiday every day. Massacre possible.

  14. boroie
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Also KDB to Son for a -4?

  15. Sun God Nika
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Literally struggling to find a worthwhile swap for James

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      That’s the problem of the day! I’m going Kilman for what it’s worth

      1. Sun God Nika
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah gonna be a flip of coin isn't it !

        Hindsight will prevail as usual loool

    2. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I sold Dias instead while we get more info or more obvious candidates become apparent in week 12

      1. Sun God Nika
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Who for? Interesting before Liverpool game

        I guess they should get at least 1 goal tbf

        1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Guehi (succession planning)

          1. Sun God Nika
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            He was my thinking for a minute to get kane in

            Butt minus 4
            ....

  16. YouReds
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Kepa
    Guatia
    Sanchez

    Till the WC break?

  17. YouReds
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Killman worth the 0.1 over Johnny?

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Assuming that a player getting benched is a disaster in the next few weeks, yes.

    2. Johnjo
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yep, Kilman more guaranteed to start IMO.

  18. boroie
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    3 decisions to make…

    1. James replacement…

    A - Perisic
    B - Cucurella
    C - Other

    2. Start one…

    D - Andreas
    E - Mitrovic

    3. KdB to Son for a -4?

    Y
    N

    1. mdm
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      AEN

  19. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start
    A) Mitrovic
    B) Andreas

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Username

  20. simong1
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Any answers?

    Pope
    Cancelo - James - Trippier - Fofana - Emerson
    KDB - Zaha - Martinelli - Maddison - Andreas
    Toney - Haaland - Mitrovic

    2FT. Best option?

    A) James > Dier (and save 2 FT for GW12)
    B) James, KDB & Mitro > Dier, Trossard & Kane (-4)

  21. jimmy.floyd
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on James to Azpi?

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Hate it

    2. Sun God Nika
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Nah

  22. Siva Mohan
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    start .. Perisic or Trippier?

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Pez all day

  23. Releasebreaks
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who to Play:

    A- Mitro
    B- Andreas

    Afraid that Mitro can do 1 point cameo

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Mitro

  24. DycheDycheBaby
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Choose one:
    a) Dunk (double up with Sanchez)
    b) Andersen

  25. boroie
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Will Perisic defs start this week?

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      100% maybe a definite possibility

  26. Johnjo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Play Ward or Guita for GK this week?

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Never Ward

  27. boroie
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    3 decisions to make…

    1. James replacement…

    A - Perisic
    B - Cucurella
    C - Other

    2. Start one…

    D - Andreas
    E - Mitrovic

    3. KdB to Son for a -4?

    Y
    N

    * likely to do WC after this GW

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      CDN

      1. boroie
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Who is the other?

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      b
      d
      n

  28. Assisting the assister
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Clough lasted 44 days at Leeds. Just saying

    1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Duly noted

    2. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Kwasi 40

  29. Bobby Crush
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    A) Mitro to Daka
    B) James to some defender

    to start

  30. Saka Punch
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    2FT.

    A) James + Mitro > Dunk + Firmino

    B) James > Dunk, roll 2nd FT

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      b
      but cucu/Kouli