Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Getting more and more tempted by Mitrovic > Toney. BOU and lee great fixtures for Toney and some tough matches coming up for Mitrovic.

    Too risky with the likely ban coming soon or worth the gamble?

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I like it and think Toney will outscore Mitro over the next 3 weeks

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      "It could therefore take some time for the FA to get to a verdict, which may not come until February or beyond, despite Toney needing to respond to the latest charges by January 4."

      https://www.skysports.com/football/news/11748/12773110/ivan-toney-brentford-lining-up-potential-striker-options-for-january-transfer-window-in-case-striker-hit-with-ban

      I'm going there now. I'd sell him for Jesus in DGW23. If Jesus has a significant setback by then, Nketiah. If it's unclear between 'em, Mitro for his great fixtures in GWs 23 to 26, then Jesus after

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I like it also, as a Mitro owner

    4. Captain Ace
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Sold Mitrovic for Toney already!
      I think it's a good decision for now

  2. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Ederson* - Ward
    White - Botman* - Shaw* - Trips - Bueno
    Martinelli - Rodrigo* - KDB* - Ode* - Rash*
    Haaland - Kane - 4.2

    any reason to WC to this? new players are *

    1. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      any reason "not to" i meant to say

    2. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Looks a good team but depends on what your team looked like before

      1. OneDennisBergkamp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        its this before..

        Arriza - Ward
        White - Cancelo - Williams - Trips - Bueno
        Martinelli - Summerville - Salah - Andreas - Almiron
        Mitro - Haaland - Kane

    3. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Rodrigo: Bamford is back, and they've bought a new striker. I think his time upfront and on pens is up. He'll still start, but I'd rather get Mitoma on a WC and spend the funds on any combo of these upgrades:

      Greenwood (non-starter) to Ferguson (starter)
      Botman to Schar (goal threat)
      Bueno to Doc (bench now, useful later)
      Ward to Kepa/Sanchez/Raya
      White to Gabriel (goal threat, 90 mins player)

      Rest looks great to me. Good luck 🙂

  3. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Thoughts on salah and mitro to rashford and Kane for a -4?

    1. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Looks good on paper

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Nice one thanks

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Really like it

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Thanks chief

    3. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I’m so thankful I have all those 4

      Looks decent though with the moves

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Nice! I opted for a trio of KDB salah and Haaland but wanna switch the premiums around now

    4. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Do it

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Weeee’vvvveeeee got oooziiiiilllll

    5. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I would

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Lovely stuff

    6. Captain Ace
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      You don't own Rashford??
      I think you should do both

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Wanted him but opted for KDB salah Almiron and martinelli, and 4 at the back. Have learnt my lesson

  4. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Afternoon all, 2 FT and 0.5 ITB.

    A - Salah, Mitro & Greenwood > Kane, Toney + Mitoma for -4 hit
    B - Salah & Greenwood > Kane & Mitoma
    C - Mitro > Toney and roll 1 FT

    Kepa
    Gabriel - Trippier - Shaw
    Salah - KDB - Martinelli - Rash - Almiron
    Haaland - Mitro

    Ward - Walker - Greenwood - Patterson

    1. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I'd go B

  5. Rog.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Lewis a genuine option?

    Either him or Akanji for Stones

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Think Akanji is slightly more nailed but who knows with Pep

      1. Rog.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers for the reply, I’m thinking the same but being described as ‘Little Phillip Lahm’ for 3.9m seems too good to pass up

  6. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Thanks for the replies on my last post. I’m assuming Akanji is now slightly ahead of other City defenders due to Stones injury?

    Cheers & best of luck!

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      That was the impression I got listening to a City fan on the radio earlier. You never know with Pep though!

  7. Sandy Ravage
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Hits are fun. Just go for it

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Hits are bad mm'kayy?

  8. mdm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Have 1FT:

    A. Mitro -> Toney
    B. Mitro -> Martial
    C. save

    Thanks.

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A. Martial doubtful

    4. Captain Ace
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A

  9. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Doherty or Botman?

    1. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Doherty, live a little

  10. FantasyHero
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Which is better;
    1. Shaw & Mahrez
    2. Akanji/Ake & Rashford

    Have Martial, kdb, and haaland . Taking out cancelo

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      2 with Akani.

      Rash is on fire

    2. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Tough, really like both. Probably 1 for this week in isolate 2 for the medium term

  11. Cali
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    GTG or anything else worth a free transfer? 1FT, $2.5M ITB

    Kepa
    White, Trippier, Shaw
    KDB, Rashford, Martinelli, Almiron
    Kane, Haaland, Toney

    Ward, Bueno, Andreas, Patterson

    1. Nazz
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Would start Bueno over white

    2. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Maybe start Bueno instead of White

  12. tim
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Darwin to Toney -4?

  13. FPL Marc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Start Cancelo (DGW but out of favour) or Mitrovic (tough game)

    1. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Cancelo as we just don’t know with Pep

  14. Nazz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    How many points will I get this GW... Seriously chasing

    0.2itb 0 FT

    Kepa
    SHAW, Trippier, LEWIS
    BRUNO, RASHFORD, KDB, Martinelli
    HAARLAND(c), KANE, Mitro

    Ward, Bueno, White, Andreas

    Anything I need to change or G2G?

  15. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Anything worth another hit here folks?

    Ward
    Trips - Shaw - Akanji
    Martinelli - Rashford (vc) - Salah - Almiron
    Mitro - Haaland (c) - Kane
    ____________________________________
    Iversen: Andreas: Cucurella: B.Williams

    0FT, 3.3m ITB

    THANKS ALL!

    1. Nazz
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      No great

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers Nazz!

  16. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Try to guess the chances of two starts for these players:

    A) Akanji
    B) Mahrez
    C) Doherty
    D) Perisic
    E) Kulusevski

    1. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A) 75%
      B) 90%
      C) 75%
      D) 65%
      E) 50%

      1. Riverside Red
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        More chance of winning the lottery than predicting starts

    2. Veni Vidi Vialli
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A) 2
      B) 0
      C) 2
      D) 1
      E) 2

    3. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A) 91%
      B) 59%
      C) 87%
      D) 89%
      E) 43%

    4. Mom, Butters just gave me a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      A 50%
      B 100%
      C 50%
      D 50%
      E 100%

  17. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    If I don't want to take a -8, is Martinez (UTD) nailed -and could i get away with him vs. Shaw for the double? Or just bite the bullet now on Shaw?

  18. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    What to do with Walker? Will he play? Or transfer him out for Shaw?

    Thank you!

    1. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Think you have to keep and cross fingers

    2. Veni Vidi Vialli
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Leave it, just let him be.

  19. MBK 42
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    I’ve got Perisic in with the rationale that Spurs will concede but he may get involved in some goals at least - am I insane?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      No, he's a decent pick this week.

  20. NotsoSpursy
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    With Martial now a doubt who is the best striker for DGW??

    I have Haaland and Kane.

    Wilson? Toney?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Toney- look at fixtures

    2. Riverside Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Or an addional midfielder

  21. jimmyharte
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Ederson for Kepa
    Or Lewis for Digne?

  22. Mom, Butters just gave me a…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Has Darwin out been confirmed yet?

  23. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Who starts

    A - Walker
    B - Gabriel

  24. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    What is the point of Akanji when he has close to zero goal threat?

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Clean sheets and probs most nailed

    2. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I hate owning defenders just for cleanies...

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Neither does Leno but he’s just ruined my previous GW

  25. Strike me a Gakpose
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    A) White + Mahrez
    B) Doherty + Almiron

  26. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Who’s on Hauland TC?

  27. THEKID_88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Start Cancelo or White?

    1. Veni Vidi Vialli
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Cancelo

  28. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Worth an additional-4 for Mitro to Toney?

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Nah, I think a lot of people are sleeping on Mitro, Fulham are sky high on confidence right now and Mitro can do hair as well imo

      1. DARE TO BISCAN
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Laboratoire Mitro

  29. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Best option?
    A) Mitro to Martial
    B) Mount to Mahrez
    C) R.James to Perisic/Doherty
    D) A/B and C -4

    Kepa
    Shaw Trip Bueno
    KDB Rash Martinelli Mount
    Haaland Kane Mitro

    Ward Andreas R.James Patterson

  30. romperstomper
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    I can't believe I'm writing these words but:

    shaw, botman, trips, cancelo

    salah, rashford, odegard, almiron

    kane, haaland

    do I drop *any* of the above in favour of Bueno who has a decent chance of a cleansheet?

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Haaland has to go

      1. DARE TO BISCAN
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        TC Kinder